Submitted by JÚLIO HEBER SILVA (julioheber@yahoo.com.br) on 2017-03-15T17:36:59Z No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Sidney Tadeu Santiago Costa - 2017.pdf: 1406618 bytes, checksum: 291719e6f7eaaff496ec405e241ce518 (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Luciana Ferreira (lucgeral@gmail.com) on 2017-03-20T12:39:15Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Sidney Tadeu Santiago Costa - 2017.pdf: 1406618 bytes, checksum: 291719e6f7eaaff496ec405e241ce518 (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-03-20T12:39:15Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Sidney Tadeu Santiago Costa - 2017.pdf: 1406618 bytes, checksum: 291719e6f7eaaff496ec405e241ce518 (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-03-03 / With the note gotten in the Exame Nacional do Ensino Médio - ENEM the students can applay the vacant in diverse public institutions of superior education and programs of the government, for example, the program Universidade para Todos(Prouni) and the Fundo de Financiamento Estudantil (Fies). The ENEM uses a methodology of correction of the objective questions called Theory of Reply to the Item - TRI, that has some aspects that are different of the Classic Theory of the Tests - TCT. The main factor that determines the result of a citizen in a avaliativo process where if uses the TCT, is the number of correct answers, while in the TRI, beyond the amount of rightnesss is basic if to analyze which answers they are correct. The objective of this work is to explain what it is the TRI and as if it applies this methodology in evaluations of wide scale. A historical boarding of the logistic models used by the TRI and the justification of the existence of each parameter will be made that composes the main equation of the modeling. To determine each parameter that composes the model of the TRI and to calculate the final note of each candidate, a procedure of called optimization will be used Method of Maximum Probability - MMV. The computational tools in the work had been software R, with packages developed for application of the TRI and the Visual programming language beginner’s all-purpose symbolic instruction code to program functions, called as macros, in electronic spread sheets. / Com a nota obtida no Exame Nacional do Ensino Médio - ENEM os estudantes podem se candidatar a vagas em diversas instituições públicas de ensino superior e programas do governo, por exemplo, o programa Universidade para Todos (Prouni) e o Fundo de Financiamento Estudantil (Fies). O ENEM utiliza uma metodologia de correção das questões objetivas denominada Teoria de Resposta ao Item - TRI, que possui vários aspectos que são diferentes da Teoria Clássica dos Testes - TCT. O principal fator que determina o resultado de um sujeito em um processo avaliativo onde se utiliza a TCT, é o número de respostas corretas, enquanto na TRI, além da quantidade de acertos é fundamental se analisar quais respostas estão corretas. O objetivo deste trabalho é explicar o que é a TRI e como se aplica essa metodologia em avaliações de larga escala. Será feita uma abordagem histórica dos modelos logísticos utilizados pela TRI e a justificativa da existência de cada parâmetro que compõe a equação principal da modelagem. Para determinar cada parâmetro que compõe o modelo da TRI e calcular a nota final de cada candidato, será utilizado um procedimento de otimização denominado Método da Máxima Verossimilhança - MMV. As ferramentas computacionais no trabalho foram o software R, com pacotes desenvolvidos para aplicação da TRI e a linguagem de programação Visual Basic para programar funções, denominadas como macros, em planilhas eletrônicas.

