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Os efeitos da pol?tica de valoriza??o do sal?rio m?nimo sobre o emprego e a distribui??o de renda: simula??es computacionais para an?lise de resultados te?ricosAra?jo, Marilia Medeiros de 29 February 2016 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2016-02-29 / Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior (CAPES) / Esta disserta??o consistiu em avaliar os efeitos da Pol?tica de Valoriza??o do Sal?rio M?nimo sobre o emprego e a distribui??o de renda no longo prazo. Com base nas teorias de Keynes e Kalecki foram discutidos os efeitos de um aumento do sal?rio sobre o n?vel de emprego e sobre a distribui??o de renda, e os prov?veis canais e fatores a partir dos quais esses efeitos podem incidir sobre as vari?veis em quest?o. A metodologia da disserta??o apoiou-se no uso de simula??es computacionais, no modelo macroecon?mico multissetorial MKS, de Cavalcanti Filho (2002). Para um conjunto de combina??es de par?metros de pol?ticas econ?micas, a an?lise das simula??es gerou resultados, que correspondem aos efeitos apontados pelos fundamentos te?ricos. Conclui-se que, para as diferentes combina??es de pol?ticas fiscal e monet?ria simuladas, a Pol?tica de Valoriza??o do Sal?rio M?nimo se mostrou eficaz para os objetivos a que se prop?e a regra de reajuste. / This research aimed at evaluating the effects of Minimum Wage Enhancement Policy of employment and long-term income distribution. Based on the theories of Keynes and Kalecki, the effects of salary raise on employment and on income distribution were discussed as well as the channels and factors from which these effects may relate to the variables involved. The methodology of this dissertation consisted of generation of computer simulations based on the multisectorial macroeconomic MKS model developed by Cavalcanti Filho (2002) to test the effects of Minimum Wage Enhancement Policy and check whether the keynesian and kaleckian channels and factors and were valid. For a set of economic policy parameter combinations (tax rates, rules for the expansion of public spending and the determination of interest rates by the Central Bank), the analysis of the simulations generated results that correspond to the ones mentioned by the theoretical basis. The conclusion is that for different combinations of fiscal and monetary simulated policies, the Minimum Wage Enhancement Policy is effective to expand employment and improve income distribution in workers favor.
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Consumo familiar: efeitos da valoriza??o do sal?rio m?nimo nas decis?es de gasto das fam?lias brasileiras, nordestinas e potiguares, no per?odo de 1995 a 2011Figueiredo, Jonilson de Souza 21 August 2013 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2013-08-21 / Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior / This research objectify to analyze the effects of minimum wage recovery in the
household consumption in the Brazil, northeastern region of the Brazil and the state of the Rio
Grande do Norte, in the period of 1995 to 2011. This is because the search for the
strengthening of the internal market, via incentive policies to private demand has assumed
prominence in the Government agenda. Thus, under the justification of the fierce debate about
the effectiveness of countercyclical policies of Brazil, in view of the recent economic crisis,
aims to: 1) retake the theoretical debate and, to a certain extent, the evolution of the theory of
household consumption, as well as some conclusions about their connection with the
minimum wage; 2) to describe the experiences and the effects of this legislation in economic
history, with emphasis on the Brazilian case; 3) to present some of the available statistics to
research bases, with attention to the specifics of each and the empirical results found for
consumption in Brazil; 4) to estimate the effects of minimum wage variation in household
consumption in Brazil (BR), northeast (NE) and Rio Grande do Norte (RN). From this, in
order to quantify this relationship, makes inferences from the effects of the wage bill and the
minimum wage on consumption, in quarterly series (with ad hoc adjustment from the
"weights" of each quarter), from classic model of multiple linear regression. The hypothesis is
that released: increments in income, derived from the policy of minimum wage recovery will
influence directly the household consumption. However, when comparing the results between
the units analyzed, the expressiveness of the northeastern families of Brazil and Rio Grande
do Norte families front national dynamics with income linked to this floor, drives most
significant impacts spending decisions in NE and RN, thus reducing regional disparities in the
consumer. The results indicate contrary evidence, because while for the BR a unitary variation
in minimum wage increases the consumption in units monetary 1.28, to the NE and RN these
parameters are respectively 1.05 and 1.09 / A busca do fortalecimento do mercado interno via pol?ticas de incentivo ? demanda,
privada tem assumido destaque na agenda governamental, particularmente ap?s a crise de
2008. Neste contexto, a presente pesquisa tem como objetivo analisar os efeitos da
valoriza??o do sal?rio m?nimo no consumo das fam?lias brasileiras, nordestinas e potiguares,
no per?odo de 1995 a 2011. Sob a justificativa do debate acerca da efetividade das pol?ticas
antic?clicas do Brasil, pretende: 1) recuperar o debate te?rico e, em certa medida, a evolu??o
da teoria do consumo agregado, bem como algumas ila??es sobre sua liga??o com o sal?rio
m?nimo; 2) descrever as experi?ncias e os efeitos desta legisla??o na hist?ria econ?mica, com
?nfase para o caso brasileiro; 3) apresentar algumas das bases estat?sticas dispon?veis ?
pesquisa, com aten??o ?s especificidades de cada uma e aos resultados emp?ricos encontrados
para o consumo no Brasil; 4) estimar os efeitos da varia??o do sal?rio m?nimo no consumo
familiar no Brasil (BR), Nordeste (NE) e Rio Grande do Norte (RN). A partir disso, no
sentido de quantificar essa rela??o, realiza infer?ncias dos efeitos da massa salarial e do
sal?rio m?nimo no consumo, em s?ries trimestrais (com ajuste ad hoc a partir dos pesos de
cada trimestre), via modelo cl?ssico de regress?o linear m?ltipla. A hip?tese lan?ada consiste
que: incrementos na renda, derivados da pol?tica de valoriza??o do sal?rio m?nimo
influenciar?o diretamente o consumo das fam?lias. Por?m, quando comparados os resultados
entre as unidades analisadas, a expressividade das fam?lias nordestinas e potiguares frente ?
din?mica nacional com renda vinculada a esse piso, impulsiona impactos mais significativos
nas decis?es de gasto no NE e no RN, reduzindo assim as disparidades regionais de consumo.
Os resultados apontam evid?ncias contr?rias, pois enquanto para o BR uma varia??o unit?ria
no sal?rio m?nimo aumenta o consumo em 1,28 unidades monet?rias, para o NE e RN esses
par?metros s?o, respectivamente, 1,05 e 1,09
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