An Allee effect is a density-dependent process that can be responsible for the extinction of small populations. This thesis focuses on the detection of Allee effects, along with other density-dependent processes, and their influence on population synchrony. In chapter 2 I investigate the spatial variation in influential density-dependent processes and density-independent weather factors for the large skipper butterfly Ochlodes sylvanus across its British range. I find both qualitative and quantitative spatial variation in these processes and factors driving population dynamics. In chapter 3, I develop and test a Bayesian methodology, that I then use in chapter 4 to analyse local population level dynamics for 38 British butterfly species. For 35 of these species I found population level Allee effects and also found that phylogeny significant influenced a species’ susceptibility to Allee effects. Finally, in chapter 5 I examine the influence Allee effects have on network population synchrony in a theoretical framework.

Emergence of the metacommunity concept has explicitly recognized the interplay of local and regional processes. The metacommunity concept has already made a substantial contribution to the better understanding of the community composition and dynamics in a regional context. However, long-term field data for testing of available metacommunity models are still scarce and the extent to which these models apply to the real world remains unknown and some of their assumptions untested. Tests conducted so far have largely sought to fit data on the entire regional set of species to one of several metacommunity models, implicitly assuming that all species, members of the metacommunity, can be modelled in the same manner (using a single model). However, species differ in their habitat use to the extent that such uniform treatment may be inappropriate. Furthermore, in testing the metacommunity models, all metacommunity studies relay on snapshots of species distribution to assess the relative importance of local and regional processes. However, snapshot patterns may be insufficient for producing a reliable picture of metacommunity dynamics and processes shaping it. I hypothesised that the relative importance of local (competition, predation or abiotic filtering or constraints) and regional (interaction of populations with landscape, migration or dispersal) processes may vary with species' traits, including habitat specialization. The perception of importance of local and regional processes in structuring community composition obtained via static approach may vary from that obtained by considering the temporal dynamics of component species. My general approach used a model system comprising natural rock pools microcosms. I have also employed experimental approach in the laboratory. I found that different metacommunity models suit for different groups of habitat specialization. I also found this to be true whether the analyses are based on snapshot data or describing temporal dynamics of species populations. These results suggest that a metacommunity system exhibits an internal differentiation of structuring processes. Specifically, from the metacommunity perspective, the dynamics of habitat specialists are best explained by a combination of species sorting and mass effects models, while that of habitat generalists is best explained by patch dynamics and neutral models. / Thesis / Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)

Les écosystèmes sub-Antarctiques sont particulièrement vulnérables aux perturbations environnementales et notamment aux invasions biologiques. L'introduction du Chat (Felis silvestris catus) sur la Grande Terre de l'archipel des Kerguelen a eu des effets désastreux sur les communautés d'oiseaux marins. Ce prédateur doit sa survie dans cet environnement à la présence d'une proie introduite, le Lapin (Oryctolagus cuniculus), qui constitue sa ressource principale pendant l'hiver lorsque les oiseaux marins sont repartis en mer. L'éradication du chat n'apparaît pas être une solution réaliste compte tenu de la taille de l'île (6675 km2) et son inaccessibilité. De plus elle serait susceptible de conduire à des résultats non souhaités comme par exemple une explosion démographique des populations de lapins. La mise en place d'une politique de gestion adaptée nécessite d'améliorer notre connaissance des facteurs qui conditionnent la dynamique spatio-temporelle des populations de chats. Au cours de cette thèse, j'ai cherché à identi_er les mécanismes des interactions entre le chat, le lapin et la végétation, car elles sont attendues conditionner celles existantes entre le chat et les oiseaux marins. J'ai analysé la dynamique spatio-temporelle de quatre populations de chats sur la Grande Terre et j'ai en particulier recherché si des conditions environnementales spatialement corrélées (effet Moran) pouvaient, en se propageant dans la chaine alimentaire, synchroniser les variations temporelles d'abondance des populations de chats. Enfin, j'ai étudié l'impact des variations spatio-temporelles d'abondance des populations de chats sur les variations spatio-temporelles de la structure génétique des populations de chats. / Sub-Antarctic ecosystems are particularly vulnerable to environmental perturbations including biological invasions. The introduction of the feral cat (Felis silvestris catus) on the Grande TerreIsland of the Kerguelen archipelago has lead to detrimental effects on seabird's communities. Cat survival in this environment is possible because of the presence of the introduced rabbit (Oryctolagus cuniculus), which constitute the main prey of the cat during winter when most seabirds are offshore. Cat eradication is not a realistic solution given the size and inaccessibility of the island (6675 km2). Moreover it can lead to unwanted results such as the demographic explosion of rabbit populations. The design of appropriate management policy needs to improve our understanding of the factors that influence the spatio-temporal dynamics of cat populations. In this thesis, I explored the mechanisms of cat-rabbit-vegetation interactions, as they are expected to determine interactions existing between cats and seabirds. I analyzed the spatio-temporal dynamics of four cat populations on Grande Terre Island and I especially sought whether environmental conditions spatially correlated (Moran effect) could synchronize cat through their effect on the trophic web pathways. Finally, I studied the impact of spatio-temporal