Made available in DSpace on 2017-07-10T19:23:34Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 BrunaGabriela.pdf: 6387160 bytes, checksum: ceef577d779a115a95309a987a447380 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2013-02-20 / The objective of this paper was to present a study of spatial variability in different time periods of two experimental areas using geostatistical models scaling and spatial linear gaussian with multiple independent replications. In the first area under study, the scaling of semivariance function method and spatial linear model with multiple independent replications was used. The structures of spatial variability of the potassium content in soil and soybean yield in five agricultural years were compared. The results indicate similarity between the thematic maps produced according to individual models and maps generated using the model set to scaled semivariogram. The same happens to build thematic maps according to the individual models compared to maps generated according to the spatial linear models with multiple independent replications. Comparing the maps originated by the scaled model and spatial linear model with multiple repetitions, high levels of accuracy were obtained, which implies similarity of thematic maps built with these two methods. In the second area under study the interest was to use the spatial linear model with multiple independent replications to study the spatial variability of soybean yield in both years as a function of covariates soil resistance to penetration (RSP) and bulk density (Dens) in the layers 0-0.10, 0.10-0.20 and 0.20-0.30 m deep. In both studies, the structure of spatial variability estimated by spatial linear model with multiple independent replications caused reduction of computational time in the adjustment of models and the generation of thematic maps. / O objetivo deste trabalho foi apresentar um estudo de variabilidade espacial em diferentes períodos de tempo de duas áreas experimentais utilizando modelos geoestatísticos escalonados e espaciais lineares gaussianos com repetições múltiplas independentes. Na primeira área em estudo utilizou-se o método de escalonamento da função semivariância e o modelo espacial linear com repetições múltiplas independentes. Compararam-se as estruturas de variabilidade espacial do teor de potássio no solo e da produtividade da soja em cinco anos agrícolas. Os resultados indicam semelhança entre os mapas temáticos elaborados segundo os modelos individuais e os mapas gerados segundo o modelo ajustado ao semivariograma escalonado. O mesmo ocorreu ao construir mapas temáticos segundo os modelos individuais comparados aos mapas gerados segundo os modelos espaciais lineares com repetições múltiplas independentes. Ao comparar os mapas originados pelo modelo escalonado e o modelo espacial linear com repetições múltiplas independentes, obteve-se índices de acurácia altos, o que implica em semelhança dos mapas temáticos construídos com estes dois métodos. Na segunda área em estudo o interesse foi utilizar o modelo espacial linear com repetições múltiplas independentes para estudar a variabilidade espacial da produtividade da soja em dois anos agrícolas como função das covariáveis resistência do solo à penetração (RSP) e densidade do solo (Dens), nas camadas de 0-0,10, 0,10-0,20 e 0,20-0,30 m de profundidade. Em ambos os estudos, a estrutura de variabilidade espacial estimada pelo modelo espacial linear com repetições múltiplas independentes ocasionou redução do tempo computacional no ajuste dos modelos e na geração de mapas temáticos.

In this Master's thesis, Maximum Likelihood-based parametric identification methods for discrete-time SISO Hammerstein models from perturbed observations on both input and output, are investigated. Hammerstein models, consisting of a static nonlinear block followed by a dynamic linear one, are widely applied to modeling nonlinear dynamic systems, i.e., dynamic systems having nonlinearity at its input. Two identification methods are proposed. The first one assumes a Hammerstein model where the input signal is noise-free and the output signal is perturbed with colored noise. The second assumes, however, white noises added to the input and output of the nonlinearity and to the output of the whole considered Hammerstein model. Both methods operate directly in the time domain and their properties are illustrated by a number of simulated examples. It should be observed that attention is focused on derivation, numerical calculation, and simulation corresponding to the first identification method mentioned above.

Cette thèse porte sur la description de l'assemblage des virus dans le cadre de la physique statistique ainsi que sur les méthodes de mesure de cet assemblage utilisant les marqueurs fluorescents. Nous nous y attachons à décrire la dynamique de l'agrégation des protéines aux échelles de la population et du virus unique. Nous proposons deux méthodes pour mesurer les grandeurs physiques associées : taille et forme de la structure finale d'une part, taux d'agrégation au cours de la croissance d'autre part. Dans ce travail, nous nous sommes intéressés à la description physique de l'auto-assemblage des protéines virales. La physique de l'auto-assemblage in-vitro des virus sphériques, dont la structure est déterminée par l'agencement régulier de leurs constituants protéiques, a été théoriquement et expérimentalement caractérisée auparavant par des modèles d'agrégation. Les modèles existants décrivaient l'assemblage à quantité de composants viraux fixée dans un système ferme à partir des constituants élémentaires du virus. In-vivo, la situation est bien entendu différente. Abstraction faite de la grande complexité du milieu cellulaire, les virus s'échappent de la cellule une fois formés pour aller infecter de nouvelles cellules. De plus, la quantité de constituants est sans cesse modifiée par la fabrication ou la dégradation des protéines virales. Enfin les méthodes de mesures utilisées in-vitro ne sont généralement plus envisageables in-vivo. Nous avons donc étudié les effets d'un flux de matière dans système ouvert via le calcul de l'état stationnaire, et via la résolution numérique des équations d'évolution des populations d'agrégats qui décrivent la cinétique d'agrégation des protéines virales. Dans ce cadre, nous avons mis en valeur le lien entre la description de l'état général du système en termes de populations et le devenir individuel d'un virus en formation pour le suivi duquel des méthodes expérimentales existent. Nous nous sommes alors attachés à proposer un traitement approprié de telles données expérimentales pour déterminer les valeurs des paramètres physiques du modèle / In this thesis work, we study the self-assembly of viral particles and focus on the analysis of measurements based on fluorescence labeling of viral proteins. We propose a theoretical model of the dynamic of viral proteins self-assembly at the cell membrane based on previous models developed to describe the in-vitro assembly of spherical viruses. We study the evolution of the populations in the successive stages of viral budding as well as the evolution of single particle within this framework. We also provide various data analysis to measure the physical values involved in the process: rate of aggregation during the bud growth, size and shape of the eventual structure. Viruses are biological objects unable to replicate without infecting an host cell since they lack part of the molecular machinery mandatory for genetic code replication and proteins production. Originally aimed at controlling the diseases they cause, the study of viruses is now rich of applications in medical and technological field (gene therapy, phage therapy, targeted therapy, bio-templating, cargo specific encapsulation, etc.). The existent models describing the self-assembly of viral proteins have successfully captured many features observed in the in-vitro experiments. We study the expected evolution when an open system is considered with an input flux of proteins and an output flux of released virion, characteristic of the in-vivo situation. We derive the population distribution at steady state and numerically study their dynamic under constant viral protein input flux. We also study the case of a single bud evolution which can be followed by its fluorescence emission. We study the possibility to estimate shape parameters at the single viral particle level such as radius and completion for the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) from single molecule localization superresolution microscopy. These techniques known as (f)PALM or (d)STORM, record labeled proteins position with a precision of few to tens of nanometers. We propose an approach base on the maximum likelihood statistical method which is tested on both real and simulated images of fully formed particles. Our results suggest that it can offer a precision on the determination of the global structure finner than the positioning precision of the single proteins. This efficiency is however tempered when the parameter of interest does not affect the figures of merit to which the method is sensitive such as the apparent area and the image contours

