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Human behaviour modelling in complex socio-technical systems : an agent based approachDugdale, Julie 12 December 2013 (has links) (PDF)
Depuis de nombreuses années, nous nous sommes efforcés de comprendre le comportement humain et nos interactions avec l'environnement sociotechnique. Grâce à l'avancée de nos connaissances dans ce domaine, nous avons contribué à la conception de technologies et de processus de travail nouveaux ou améliorés. Historiquement, une part importante du travail d'analyse des interactions sociales fut entreprise au sein des sciences sociales. Cependant, la simulation informatique a apporté un nouvel outil pour tenter de comprendre et de modéliser les comportements humains. En utilisant une approche à base d'agents, cette présentation décrit mon travail sur la construction de modèles informatiques du comportement humain pour guider la conception par la simulation. A l'aide d'exemples issus de projets des deux domaines d'application que sont la gestion des crises et de l'urgence et la gestion de l'énergie, je décris comment mon travail aborde certains problèmes centraux à la simulation sociale à base d'agents. Le premier concerne le processus par lequel nous développons ces modèles. Le second problème provient de la nature des systèmes sociotechniques. Les sociétés humaines constituent un exemple parfait de système complexe possédant des caractéristiques d'auto-organisation et d'adaptabilité, et affichant des phénomènes émergents tels que la coopération et la robustesse. Je décris comment la théorie des systèmes complexes peut être appliquée pour améliorer notre compréhension des systèmes sociotechniques, et comment nos interactions au niveau microscopique mènent à l'émergence d'une conscience mutuelle pour la résolution de problèmes. A partir de systèmes de simulation à base d'agents, je montre comment la conscience du contexte peut être modélisée. En terme de perspectives, j'expliquerai comment la hausse de la prévalence des agents artificiels dans notre société nous forcera à considérer de nouveaux types d'interactions et de comportements coopératifs.
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Numerical and experimental study of electroadhesion to enable manufacturing automationGuo, Jianglong January 2016 (has links)
Robotics and autonomous systems (RAS) have great potential to propel the world to future growth. Electroadhesion is a promising and potentially revolutionising material handling technology for manufacturing automation applications. There is, however, a lack of an in-depth understanding of this electrostatic adhesion phenomenon based on a confident electroadhesive pad design, manufacture, and testing platform and procedure. This Ph.D. research endeavours to obtain a more comprehensive understanding of electroadhesion based on an extensive literature review, theoretical modelling, electrostatic simulation, and experimental validation based on a repeatable pad design, manufacture, and testing platform and procedure.
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Viabilidade técnica e econômica do condicionamento geotérmico de edificações no Rio Grande do Sul / Technical and economic feasibility of geothermal conditioning of buildings in Rio Grande do SulBarcelos, Roberto Hubner January 2018 (has links)
O elevado consumo energético de edificações para o seu condicionamento térmico já é um dos maiores impactos ambientais da construção civil nos países desenvolvidos e, progressivamente, vem se tornando uma preocupação também nos países em desenvolvimento. Uma alternativa renovável relativamente recente, tanto para aquecimento como para resfriamento, são as bombas de calor geotérmicas (ground source heat pumps, GSHPs), que se valem da inércia térmica do solo para reduzir significativamente a demanda energética em relação ao ar. Apesar do seu grande potencial em reduzir o consumo de energia e as emissões de carbono, esta tecnologia ainda é quase inexistente na América Latina, não somente devido à falta de conhecimento ao seu respeito, mas também pela incerteza quanto à sua viabilidade frente a um custo inicial mais elevado. Embora existam muitas pesquisas sobre o funcionamento de GSHPs, grande