Made available in DSpace on 2014-06-12T17:18:04Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 arquivo695_1.pdf: 2014089 bytes, checksum: 63eeac8fb402f3cdf6123b3d105d08e8 (MD5) license.txt: 1748 bytes, checksum: 8a4605be74aa9ea9d79846c1fba20a33 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2009 / Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico / O presente estudo tem como objetivo a construção de uma Matriz de Contabilidade Social (MCS) para o Estado de Pernambuco e avaliar os impactos econômicos dos aumentos dos investimentos no setor de petróleo sobre a referida economia. A partir da análise dos resultados, a economia pernambucana refletiu os maiores impactos sobre a geração de produto e salário quando ocorreu essa variação nos serviços. A agropecuária figurou como o macro setor que mais gerou emprego e excedente operacional bruto na economia em análise, enquanto a indústria se destacou em termos de geração de impostos e importações. Notou-se ainda que, no geral, o setor de petróleo respondeu melhor diante dos aumentos dos investimentos no macro setor serviços. O setor de petróleo não foi enquadrado como um setor-chave, significando que seus impactos sejam inferiores à média dos demais setores da economia. Quando foi desenvolvida a análise de impacto sobre o setor de petróleo, os resultados para a maioria das variáveis ocorreram na forma de efeitos diretos. Quanto às gerações de emprego e salários, estas ocorreram principalmente na forma de impactos induzidos. Chamou-se a atenção ainda para os elevados valores obtidos para o excedente operacional bruto e importações para o resto do Brasil. Na decomposição da matriz de efeitos globais com ênfase no setor em questão, as estimativas sugeriram uma possível relação intersetorial frágil entre o setor e o restante da estrutura produtiva. Portanto, as expectativas são de que o aumento dos investimentos no setor de petróleo contribuam para o crescimento econômico pernambucano ao estimular diversos ramos dos serviços e indústrias e da ampliação das relações comerciais estaduais, representando uma oportunidade para promover uma mudança na estrutura econômica do Estado no longo prazo. Portanto, espera-se que o estudo contribua no campo acadêmico e para os técnicos em planejamento econômico na elaboração de novos estudos e para a formulação de políticas públicas, bem como para orientar os agentes econômicos privados sobre os novos investimentos

Submitted by Renata Lopes (renatasil82@gmail.com) on 2016-07-28T11:38:40Z No. of bitstreams: 1 leonardocordeirodefariasviggiano.pdf: 1415482 bytes, checksum: 8375978aabd1d2165c388fc32c455c14 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Adriana Oliveira (adriana.oliveira@ufjf.edu.br) on 2016-07-28T12:15:38Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 leonardocordeirodefariasviggiano.pdf: 1415482 bytes, checksum: 8375978aabd1d2165c388fc32c455c14 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2016-07-28T12:15:38Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 leonardocordeirodefariasviggiano.pdf: 1415482 bytes, checksum: 8375978aabd1d2165c388fc32c455c14 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-06-30 / CAPES - Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / O objetivo desta dissertação é apresentar uma análise sistêmica tanto da estrutura produtiva brasileira como da estrutura do setor energético nacional para os anos de 2005 e 2011 a partir de Matrizes de Contabilidade Social (MCS). Para tal, ela foi separada em dois ensaios. O primeiro traz inovações na análise sistêmica ao realizar uma decomposição dos multiplicadores em Efeito Direto, Indireto e Induzido, que só é possível de ser realizadas com as informações da MCS. Os resultados dessa etapa mostraram que Efeito Induzido é aquele com maior importância entre os três efeitos decompostos. Dessa forma, ao incluir esse efeito na análise, o papel dos setores como propagadores do crescimento da atividade produtiva deixa de ser subestimado, principalmente em relação aos setores de serviços, que apresentaram maiores valores para o Efeito Induzido. Além disso, o ensaio traz abordagens tradicionais na literatura nacional como setor-chave, analise da “paisagem econômica” e análise dos multiplicadores de emprego. Já o segundo ensaio, avalia a questão energética a partir: dos indicadores de “multiplicadores de energia”; da decomposição estrutural do consumo energético; e de uma abordagem de Análise Fatorial (AF) que objetiva identificar os padrões entre o consumo energético de cada setor e suas respectivas características produtivas. Os resultados atestaram o caráter “renovável” do consumo energético nacional além de demonstrar que as Famílias possuem características de consumo de energia próximas da média dos setores produtivos nacionais. Além disso, não foi possível afirmar que setores com maior integração produtiva são aqueles que possuem maior intensidade de consumo de energia ou outros atributos energéticos, ou vice-versa. Dessa forma, apesar de ser fato estilizado que o consumo de energia de um setor está ligado à sua produção, esse consumo não tem ligação direta com as suas características de ligações intersetoriais com outros setores da economia. / The aim of this work is to present a systematic analysis of both the Brazilian productive structure and the structure of the national energy sector for 2005 and 2011 using Social Accounting Matrixes (SAM). To this end, this dissertation was separated in two essays. The first one brings innovations in the systemic analysis when performing a decomposition of multipliers in three effects: Direct, Indirect and Induced effect. This decomposition can only be performed with the information of a SAM. The results of this phase showed that the Induced Effect is the one with greatest importance among the three