Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity change is governed by internal dynamics (e.g. eyewall contraction, eyewall replacement cycles, interactions of the inner-core with the rainbands) and environmental conditions (e.g. vertical wind shear, moisture distribution, and surface properties). This study aims to gain a better understanding of the physical mechanisms responsible for TC intensity changes with a particular focus to those related to the vertical wind shear and surface properties by using high resolution, full physics numerical simulations. First, the effects of the vertical wind shear on a rapidly intensifying storm and its subsequent weakening are examined. Second, a fully coupled atmosphere-wave-ocean model with a sea spray parameterization is used to study the impact of sea spray on the hurricane boundary layer. The coupled model consists of three components: the high resolution, non-hydrostatic, fifth generation Pennsylvania State University-NCAR mesoscale model (MM5), the NOAA/NCEPWAVEWATCH III (WW3) ocean surface wave model, and theWHOI threedimensional upper ocean circulation model (3DPWP). Sea spray parameterizations were developed at NOAA/ESRL and modified by the author to be introduced in uncoupled and coupled simulations. The model simulations are conducted in both uncoupled and coupled modes to isolate various physical processes influencing TC intensity. The very high-resolutionMM5 simulation of Hurricane Lili (at 0.5 km grid resolution) showed a rapid intensification associated with a contracting eyewall. Changes in both the magnitude and the direction of the vertical wind shear associated with an approaching upper-tropospheric trough were responsible for the weakening of the storm before landfall. Hurricane Lili weakened in a 5-10 m/s vertical wind shear environment. The simulated storm experienced wind shear direction normal to the storm motion, which produced a strong wavenumber one rainfall asymmetry in the downshear-left quadrant of the storm. The rainfall asymmetry was confirmed by various observations from the TRMM satellite and the WSR-88D ground radar in the coastal region. The increasing vertical wind shear induced a vertical tilt of the vortex with a time lag of about 5-6 hours after the wavenumber one rainfall asymmetry was first observed in the model simulation. Other key factors controlling intensity and intensity change in tropical cyclones are the air-sea fluxes. Accurate measurement and parameterization of air-sea fluxes under hurricane conditions are challenging. Although recent studies have shown that the momentum exchange coefficient levels off at high wind speed, little is known about the high wind behavior of the exchange coefficient for enthalpy flux. One of the largest uncertainties is the potential impact of sea spray. The current sea spray parameterizations are closely tied to wind speed and tend to overestimate the mediated heat fluxes by sea spray in the hurricane boundary layer. The sea spray generation depends not only on the wind speed but also on the variable wave state. A new spray parameterization based on the surface wave energy dissipation is introduced in the coupled model. In the coupled simulations, the wave energy dissipation is used to quantify the amount of wave breaking related to the generation of sea spray. The spray parameterization coupled to the waves may be an improvement compared to sea spray parameterizations that depends on wind speed only.

The Wind-Evaporation-Sea Surface Temperature (WES) feedback is believedto play an important role in the tropics, where climate variability is governed byatmosphere-ocean coupled interactions. This dissertation reports on studies to distinctlyisolate the WES feedback mechanism over tropical oceans using a modiedversion of an NCAR-Community Climate Model (CCM3) thermodynamically coupledto a slab ocean model, where the WES feedback is deliberately suppressed inthe bulk aerodynamic formulation for surface heat uxes. A comparison of coupledintegrations using the modified WES-off CCM3 to those carried out using the standardCCM3 conclusively identifies the role of the WES feedback in enhancing theinter-annual variability over deep tropical oceans and the westward propagation ofthe equatorial annual cycle. An important role for near surface humidity in tropicalclimate variability in enhancing inter-annual variability and in sustaining the equatorialannual cycle is also suggested. Statistical analyses over the tropical Atlanticreveal that the free coupled meridional mode of the Atlantic Ocean is amplified in thepresence of the WES feedback. Similar analyses of coupled model integrations, whenforced with an articial El Ni~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-like SST cycle in tropicalPacific, reveal that only in the presence of the WES feedback is the meridionalmode the preferred mode of response of the Atlantic to ENSO forcings. It is also foundthat WES feedback reinforces the tendency of the ITCZ to stay north of the equator over the Atlantic during El-Nino events. Comparative studies between Last GlacialMaximum (LGM) equivalent imposed northern hemispheric sea-ice experiments withthe WES-off model and the standard model indicate a dominant role for the WESfeedback in the southward shift of the ITCZ as indicated by paleo-climate records.However, it is found not to be the sole thermodynamic mechanism responsible for thepropagation of high latitude cold SST anomalies to the tropics, suggesting significantroles for other mechanisms in the tropical response to high latitude changes.