parte do conhecimento prático quanto ao projeto, desempenho e viabilidade é baseada na experiência dos primeiros países onde a tecnologia começou a se tornar popular, e não pode ser assumida automaticamente como válida em outras situações sem uma avaliação prévia Estudos anteriores apontaram que o retorno econômico de GSHPs tende a ser maior em climas mais frios, enquanto a eficiência tende a ser maior em climas mais amenos, mas com sazonalidade. Por apresentar um bom balanço destas características, o Estado do Rio Grande do Sul apresenta potencial para um desempenho elevado de GSHPs. O objetivo deste trabalho é estimar os níveis de eficiência que esta tecnologia pode atingir em uma cidade de referência no Estado, assim como seu retorno econômico frente a ASHPs (air source heat pumps, ou seja, aparelhos de ar condicionado, ou A/C), seus limitantes e as dificuldades de projeto. Uma edificação unifamiliar residencial em Porto Alegre, projetada especialmente para estudos de sustentabilidade, foi utilizada como caso de estudo para o projeto conceitual completo de um GSHP vertical, um GSHP horizontal e um ASHP. Foram estimadas a demanda de energia e os custos de operação e de implantação para determinadas condições, que foram comparadas em um estudo de viabilidade econômica. Após, os resultados foram extrapolados por uma análise de sensitividade para condições mais genéricas de consumo. Através dos cálculos, observou-se que a tecnologia de GSHPs atingiu o dobro da eficiência dos A/C mais eficientes disponíveis para o caso de estudo. Economicamente, a tecnologia também se mostrou viável, e foram estimados limitantes econômicos a esta viabilidade. Por fim, o processo de projeto desenvolvido pode servir de auxílio a novos projetistas na área. / The high energy consumption in buildings for their thermal conditioning is already one of the greatest environmental impacts of civil construction in developed countries and, progressively, is also becoming a concern in the developing countries. A relatively recent renewable alternative, as much for heating as for cooling, are the ground source heat pumps, GSHPs, which take advantage of the thermal inertia of the ground to significantly decrease the energy demand comparing to air as a source. In spite of their huge potential for decreasing energy comsumption and carbon emissions, this technology is still almost inexistent in Latin America, due not only to lack of awareness, but mainly to uncertainties about their feasibility because of their higher investment cost. Although there are many researches about the characteristics and operation of GSHPs, great part of the practical knowledge as to the design, performance and feasibility is based in the experience from the first countries where the technology spreaded, and cannot be automatically assumed as valid without a previous evaluation. Former studies indicated that the economic profit of GSHPs tends to be higher in colder climates, while the efficiency tends to be higher in milder, but still seasonal climates. For presenting a good balance among these factors, the Rio Grande do Sul State shows potential for a high performance of GSHPs The objective of this work is to estimate the efficiency levels that can be reached by this technology in a reference city in the State, as its financial feedback compared to ASHPs (air source heat pumps, the traditional air conditioners, or A/C), its limitations and the design difficulties. A residential single-family building in Porto Alegre, specifically designed for sustainability studies, was used as case study for the complete conceptual design of a vertical GSHP, a horizontal GSHP and an ASHP. The energy demand and operation and installation costs for specific conditions were estimated and compared in a economic feasibility study. After, the results were extrapolated through a sensitivity analysis for more generic situations of consumption. Through the calculations, it was observed that the technology achieved twice the efficiency of the most efficient A/C available for the case study. Economically, the technology showed itself viable, and economic limitations were also estimated. At last, the developed design process can also serve as aid to new designers in the field.
