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Bayesian analysis of multivariate stochastic volatility and dynamic modelsLoddo, Antonello, January 2006 (has links)
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Missouri-Columbia, 2006. / The entire dissertation/thesis text is included in the research.pdf file; the official abstract appears in the short.pdf file (which also appears in the research.pdf); a non-technical general description, or public abstract, appears in the public.pdf file. Title from title screen of research.pdf file viewed on (April 26, 2007) Vita. Includes bibliographical references.
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A method for characterizing the properties of industrial foams /Salisbury, Shaun M., January 2005 (has links) (PDF)
Thesis (M.S.)--Brigham Young University. Dept. of Mechanical Engineering, 2005. / Includes bibliographical references (p. 85-88).
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Statistical estimation of strain energy release rate of delaminated compositesVijayaraghavan, Rajesh, January 2006 (has links)
Thesis (M.S.)--West Virginia University, 2006. / Title from document title page. Document formatted into pages; contains xv, 133 p. : ill. (some col.). Includes abstract. Includes bibliographical references (p. 126-133).
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Algorithms and Monte Carlo methods in computational biology /Guan, Yongtao. January 1900 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Idaho, 2006. / Abstract. "May 2006." Includes bibliographical references (leaves 100-106). Also available online in PDF format.
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Variance Reduction for Asian OptionsGalda, Galina Unknown Date (has links)
Asian options are an important family of derivative contracts with a wide variety of applications in commodity, currency, energy, interest rate, equity and insurance markets. In this master's thesis, we investigate methods for evaluating the price of the Asian call options with a fixed strike. One of them is the Monte Carlo method. The accurancy of this method can be observed through variance of the price. We will see that the variance with using Monte Carlo method has to be decreased. The Variance Reduction technique is useful for this aim. We will give evidence of the efficiency of one of the Variance Reduction thechniques - Control Variate method - in a mathematical context and a numerical comparison with the ordinary Monte Carlo method.
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New Importance Sampling DensitiesHörmann, Wolfgang January 2005 (has links) (PDF)
To compute the expectation of a function with respect to a multivariate distribution naive Monte Carlo is often not feasible. In such cases importance sampling leads to better estimates than the rejection method. A new importance sampling distribution, the product of one-dimensional table mountain distributions with exponential tails, turns out to be flexible and useful for Bayesian integration problems. To obtain a heavy-tailed importance sampling distribution a new radius transform for the above distribution is suggested. Together with a linear transform the new importance sampling distributions lead to simple and fast integration algorithms with reliable error bounds. (author's abstract) / Series: Preprint Series / Department of Applied Statistics and Data Processing
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Monte Carlo Dose Verification of an X-Ray Beam in a Virtual Water PhantomManiquis, Virginia 12 April 2006 (has links)
Monte Carlo (MC) methods are widely accepted as the most accurate technique for calculating dose distributions in radiation therapy physics. Simulating the particle transport through the treatment head of a linear accelerator utilizing a MC based code is both a widespread and practical approach to determining detailed clinical beam characteristics such as the energy, angular and spatial distribution of particles which are needed to properly quantify dose. One particular and versatile MC code, the Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP) radiation transport code, developed by Los Alamos National Laboratory, has been commonly used to model ionizing radiations for medical physics applications.
In this thesis, a Varian 2100C linear accelerator (linac) is modeled and the electron and photon transport through the primary components of the treatment head are simulated using MCNP Version 5_1.3. The 6 MV photon spectra was characterized in a standard 10 x 10 cm2 field and subsequent dose calculations were made in a Virtual Water (VW) phantom. Energy fluence, percent depth dose and beam profile measurements were taken in a modeled VW phantom and the calculated data was compared to measured reference data. In addition, a human phantom was modeled for future dose calculations using the modeled linac.
The linac model created can incorporate different beam energies for determining the dose distribution of multiple beam treatments in phantoms for standard 6 MV plans. The adaptability of this MCNP model allows for any number of geometries and sources encountered in medical physics to be computed and applied with relative ease. Future studies can involve adding complex multi-leaf collimator beam shaping and calculating the dose in human phantom models, which would serve as a basis for studies involving MCNP modeling for dose optimization in medical physics applications.
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A Three Dimensional Heterogeneous Coarse Mesh Transport Method for Reactor CalculationsForget, Benoit 07 July 2006 (has links)
Current advancements in nuclear reactor core design are pushing reactor cores towards greater heterogeneity in an attempt to make nuclear power more sustainable in terms of fuel utilization and long-term disposal needs. These new designs are now being limited by the accuracy of the core simulators/methods. Increasing attention has been given to full core transport as the flux module in future core simulators. However, the current transport methods, due to their significant memory and computational time requirements, are not practical for whole core calculations. While most researchers are working on developing new acceleration and phase space parallelization techniques for the current fine mesh transport methods, this dissertation focuses on the development of a practical heterogeneous coarse mesh transport method.
