A complete chain of analysis and synthesis system identification tools for detectability assessment and adaptive identification of parameters with physical interpretation that can be found commonly in control-oriented powertrain models is presented. This research is motivated from the fact that future powertrain control and monitoring systems will depend increasingly on physically oriented system models to reduce the complexity of existing control strategies and open the road to new environmentally friendly technologies. At the outset of this study a physics-based control-oriented dynamic model of a complete transient engine testing facility, consisting of a single cylinder engine, an alternating current dynamometer and a coupling shaft unit, is developed to investigate the functional relationships of the inputs, outputs and parameters of the system. Having understood these, algorithms for identifiability analysis and adaptive identification of parameters with physical interpretation are proposed. The efficacy of the recommended algorithms is illustrated with three novel practical applications. These are, the development of an on-line health monitoring system for engine dynamometer coupling shafts based on recursive estimation of shaft’s physical parameters, the sensitivity analysis and adaptive identification of engine friction parameters, and the non-linear recursive parameter estimation with parameter estimability analysis of physical and semi-physical cyclic engine torque model parameters. The findings of this research suggest that the combination of physics-based control oriented models with adaptive identification algorithms can lead to the development of component-based diagnosis and control strategies. Ultimately, this work contributes in the area of on-line fault diagnosis, fault tolerant and adaptive control for vehicular systems.

A complete chain of analysis and synthesis system identification tools for detectability assessment and adaptive identification of parameters with physical interpretation that can be found commonly in control-oriented powertrain models is presented. This research is motivated from the fact that future powertrain control and monitoring systems will depend increasingly on physically oriented system models to reduce the complexity of existing control strategies and open the road to new environmentally friendly technologies. At the outset of this study a physics-based control-oriented dynamic model of a complete transient engine testing facility, consisting of a single cylinder engine, an alternating current dynamometer and a coupling shaft unit, is developed to investigate the functional relationships of the inputs, outputs and parameters of the system. Having understood these, algorithms for identifiability analysis and adaptive identification of parameters with physical interpretation are proposed. The efficacy of the recommended algorithms is illustrated with three novel practical applications. These are, the development of an on-line health monitoring system for engine dynamometer coupling shafts based on recursive estimation of shaft’s physical parameters, the sensitivity analysis and adaptive identification of engine friction parameters, and the non-linear recursive parameter estimation with parameter estimability analysis of physical and semi-physical cyclic engine torque model parameters. The findings of this research suggest that the combination of physics-based control oriented models with adaptive identification algorithms can lead to the development of component-based diagnosis and control strategies. Ultimately, this work contributes in the area of on-line fault diagnosis, fault tolerant and adaptive control for vehicular systems.

L’ambition de ce travail est la prédiction du champ d’onde incident réalistique, induit par des mouvement forts de sol, aux sites d’importance stratégique, comme des centrales nucléaires. À cette fin, un plateforme multi-outil est développé et exploité pour simuler les aspects différents d’un phénomène complexe et multi-échelle comme un tremblement de terre. Ce cadre computationnel fait face à la nature diversifiée d’un tremblement de terre par approche holistique local-régionale.Un cas d’étude complexe est choisie: le tremblement de terre MW6.6 Niigata-Ken Ch¯uetsu-Oki, qui a endommagé la centrale nucléaire de Kashiwazaki-Kariwa. Les effets de site non-linéaires observés sont à premier examinés et caractérisés. Dans la suite, le modèle 3D «de la faille au site» est construit et employé pour prédire le mouvement sismique dans une bande de fréquence de 0-7 Hz. L’effet de la structure géologique pliée au-dessous du site est quantifié en simulant deux chocs d’intensité modérée et en évaluant la variabilité spatiale des spectres de réponse aux différents endroits dans le site nucléaire. Le résultat numérique souligne le besoin d’une description plus détaillée du champ d’onde incident utilisé comme paramètre d’entrée dans la conception structurel antisismique de réacteurs nucléaires et des installations. Finalement, la bande de fréquences des signaux synthétiques obtenues comme résultat des simulations numériques est agrandie en exploitant la prédiction stochastique des ordonnées spectrales à courte période fournies par des Réseaux Artificiels de Neurones. / The ambition of this work is the prediction of a synthetic yet realistic broad-band incident wave-field, induced by strong ground motion earthquakes at sites of strategic importance, such as nuclear power plants. To this end, an multi-tool platform is developed and exploited to simulate the different aspects of the complex and multi-scale phenomenon an earthquake embodies. This multi-scale computational framework copes with the manifold nature of an earthquake by a holistic local-to-regional approach. A complex case study is chosen to this end: is the MW6.6 Niigata-Ken Ch¯uetsu-Oki earthquake, which damaged the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa nuclear power plant. The observed non-linear site-effects are at first investigated and characterized. In the following, the 3D source-to-site model is constructed and employed to provide reliable input ground motion, for a frequency band of 0-7 Hz. The effect of the folded geological structure underneath the site is quantified by simulating two aftershocks of moderate intensity and by estimating the spatial variability of the response spectra at different locations within the nuclear site. The numerical outcome stresses the need for a more detailed description of the incident wave-field used as input parameter in the antiseismic structural design of nuclear reactors and facilities. Finally, the frequency band of the time-histories obtained as outcome of the numerical simulations is enlarged by exploiting the stochastic prediction of short-period response ordinates provided by Artificial Neural Networks.