[pt] Em sistemas de comunicações móveis, a modulação digital em fase (PSK)é amplamente utilizada em esquemas de transmissão em rádio-propagação. Trabalhos anteriores consideraram alguns métodos baseados no critério de máxima verossimilhança (MV) para estimação de direção-de-chegada de sinais genéricos que atingem um conjunto (array) de sensores. Esta tese propõe um novo estimador MV para a direção-de-chegada, desenvolvido especificamente para sistemas de comunicação PSK. Dois modelos de transmissão são concebidos para estimação dos parâmetros: um mais idealizado, considerando todas as portadoras alinhadas no tempo com o receptor, e outro que considera este desalinhamento na forma de retardo. O número de parâmetros a serem conjuntamente estimados é significativamente reduzido ao se calcular o valor esperado dos sinais medidos no array de antenas com relação µas fases de modulação (dados de informação). O desempenho do estimador em vários cenários simulados é apresentado e comparado ao desempenho do estimador MV clássico desenvolvido sem considerar uma estrutura específica para o sinal. Limitantes de Cramér-Rao para os cenários de portadora única também são calculados. O método proposto se mostra mais robusto por apresentar melhor desempenho que o estimador MV clássico em todas as simulações. / [en] In mobile communication systems, phase shift keying (PSK) modulation is widely used in digital transmission schemes. Previous works have considered several maximum likelihood (ML) methods for the direction-of-arrival (DOA) estimation of generic signals reaching a phased-array of sensors. This thesis proposes a new ML DOA estimator designed to be used in PSK communication systems. Two transmission models are considered for parameter estimation: a simpler one, considering all carrier clocks time-aligned with the receiver clock, and another that considers this misalignment as a delay for each carrier. The number of parameters to be jointly estimated is significantly reduced when the expected value of the antenna array measured signals with respect to the modulation phases is evaluated. The estimator performance in several simulation scenarios is presented and compared to the performance of a classic ML estimator designed for all sorts of signal models. Cramér-Rao bounds for single carrier scenarios are also evaluated. The proposed method robustly outperforms the classic ML estimator in all simulations.

Magister Scientiae - MSc / The intention is to draw more specific connections between certain deconvolution methods and also to demonstrate the application of the statistical theory of estimation in the presence of measurement error. A parametric methodology for deconvolution when the underlying distribution is of the Pareto form is developed. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the parameters of the convolved distributions is considered. Standard errors of the estimated parameters are calculated from the inverse Fisher’s information matrix and a jackknife method. Probability-probability (P-P) plots and Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) goodnessof- fit tests are used to evaluate the fit of the posited distribution. A bootstrapping method is used to calculate the critical values of the K-S test statistic, which are not available. / South Africa

Spatial econometrics can bring a useful approach to macroeconomic analysis of regional data. This thesis delineates suitable cross-section data models regarding their geographical location. Neighbourhood relation is used for the analysis. The relation of neighbourhood among the regions is expressed using spatial weight matrix. We focus on spatial autocorrelation tests and introduce processes of finding a suitable spatial model. Further, we describe regression coefficients estimates and estimates of spatial dependence coefficients, especially method of maximum likelihood estimates. Besides illustrative examples we apply chosen basic spatial models on real macroeconomic data. We examine how they describe relation between household incomes, GDP and unemployment rate in western Europe. Results are compared with a linear regression model.

