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A Travel Time Estimation Model for Facility Location on Real Road NetworksAl Adaileh, Mohammad Ali 20 September 2019 (has links)
No description available.
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Matematické modelování kurzu koruny / Mathematical modelling of crown rateUHLÍŘOVÁ, Žaneta January 2015 (has links)
This thesis is focused on mathematical modelling of exchange rate CZK/USD in 1991 - 2014. Time series was divided into 5 parts. First Box-Jenkins methodology models were examined, especially ARIMA model. Unfortunately, the model could not be used because none of the time series showed correlation. The time series is considered as a white noise. The data appear to be completely random and unpredictable. The time series have not constant variance neither normal distribution and therefore GARCH volatility model was used as the second model. It is better not to divide time series when using model of volatility. Volatility model contributes to more accurate prediction than the standard deviation. Results were calculated in RStudio software and MS Excel.
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Global Crowdsourcing for Climate Change: Citizen engagement in environmental monitoring : An exploratory case study of breaking a world record with dronesAguilera Bezrokov, Yambot, Bouman, Jennifer January 2022 (has links)
The rise of crowdsourcing practices has revolutionized the way in which organizational tasks can be performed. One application of crowdsourcing that has been receiving growing attention over the past decade is using the crowd to collect environmental data that is needed to monitor, manage and predict environmental events. Most projects are still in their initial stages and since these projects often require high levels of citizen participation, there is a need to better understand the motivations for individuals to(dis)engage in these crowdsourcing projects, especially when long-term participation is required. Therefore, the aim of this thesis is to explore the motivations of individuals that participated in a crowdsourcing project for environmental data collection. Building on Self-Determination Theory, Social Exchange Theory and Social Identity theory, a case was studied of an organization that successfully motivated citizens from all over the world to use their drones to collect geographic climate data. In total, ten interviews were conducted with the drone-operators. The findings suggest that participants felt intrinsically motivated to engage because they wanted to do good, cared about climate change and were passionate about flying drones. Additionally, they experienced extrinsic motivations such as the possibility of gaining future job offers, recognition, and experience. Moreover, since participation was deemed relatively easy and straightforward, costs of participation were low and outweighed by the benefits. Finally, feeling part of a wider community made the participants more motivated to engage. Using crowdsourcing to collect environmental data on a wider spatiotemporal scale can help guide policy-making that mitigates or manages the impacts of climate change. Future projects would benefit from more and diversified research that support the design of long-term participation schemes, as the success of the projects depends on the level of citizen engagement.
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Modélisation de l'interdiffusion et du comportement en oxydation cyclique de superalliages monocristallins à base de nickel revêtus d'une sous-couche γ-γ’ riche en platine. Extension aux systèmes barrière thermique / Modeling of the interdiffusion and cyclic oxidation behavior of Ni-based superalloy / Pt-rich γ-γ’ bond-coating. Application to TBC systemsAudigié, Pauline 22 June 2015 (has links)
Les systèmes barrière thermique actuels connaissent une importante dispersion de durées de vie liée principalement aux ondulations de surface du revêtement métallique β-(Ni,Pt)Al provoquant l’écaillage du dépôt céramique. Les revêtements γ-γ’ riches en platine sont étudiés en tant qu’alternative au système actuel. Ce travail de thèse s’est intéressé à l’élaboration des revêtements γ-γ’ riches en platine sur un superalliage à base de nickel, l’AM1 à partir de procédés conventionnels : dépôt électrolytique de platine et aluminisation courte. Les mécanismes de dégradation par oxydation cyclique à 1100°C ont été étudiés sur des systèmes revêtement/AM1 et sur des systèmes barrière thermique. Pour comparaison, trois types de revêtement ont été élaborés : γ-γ’ Pt seul, γ-γ’ Pt+Al et β-(Ni,Pt)Al. Ces essais ont mis en évidence une meilleure tenue à l’oxydation cyclique des systèmes revêtus γ-γ’ Pt+Al comparée aux deux autres systèmes revêtus. L’importance de l’ajout d’aluminium dès l’élaboration sur la tenue à l’oxydation cyclique a été soulignée. La modélisation p-kp a mis en avant une augmentation de la proportion d’écaillage au cours du temps du fait de la dégradation de l’interface métal/oxyde et une augmentation du kp du fait de la formation d’un oxyde à croissance plus rapide. Outre l’oxydation, les phénomènes d’interdiffusion lors des tous premiers instants à haute température ont été étudiés à partir de matériaux modèles (Ni13Al et Ni11Al10Cr) et de revêtements de Pt et/ou de Pt-Ir. Ces essais ont mis en avant la rapide formation de la phase α-NiPtAl, les transformations de phases et les chemins de diffusion à 1100°C dans les systèmes Ni-Al-Pt et Ni-Al-Cr-Pt. L’effet du chrome et de l’iridium sur les cinétiques de diffusion a été évalué. La modélisation de l’interdiffusion a mis en évidence les interactions chimiques entre les espèces et une sursaturation en lacunes dans la zone d’interdiffusion prouvant que l’effet Kirkendall est responsable de la formation des pores. / TBC systems currently used in aircraft engines with a Pt-modified aluminide coating β-(Ni,Pt)Al show an important lifetime dispersion due to the surface undulations of the bond-coating. This phenomenon called rumpling leads to the ceramic scale spallation and is the most common degradation mechanism. Pt-rich γ-γ’ bond-coatings have been extensively studied for their corrosion and oxidation resistance, and as a lower cost alternative to β-(Ni,Pt)Al bond-coatings. The aim of this work was to fabricate Pt-rich γ-γ’ bond-coatings on a first generation Ni-based superalloy, the AM1. Conventional processes were used as a platinum electroplating and a short aluminizing step. The failure mechanisms occurring by cyclic oxidation at 1100°C were studied on coating/superalloy systems and on TBC systems. Three kinds of coatings were fabricated: Pt-only γ-γ’, Pt+Al γ-γ’ and β-(Ni,Pt)Al. These tests highlighted the best oxidation resistance for the Pt+Al γ-γ’/AM1 systems when compared with the two other systems. Al addition during the coating fabrication is necessary to improve the lifetime. The p-kp modeling results pointed out that the oxide scale spalling probability p increases due to the metal/oxide interface degradation with time. If the spallation increases, a breakaway locally occurs with the formation of a fast-growing oxide explaining the kp progression. The interdiffusion phenomena were also investigated during the first times at high temperature from model alloys (Ni13Al and Ni11Al10Cr) and Pt and/or Pt-Ir coatings. These investigations emphasized the rapid formation of the α-NiPtAl phase, the phase transformations and diffusion paths at 1100°C in the ternary Ni-Al-Pt and quaternary Ni-Al-Cr-Pt systems. Chromium and iridium effect was evaluated on the diffusion kinetics. Interdiffusion modeling highlighted the chemical interactions between the species and a vacancy supersaturation in the interdiffusion zone proving that Kirkendall effect is responsible for void formation.
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