Quais os impactos de curto prazo ocorridos a partir dos ciclos iniciais de implantação do “Programa Mais Médicos” (PMM) em municípios do Rio Grande do Sul? Essa dissertação versa um sobre subtipo de ensaio comunitário acerca da problemática em questão, com estudo agregado com múltiplos grupos, longitudinal em série temporal retrospectiva, a partir de dados de fontes secundárias, com análise descritiva de propósito exploratório. Trata-se de 10 grupos conformados por agregados de municípios do Rio Grande do Sul, selecionados e estratificados em 5 faixas populacionais, estando pareados pela condição de implantação e não implantação do PMM. Realizou-se análise comparativa e descritiva de um conjunto selecionado de indicadores correlatos aos serviços de Atenção Primária à Saúde (APS). De um modo geral, observou-se o incremento de indicadores de estrutura nos agregados de municípios com implantação do PMM, notadamente nos agregados com faixas de menores populações. Em termos de indicadores de resultados observou-se discreto incremento na produção de serviços nos agregados com implantação do PMM, contudo, não foram identificadas diferenças significativas de internações por causas sensíveis e de outros indicadores de impacto próprios da APS. As hipóteses mais plausíveis para explicar os achados estão referidas ao exíguo tempo decorrido entre a implantação do PMM e a realização do estudo, além da constatação de que nos ciclos iniciais de implantação do programa houve predominância de caráter substitutivo de trabalho profissional médico nos municípios selecionados para o estudo. / What are the short-term impacts occurred in the early cycles implementation of the "More Doctors Program" (PMM) in municipalities of Rio Grande do Sul? This research focuses on one community trial subtype, added to multiple groups, in longitudinal retrospective time series, based on data from secondary sources, with descriptive analysis of exploratory purpose. It is conformed by 10 groups clusters of municipalities of Rio Grande do Sul, selected and stratified into five population groups, being matched by the deployment condition and not implementation of PMM. We carried out comparative and descriptive analysis of a selected set of indicators related to the services of Primary Health Care (PHC). In general, there was the structure of indicators of growth in clusters of municipalities with implementation of PMM, especially in conglomerates with smaller populations tracks. In terms of outcome indicators showed a slight increase in the production of services in conglomerates with implementation of PMM, however, significant differences in hospital admissions were identified by sensitive causes and other APS's own impact indicators. The most plausible hypotheses to explain the findings are referred to the narrow time between the implementation of the PMM and the study, besides the fact that in the early cycles of program implementation was substitute character predominance of medical professional working in selected municipalities to the study.

Quais os impactos de curto prazo ocorridos a partir dos ciclos iniciais de implantação do “Programa Mais Médicos” (PMM) em municípios do Rio Grande do Sul? Essa dissertação versa um sobre subtipo de ensaio comunitário acerca da problemática em questão, com estudo agregado com múltiplos grupos, longitudinal em série temporal retrospectiva, a partir de dados de fontes secundárias, com análise descritiva de propósito exploratório. Trata-se de 10 grupos conformados por agregados de municípios do Rio Grande do Sul, selecionados e estratificados em 5 faixas populacionais, estando pareados pela condição de implantação e não implantação do PMM. Realizou-se análise comparativa e descritiva de um conjunto selecionado de indicadores correlatos aos serviços de Atenção Primária à Saúde (APS). De um modo geral, observou-se o incremento de indicadores de estrutura nos agregados de municípios com implantação do PMM, notadamente nos agregados com faixas de menores populações. Em termos de indicadores de resultados observou-se discreto incremento na produção de serviços nos agregados com implantação do PMM, contudo, não foram identificadas diferenças significativas de internações por causas sensíveis e de outros indicadores de impacto próprios da APS. As hipóteses mais plausíveis para explicar os achados estão referidas ao exíguo tempo decorrido entre a implantação do PMM e a realização do estudo, além da constatação de que nos ciclos iniciais de implantação do programa houve predominância de caráter substitutivo de trabalho profissional médico nos municípios selecionados para o estudo. / What are the short-term impacts occurred in the early cycles implementation of the "More Doctors Program" (PMM) in municipalities of Rio Grande do Sul? This research focuses on one community trial subtype, added to multiple groups, in longitudinal retrospective time series, based on data from secondary sources, with descriptive analysis of exploratory purpose. It is conformed by 10 groups clusters of municipalities of Rio Grande do Sul, selected and stratified into five population groups, being matched by the deployment condition and not implementation of PMM. We carried out comparative and descriptive analysis of a selected set of indicators related to the services of Primary Health Care (PHC). In general, there was the structure of indicators of growth in clusters of municipalities with implementation of PMM, especially in conglomerates with smaller populations tracks. In terms of outcome indicators showed a slight increase in the production of services in conglomerates with implementation of PMM, however, significant differences in hospital admissions were identified by sensitive causes and other APS's own impact indicators. The most plausible hypotheses to explain the findings are referred to the narrow time between the implementation of the PMM and the study, besides the fact that in the early cycles of program implementation was substitute character predominance of medical professional working in selected municipalities to the study.

