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Trajectory prediction uncertainty modelling for Air Traffic ManagementCasado Magaña, Enrique Juan January 2016 (has links)
The anticipated growth of air traffic worldwide requires enhanced Air Traffic Management (ATM) technologies and procedures to increase the system capacity, efficiency, and resilience, while reducing environmental impact and maintaining operational safety. To deal with these challenges, new automation and information exchange capabilities are being developed through different modernisation initiatives toward a new global operational concept called Trajectory Based Operations (TBO), in which aircraft trajectory information becomes the cornerstone of advanced ATM applications. This transformation will lead to higher levels of system complexity requiring enhanced Decision Support Tools (DST) to aid humans in the decision making processes. These will rely on accurate predicted aircraft trajectories, provided by advanced Trajectory Predictors (TP). The trajectory prediction process is subject to stochastic effects that introduce uncertainty into the predictions. Regardless of the assumptions that define the aircraft motion model underpinning the TP, deviations between predicted and actual trajectories are unavoidable. This thesis proposes an innovative method to characterise the uncertainty associated with a trajectory prediction based on the mathematical theory of Polynomial Chaos Expansions (PCE). Assuming univariate PCEs of the trajectory prediction inputs, the method describes how to generate multivariate PCEs of the prediction outputs that quantify their associated uncertainty. Arbitrary PCE (aPCE) was chosen because it allows a higher degree of flexibility to model input uncertainty. The obtained polynomial description can be used in subsequent prediction sensitivity analyses thanks to the relationship between polynomial coefficients and Sobol indices. The Sobol indices enable ranking the input parameters according to their influence on trajectory prediction uncertainty. The applicability of the aPCE-based uncertainty quantification detailed herein is analysed through a study case. This study case represents a typical aircraft trajectory prediction problem in ATM, in which uncertain parameters regarding aircraft performance, aircraft intent description, weather forecast, and initial conditions are considered simultaneously. Numerical results are compared to those obtained from a Monte Carlo simulation, demonstrating the advantages of the proposed method. The thesis includes two examples of DSTs (Demand and Capacity Balancing tool, and Arrival Manager) to illustrate the potential benefits of exploiting the proposed uncertainty quantification method.
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Autonomous formation flying : unified control and collision avoidance methods for close manoeuvring spacecraftPalacios, Leonel M. January 2016 (has links)
The idea of spacecraft formations, flying in tight configurations with maximum baselines of a few hundred meters in low-Earth orbits, has generated widespread interest over the last several years. Nevertheless, controlling the movement of spacecraft in formation poses difficulties, such as in-orbit high-computing demand and collision avoidance capabilities, which escalate as the number of units in the formation is increased and complicated nonlinear effects are imposed to the dynamics, together with uncertainty which may arise from the lack of knowledge of system parameters. These requirements have led to the need of reliable linear and nonlinear controllers in terms of relative and absolute dynamics. The objective of this thesis is, therefore, to introduce new control methods to allow spacecraft in formation, with circular/elliptical reference orbits, to efficiently execute safe autonomous manoeuvres. These controllers distinguish from the bulk of literature in that they merge guidance laws never applied before to spacecraft formation flying and collision avoidance capacities into a single control strategy. For this purpose, three control schemes are presented: linear optimal regulation, linear optimal estimation and adaptive nonlinear control. In general terms, the proposed control approaches command the dynamical performance of one or several followers with respect to a leader to asymptotically track a time-varying nominal trajectory (TVNT), while the threat of collision between the followers is reduced by repelling accelerations obtained from the collision avoidance scheme during the periods of closest proximity. Linear optimal regulation is achieved through a Riccati-based tracking controller. Within this control strategy, the controller provides guidance and tracking toward a desired TVNT, optimizing fuel consumption by Riccati procedure using a non-infinite cost function defined in terms of the desired TVNT, while repelling accelerations generated from the CAS will ensure evasive