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Viabilidade técnica e econômica do condicionamento geotérmico de edificações no Rio Grande do Sul / Technical and economic feasibility of geothermal conditioning of buildings in Rio Grande do SulBarcelos, Roberto Hubner January 2018 (has links)
O elevado consumo energético de edificações para o seu condicionamento térmico já é um dos maiores impactos ambientais da construção civil nos países desenvolvidos e, progressivamente, vem se tornando uma preocupação também nos países em desenvolvimento. Uma alternativa renovável relativamente recente, tanto para aquecimento como para resfriamento, são as bombas de calor geotérmicas (ground source heat pumps, GSHPs), que se valem da inércia térmica do solo para reduzir significativamente a demanda energética em relação ao ar. Apesar do seu grande potencial em reduzir o consumo de energia e as emissões de carbono, esta tecnologia ainda é quase inexistente na América Latina, não somente devido à falta de conhecimento ao seu respeito, mas também pela incerteza quanto à sua viabilidade frente a um custo inicial mais elevado. Embora existam muitas pesquisas sobre o funcionamento de GSHPs, grande parte do conhecimento prático quanto ao projeto, desempenho e viabilidade é baseada na experiência dos primeiros países onde a tecnologia começou a se tornar popular, e não pode ser assumida automaticamente como válida em outras situações sem uma avaliação prévia Estudos anteriores apontaram que o retorno econômico de GSHPs tende a ser maior em climas mais frios, enquanto a eficiência tende a ser maior em climas mais amenos, mas com sazonalidade. Por apresentar um bom balanço destas características, o Estado do Rio Grande do Sul apresenta potencial para um desempenho elevado de GSHPs. O objetivo deste trabalho é estimar os níveis de eficiência que esta tecnologia pode atingir em uma cidade de referência no Estado, assim como seu retorno econômico frente a ASHPs (air source heat pumps, ou seja, aparelhos de ar condicionado, ou A/C), seus limitantes e as dificuldades de projeto. Uma edificação unifamiliar residencial em Porto Alegre, projetada especialmente para estudos de sustentabilidade, foi utilizada como caso de estudo para o projeto conceitual completo de um GSHP vertical, um GSHP horizontal e um ASHP. Foram estimadas a demanda de energia e os custos de operação e de implantação para determinadas condições, que foram comparadas em um estudo de viabilidade econômica. Após, os resultados foram extrapolados por uma análise de sensitividade para condições mais genéricas de consumo. Através dos cálculos, observou-se que a tecnologia de GSHPs atingiu o dobro da eficiência dos A/C mais eficientes disponíveis para o caso de estudo. Economicamente, a tecnologia também se mostrou viável, e foram estimados limitantes econômicos a esta viabilidade. Por fim, o processo de projeto desenvolvido pode servir de auxílio a novos projetistas na área. / The high energy consumption in buildings for their thermal conditioning is already one of the greatest environmental impacts of civil construction in developed countries and, progressively, is also becoming a concern in the developing countries. A relatively recent renewable alternative, as much for heating as for cooling, are the ground source heat pumps, GSHPs, which take advantage of the thermal inertia of the ground to significantly decrease the energy demand comparing to air as a source. In spite of their huge potential for decreasing energy comsumption and carbon emissions, this technology is still almost inexistent in Latin America, due not only to lack of awareness, but mainly to uncertainties about their feasibility because of their higher investment cost. Although there are many researches about the characteristics and operation of GSHPs, great part of the practical knowledge as to the design, performance and feasibility is based in the experience from the first countries where the technology spreaded, and cannot be automatically assumed as valid without a previous evaluation. Former studies indicated that the economic profit of GSHPs tends to be higher in colder climates, while the efficiency tends to be higher in milder, but still seasonal climates. For presenting a good balance among these factors, the Rio Grande do Sul State shows potential for a high performance of GSHPs The objective of this work is to estimate the efficiency levels that can be reached by this technology in a reference city in the State, as its financial feedback compared to ASHPs (air source heat pumps, the traditional air conditioners, or A/C), its limitations and the design difficulties. A residential single-family building in Porto Alegre, specifically designed for sustainability studies, was used as case study for the complete conceptual design of a vertical GSHP, a horizontal GSHP and an ASHP. The energy demand and operation and installation costs for specific conditions were estimated and compared in a economic feasibility study. After, the results were extrapolated through a sensitivity analysis for more generic situations of consumption. Through the calculations, it was observed that the technology achieved twice the efficiency of the most efficient A/C available for the case study. Economically, the technology showed itself viable, and economic limitations were also estimated. At last, the developed design process can also serve as aid to new designers in the field.