decomposed effects. Thus, include this effect in the analysis, avoid the underestimation of the role of sectors as propagators of the growth and productive activity. Especially the services sectors, which showed higher values for the Induced Effect. In addition, the first essay brings traditional approaches in the national literature as key sector analysis, "economic landscape" analysis and the analysis of the employment multipliers. The second essay assesses the energy issue using approaches of "energy multipliers"; the structural decomposition of energy consumption; and an approach of Factorial Analysis (FA) which aims to identify patterns between the energy consumption of each sector and their productive characteristics. The results attest to "renewable" character of the Brazilian energy consumption as well as demonstrating that the families have energy consumption characteristics similar to the average of the national productive sectors. Moreover, it was impossible to state that sectors with greater productive integration are those that have greater intensity of energy or other energy attributes, or vice versa. Thus, despite being fact that the energy consumption of a sector is linked to the production, this consumption does not have direct relation with the characteristics of their intersectoral links with other sectors in the economy.

Submitted by Renata Lopes (renatasil82@gmail.com) on 2018-07-20T15:20:49Z No. of bitstreams: 1 marcusviniciusamaralesilva.pdf: 2590619 bytes, checksum: 4fd347134630b770de59aaaa2aa2fd58 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Adriana Oliveira (adriana.oliveira@ufjf.edu.br) on 2018-09-03T16:18:00Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 marcusviniciusamaralesilva.pdf: 2590619 bytes, checksum: 4fd347134630b770de59aaaa2aa2fd58 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-09-03T16:18:00Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 marcusviniciusamaralesilva.pdf: 2590619 bytes, checksum: 4fd347134630b770de59aaaa2aa2fd58 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2018-07-03 / O objetivo desta tese é analisar as mudanças na estrutura de rendimento, ocorridas na economia brasileira entre 2000 e 2010, e sua relação com as alterações nos padrões de consumo e as transformações na estrutura produtiva do país. Para isso, são elaboradas duas matrizes, por meio de um modelo de Matriz de Contabilidade Social (MCS), desagregada para 10 grupos familiares representativos. A estrutura de interdependência de renda entre as famílias é investigada por meio dos multiplicadores inter-relacionais de renda de Miyazawa. Já as mudanças na estrutura produtiva, entre 2000 e 2010, induzida por cada uma das 10 famílias típicas é investigada por meio de uma Análise de Decomposição Estrutural. Os principais resultados alcançados pela aplicação desses dos dois métodos apontam para uma relevante redução na renda absorvida pela última classe familiar, dado um choque exógeno de renda, ao longo do período de análise. Por outro lado, as famílias que fazem parte dos grupos de menor rendimento, tiveram aumento significativo na absorção de renda entre 2000 e 2010. O que pode ser explicado pelas transformações na estrutura de rendimentos, ocorridas principalmente em favor das classes familiares de menor renda, representadas sobretudo pela redução dos indicadores de desigualdade de renda. Isso implica que, políticas de transferência de renda, como o Bolsa Família, e as mudanças no mercado de trabalho, observada principalmente por meio do aumento do salário mínimo real, passaram a gerar maiores benefícios às camadas mais pobres da população. Já a análise de decomposição estrutural indica que os grupos familiares com menor rendimento médio foram aqueles que mais contribuíram para o aumento da produção observada no período. Esse resultado sugere que o crescimento da renda, associado a novos padrões de consumo, está intimamente ligado aos avanços produtivos entre 2000 e 2010. / The aim of this thesis is to analyze the changes in the structure of income that occurred in the Brazilian economy between 2000 and 2010, and it's relation with the changes in patterns of consumption and the transformations in the productive structure of the country. To achieve this objective, two matrices are elaborated, using a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) model, disaggregated for 10 representative households groups. The structure of income interdependence among households is investigated through Miyazawa's interrelational income multipliers. The changes in the productive structure, between 2000 and 2010, induced by each one of the 10 typical families are investigated through a Structural Decomposition Analysis (SDA). The main results point to a significant reduction in the income absorbed by the last household, given an exogenous income shock, throughout the period of analysis. On the other hand, the families that are part of the lower income groups had a significant increase in income absorption between 2000 and 2010. This can be explained by the changes in income structure, mainly in favor of lower income households, mainly represented by the reduction of income inequality indicators. This implies that income transfer policies, such as Bolsa Família, and changes in the labor market, observed mainly through the increase of the real minimum wage, generated greater benefits to the poorest sections of the population. On the other hand, the analysis of structural decomposition indicates that the household groups with the lowest average income were the ones that contributed the most to the production increase observed in the period. This result suggests that income growth and the rise of a new middle class, with new patterns of consumption, are closely linked to the productive advances between 2000 and 2010.

