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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Crescimento econômico, composição dos gastos públicos e lei de responsabilidade fiscal : uma análise para os municípios brasileiros / Economic growth, composition of public spending and fiscal responsibility: an analysis for Brazilian municipalities

Francisco, Samuel Marques da Silva 20 February 2017 (has links)
Este trabalho tem como objetivo avaliar quais despesas municipais como parcela do gasto econômico dos municípios brasileiros no período 1999-2012, considerando as hipóteses levantadas por Devarajan et al. (1996), as quais sugerem que determinados gastos são os em excesso, e uma elevação do crescimento decorrente da alteração na composição da despesa pode ocorrer sem mudança no gasto total. As despesas utilizadas foram selecionadas de acordo com a classificação econômica (despesas correntes primárias e de capital), tomando também seus respectivos principais gastos (despesas de pessoal e de investimento), e por funções (despesas com educação e cultura, saúde e saneamento, comunicação, transportes e defesa). Além desses gastos tradicionalmente vistos na literatura da área, foi averiguado se o limite para gastos municipais em despesas de pessoal de 60% da receita corrente líquida anual, definido analisados se os parâmetros estabelecidos constitucionalmente para os gastos anuais municipais nos setores de educação e saúde, fixados em, respectivamente, no mínimo 25% e 15% da receita total, são eficientes no que se refere aos efeitos sobre o crescimento econômico. Para alcançar tais objetivos, foram estimados modelos em painel, baseando-se no modelo empírico de Rocha e Giuberti (2007), considerando efeitos fixos e o Two Step System GMM, de modo que os resultados analisados se referem ao método de efeitos fixos, haja vista que os instrumentos utilizados no painel dinâmico se mostraram inválidos. Os resultados obtidos indicam q parcela de, nessa ordem, 15% e 13% do gasto total, corroborando o que foi sugerido por Devarajan et al. (1996); as despesas com vinculação constitucional, porém, parecem ir no sentido inverso ao que foi sugerido por esses autores, demonstrando que gastos turning point para as despesas de pessoal seria de 65% da receita corrente líquida, acima do limite definido pela LRF; já as despesas com educação e saúde passam a ter uma influência positiva sobre o crescimento econômico em parcelas de, respectivamente, 34% e 24% da receita total, que também se encontram acima dos parâmetros constitucionais. / The aim of this work is to evaluate which municipal expenses as part of the total expenditure were "productive", that is, if they showed a positive influence on the economic growth of the Brazilian municipalities in the period 1999-2012, taking into account the hypotheses raised by Devarajan et al. (1996), which suggest that certain expenditures are marginally "productive" but may become "unproductive" if overpaid, and so that a rise in growth due to the change in the composition of expenditure can occur without a change in total expenditure. The expenditures used were selected according to the economic classification (primary and capital expenditures), as well as their main expenditures (personnel and investment expenses), and functions (education and culture, health and sanitation expenses, communication, Transport and defense). In addition to these expenditures traditionally seen in the literature, it was investigated whether the limit for municipal expenditures in personnel expenses of 60% of the current net annual revenue, defined by the LRF, is at a "productive" level of this expenditure. In this sense, it is still analyzed whether the constitutionally established parameters for annual municipal expenditures in the education and health sectors, which are at least 25% and 15% of total income, respectively, are efficient in terms of the effects on economic growth. In order to reach such objectives, panel models were estimated, based on the empirical model of Rocha and Giuberti (2007), considering fixed effects and the Two Step System GMM, so that the analyzed results refer to the method of fixed effects, since the instruments used in the dynamic panel were shown to be invalid. The results indicate that municipal expenditures with communication and defense are "productive" up to a portion of, in that order, 15% and 13% of total expenditure, corroborating what was suggested by Devarajan et al. (1996); The expenses with constitutional ties, however, seem to go in the opposite direction to what has been suggested by these authors, demonstrating that "unproductive" expenditures can become "productive" at a certain point. This turning point for personnel expenses would be 65% of net current revenue, above the limit defined by the LRF; While education and health expenditures have a positive influence on economic growth in portions of 34% and 24% of total revenue, respectively, and these values are also above constitutional parameters. / Dissertação (Mestrado)

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