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Individual preferences, choices, and risk perceptions survey based evidence /Lampi, Elina. January 2008 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Gothenburg, 2008. / Extra t.p. with thesis statement and abstract inserted. Includes bibliographical references.
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On the nature of preference in decisions involving risk a proportion of emotion mechanism /Reid, Aaron A. January 2006 (has links)
Thesis (Ph.D.)--Ohio University, August, 2006. / Title from PDF t.p. Includes bibliographical references.
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Risk style, regulatory focus, and the situation in risky choice decision makingJohnson, Vanessa. Svyantek, Daniel J. January 2009 (has links)
Dissertation (Ph.D.)--Auburn University, 2009. / Abstract. Includes bibliographic records (p.44-49).
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Three essays on the prediction of binary variables /Lieli, Robert P., January 2004 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of California, San Diego, 2004. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 189-190).
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The art of multimodal decision making by incident controllers on the firegroundIngham, Valerie. January 2009 (has links)
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Western Sydney, 2009. / A thesis presented to the University of Western Sydney, College of Arts, Centre for Cultural Research, in fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy. Includes bibliographies.
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Hodnocení efektivity vybrané investice a posouzení jejího vlivu na finanční stabilitu podniku / Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Selected Investment and Assessment of Influence on Company's Financial StabilityKUČEROVÁ, Nikola January 2018 (has links)
The aim of this master thesis is to evaluate effectiveness of an investment project of a hotel reconstruction and assess of its impact on the company's financial stability. The theoretical part of the paper contains general theoretical background of investment decision-making and long-term financing. This section describes the processes of the preparation and the implementation of projects, the individual methods of evaluation the effectiveness of investments and the characteristics of possible methods of financing. Further it emphasises the importance of respecting the risk in the investment decision making. The practical part focuses on the general characteristics of the company and its enterprising intention. A very important section of this thesis is the evaluation of the effectiveness of the investment project which is based on three options optimistic, neutral and negative. These variants are affected by the occupancy rate of the hotel. Also, the risks of the monitored investment will be taken into account and examined in more details. This will help with the resulting decision about the implementation of the project.
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Distribuição espacial das atividades econômicas do Município de Campinas/SP : uma ferramenta para a saúde do trabalhador / Spatial distribution of economic activities at city of Campinas, in São Paulo : a tool for workers healthMartins, Ana Claudia Alves, 1972- 21 August 2018 (has links)
Orientador: Satoshi Kitamura / Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Faculdade de Ciências Médicas / Made available in DSpace on 2018-08-21T10:43:10Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
Martins_AnaClaudiaAlves_M.pdf: 3328633 bytes, checksum: f89fa01ed5acad07766177a91394bde1 (MD5)
Previous issue date: 2012 / Resumo: Este trabalho visa despertar a atenção das autoridades para a exploração do potencial do uso de técnicas de geoprocessamento para subsidiar a tomada de decisões para o enfrentamento dos fatores de risco que os trabalhadores estão expostos. O objetivo geral é propor um método que permita a visualização da associação das atividades econômicas segundo a Classsificação Nacional das Atividades Econômicas (CNAE), dos dados retirados do Cadastro Nacional de Endereços para fins estatísticos (CNEFE) e dos respectivos riscos segundo a Classificação Estatística Internacional de Doenças e Problemas Relacionados à Saúde CID-10. O estudo é do tipo ecológico, ano de referência 2010. Para demonstrar espacialmente o método foi selecionado um setor censitário do município de Campinas. O resultado deste estudo é uma proposta metodológica para o tratamento de dados disponíveis e a aplicação de ferramenta de uso público para subsidiar a Saúde do Trabalhador / Abstract: This work aims to rouse the attention of the authorities to explore the potential use of GIS techniques to support the decision making to face the risk factors that workers are exposed. The overall objective is to propose a method that allows the visualization of: the association of economic activities according to Classification National Economic Activities (NCEA), the data arose from the National Address for statistical purposes (CNEFE) and the related risks according to the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems CID-10. The study is ecological type, reference year 2010. To demonstrate spatially, the method selected a sector census from Campinas city. The result of this study is a methodological approach for the treatment of available data and application of public tool to subsidize workers' health / Mestrado / Epidemiologia / Mestra em Saúde Coletiva
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The resigned, the restless and the resilient : risk perceptions among Afghan migrants in TurkeyKaytaz, Esra Stephanie January 2015 (has links)
This thesis seeks to account for diversity in the migratory decisions of Afghan migrants who have recently arrived in Turkey. It proposes that social theories on risk provide a framework that rectifies a theoretical gap in the migration literature with respect to intra-group heterogeneity in the decision-making processes of migrants. The thesis adopts Rosa’s (1998: 28) definition of risk as: ‘a situation or event where something of human value (including humans themselves) has been put at stake and where the outcome is uncertain.' I argue that variation in what migrants view as being ‘at stake’ and in how they evaluate the associated uncertainties— in other words, how migrants perceive risk— accounts for the diversity in the migration decisions of similarly situated migrants. Risk is therefore an analytical tool for understanding decision-making in its subjective and socio-cultural context. The thesis offers a typology as an analytical device for categorising the ways in which informants managed the risks associated with migration decisions. I identify three modes of managing risk, defined as resigned, restless and resilient, on the basis of migrants’ engagements with their social environment, their efforts at advocating for themselves and others, and their ability to gather and disseminate information. The thesis also explores subsidiary themes concerning migrants’ legal consciousness with regard to irregular immigration status, and the process of embodying the physical and emotional consequences of migration. Most of the ethnographic fieldwork for this project was conducted in the cities of Istanbul, Van, Kayseri and Sivas from February 2011 until December 2012.