actions between the elements of the formation. The relative dynamics model, suitable for circular and eccentric low-Earth reference orbits, is based on the Tschauner and Hempel equations, and includes a control input and a nonlinear term corresponding to the CAS repelling accelerations. Linear optimal estimation is built on the forward-in-time separation principle. This controller encompasses two stages: regulation and estimation. The first stage requires the design of a full state feedback controller using the state vector reconstructed by means of the estimator. The second stage requires the design of an additional dynamical system, the estimator, to obtain the states which cannot be measured in order to approximately reconstruct the full state vector. Then, the separation principle states that an observer built for a known input can also be used to estimate the state of the system and to generate the control input. This allows the design of the observer and the feedback independently, by exploiting the advantages of linear quadratic regulator theory, in order to estimate the states of a dynamical system with model and sensor uncertainty. The relative dynamics is described with the linear system used in the previous controller, with a control input and nonlinearities entering via the repelling accelerations from the CAS during collision avoidance events. Moreover, sensor uncertainty is added to the control process by considering carrier-phase differential GPS (CDGPS) velocity measurement error. An adaptive control law capable of delivering superior closed-loop performance when compared to the certainty-equivalence (CE) adaptive controllers is finally presented. A novel noncertainty-equivalence controller based on the Immersion and Invariance paradigm for close-manoeuvring spacecraft formation flying in both circular and elliptical low-Earth reference orbits is introduced. The proposed control scheme achieves stabilization by immersing the plant dynamics into a target dynamical system (or manifold) that captures the desired dynamical behaviour. They key feature of this methodology is the addition of a new term to the classical certainty-equivalence control approach that, in conjunction with the parameter update law, is designed to achieve adaptive stabilization. This parameter has the ultimate task of shaping the manifold into which the adaptive system is immersed. The performance of the controller is proven stable via a Lyapunov-based analysis and Barbalat’s lemma. In order to evaluate the design of the controllers, test cases based on the physical and orbital features of the Prototype Research Instruments and Space Mission Technology Advancement (PRISMA) are implemented, extending the number of elements in the formation into scenarios with reconfigurations and on-orbit position switching in elliptical low-Earth reference orbits. An extensive analysis and comparison of the performance of the controllers in terms of total Δv and fuel consumption, with and without the effects of the CAS, is presented. These results show that the three proposed controllers allow the followers to asymptotically track the desired nominal trajectory and, additionally, those simulations including CAS show an effective decrease of collision risk during the performance of the manoeuvre.
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An investigation of the structurally induced acoustic field in a car passenger compartmentWhear, Frank R. January 1994 (has links)
The causes and characteristics of structurally induced interior noise in cars in relation to the boom problem is discussed and the relevant theory developed. The work is concerned with structural excitation of the air within the passenger compartment associated with the second order component of the engine crankshaft out of balance forces. This limits the frequency range of interest to below 200 Hz. Firstly, the acoustic modes of a Rover Metro passenger compartment are predicted using the finite element method. A new method for the experimental acoustic modal analysis of cavities is introduced and verified for a rectangular rigid walled room. The method is then applied to the untrimmed passenger compartment of a Rover Metro to determine its acoustic modes and to study the interaction of the structural modes of the vehicle body and acoustic response of the cavity. The acoustics of a Rover Metro passenger compartment are modelled using the finite element method with experimental structural FRF data from the car body as a forcing function. This model is used to predict the noise spectra associated with the second order component of engine excitation experienced by occupants for the bare body. The acoustic effects of various items of trim are added to the model as acoustic absorption coefficients to show the Significance of trim in reducing low frequency boom in car passenger compcompartments. The necessary absorption coefficients were measured with an impedance tube.