Submitted by Renata Lopes (renatasil82@gmail.com) on 2015-12-08T10:15:14Z No. of bitstreams: 1 erikaburkowski.pdf: 2341345 bytes, checksum: 7283bd13c0d58afa344b806685e77f7f (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Adriana Oliveira (adriana.oliveira@ufjf.edu.br) on 2015-12-09T13:34:03Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 erikaburkowski.pdf: 2341345 bytes, checksum: 7283bd13c0d58afa344b806685e77f7f (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2015-12-09T13:34:03Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 erikaburkowski.pdf: 2341345 bytes, checksum: 7283bd13c0d58afa344b806685e77f7f (MD5) Previous issue date: 2015-04-01 / O objetivo desta pesquisa é verificar os fatores que influenciam a demanda das firmas brasileiras (restritas e irrestritas) por financiamento, e quais os efeitos de choques no setor de intermediação financeira sobre o produto e sobre essa demanda no Brasil. Buscou-se na metodologia Insumo-Produto, e em suas recentes abordagens, elementos que contribuíssem para o entendimento das restrições de oferta na decisão de estrutura de capital das empresas brasileiras. Foram construídas Matrizes de Contabilidade Social e Financeiras, as quais evidenciam a variação de ativos e passivos dos agentes econômicos, e por meio delas, foram extraídos multiplicadores do produto, que representam o efeito de choques exógenos sobre a produção brasileira. O impacto de choques no setor de intermediação financeira sobre o produto dos demais setores de atividade econômica foi denominado: Multiplicador Financeiro Setorial (MFS), por permitir visualizar o impacto de restrições dos fluxos financeiros no nível do setor. O impacto de restrições financeiras no nível da firma foi analisado com o modelo de Almeida e Campello (2010), destacando que a demanda por recursos externos é menos sensível ao fluxo de caixa em firmas mais propensas a sofrer restrições financeiras, o que implica na aceitação de que as decisões de investimento e financiamento são endógenas, ao menos para a firmas restritas, ressalvando as proposições tradicionais da teoria de estrutura de capital, como Dynamic Trade-off (DTO) e Pecking Order Theory (POT), bem como a necessidade de tratamento especial na modelagem econométrica. O modelo de Flannery e Rangan (2006), estimado pelo Método das Variáveis Instrumentais, de forma a considerar a restrição financeira, revela a importância de diversos fatores determinantes do endividamento além do fluxo de caixa, como tamanho, tangibilidade, risco, elementos relacionados a janelas de oportunidades, o custo da dívida e o efeito negativo do MFS, que o destaca como indicador da sensibilidade setorial. Estimando o modelo de Shyam-Sunders e Myers (1999), pelo Método dos Momentos Generalizados, também de forma a considerar a presença de restrição, observou-se que a POT é adequada para explicar a decisão de estrutura de capital somente das empresas irrestritas. / The goal of this research is to analyze the factors influencing the demand of Brazilian firms (restricted and unrestricted) for funding, and what the effects of shocks in the financial intermediation sector on the product and this demand in Brazil. Sought in the input-output methodology, and its recent approaches, elements that contribute to the understanding of supply constraints in the decision of capital structure of Brazilian companies. Were built a Financial and Social Accounting Matrix, which show the variation of assets and liabilities of economic agents, and through them, were extracted product multipliers, representing the effect of exogenous shocks on the Brazilian production. The impact of shocks in the financial intermediation sector about the product from other economic sectors was called: Financial Sector Multiplier (MFS), it allows to visualize the impact of restrictions on financial flows at the sector level. The impact of financial constraints at the firm level was analyzed in accordance with Almeida and Campello (2010). The demand for external funds is less sensitive to cash flow in firms more likely to suffer financial constraints. It implies acceptance that investment and financing decisions are endogenous, at least for constrained firms, safeguarding the traditional beliefs of the capital structure theory, as Dynamic Trade-off (DTO) and Pecking Order Theory (POT) as well as the need for treatment in econometric modeling. In order to consider the financial constraint, the Flannery and Rangan (2006) model was estimated by Instrumental Variables Method. It reveals the importance of various determinants of capital structure beyond the cash flow, such as size, leverage, risk elements related to market timing, the cost of debt and the negative effect of MFS, which stands as an indicator of sectorial sensitivity. Also to take into account the presence of restriction, we estimate the Shyam-Sunders and Myers (1999) model with the Generalized Method of Moments, it was observed that the POT is adequate to explain only the unconstrained firms capital structure decision.