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Prediction of oral drug bioavailability : from animal-based extrapolation towards the application of physiologically-based pharmacokinetic modelling and simulationOlivares Morales, Andres January 2016 (has links)
The majority of drugs available on the market are intended to be administered through the oral route. To achieve the desired therapeutic effect, an orally administered drug must first reach the systemic circulation and then its site of action. The fraction of the administered drug that reaches the systemic circulation is known as oral bioavailability and it is the product of the absorption and first-pass metabolism processes occurring in both the GI tract and the liver. The factors controlling bioavailability are manifold –both drug and physiologically related - and their complex interplay is key to defining a drug’s oral bioavailability. In drug discovery and development it is therefore pivotal to anticipate and understand the bioavailability of a drug candidate; a far from simple task, considering the multifactorial nature of the process. For that reason, the overall aim of this thesis was to provide different modelling and simulation (M&S) strategies that can be used for the prediction of oral bioavailability that can be of use in drug discovery and development. The first part of this thesis was focused on the evaluation of the use of bioavailability data obtained from pre-clinical species as a predictor of the human value, in a more traditional approach. In particular, the aim was to evaluate models that can quantitatively and qualitatively provide a relationship between animal and human bioavailability, by analysing trends in a large bioavailability dataset. This section demonstrated that although pre-clinical species cannot quantitatively predict bioavailability, the data obtained from them can be used for qualitative prediction of the human value. Nevertheless, such a modelling approach does not provide a mechanistic rationale of the factors affecting the bioavailability differences. Consequently, the second part of this thesis was focused on such mechanistic predictions. Particularly, we investigated the impact that drug release patterns can have on drug absorption and intestinal first pass metabolism, taking into account the physiological differences observed across the length of the human gastrointestinal (GI) tract. These release patterns are suspected to lead to bioavailability differences due to changes in the first-pass metabolism, especially for CYP3A substrates. Therefore we investigated this phenomenon applying a physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) M&S approach: firstly, from the discovery point of view, using PBPK models in a prospective fashion to investigating the drug-related factors that might lead to such differences and secondly, from the development point of view, to predict the mechanistic differences in absorption and metabolism of oxybutynin, a drug known for its higher bioavailability when formulated as a modified release (MR) product. The latter was done by developing and applying a novel simplified PBPK model to predict such differences. The results of this work showed that the intestinal metabolism can be significantly reduced when having MR formulations of CYP3A substrates which, in some cases, can lead to higher relative bioavailability. Additionally, this thesis provided novel methods and models that have the potential to improve bioavailability predictions when using PBPK models, in particular for drugs formulated as MR.
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Structural and pharmacological studies of synthetic and endogenous opioid receptor ligandsPatel, Dinesh January 1992 (has links)
The interaction of a diverse set of opioid alkaloids and peptides with various opioid receptors has been examined using biochemical and pharmacological techniques. Structural information on the compounds was obtained from single crystal X-ray diffraction and nuclear magnetic resonance studies, and modelled by computational methods. The introduction of a dithiocarbazate moiety into the 7a-position of a bridged thebaine was shown to afford a degree of μ selectivity in this class of nonselective compounds. X-ray diffraction analysis of this compound and comparison with the structure of [Met5]enkephalin showed the importance of the sulphydryl moiety. The conformation of [Leu5]enkephalin, in which the amino acid methionine is replaced by leucine, at the same receptor is unlikely to be similar. A series of morphinan derivatives which had been developed as μ-antagonists were evaluated. Substitution patterns of the morphinan ring nucleus and their effect upon activity were examined. X-ray analysis of several key compounds was performed. Unexpectedly a 3-hydroxymorphinan-6-one analogue showed an ability to differentiate apparently similar opioid Kreceptors. The implications in terms of K-receptor subtypes are discussed. The opioid receptor binding characteristics of structurally diverse K-receptor ligands were examined in two different buffer systems. Electrostatic modelling of the K-ligands, based upon crystal structure coordinates, was performed. From electrostatic potential maps a requirement for ligands acting at Kreceptors is postulated. Solution conformations of the endogenous K-ligand, dynorphin A(1-8), were determined by nuclear magnetic resonance studies and compared with the wo preferring [Leu5]enkephalin. Models were proposed based upon dihedral angles determined from HCtl-NH coupling constants, amide proton-deuteron exchange and amide proton temperature coefficient data. Candidate conformations were shown to be stable under dynamic simulation conditions. Electrostatic modelling of a chosen dynorphin An-8) conformation gave results comparable with the observed electrostatic model of the K-ligands. The proposed model is discussed in terms of its suitability as a retro-model for the active site ofthe K-opioid receptor.