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Automotive applications of high precision GNSSStephenson, Scott January 2016 (has links)
This thesis aims to show that Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) positioning can play a significant role in the positioning systems of future automotive applications. This is through the adoption of state-of-the-art GNSS positioning technology and techniques, and the exploitation of the rapidly developing vehicle-to-vehicle concept. The merging together of these two developments creates greater performance than can be achieved separately. The original contribution of this thesis comes from this combination: Through the introduction of the Pseudo-VRS concept. Pseudo-VRS uses the princples of Network Real Time Kinematic (N-RTK) positioning to share GNSS information between vehicles, which enables absolute vehicle positioning. Pseudo-VRS is shown to improve the performance of high precision GNSS positioning for road vehicles, through the increased availability of GNSS correction messages and the rapid resolution of the N-RTK fixed solution. Positioning systems in the automotive sector are dominated by satellite-based solutions provided by GNSS. This has been the case since May 2001, when the United States Department of Defense switched off Selective Availability, enabling significantly improved positioning performance for civilian users. The average person most frequently encounters GNSS when using electronic personal navigation devices. The Sat Nav or GPS Navigator is ubiquitous in modern societies, where versions can be found on nomadic devices such as smartphones and dedicated personal navigation devices, or built in to the dashboards of vehicles. Such devices have been hugely successful due to their intrinsic ability to provide position information anywhere in the world with an accuracy of approximately 10 metres, which has proved ideal for general navigation applications. There are a few well known limitations of GNSS positioning, including anecdotal evidence of incorrect navigation advice for personal navigation devices, but these are minor compared to the overall positioning performance. Through steady development of GNSS positioning devices, including the integration of other low cost sensors (for instance, wheel speed or odometer sensors in vehicles), and the development of robust map matching algorithms, the performance of these devices for navigation applications is truly incredible. However, when tested for advanced automotive applications, the performance of GNSS positioning devices is found to be inadequate. In particular, in the most advanced fields of research such as autonomous vehicle technology, GNSS positioning devices are relegated to a secondary role, or often not used at all. They are replaced by terrestrial sensors that provide greater situational awareness, such as radar and lidar. This is due to the high performance demand of such applications, including high positioning accuracy (sub-decimetre), high availability and continuity of solutions (100%), and high integrity of the position information. Low-cost GNSS receivers generally do not meet such requirements. This could be considered an enormous oversight, as modern GNSS positioning technology and techniques have significantly improved satellite-based positioning performance. Other non-GNSS techniques also have their limitations that GNSS devices can minimise or eliminate. For instance, systems that rely on situational awareness require accurate digital maps of their surroundings as a reference. GNSS positioning can help to gather this data, provide an input, and act as a fail-safe in the event of digital map errors. It is apparent that in order to deliver advanced automotive applications - such as semi- or fully-autonomous vehicles - there must be an element of absolute positioning capability. Positioning systems will work alongside situational awareness systems to enable the autonomous vehicles to navigate through the real world. A strong candidate for the positioning system is GNSS positioning. This thesis builds on work already started by researchers at the University of Nottingham, to show that N-RTK positioning is one such technique. N-RTK can provide sub-decimetre accuracy absolute positioning solutions, with high availability, continuity, and integrity. A key component of N-RTK is the availability of real-time GNSS correction data. This is typically delivered to the GNSS receiver via mobile internet (for a roving receiver). This can be a significant limitation, as it relies on the performance of the mobile communications network, which can suffer from performance degradation during dynamic operation. Mobile communications systems are expected to improve significantly over the next few years, as consumers demand faster download speeds and wider availability. Mobile communications coverage already covers a high percentage of the population, but this does not translate into a high percentage of a country's geography. Pockets of poor coverage, often referred to as notspots, are widespread. Many of these notspots include the transportation infrastructure. The vehicle-to-vehicle concept has made significant forward steps in the last few years. Traditionally promoted as a key component of future automotive safety applications, it is now driven primarily by increased demand for in-vehicle infotainment. The concept, which shares similarities with the Internet of Things and Mobile Ad-hoc Networks, relies on communication between road vehicles and other road agents (such as pedestrians and road infrastructure). N-RTK positioning can take advantage of this communication link to minimise its own communications-related limitations. Sharing GNSS information between local GNSS receivers enables better performance of GNSS positioning, based on the principles of differential GNSS and N-RTK positioning techniques. This advanced concept is introduced and tested in this thesis. The Pseudo VRS concept follows the protocols and format of sharing GNSS data used in N-RTK positioning. The technique utilises the latest GNSS receiver design, including multiple frequency measurements and high quality antennas.
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Control strategies for the More Electric Aircraft starter-generator electrical power systemYeoh, Seang Shen January 2016 (has links)
The trend towards development of More Electric Aircraft (MEA) has been driven by increased fuel fossil prices and stricter environmental policies. This is supported by breakthroughs in power electronic systems and electrical machines. The application of MEA is expected to reduce the aircraft mass and drag, thereby increasing fuel efficiency and reduced environmental impact. The starter-generator (S/G) scheme is one of the solutions from the MEA concept that brings the most significant improvement to the electrical power generation system. A S/G system is proposed from the possible solutions brought by the MEA concept in the area of electrical power generation and distribution. Due to the wide operating speed range, limited controller stability may be present. This thesis contributes to the control plant analysis and controller design of this MEA S/G system. The general control requirements are outlined based on the S/G system operation and the control structure is presented. The control plants are derived specifically to design the controllers for the S/G control scheme. Detailed small signal analysis is performed on the derived plant while taking into consideration the aircraft operating speed and load range. A safe range for the controller gains can then be determined to ensure stable operation throughout the S/G operation. Adaptive gain and a novel current limit modifier are proposed which improves the controller stability during S/G operation. Model predictive control is considered as an alternative control strategy for potential control performance improvements with the S/G system. The technical results and simulations are supported by Matlab®/Simulink® based models and validated by experimental work on a small scaled drive system.