Made available in DSpace on 2010-04-20T20:12:49Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 Previous issue date: 1998-04-03T00:00:00Z / In this Ph.D. dissertation, we report the results of a research project aiming to build a Brazilian Computable General Equilibrium Model ("Brazil CGE 95") to simulate Income Distribution and Growth Policies. The model utilizes data based in a highly desegregated Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) for 1995. After the identification and presentation of the adopted model, thirteen simulations are carried out divided among three groups: directed and indirect policies to improve income distribution, investment policies with externalities and externai adjustment with fiscal policies. In the end, for each experiment, there are the results for several macroeconomics indicators, factors income, families income, income distribution indicators and sectoral results. / Apresenta os resultados de um projeto de pesquisa que tem como objetivo a construção de um Modelo Aplicado de Equilíbrio Geral para a Economia Brasileira ('Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model'), voltado para a simulação de políticas públicas de crescimento e distribuição de renda. Após a caracterização e apresentação do modelo adotado ('Brasil CGE 95'), são realizadas treze simulações, onde comparam-se os resultados do ano base (95) com os obtidos em cada experimento, incluindo: indicadores macroeconômicos (PIB, Consumo, Déficit Público, Balança ComerciaL.), a remuneração anual dos dez fatores de produção do modelo (oito tipos de trabalho, dois tipos de capital ), a renda anual dos nove grupos de famílias do modelo, indicadores de pobreza/distribuição e indicadores variados como o emprego/produção setorial, taxa de câmbio real e o índice relativo de preços.

The purpose of this work was to present and apply an analytical tool to the flows of goods and income between economic agents and the environment that allows us to calculate the Environmental Gross Domestic Product (EGDP) for Brazilian Legal Amazon. In order to achieve this goal the Environmental Social Accounting Matrix (ESAM) was developed. The model was developed from the traditional Social Accounting Matrix, the Environmental Input-Output Analysis Models, and from the United Nations handbook on the System of Integrated Environmental and Economic Accountings. The EGDP was calculated from the Environmental Input-Output Analysis, since the unavailability of data did not allow the application of the model of ESAM. The flows between the economy and the environment considered were the emissions of green house gases (depreciation of natural capital) and the investment needed to return the air to the same quality it had before being polluted. The results showed that the inclusion of depreciation of natural capital in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and in the added value (AV) calculation for each industry of the Brazilian Legal Amazon Region diminished the AV significantly in the industries of cattle (235%), soybean (77%), and other activities of livestock and agricultural (24%). In the Rest of Brazil, the industries with the highest impact of depreciation of natural capital on AV were soybean (30%), cattle (15%) and sugarcane (13%). The total EGDP of the Brazilian Legal Amazon Region was 15% smaller than its total GDP, whereas this difference for the rest of Brazil was 1%. Considering that the GDP is a component of economic wellbeing, the results show a significant reduction in economic wellbeing due to green house gas emissions released into the air by economic activities, mainly due to land use changes. The Environmental Social Accounting Matrix Model is a useful tool to help decision makers since it offers an analytical instrument for economic behavior and the impacts of economic activities on the environment. / The purpose of this work was to present and apply an analytical tool to the flows of goods and income between economic agents and the environment that allows us to calculate the Environmental Gross Domestic Product (EGDP) for Brazilian Legal Amazon. In order to achieve this goal the Environmental Social Accounting Matrix (ESAM) was developed. The model was developed from the traditional Social Accounting Matrix, the Environmental Input-Output Analysis Models, and from the United Nations handbook on the System of Integrated Environmental and Economic Accountings. The EGDP was calculated from the Environmental Input-Output Analysis, since the unavailability of data did not allow the application of the model of ESAM. The flows between the economy and the environment considered were the emissions of green house gases (depreciation of natural capital) and the investment needed to return the air to the same quality it had before being polluted. The results showed that the inclusion of depreciation of natural capital in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and in the added value (AV) calculation for each industry of the Brazilian Legal Amazon Region diminished the AV significantly in the industries of cattle (235%), soybean (77%), and other activities of livestock and agricultural (24%). In the Rest of Brazil, the industries with the highest impact of depreciation of natural capital on AV were soybean (30%), cattle (15%) and sugarcane (13%). The total EGDP of the Brazilian Legal Amazon Region was 15% smaller than its total GDP, whereas this difference for the rest of Brazil was 1%. Considering that the GDP is a component of economic wellbeing, the results show a significant reduction in economic wellbeing due to green house gas emissions released into the air by economic activities, mainly due to land use changes. The Environmental Social Accounting Matrix Model is a useful tool to help decision makers since it offers an analytical instrument for economic behavior and the impacts of economic activities on the environment.