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Multi-objective portfolio optimisation of upstream petroleum projects.Aristeguieta Alfonzo, Otto D. January 2008 (has links)
The shareholders of E&P companies evaluate the future performance of these companies in terms of multiple performance attributes. Hence, E&P decision makers have the task of allocating limited resources to available project proposals to deliver the best performance on these various attributes. Additionally, the performance of these proposals on these attributes is uncertain and the attributes of the various proposals are usually correlated. As a result of the above, the E&P portfolio optimisation decision setting is characterised by multiple attributes with uncertain future performance. Most recent contributions in the E&P portfolio optimisation arena seek to adapt modern financial portfolio theory concepts to the E&P project portfolio selection problem. These contributions generally focus on understanding the tradeoffs between risk and return for the attribute NPV while acknowledging the presence of correlation among the assets of the portfolio. The result is usually an efficient frontier where one objective is set over the expected value of the NPV and the other is set over a risk metric calculated from the same attribute where, typically, the risk metric has a closed form solution (e.g., variance, standard deviation, semi-standard deviation). However, this methodology fails to acknowledge the presence of multiple attributes in the E&P decision setting. To fill this gap, this thesis proposes a decision support model to optimise risk and return objectives extracted from the NPV attribute and from other financial and/or operational attributes simultaneously. The result of this approach is an approximate Pareto front that explicitly shows the tradeoffs among these objectives whilst honouring intra-project and inter-project correlations. Intra-project correlations are incorporated into the optimisation by integrating the single project models to the portfolio model to be optimised. Inter-project correlation is included by modelling of the oil price a global variable. Additionally, the model uses a multi-objective simulation-optimisation approach and hence it overcomes the need of using risk metrics with closed form solutions. The model is applied to a set of realistic hypothetical offshore E&P projects. The results show the presence of complex relationships among the objectives in the approximate Pareto set. The ability of the method to unveil these relationships hopes to bring more insight to the decision makers and hence promote better investment decisions in the E&P industry. / http://proxy.library.adelaide.edu.au/login?url= http://library.adelaide.edu.au/cgi-bin/Pwebrecon.cgi?BBID=1320463 / Thesis (M.Eng.Sc.) -- University of Adelaide, Australian School of Petroleum, 2008
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Model poslovnog odlučivanja u uslovima neizvesnosti / Business decision – making model under ambiguityFerenčak Miroslav 11 April 2019 (has links)
<p>Predmet ovog istraživanja je ponašanje donosilaca odluka u uslovima<br />neizvesnosti. Na osnovu sprovedene simulacije među subjektima i<br />dobijenih rezultata, cilj ove disertacije je da se utvrde dominantni<br />faktori prilikom poslovnog odlučivanja u uslovma kada donosiolac<br />poslovnih odluka ne raspolaže informacijama potrebnim za ispravno<br />donošenje odluka u trenucima kada njegova investicija ostvaruje<br />gubitak. Prilikom utvrđivanja sklonosti donosioca odluke u obzir je<br />uzet i pol donosioca odluke i poslovni status, kao i prethodno<br />iskazane sklonosti ka riziku.</p> / <p>The subject of this research is behavior of decision – makers in ambiguous<br />surroundings. Based on the simulation that was conducted among subjects<br />and results obtained from it, the aim of this dissertation is to establish<br />dominant factors that influence decision – making process in situations<br />where information neccesery for adequate decision – making are not<br />available to decision – makers in situations where decision – makers are<br />facing loss. Gender and employmet status were taken into consideration<br />during determination of decision – makers preferences, as well as their<br />previously exhibited risk preferences.</p>
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