Målet med projektet var att undersöka samt implementera en fysikbaserad DFN modell för att simulera kalender samt cyklingåldrande av litiumbatterier som används i elbilar. Den fysikbaserade modellen var konstruerad baserad på ett Python biblioteket vid namn PyBaMM, vilket till skillnad från datadrivna modeller ger essentiell information om de kemiska processerna inuti batteriet. Den första delen av projektet täcker konceptet av kalenderåldring, vilket inkluderar en jämförelse mellan tre olika tre olika hastighetsbegränsande SEI modeller. Parametrar som påverkar det erhållna resultatet från modellen är identifierade, estimerade, och till slut validerade för att säkerhetsställa att modellen och parametrarna är identifierbara gentemot experimentella data. Resultatet av jämförelsen gav att SEI tillväxt begränsad av litium interstitiell diffusion är den mest optimala modellen att applicera när kalenderåldring för litiumbatterier ska modelleras. Resultaten visade också att endast en parameter, inre SEI litium interstitiell diffusivitet ska justeras för att erhålla optimal anpassning mot experimentella data. Andra delen av projektet använde resultatet från den första delen och litium plätering implementerades som en andraåldringsmekanism som undersöktes under tre olika laddningsprotokoll. Modellen var optimerad och anpassad gentemot experimentella data, där parametervärdet för kinetisk hasighetskonstanten för plätering var estimerad. Den optimerade modellen användes därefter för att erhålla mer information om elektrokemiska variabler för att kunna analysera samt beskrivaåldringsprocessen utan att behöva genomföra praktiska laborationer. Resultaten visade att mängden pläterat litium på den negativa elektroden ökade för celler som var exponerade till högre ström under laddningsprocessen, samt när cellerna var laddade vid höga SoC nivåer. Sammanfattningsvis, visade modellen hög potential att representera och evaluera experimentella data, samt tillhandahålla en inblick i elektrokemiska processer och kapacitetsförluster länkade till SEI tillväxt och litium plätering. Däremot, för att erhålla en högre grad noggrannhet av elektrokemiskaåldringsmekanismer i litiumbatterier, fler ytterligare mekanismer måste implementeras såsom mekanisk stress av både negativ och positiv elektrod. / The aim of this study was to investigate and apply a physics-based DFN model to simulate the calendar and cycling ageing of lithium-ion batteries manufactured for EV applications. The physics-based cell ageing model was constructed based on the open-source software Python library PyBaMM, which in comparison to data-driven models provides more essential information about the chemical process within the battery cell. The first part of the project covers the concept of calendar ageing which includes comparisons between three different rate-limiting SEI growth models. Parameters that affect the output from the physics-based model are isolated, estimated with numerical methods, and lastly validated to ensure that the model and the parameters rep- resent the physics behind the experimental data. It was found that the SEI growth limited by lithium interstitial diffusion is the most optimal model to apply for a physics-based model when modeling calendar ageing. It was also found that the only parameter that should be tuned against experimental data is the inner SEI lithium interstitial diffusivity. The second part of the project utilizes the results from the first part and introduces lithium plating as a second cell ageing mechanism under three different charging protocols. The model was optimized and fitted against experimental data by sweeping the lithium plating kinetic rate constant parameter. The optimized model was thereafter used to generate outputs that more thoroughly can explain the degradation effects of the cell without constructing real-world experiments. Where increased rate of plated lithium could be observed for the cell subjected to higher charging C-rate, and when the cells were charged at high SoC levels. To summarize, the model showed great potential in representing and evaluating the experimental data and providing the project with insight into the electrochemical processes and cell capacity losses of SEI growth and lithium plating. However, in order to achieve a higher accuracy of cell ageing model in relation to the lithium-ion cells used in customer vehicles, several additional cell degradation mechanisms have to be introduced, such as mechanical degradation of the two electrodes.