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An investigation into the aerodynamics of wings in ground effectZerihan, Jonathan January 2001 (has links)
The aerodynamics of wings in ground effect has been studied using experimental and computational methods. Wind tunnel tests were used to quantify the effect of the ground on the aerodynamic performance of a wing, with the suction surface nearest to the ground. Features of the flowfield around the wing were investigated using Laser Doppler Anemometry and Particle Image Velocimetry to map the wake at the centre of the wing, and the state of the tip vortex. Initially, a single element configuration was used, both under transition free and transition fixed conditions. The application of Gurney flaps was then examined. The experimental study was completed using a double element configuration. The performance is discussed together with the flowfield results. Wind Tunnel testing was performed at a Reynolds number of approximately 0.75x10(6) based on the chord of the double element wing. The application of a computational technique has been examined using a Reynolds averaged Navier Stokes solver. Trends in the aerodynamic performance of a single element aerofoil in ground effect were predicted well using a Spalart-Allmaras turbulence model.
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Experimental and computational analysis for insect inspired flapping wing micro air vehiclesGami, A. January 2016 (has links)
Many creatures in nature have evolved the ability to fly and some seem to do so effortlessly with captivating movement. The flight characteristics of these natural fliers have greatly fascinated biologists and engineers for a long time that to this day researchers continue to actively work in this field of science with the aim of one day developing a Flapping Wing Micro Aerial Vehicle (FWMAV) which can replicate the flight of nature's creatures. These types of autonomous robotic vehicles can fulfil tasks which are not suitable for manned vehicles especially when risks to human safety are present. Flight techniques such as control, stability and manoeuvrability are flight characteristics which an FWMAV must possess if such a device is employed for various rescue missions. With this in mind symmetrical and asymmetrical wing motions are studied experimentally in the current research programme in such a way that the methodology employed for this type of flight can be implemented into future FWMAVs. In summary, the research performed during the course of this project produced innovative results in the form of the creation of two micro air vehicles with a thorough explanation of the development process and examination under experimental tests. Various parameters were analysed during the experimental tests such as force, moment, power and wing position measurements. The tests were performed on both models, one of which has the functionality to perform asymmetrical flapping and successfully generate moments about two different axes. A unique wing motion which favoured the upward vertical force production was investigated under various scenarios. The wings keep a fixed angle of attack during the downwards flapping motion and are allowed to passively rotate during the upstroke motion. Computational simulations were performed to investigate the hovering fluid dynamics, forces, moments and power required for various chordwise rotational positions and durations of wing rotation. This investigation aided in understanding the full effects of altering these parameters under hovering conditions for a rectangular wing. The valuable results found from this research program provide a better insight into various topics involving micro air vehicles in addition to developing future flight worthy insect inspired vehicles.
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Gyroplane handling qualities assessment using flight testing and simulation techniquesBagiev, Marat January 2005 (has links)
Handling qualities are without doubt one of the primary objectives of the design of modem rotary-wing aircraft, where improved handling qualities increase mission effectiveness and flight safety, and reduce pilot workload. This dissertation provides results of an assessment of gyroplane handling qualities using flight testing and simulation techniques. Since at the time of writing, there are no direct handling qualities requirements and criteria developed for light gyroplanes anywhere in the world, objective handling qualities of the G-UNIV research gyroplane are estimated using criteria from numerous fixed and rotary wing aircraft specifications. To obtain subjective handling qualities gyroplane test manoeuvres must be designed. In this thesis inverse simulation is proposed as a preliminary tool in designing gyroplane manoeuvres. A high fidelity, individual blade/blade element coupled rotor-fuselage mathematical model of a gyroplane, GSIM is developed and successfully coupled with a generic inverse simulation algorithm GENISA to form an inverse simulation package GENISA/GSIM. Two gyroplane manoeuvres, slalom and acceleration-deceleration, are designed based on those from the Aeronautical Design Standard ADS-33E-PRF. A flight test programme for the G-UNIV research gyroplane is conducted to demonstrate the use of the designed gyroplane manoeuvres and obtain subjective handling qualities. Preliminary recommendations are proposed regarding suitability of handling qualities criteria of fixed and rotary wing aircraft. In addition, this dissertation proposes two handling qualities criteria for a light gyroplane, roll quickness and pilot attack criteria for the slalom manoeuvre.
