In January 2005, President Bush announced the Vision for Space Exploration. This vision involved a progressive expansion of human capabilities beyond Low Earth Orbit beginning with a return to the moon no later than 2020. Current design processes utilized to meet this vision employ performance based trade studies to determine the lowest cost, highest reliability solution. The methodology implemented in this dissertation focuses on a concurrent evaluation of the performance, cost, and reliabilities of lunar architectures. This process directly addresses the top level requirements early in the design process and allows the decision maker to evaluate the highest reliability, lowest cost lunar architectures without being distracted by the performance details of the architecture. To achieve this methodology of bringing optimal cost and reliability solutions to the decision maker, parametric performance, cost, and reliability models are created to model each vehicle element. These models were combined using multidisciplinary optimization techniques and response surface equations to create parametric vehicle models which quickly evaluate the performance, reliability, and cost of the vehicles. These parametric models, known as ROSETTA models, combined with a life cycle cost calculator provide the tools necessary to create a lunar architecture simulation. The integration of the tools into an integrated framework that can quickly and accurately evaluate the lunar architectures is presented. This lunar architecture selection tool is verified and validated against the Apollo and ESAS lunar architectures. The results of this lunar architecture selection tool are then combined into a Pareto frontier to guide the decision maker to producing the highest reliability architecture for a given life cycle cost. With this presented methodology, the decision maker can transparently choose a lunar architecture solution based upon the high level design discriminators. This method can achieve significant reductions in life cycle costs (over 40%) keeping the same architecture reliability as a traditional design process. This methodology also allows the decision maker to choose a solution which achieves a significant reduction in failure rate (over 50%) while maintaining the same life cycle costs as the point solution of a traditional design process.

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Weight growth has been a significant factor in nearly every space and launch vehicle development program. In order to account for weight growth, program managers allocate a design margin. However, methods of estimating design margin are not well suited for the task of assigning a design margin for a novel concept. In order to address this problem, a hybrid method of estimating margin is developed. This hybrid method utilizes range estimating, a well-developed method for conducting a bottom-up weight analysis, and a new forecasting technique known as executable morphological analysis. Executable morphological analysis extends morphological analysis in order to extract quantitative information from the morphological field. Specifically, the morphological field is extended by adding attributes (probability and mass impact) to each condition. This extended morphological field is populated with alternate baseline options with corresponding probabilities of occurrence and impact. The overall impact of alternate baseline options can then be estimated by running a Monte Carlo analysis over the extended morphological field. This methodology was applied to two sample problems. First, the historical design changes of the Space Shuttle Orbiter were evaluated utilizing original mass estimates. Additionally, the FAST reference flight system F served as the basis for a complete sample problem; both range estimating and executable morphological analysis were performed utilizing the work breakdown structure created during the conceptual design of this vehicle.

Thermal control in spacecraft will be increasingly important as the spacecraft grows smaller and more compact. Such spacecraft with low thermal mass will have to be designed to retain or reject heat more efficiently. The passive smart radiation device (SRD) is a new type of thermal control material for spacecraft. Current space thermal control systems require heaters with an additional power penalty to maintain spacecraft temperatures during cold swings. Because its emissivity can be changed without electrical instruments or mechanical part, the use of SRD decreases the request of spacecraft power budget. The (SRD) based on VO2 films is one of the most important structures of the functional thermal control surface, being lighter, more advanced and without a moving devices. A large portion of the heat exchange between an object in space and the environment is performed throughout radiation, which is in turn determined by the object surface properties. The modulation device is coated on the spacecraft surface and thus provides a thermal window that can adapt to the changing conditions in orbit. VO2 is well known to have a temperature driven metal to insulator transition ≈ 68ᴼC accompanying a transformation of crystallographic structure, from monoclinic (M-phase, semiconductor) at temperature below 68ᴼC to tetragonal (R-phase, metal) at temperature above 68ᴼC. This transition temperature is accompanied by an increase of infrared reflectivity and a decrease of infrared emissivity with increasing temperature. This flexibility makes VO2 potentially interesting for optical, electrical, and electro-optical switches devices, and as window for energy efficiency buildings applications. This study reports on effect of thickness on VO2 as well as the effect of proton irradiation on VO2 for active smart radiation device (SRD) application. VO2 was deposited on mica by Pulsed laser deposition techniques. The thickness of the film was varied by varying the deposition time. To characterize VO2 the following techniques were performed: XRD, AFM, SEM, TEM, XPS, RBS, RAMAN and transport measurements for optical properties. The effect of proton irradiation was observed using the SEM, where the change in structure, from crystal grains to rods, was observed. / Physics / M.Sc. (Physics)

Thermal control in spacecraft will be increasingly important as the spacecraft grows smaller and more compact. Such spacecraft with low thermal mass will have to be designed to retain or reject heat more efficiently. The passive smart radiation device (SRD) is a new type of thermal control material for spacecraft. Current space thermal control systems require heaters with an additional power penalty to maintain spacecraft temperatures during cold swings. Because its emissivity can be changed without electrical instruments or mechanical part, the use of SRD decreases the request of spacecraft power budget. The (SRD) based on VO2 films is one of the most important structures of the functional thermal control surface, being lighter, more advanced and without a moving devices. A large portion of the heat exchange between an object in space and the environment is performed throughout radiation, which is in turn determined by the object surface properties. The modulation device is coated on the spacecraft surface and thus provides a thermal window that can adapt to the changing conditions in orbit. VO2 is well known to have a temperature driven metal to insulator transition ≈ 68ᴼC accompanying a transformation of crystallographic structure, from monoclinic (M-phase, semiconductor) at temperature below 68ᴼC to tetragonal (R-phase, metal) at temperature above 68ᴼC. This transition temperature is accompanied by an increase of infrared reflectivity and a decrease of infrared emissivity with increasing temperature. This flexibility makes VO2 potentially interesting for optical, electrical, and electro-optical switches devices, and as window for energy efficiency buildings applications. This study reports on effect of thickness on VO2 as well as the effect of proton irradiation on VO2 for active smart radiation device (SRD) application. VO2 was deposited on mica by Pulsed laser deposition techniques. The thickness of the film was varied by varying the deposition time. To characterize VO2 the following techniques were performed: XRD, AFM, SEM, TEM, XPS, RBS, RAMAN and transport measurements for optical properties. The effect of proton irradiation was observed using the SEM, where the change in structure, from crystal grains to rods, was observed. / Physics / M.Sc. (Physics)