In prophet problems, two players with different levels of information make decisions to optimize their return from an underlying optimal stopping problem. The player with more information is called the "prophet" while the player with less information is known as the "gambler." In this thesis, as in the majority of the literature on such problems, we assume that the prophet is omniscient, and the gambler does not know future outcomes when making his decisions. Certainly, the prophet will get a better return than the gambler. But how much better? The goal of a prophet problem is to find the least upper bound on the difference (or ratio) between the prophet's return, M, and the gambler's return, V. In this thesis, we present new prophet problems where we seek the least upper bound on M-V when there is a fixed cost per observations. Most prophet problems in the literature compare M and V when prophet and gambler buy (or sell) one asset. The new prophet problems presented in Chapters 3 and 4 treat a scenario where prophet and gambler optimize their return from selling two assets, when there is a fixed cost per observation. Sharp bounds for the problems on small time horizons are given; for the n-day problem, rough bounds and a description of the distributions for the random variables that maximize M-V are presented.

This thesis consists of an introduction and five articles. A common theme in all the articles is optimal timing when acting on a financial market. The main topics are optimal selling of an asset, optimal exercising of an American option, optimal stopping games and optimal strategies in trend following trading. In all the articles, we consider a financial market different from the standard Black-Scholes market. In two of the articles this difference consists in allowing for jumps of the underlying process. In the other three, the difference is that we have incomplete information about the drift of the underlying process. This is a natural assumption in many situations, including the case of a true buyer of an American option, trading in a market which exhibits trends, and optimal liquidation of an asset in the presence of a bubble. These examples are all addressed in this thesis.

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The main contribution of this thesis is to examine binary options within the British payoff mechanism introduced by Peskir and Samee. This includes British cash-or-nothing put, British asset-or-nothing put, British binary call and American barrier binary options. We assume the geometric Brownian motion model and reduce the optimal stopping problems to free-boundary problems under the Markovian nature of the underlying process. With the help of the local time-space formula on curves, we derive a closed form expression for the arbitrage-free price in terms of the rational exercise boundary and show that the rational exercise boundary itself can be characterised as the unique solution to a non-linear integral equation. We begin by investigating the binary options of American-type which are also called `one-touch' binary options. Then we move on to examine the British binary options. Chapter~2 reviews the existing work on all different types of the binary options and sets the background for the British binary options. We price and analyse the American-type (one-touch) binary options using the risk-neutral probability method. In Chapters~3 ~4 and ~5, we present the British binary options where the holder enjoys the early exercise feature of American binary options whereupon his payoff is the `best prediction' of the European binary options payoff under the hypothesis that the true drift equals a contract drift. Based on the observed price movements, if the option holder finds that the true drift of the stock price is unfavourable then he can substitute it with the contract drift and minimise his losses. The key to the British binary option is the protection feature as not only can the option holder exercise at unfavourable stock price to a substantial reimbursement of the original option price (covering the ability to sell in a liquid option market completely endogenously) but also when the stock price movements are favourable he will generally receive high returns. Chapters~3 and~4 focus on the British binary put options and Chapter~5 on call options. We also analyse the financial meaning of the British binary options and show that with the contract drift properly selected the British binary options become very attractive alternatives to the classic European/American options. Chapter~6 extends the binary options into barrier binary options and discusses the application of the optimal structure without a smooth-fit condition in the option pricing. We first review the existing work for the knock-in options and present the main results from the literature. Then we examine the method in \cite{dai2004knock} in the application to the knock-in binary options. For the American knock-out binary options, the smooth-fit property does not hold when we apply the local time-space formula on curves. We transfer the expectation of the local time term into a computational form under the basic properties of Brownian motion. Using standard arguments based on Markov processes, we analyse the properties of the value function.

<p>In this work we consider a problem of the</p><p>computation of the components of the hedging portfolio structure. In</p><p>literature often one can find valuations and estimations of the</p><p>fair price of American options. But the formulas for hedging portfolio</p><p>are interesting as well and are known for very particular cases</p><p>only. In our work we study different cases of American Put and Russian</p><p>options on finite and infinite horizon.</p>

In this work we consider a problem of the computation of the components of the hedging portfolio structure. In literature often one can find valuations and estimations of the fair price of American options. But the formulas for hedging portfolio are interesting as well and are known for very particular cases only. In our work we study different cases of American Put and Russian options on finite and infinite horizon.

Thesis (doctoral)--Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn, 1989. / Includes bibliographical references (p. 82-83).

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This thesis consists of an introduction and five articles in the field of financial mathematics. The main topics of the papers comprise credit risk modelling, optimal stopping theory, and Dynkin games. An underlying theme in all of the articles is valuation of various financial instruments. Namely, Paper I deals with valuation of a game version of a perpetual American option where the parties disagree about the distributional properties of the underlying process, Papers II and III investigate pricing of default-sensitive contingent claims, Paper IV treats CVA (credit value adjustment) modelling for a portfolio consisting of American options, and Paper V studies a problem motivated by model calibration in pricing of corporate bonds. In each of the articles, we deal with an underlying stochastic process that is continuous in time and defined on some probability space. Namely, Papers I-IV treat stochastic processes with continuous paths, whereas Paper V assumes that the underlying process is a jump-diffusion with finite jump intensity. The information level in Paper I is the filtration generated by the stock value. In articles III and IV, we consider investors whose information flow is designed as a progressive enlargement with default time of the filtration generated by the stock price, whereas in Paper II the information flow is an initial enlargement. Paper V assumes that the default is a hitting time of the firm's value and thus the underlying filtration is the one generated by the process modelling this value. Moreover, in all of the papers the risk-free bonds are assumed for simplicity to have deterministic prices so that the focus is on the uncertainty coming from the stock price and default risk.