Quais os impactos de curto prazo ocorridos a partir dos ciclos iniciais de implantação do “Programa Mais Médicos” (PMM) em municípios do Rio Grande do Sul? Essa dissertação versa um sobre subtipo de ensaio comunitário acerca da problemática em questão, com estudo agregado com múltiplos grupos, longitudinal em série temporal retrospectiva, a partir de dados de fontes secundárias, com análise descritiva de propósito exploratório. Trata-se de 10 grupos conformados por agregados de municípios do Rio Grande do Sul, selecionados e estratificados em 5 faixas populacionais, estando pareados pela condição de implantação e não implantação do PMM. Realizou-se análise comparativa e descritiva de um conjunto selecionado de indicadores correlatos aos serviços de Atenção Primária à Saúde (APS). De um modo geral, observou-se o incremento de indicadores de estrutura nos agregados de municípios com implantação do PMM, notadamente nos agregados com faixas de menores populações. Em termos de indicadores de resultados observou-se discreto incremento na produção de serviços nos agregados com implantação do PMM, contudo, não foram identificadas diferenças significativas de internações por causas sensíveis e de outros indicadores de impacto próprios da APS. As hipóteses mais plausíveis para explicar os achados estão referidas ao exíguo tempo decorrido entre a implantação do PMM e a realização do estudo, além da constatação de que nos ciclos iniciais de implantação do programa houve predominância de caráter substitutivo de trabalho profissional médico nos municípios selecionados para o estudo. / What are the short-term impacts occurred in the early cycles implementation of the "More Doctors Program" (PMM) in municipalities of Rio Grande do Sul? This research focuses on one community trial subtype, added to multiple groups, in longitudinal retrospective time series, based on data from secondary sources, with descriptive analysis of exploratory purpose. It is conformed by 10 groups clusters of municipalities of Rio Grande do Sul, selected and stratified into five population groups, being matched by the deployment condition and not implementation of PMM. We carried out comparative and descriptive analysis of a selected set of indicators related to the services of Primary Health Care (PHC). In general, there was the structure of indicators of growth in clusters of municipalities with implementation of PMM, especially in conglomerates with smaller populations tracks. In terms of outcome indicators showed a slight increase in the production of services in conglomerates with implementation of PMM, however, significant differences in hospital admissions were identified by sensitive causes and other APS's own impact indicators. The most plausible hypotheses to explain the findings are referred to the narrow time between the implementation of the PMM and the study, besides the fact that in the early cycles of program implementation was substitute character predominance of medical professional working in selected municipalities to the study.

This study, quantitative determinants of need and demand for primary health care in the District of Columbia (DCPC), analysed data over a twenty-year period from 1985 to 2004, on need and demand for primary care using standard and epidemiologically innovative statistical measures for physician distributions and socio-demographic characteristics in the District of Columbia (DC). The study attempted to answer the question: Using U.S census-based small area aggregations, Census Tract Groupings (CTGs), that are not zip-code areas or legislative/political boundaries, can a multivariate predictive model be developed using physician distributions, primary care service index (PCSI) and composite need scores (CNS) to explain variations in primary care visits shortages? Primary care visits shortages and priority scores (PCPS) were calculated, analysed and presented for CTGs in the District of Columbia from 1985 to 2004. Results indicated that the abundant supply of DC-based physicians – indicated by decreasing population per physician ratios of 239 (1985) to 146 (2004) – appear to be a long-term trend. As raw physician counts increased, the ratio of satisfied visits to demand decreased, from 2.62 (1985) to 1.80 (in 2004). This result appears to indicate that, due to inequities in distribution of primary care physicians in DC’s small areas, the increasing numbers of primary care physicians were by themselves, not sufficient to address the city’s overall primary care visits need. Epidemiological profiles and physician distribution analytical methods appear to be useful for small area analysis of urban primary care shortage areas and for setting priorities. Physician rates per 1,000 pop may be a necessary but not sufficient statistic for estimating urban primary health care needs / Health Studies / D. Litt. et Phil. (Health Studies)

This study, quantitative determinants of need and demand for primary health care in the District of Columbia (DCPC), analysed data over a twenty-year period from 1985 to 2004, on need and demand for primary care using standard and epidemiologically innovative statistical measures for physician distributions and socio-demographic characteristics in the District of Columbia (DC). The study attempted to answer the question: Using U.S census-based small area aggregations, Census Tract Groupings (CTGs), that are not zip-code areas or legislative/political boundaries, can a multivariate predictive model be developed using physician distributions, primary care service index (PCSI) and composite need scores (CNS) to explain variations in primary care visits shortages? Primary care visits shortages and priority scores (PCPS) were calculated, analysed and presented for CTGs in the District of Columbia from 1985 to 2004. Results indicated that the abundant supply of DC-based physicians – indicated by decreasing population per physician ratios of 239 (1985) to 146 (2004) – appear to be a long-term trend. As raw physician counts increased, the ratio of satisfied visits to demand decreased, from 2.62 (1985) to 1.80 (in 2004). This result appears to indicate that, due to inequities in distribution of primary care physicians in DC’s small areas, the increasing numbers of primary care physicians were by themselves, not sufficient to address the city’s overall primary care visits need. Epidemiological profiles and physician distribution analytical methods appear to be useful for small area analysis of urban primary care shortage areas and for setting priorities. Physician rates per 1,000 pop may be a necessary but not sufficient statistic for estimating urban primary health care needs / Health Studies / D. Litt. et Phil. (Health Studies)