The aim of this master thesis is to verify possibility to use Poisson distribution for predicting soccer matches. At first for analysis is applied the original model from English statisticians Mark J. Dixon and Stuart G. Coles from 1997. Thereafter the model is extended in the thesis. All models are based on the maximum likelihood method. Chosen league for deducing conclusions is the first English league - Premier League. The matches are played in the period from season 2004/2005 to half of season 2015/2016. For identification of models performance are used the most market odds from American bookmaker Pinnacle. In the theoretical part are described models and statistical methods that are used in the practical part. In the practical part are realized calculations. Counted performance of models is based on profit from market odds. In the period ex-post are calculated optimum model parameters that are used in the ex-ante period, where is calculated performance of the model. The thesis answers question: Are these models gaining from public database effective in modern age?

Future fifth generation (5G) cellular networks have to cope with the expected ten-fold increase in mobile data traffic between 2015 and 2021. To achieve this goal, new technologies are being considered, including massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems and millimeter-wave (mmWave) communications. Massive MIMO involves the use of large antenna array sizes at the base station, while mmWave communications employ frequencies between 30 and 300 GHz. In this thesis we study the impact of these technologies on the performance of channel estimators. Our results show that the characteristics of the propagation channel at mmWave frequencies improve the channel estimation performance in comparison with current, low frequency-based, cellular networks. Furthermore, we demonstrate the existence of an optimal angular spread of the multipath clusters, which can be used to maximize the capacity of mmWave networks. We also propose efficient noise variance estimators, which can be employed as an input to existing channel estimators.

Parmi les différents critères qu'une fonction booléenne doit satisfaire en cryptographie, on s'intéresse à la non-linéarité. Pour une fonction booléenne donnée, cette notion mesure la distance de Hamming qui la sépare des fonctions de degré au plus 1. C'est un critère naturel pour évaluer la complexité d'une fonction cryptographique, celle-ci ne devant pas admettreune approximation qui soit simple, comme par une fonction de degré 1, ou plus généralement une fonction de bas degré. Ainsi, il est important de considérer plus généralement, la non-linéarité d'ordre supérieur, qui pour un ordre donné r, mesure la distance d'une fonction donnée à l'ensemble des fonctions de degré au plus r. Cette notion est également importante pour les fonctions vectorielles, i.e., celles à plusieurs sorties. Quand le nombre de variables est grand, presque toutes les fonctions ont une non-linéarité (d'ordre 1) voisine d'une certaine valeur, assez élevée. Dans un premier travail, on étend ce résultat à l'ordre 2. Cette méthode qui consiste à observer comment les boules de Hamming recouvrent l'hypercube des fonctions booléennes, nous conduit naturellement vers une borne de décodage théorique des codes de Reed-Muller d'ordre 1, coïncidant au même endroit où se concentre la non-linéarité de presque toutes les fonctions ; une approche nouvelle pour un résultat pas entièrement nouveau. On étudie aussi la non-linéarité des fonctions vectorielles. On montre avec une approche différente, que le comportement asymptotique est le même que celui des fonctions booléennes: une concentration de la non-linéarité autour d'une valeur assez élevée. / Among the different criteria that a Boolean function must satisfy in symmetric cryptography, we focus on the nonlinearity of these. This notion measures the Hamming distance between a given function and the set of functions with degree at most 1. It is a natural criterion to evaluate the complexity of a cryptographic function that must not have a simple approximation as by a function of degree 1, or more generally, a function of low degree. Hence, it is important to consider the higher order nonlinearity, which for a given order r, measures the distance between a given function and the set of all functions of degree at most r. This notion is equally important for multi-output Boolean functions. When the number of variables is large enough, almost all Boolean functions have nonlinearities lying in a small neighbourhood of a certain high value. We prove that this fact holds when considering the second-order nonlinearity. Our method which consists in observing how the Hamming balls pack the hypercube of Boolean functions led quite naturally to a theoretical decoding bound for the first-order Reed-Muller code, coinciding with the concentration point of the nonlinearity of almost all functions. This was a new approach for a result which is not entirely new. We also studied the nonlinearity of multi-output functions. We proved with a different approach, that the asymptotic behaviour of multi-output functions is the same as the single-output ones: a concentration of the nonlinearity around a certain large value.