In this thesis, a heterogeneous coarse mesh transport method is extended from two to three dimensions in Cartesian geometry and new techniques are developed to reduce the strain on computational resources. The high efficiency of the method is achieved by decoupling the problem into a series of fixed source calculations in smaller sub-volume elements (e.g. coarse meshes). This decoupling lead to shifting the computation time to a priori calculations of response functions in unique sub-volumes in the system. Therefore, the method is well suited for large problems with repeated geometry such as those found in nuclear reactor cores. Even though the response functions can be generated with any available existing fine-mesh (deterministic or stochastic) code, a stochastic method was selected in this dissertation. Previous work in two dimensions used discrete polynomial expansions that are better suited for treating discrete variables found in pure deterministic transport methods. The amount of data needed to represent very heterogeneous problems accurately became quite large making the three dimensional extension impractical. The deterministic method was thus replaced by a stochastic response function generator making the transition to continuous variables fairly simple. This choice also improves the geometry handling capability of the coarse mesh method.
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A Numerical Simulation of Thermal and Electrical Properties of Nano-fiber Network Polymer Composites Using Percolation Theory and Monte Carlo MethodGu, Heng 14 January 2010 (has links)
Polymer matrix composites reinforced by metal fibers are observed to present an
onset of the insulator-to-conductor transition through previous experimental studies.
Analytical studies revealed that the percolation threshold occurs when fiber volume
fraction reaches the critical value. The numerical study based on Monte Carlo
simulations are performed to investigate such a relation. In this work, the conductive
fillers are modeled as a three dimensional (3D) network of identical units randomly
distributed in the polymer matrix. For the simplest case, straight fibers are used in the
simulation. The effects of the aspect ratio and fiber length on the critical volume
fraction are also studied. Linearization is made to the logarithm of simulation results.
Next, in order to study the effects of emulsion particles and the emulsion particle sizes
on the percolation behavior, cubic particles are aligned in the sample model. The gap
width to particle size ratio is fixed at 1/10. The calculated critical volume fraction is used
in the power-law function to predict the electrical conductivity of the polymer composites. Due to the insensitivity of the thermal conductivity to the percolation
threshold, a combination of two empirical equations is used to predict the range of
overall thermal conductivity.
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A comparative study and application of continuously variable transmission to a single main rotor heavy lift helicopterHameer, Sameer Hameer Jaffer 19 October 2009 (has links)
Rotorcraft transmission design is limited by empirical weight trends that are proportional to the
power/torque raised to the two-thirds coupled with the relative inexperience industry has with the
employment of variable speed transmission to heavy lift helicopters of the order of 100,000 lbs
gross weight and 30,000 installed horsepower. The advanced rotorcraft transmission program
objectives are to reduce transmission weight by at least 25%, reduce sound pressure levels by at
least 10 dB, have a 5000 hr mean time between removal, and also incorporate the use of split
torque technology in rotorcraft drivetrains of the future. The major obstacle that challenges
rotorcraft drivetrain design is the selection, design, and optimization of a variable speed
transmission in the goal of achieving a 50% reduction in rotor speed and its ability to handle high
torque with light weight gears, as opposed to using a two-speed transmission which has inherent
structural problems and is highly unreliable due to the embodiment of the traction type
transmission, complex clutch and brake system. This thesis selects a nontraction pericyclic continuously variable transmission (P-CVT) as the best approach for a single main rotor heavy
lift helicopter to target the above mentioned obstacle for drivetrain design and provides
advancement in the state of the art of drivetrain design over existing planetary and split torque
transmissions currently used in helicopters. The goal of the optimization process was to decrease
weight, decrease noise, increase efficiency, and increase safety and reliability. The objective
function utilized the minimization of the weight and the constraint is the tooth bending stress of
the facegears. The most important parameters of the optimization process are weight,
maintainability, and reliability which are cross-functionally related to each other, and these
parameters are related to the torques and operating speeds. The analysis of the split torque type
P-CVT achieved a weight reduction of 42.5% and 40.7% over planetary and split torque
transmissions respectively. In addition, a 19.5 dB sound pressure level reduction was achieved
using active gear struts, and also the use of fabricated steel truss like housing provided a higher
maintainability and reliability, low cost, and low weight over cast magnesium housing currently
employed in helicopters. The static finite element analysis of the split torque type P-CVT, both
2-D and 3-D, yielded stresses below the allowable bending stress of the material. The goal of the
finite element analysis is to see if the designed product has met its functional requirements. The
safety assessment of the split torque type P-CVT yielded a 99% probability of mission success
based on a Monte Carlo simulation using stochastic- petri net analysis and a failure hazard
analysis. This was followed by an FTA/RBD analysis which yielded an overall system failure
rate of 140.35 failures per million hours, and a preliminary certification and time line of
certification was performed. The use of spherical facegears and pericyclic kinematics has advanced the state of the art in
drivetrain design primarily in the reduction of weight and noise coupled with high safety,
reliability, and efficiency.
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