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Kinematic And Dynamic Modeling Of Human WalkingKarthick, G 11 1900 (has links) (PDF)
Walking comes naturally to us and appears to be simple. However, this is not so and it is known that walking requires high level neural control and muscle coordination. There is no single, unifying theory of bipedal walking. Models of walking are useful in various ways such as developing computational theories of neural control, understanding muscle coordination and to design and analyze lower extremity prostheses. This thesis deals with modeling and simulation of walking from a kinematics and dynamics view point. Three sagittal planar models with increasing levels of complexity are presented in this thesis. The first model is a simple two degrees of freedom (DoF) model representing the motion at the hip and the knee joint. The second model is a three DoF model where the ankle joint motion is also taken into account. Finally, the third model considers both the legs and has seven DoF. The kinematic and dynamic equations of the models are derived, and the inverse dynamic analysis and forward dynamic simulation of the models are performed. The simulation results are compared with experimental data available in literature.
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Viabilidade técnica e econômica do condicionamento geotérmico de edificações no Rio Grande do Sul / Technical and economic feasibility of geothermal conditioning of buildings in Rio Grande do SulBarcelos, Roberto Hubner January 2018 (has links)
O elevado consumo energético de edificações para o seu condicionamento térmico já é um dos maiores impactos ambientais da construção civil nos países desenvolvidos e, progressivamente, vem se tornando uma preocupação também nos países em desenvolvimento. Uma alternativa renovável relativamente recente, tanto para aquecimento como para resfriamento, são as bombas de calor geotérmicas (ground source heat pumps, GSHPs), que se valem da inércia térmica do solo para reduzir significativamente a demanda energética em relação ao ar. Apesar do seu grande potencial em reduzir o consumo de energia e as emissões de carbono, esta tecnologia ainda é quase inexistente na América Latina, não somente devido à falta de conhecimento ao seu respeito, mas também pela incerteza quanto à sua viabilidade frente a um custo inicial mais elevado. Embora existam muitas pesquisas sobre o funcionamento de GSHPs, grande parte do conhecimento prático quanto ao projeto, desempenho e viabilidade é baseada na experiência dos primeiros países onde a tecnologia começou a se tornar popular, e não pode ser assumida automaticamente como válida em outras situações sem uma avaliação prévia Estudos anteriores apontaram que o retorno econômico de GSHPs tende a ser maior em climas mais frios, enquanto a eficiência tende a ser maior em climas mais amenos, mas com sazonalidade. Por apresentar um bom balanço destas características, o Estado do Rio Grande do Sul apresenta potencial para um desempenho elevado de GSHPs. O objetivo deste trabalho é estimar os níveis de eficiência que esta tecnologia pode atingir em uma cidade de referência no Estado, assim como seu retorno econômico frente a ASHPs (air source heat pumps, ou seja, aparelhos de ar condicionado, ou A/C), seus limitantes e as dificuldades de projeto. Uma edificação unifamiliar residencial em Porto Alegre, projetada especialmente para estudos de sustentabilidade, foi utilizada como caso de estudo para o projeto conceitual completo de um GSHP vertical, um GSHP horizontal e um ASHP. Foram estimadas a demanda de energia e os custos de operação e de implantação para determinadas condições, que foram comparadas em um estudo de viabilidade econômica. Após, os resultados foram extrapolados por uma análise de sensitividade para condições mais genéricas de consumo. Através dos cálculos, observou-se que a tecnologia de GSHPs atingiu o dobro da eficiência dos A/C mais eficientes disponíveis para o caso de estudo. Economicamente, a tecnologia também se mostrou viável, e foram estimados limitantes econômicos a esta viabilidade. Por fim, o processo de projeto desenvolvido pode servir de auxílio a novos projetistas na área. / The high energy consumption in buildings for their thermal conditioning is already one of the greatest environmental impacts of civil construction in developed countries and, progressively, is also becoming a concern in the developing countries. A relatively recent renewable alternative, as much for heating as for cooling, are the ground source heat pumps, GSHPs, which take advantage of the thermal inertia of the ground to significantly decrease the energy demand comparing to air as a source. In spite of their huge potential for decreasing energy comsumption and carbon emissions, this technology is still almost inexistent in