The purpose of this work was to present and apply an analytical tool to the flows of goods and income between economic agents and the environment that allows us to calculate the Environmental Gross Domestic Product (EGDP) for Brazilian Legal Amazon. In order to achieve this goal the Environmental Social Accounting Matrix (ESAM) was developed. The model was developed from the traditional Social Accounting Matrix, the Environmental Input-Output Analysis Models, and from the United Nations handbook on the System of Integrated Environmental and Economic Accountings. The EGDP was calculated from the Environmental Input-Output Analysis, since the unavailability of data did not allow the application of the model of ESAM. The flows between the economy and the environment considered were the emissions of green house gases (depreciation of natural capital) and the investment needed to return the air to the same quality it had before being polluted. The results showed that the inclusion of depreciation of natural capital in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and in the added value (AV) calculation for each industry of the Brazilian Legal Amazon Region diminished the AV significantly in the industries of cattle (235%), soybean (77%), and other activities of livestock and agricultural (24%). In the Rest of Brazil, the industries with the highest impact of depreciation of natural capital on AV were soybean (30%), cattle (15%) and sugarcane (13%). The total EGDP of the Brazilian Legal Amazon Region was 15% smaller than its total GDP, whereas this difference for the rest of Brazil was 1%. Considering that the GDP is a component of economic wellbeing, the results show a significant reduction in economic wellbeing due to green house gas emissions released into the air by economic activities, mainly due to land use changes. The Environmental Social Accounting Matrix Model is a useful tool to help decision makers since it offers an analytical instrument for economic behavior and the impacts of economic activities on the environment. / The purpose of this work was to present and apply an analytical tool to the flows of goods and income between economic agents and the environment that allows us to calculate the Environmental Gross Domestic Product (EGDP) for Brazilian Legal Amazon. In order to achieve this goal the Environmental Social Accounting Matrix (ESAM) was developed. The model was developed from the traditional Social Accounting Matrix, the Environmental Input-Output Analysis Models, and from the United Nations handbook on the System of Integrated Environmental and Economic Accountings. The EGDP was calculated from the Environmental Input-Output Analysis, since the unavailability of data did not allow the application of the model of ESAM. The flows between the economy and the environment considered were the emissions of green house gases (depreciation of natural capital) and the investment needed to return the air to the same quality it had before being polluted. The results showed that the inclusion of depreciation of natural capital in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and in the added value (AV) calculation for each industry of the Brazilian Legal Amazon Region diminished the AV significantly in the industries of cattle (235%), soybean (77%), and other activities of livestock and agricultural (24%). In the Rest of Brazil, the industries with the highest impact of depreciation of natural capital on AV were soybean (30%), cattle (15%) and sugarcane (13%). The total EGDP of the Brazilian Legal Amazon Region was 15% smaller than its total GDP, whereas this difference for the rest of Brazil was 1%. Considering that the GDP is a component of economic wellbeing, the results show a significant reduction in economic wellbeing due to green house gas emissions released into the air by economic activities, mainly due to land use changes. The Environmental Social Accounting Matrix Model is a useful tool to help decision makers since it offers an analytical instrument for economic behavior and the impacts of economic activities on the environment.