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Development of injection moulded self-lubricating short-fibre reinforced composites for use as plain bearing liner materials in aerospace applicationsDennis, Grant January 2016 (has links)
This thesis is concerned with the development of short fibre and particle reinforced polymer composites for plain bearing liners for aerospace applications. Detailed experimental investigations of the tribological and mechanical characteristics of these materials has been completed. The thesis culminates with the identification of two possible materials that have the potential for direct injection moulding of a bearing liner. 1. Developing an Injection moulding process A thorough understanding of the capability of injection moulding PEEK composites was achieved through experimental investigation. Knowledge of the impact of varying injection moulding parameters on the final material was identified. 2. Friction and wear testing A bespoke test rig, in line with aerospace standards, was developed to allow the investigation of composite materials. Testing was conducted at room and high temperatures. A full analysis of the impact of the selected bulk material, short fibres and fillers was completed. Key parameters such as coefficient of friction, wear and fatigue life were identified. Further testing using optical microscopy was completed to enhance the understanding of the wear process and to support the findings of the detailed friction and wear testing program. 3. Mechanical testing The mechanical performance of PEEK materials was investigated through experimental analysis and available data. Again the impact of differing ratios of fillers and short fibres was determined. In addition static testing was used to investigate instantaneous strain and creep of selected materials. 4. Development of PEEK blends A final testing programme of two identified blends was completed that aimed to optimise for wear, friction and mechanical performance. The materials selected ware successful in matching aspects of the established design criteria but further work on the blends needs to be completed. However one of the selected materials is being proposed for an in service aerospace application.
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Dynamics and stability of flow past a circular cylinder in ground effectNishino, Takafumi January 2007 (has links)
A combined experimental, computational and theoretical study is presented on the dynamics and stability characteristics of turbulent flow past a circular cylinder placed near and parallel to a moving ground. The study consists of four main parts: (i) wind tunnel experiment, (ii) numerical simulation, (iii) linear stability analysis, and (iv) proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) analysis. The main focus of the study is on the cessation of large-scale, von Karman-type vortex shedding in 'ground effect', i.e., the cessation observed when the cylinder comes close to the ground. The experiments, performed at upper-subcritical Reynolds numbers of 0.4 and 1.0 x 105, show that the cessation of von Karman-type vortex shedding and an attendant critical drag reduction of the cylinder (equipped with end-plates) occurs at the gap-to-diameter ratio h/d of around 0.35, at which point the flow through the gap between the cylinder and the ground is till not blocked at all due to the ground moving at the same speed as the free stream. It is subsequently shown that detached-eddy simulations (DES) can correctly reproduce these critical phenomena, whereas unsteady RANS simulations predict them at much smaller h/d of between 0.1 and 0.2, despite the fact that the unsteady RANS simulations are 'overly dissipative' compared with the DES. The linear stability analysis of analytical wake profiles then provides a possible explanation for the above experimental and computational results; that is, the cessation of the von Karman-type vortex shedding in ground effect may also be largely explained by the change of inviscid instability characteristics in the near wake region from 'absolutely unstable' to 'convectively unstable', in analogy with the case for a cylinder equipped with a backward splitter plate in a free stream. Finally, the near wake structure of the cylinder in ground effect is further investigated with the POD analysis. The results show that about 60% of the total kinetic energy in the near wake region (in the time-averaged sense) is contained only in the first three POD modes even when the energetically dominant, von Karman-type vortex shedding becomes intermittent at h/d = 0.4. It is also shown that both shedding and non-shedding states at this gap ratio can roughly be reproduced from the combination of these three POD modes.
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