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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

The Effects Of The Inflation Targeting Regime On The Istanbul Stock Exchange

Bolukbasi, Firuze 01 February 2009 (has links) (PDF)
The primary purpose of this study is to test the effects of inflation targeting in Turkey in terms of providing stability in the financial system by lowering the volatility in the Turkish stock market. Although there are many factors other than monetary policy which can affect stock market volatility, this study examines whether the volatility due to monetary policy can be reduced by increasing the accuracy of investors&rsquo / expectations about the central bank&rsquo / s future actions. In the first part, a &ldquo / Volatility Analysis&rdquo / is conducted for three sub-periods including the pre- and post-periods of the implementation of inflation targeting in order to see whether the volatility in the Istanbul Stock Exchange changed over time. Second, an &ldquo / Announcement Effect Analysis&rdquo / is carried out by using the central bank&rsquo / s interest rate and inflation rate announcement dates in order to evaluate how investors&rsquo / expectations react to a change in these rates during period from 2002 to 2007. Finally, a &ldquo / Combined Analysis&rdquo / is done in order to examine the relationship between the returns in the Turkish stock market and the surprise caused by the realized interest and inflation rates being different from their expected values. The empirical findings about the level of volatility indicate that there is a decline in volatility of the Istanbul Stock Exchange returns when volatility is compared on a pre- and post-policy period basis. Also, it is found that the announcement effect was present, meaning interest rate announcements generally came as a surprise to stock market participants. However, this announcement effect has a notably decreasing trend from 2002 to 2007 which is another evidence of the inflation targeting regime&rsquo / s success at reducing stock market volatility. Finally, the &ldquo / combined analysis&rdquo / shows that CBT&rsquo / s power to effect stock returns and to direct investors&rsquo / expectations increases from 2002 to 2007.
2

Microstructure et interdépendance des marchés obligataires d'Etat : cas de l'Allemagne et de la Chine / Microstructure and interdependencies between government bond markets : application to German and Chinese bond markets

Ben Aissa, Walid 16 December 2013 (has links)
Les marchés obligataires d’État occupent une place centrale dans les sphères monétaires et financières. L’attractivité des titres d’État s’accentue en période de crise financières vu leur statut de valeurs refuges. La présente thèse se propose d’étudier l’organisation des échanges et les dynamiques des prix sur les marchés obligataires européen et chinois. Le choix du marché chinois est motivé par sa croissance soutenue. Nous avons essayé de voir si la croissance de ce marché obligataire émergent se réalise en concordance avec deux principaux marchés obligataires. Pour cela, nous avons articulé cette thèse en deux parties. Les deux 1er chapitres constituent la première partie en proposant d’étudier les particularités des marchés obligataires en Europe et en Chine en termes de microstructure et de formation des prix. La deuxième partie de la thèse, composée des deux derniers chapitres est consacrée à l’interrelation des marchés étudiés. Le 3ème chapitre propose de tester la cointégration entre ces marchés. Le dernier chapitre s’intéresse à l’explication de cette tendance commune à travers l’exploitation de la piste des chocs monétaires non anticipés. Nos résultats prouvent l’intégration du marché chinois. Cette intégration a été accompagnée par une succession de réformes visant la standardisation des échanges sur le marché chinois.L’intégration de ce marché se caractérise par son ajustement aux principales tendances communes du système de cointégration dominés par les marchés obligataires américain et allemand. Les résultats empiriques montrent que les chocs monétaires non anticipés américains et européen influencent les anticipations sur les marchés obligataires étudiés. / Government bond markets play a central role in financial and monetary spheres. The government bonds become more attractive during financial crises, when capitals migrate to sovereign debt markets. The attractiveness of government bonds can be motivated by their safety status. In this thesis, we studied market microstructure and price discovery in Chinese and European sovereign bond markets. Our interest in the emergent Chinese bond market is motivated by his rapid and important growth. We tried to study the relationship between the evolutions of this market and developed ones. To reach our purpose, we organized this research in two sections. In the first two chapters we studied the specificities of the European and Chinese government bond market regarding to the market microstructure and price formation. The second part of this thesis was reserved to study the interdependencies between bond markets. In the third chapter we tested the cointegration between US, German, Chinese and Honk Kong government bond markets. In the last chapter we tried to explain the role of monetary policy surprises in the international bond markets integration. Our results indicate the existence of international integration of the Chinese bond market. This integration may be explained by the succession of reforms in the direction of the standardization of the rules of exchanges in this emergent market. Cointegration tests results chow that the Chinese bond market is adjusting to the principal common trends dominated by the US and the German markets. Our empirical results indicate that the US and the European monetary policy surprises tend to influence anticipations on the studied bond markets.

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