Latin America, due not only to lack of awareness, but mainly to uncertainties about their feasibility because of their higher investment cost. Although there are many researches about the characteristics and operation of GSHPs, great part of the practical knowledge as to the design, performance and feasibility is based in the experience from the first countries where the technology spreaded, and cannot be automatically assumed as valid without a previous evaluation. Former studies indicated that the economic profit of GSHPs tends to be higher in colder climates, while the efficiency tends to be higher in milder, but still seasonal climates. For presenting a good balance among these factors, the Rio Grande do Sul State shows potential for a high performance of GSHPs The objective of this work is to estimate the efficiency levels that can be reached by this technology in a reference city in the State, as its financial feedback compared to ASHPs (air source heat pumps, the traditional air conditioners, or A/C), its limitations and the design difficulties. A residential single-family building in Porto Alegre, specifically designed for sustainability studies, was used as case study for the complete conceptual design of a vertical GSHP, a horizontal GSHP and an ASHP. The energy demand and operation and installation costs for specific conditions were estimated and compared in a economic feasibility study. After, the results were extrapolated through a sensitivity analysis for more generic situations of consumption. Through the calculations, it was observed that the technology achieved twice the efficiency of the most efficient A/C available for the case study. Economically, the technology showed itself viable, and economic limitations were also estimated. At last, the developed design process can also serve as aid to new designers in the field.
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Impact on heat rate and subsequent emissions due to varying operation of coal fired power plantsAkpan, Patrick Udeme-Obong 21 April 2020 (has links)
Energy mix modellers often use a constant emissions factor model, which more or less implies a constant heat rate, when trying to show the emissions reduction benefits of integrating renewable power generation system on the grid. This approach does not consider the fact that there is a deterioration in the heat rate with load for the Coal Fired Power Plants that need to accommodate the additional renewable supply. If varying heat rate were to be included in a study, it is often limited to plant specific cases. This PhD presents a novel Variable Turbine Cycle Heat Rate (V-TCHR) model for predicting the part load Turbine cycle heat rate (TCHR) response of various Coal Fired Power Plant (CFPP) architectures, without detail knowledge of the entire steam cycle parameters. A total of 192 process models of representative CFPP architectures were developed using a Virtual Plant software. The models had different combinations of the degree of reheat; the throttle temperature; throttle pressure; and condenser cooling technology. The part load response of all the models were simulated using the software.
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The applicability of modelling and simulation : A case study within the medical device industryNyström, Anton, Hellberg, David January 2020 (has links)
The medical device industry has for a long time lagged behind other industries in terms of adopting new tools for process improvements. Despite showing promising results from various industries, some more heavily regulated than others, modelling and simulation has not yet gained traction within the medical device industry for performing production improvements. The industry has instead relied upon proven improvement philosophies which are believed to generate a desirable outcome. With the purpose of investigating how this novel tool can be combined with current improvement efforts as well as understanding why it has not yet been accepted, a case study was conducted at the Uppsala facility of Johnson & Johnson Vision. A mixed methodological approach was used, where quantitative and qualitative data was analyzed in combination. Semi-structured interviews and structed observations provided empirical evidence for a thematic analysis and a simulation-based bottleneck analysis. Rather than proving that a simulation-based bottleneck was possible in this particular setting, it was used to confirm its applicability in combination with other tools and improvement philosophies. The study concludes that the issue is not strictly related to the use of modelling and simulation but is rather related to the reactive mind-set which has become a consequence of the rigorous regulatory landscape that the industry is encompassed by.
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