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1	Survival analysis and accession optimization of prior enlisted United States Marine Corps officers Hoglin, Phillip J. 03 1900 (has links) Approved for public release, distribution is unlimited / The purpose of this thesis is to firstly analyze the determinants on the survival of United States Marine Corps Officers, and secondly, to develop the methodology to optimize the accessions of prior and non-prior enlisted officers. Using data from the Marine Corps Officer Accession Career file (MCCOAC), the Cox Proportional Hazards Model is used to estimate the effects of officer characteristics on their survival as a commissioned officer in the USMC. A Markov model for career transition is combined with fiscal data to determine the optimum number of prior and non-prior enlisted officers under the constraints of force structure and budget. The findings indicate that prior enlisted officers have a better survival rate than their non-prior enlisted counterparts. Additionally, officers who are married, commissioned through MECEP, graduate in the top third of their TBS class, and are assigned to a combat support MOS have a better survival rate than officers who are unmarried, commissioned through USNA, graduate in the middle third of their TBS class, and are assigned to either combat or combat service support MOS. The findings also indicate that the optimum number of prior enlisted officer accessions may be considerably lower than recent trends and may differ across MOS. Based on the findings; it is recommended that prior enlisted officer accession figures be reviewed. / Major, Australian Army Markov processes Recruiting and enlistment Quality of life Attrition Accession Commissioning sources Cox regression enlistment Manpower Markov Officer retention Optimization Parametric Personnel attrition Prior-enlisted officers Quality of Life (QOL) Recruiting Retention Requirements determination Semi-parametric Survival analysis Transitional models Proportional hazards

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Survival analysis and accession optimization of prior enlisted United States Marine Corps officers