This paper investigates whether the Dogs of the Dow (or “Dow Dogs”) investment strategy is applicable to the Swedish stock market during the period 1996-2015. The strategy uses dividend yield as a way to identify undervalued stocks. Likely explanations to the strategy’s performance are contrasted between the Overreaction Hypothesis from the field of behavioral finance and the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) from financial economics. The paper follows the original method formed by John Slatter, but is however extended by adding adjustments for risk, transaction costs and taxes to reflect a more realistic market setting. Our empirical findings suggest that the Dow Dogs strategy barely beats the market by 0.02 Sharpe ratio unit points. The strategy’s performance may be rather unimpressive, but it is interesting to acknowledge that the portfolio performed best during the market’s worst downturns. To conclude, our results lack statistical significance and we cannot reject the null hypothesis of no abnormal returns.

>Magister Scientiae - MSc / This research undertakes to investigate both long-term and short-term investor overreaction on the JSE Limited (JSE) over the period from 1 January 2002 to 31 December 2009. The period covers the restructuring and reform of the JSE in the early 2000s to the end of global financial market crisis in late 2008/2009, which can be regarded as a complete economic cycle. The performances of the winner and loser portfolios are evaluated by assessing their cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) over a 24-month holding period. The test results show no evidence of mean reversion for winner and loser portfolios formed based on prior returns of 12 months or less. However, test results show evidence of significant mean reversion for the winner and loser portfolios constructed based on their prior 24 months and 36 months returns. In addition, the study reveals that the mean reversion is more significant for longer-formation-period portfolios as well as for longer holding periods. The examination of the cumulative loser-winner spreads obtained from the contrarian portfolios based on the constituents’ prior 24 month and 36 month returns indicates that the contrarian returns increase for portfolios formed between 2004 and 2006, and declines thereafter towards the end of the examination period. The deterioration of contrarian returns coincides with the subprime mortgage crisis in 2007 and the subsequent global financial crisis in 2008. This evidence suggests that the degree of mean reversion on the JSE is positively correlated to the South African business cycle.

The present thesis is focused on speculative behavior of investors in financial markets. More precisely, the thesis consists of five papers and takes a closer look at two speculation driven financial market anomalies, the overreaction hypothesis and the momentum effect, and considers them in two financial markets, cryptocurrency and commodity markets.