• Refine Query
  • Source
  • Publication year
  • to
  • Language
  • 1
  • Tagged with
  • 1
  • 1
  • 1
  • 1
  • 1
  • 1
  • 1
  • 1
  • 1
  • 1
  • 1
  • 1
  • 1
  • 1
  • 1
  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

On Predicting Price Volatility from Limit Order Books

Dadfar, Reza January 2023 (has links)
Accurate forecasting of stock price movements is crucial for optimizing trade execution and mitigating risk in automated trading environments, especially when leveraging Limit Order Book (LOB) data. However, developing predictive models from LOB data presents substantial challenges due to its inherent complexities and high-frequency nature. In this thesis, the application of the General Compound Hawkes Process (GCHP) is explored to predict price volatility. Within this framework, a Hawkes process is employed to estimate the times of price changes, and a Markovian model is utilized to determine their amplitudes. The price volatility is obtained through both numerical and analytical methodologies. The performance of the GCHP is assessed on a publicly available dataset, including five distinct stocks. To enhance accuracy, the number of states in the Markov chain is gradually increased, and the advantages of incorporating a higher-order Markov chain for refined volatility estimation are demonstrated.

Page generated in 0.0432 seconds