Målet med projektet var att undersöka samt implementera en fysikbaserad DFN modell för att simulera kalender samt cyklingåldrande av litiumbatterier som används i elbilar. Den fysikbaserade modellen var konstruerad baserad på ett Python biblioteket vid namn PyBaMM, vilket till skillnad från datadrivna modeller ger essentiell information om de kemiska processerna inuti batteriet. Den första delen av projektet täcker konceptet av kalenderåldring, vilket inkluderar en jämförelse mellan tre olika tre olika hastighetsbegränsande SEI modeller. Parametrar som påverkar det erhållna resultatet från modellen är identifierade, estimerade, och till slut validerade för att säkerhetsställa att modellen och parametrarna är identifierbara gentemot experimentella data. Resultatet av jämförelsen gav att SEI tillväxt begränsad av litium interstitiell diffusion är den mest optimala modellen att applicera när kalenderåldring för litiumbatterier ska modelleras. Resultaten visade också att endast en parameter, inre SEI litium interstitiell diffusivitet ska justeras för att erhålla optimal anpassning mot experimentella data. Andra delen av projektet använde resultatet från den första delen och litium plätering implementerades som en andraåldringsmekanism som undersöktes under tre olika laddningsprotokoll. Modellen var optimerad och anpassad gentemot experimentella data, där parametervärdet för kinetisk hasighetskonstanten för plätering var estimerad. Den optimerade modellen användes därefter för att erhålla mer information om elektrokemiska variabler för att kunna analysera samt beskriva åldringsprocessen utan att behöva genomföra praktiska laborationer. Resultaten visade att mängden pläterat litium på den negativa elektroden ökade för celler som var exponerade till högre ström under laddningsprocessen, samt när cellerna var laddade vid höga SoC nivåer. Sammanfattningsvis, visade modellen hög potential att representera och evaluera experimentella data, samt tillhandahålla en inblick i elektrokemiska processer och kapacitetsförluster länkade till SEI tillväxt och litium plätering. Däremot, för att erhålla en högre grad noggrannhet av elektrokemiska åldringsmekanismer i litiumbatterier, fler ytterligare mekanismer måste implementeras såsom mekanisk stress av både negativ och positiv elektrod. / The aim of this study was to investigate and apply a physics-based DFN model to simulate the calendar and cycling ageing of lithium-ion batteries manufactured for EV applications. The physics-based cell ageing model was constructed based on the open-source software Python library PyBaMM, which in comparison to data-driven models provides more essential information about the chemical process within the battery cell. The first part of the project covers the concept of calendar ageing which includes comparisons between three different rate-limiting SEI growth models. Parameters that affect the output from the physics-based model are isolated, estimated with numerical methods, and lastly validated to ensure that the model and the parameters rep- resent the physics behind the experimental data. It was found that the SEI growth limited by lithium interstitial diffusion is the most optimal model to apply for a physics-based model when modeling calendar ageing. It was also found that the only parameter that should be tuned against experimental data is the inner SEI lithium interstitial diffusivity. The second part of the project utilizes the results from the first part and introduces lithium plating as a second cell ageing mechanism under three different charging protocols. The model was optimized and fitted against experimental data by sweeping the lithium plating kinetic rate constant parameter. The optimized model was thereafter used to generate outputs that more thoroughly can explain the degradation effects of the cell without constructing real-world experiments. Where increased rate of plated lithium could be observed for the cell subjected to higher charging C-rate, and when the cells were charged at high SoC levels. To summarize, the model showed great potential in representing and evaluating the experimental data and providing the project with insight into the electrochemical processes and cell capacity losses of SEI growth and lithium plating. However, in order to achieve a higher accuracy of cell ageing model in relation to the lithium-ion cells used in customer vehicles, several additional cell degradation mechanisms have to be introduced, such as mechanical degradation of the two electrodes.