The Wind-Evaporation-Sea Surface Temperature (WES) feedback is believedto play an important role in the tropics, where climate variability is governed byatmosphere-ocean coupled interactions. This dissertation reports on studies to distinctlyisolate the WES feedback mechanism over tropical oceans using a modiedversion of an NCAR-Community Climate Model (CCM3) thermodynamically coupledto a slab ocean model, where the WES feedback is deliberately suppressed inthe bulk aerodynamic formulation for surface heat uxes. A comparison of coupledintegrations using the modified WES-off CCM3 to those carried out using the standardCCM3 conclusively identifies the role of the WES feedback in enhancing theinter-annual variability over deep tropical oceans and the westward propagation ofthe equatorial annual cycle. An important role for near surface humidity in tropicalclimate variability in enhancing inter-annual variability and in sustaining the equatorialannual cycle is also suggested. Statistical analyses over the tropical Atlanticreveal that the free coupled meridional mode of the Atlantic Ocean is amplified in thepresence of the WES feedback. Similar analyses of coupled model integrations, whenforced with an articial El Ni~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-like SST cycle in tropicalPacific, reveal that only in the presence of the WES feedback is the meridionalmode the preferred mode of response of the Atlantic to ENSO forcings. It is also foundthat WES feedback reinforces the tendency of the ITCZ to stay north of the equator over the Atlantic during El-Nino events. Comparative studies between Last GlacialMaximum (LGM) equivalent imposed northern hemispheric sea-ice experiments withthe WES-off model and the standard model indicate a dominant role for the WESfeedback in the southward shift of the ITCZ as indicated by paleo-climate records.However, it is found not to be the sole thermodynamic mechanism responsible for thepropagation of high latitude cold SST anomalies to the tropics, suggesting significantroles for other mechanisms in the tropical response to high latitude changes.

No description available.

This study reports on a new formulation of the spectral dissipation source term Sds for wind-wave modelling applications. This new form of Sds features a nonlinear dependence on the local wave spectrum, expressed in terms of the azimuthally integrated saturation parameter B(k)=k^4 F(k). The basic form of this saturation-dependent Sds is based on a new framework for the onset of deep-water wave breaking due to the nonlinear modulation of wave groups. The new form of Sds is succesfully validated through numerical experiments that include exact nonlinear computations of fetch-limited wind-wave evolution and hindcasts of two-dimensional wave fields made with an operational wind-wave model. The newly-proposed form of Sds generates integral spectral parameters that agree more closely with observations when compared to other dissipation source terms used in state-of-the-art wind-wave models. It also provides more flexibility in controlling properties of the wave spectrum within the high wavenumber range. Tests using a variety of wind speeds, three commonly-used wind input source functions and two alternative full-development evolution limits further demonstrate the robustness and flexibility of the new saturation-dependent dissipation source term. Finally, improved wave hindcasts obtained with an implementation of the new form of Sds in a version of the WAM model demonstrate its potential usefulness in operational wind-wave forecasting applications.

O objetivo deste trabalho é investigar a variabilidade das componentes do balanço de calor pela superfície no Atlântico Sul, entre 5oS e 30oS e para o período entre 2000 a 2004, através da combinação de dados provenientes de múltiplos satélites. Com isso, visamos verificar se os processos de troca de calor no oceano são dominados por variabilidade de larga escala e interanual. Os dados de temperatura da superfície do mar, vapor d\'água integrado e precipitação são provenientes do satélite de microondas do Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM). Os dados de vento são obtidos pelo escaterômetro QuikSCAT e estimativas de radiação de ondas curtas e ondas longas são distribuídas pelo projeto Surface Radiation Budget. Utilizamos o algoritmo desenvolvido por Liu et. al. (1979) para o cálculo do fluxo de calor latente e sensível. Para obtermos uma determinação mais precisa dos fluxos turbulentos, utilizamos o algoritmo de Fairall et. al. (1996), onde estimamos a correção de Webb para o calor latente e o calor sensível devido à chuva. Analisamos as variáveis medidas e estimadas em termos da média, anomalia e diagramas de espaço-tempo (Hovmöller). As estimativas de balanço de calor pela superfície mostram que o Atlântico Sul perde calor para a atmosfera, principalmente na forma de calor latente, ao sul de 7oS. Em média, o máximo de perda de calor de -100W/m2 ocorre entre 12oS e 17oS. O balanço de calor é notadamente marcado por um forte ciclo sazonal, onde a amplitude anual chega a 250W/m2. A anomalia do balanço de calor apresenta correlações significativas com fenômenos remotos em escalas interanuais, indicando a estabelecimento de teleconexões rápidas através da atmosfera. / The objective of this study is to investigate the variability of the surface heat budget components in the tropical South Atlantic, between 5oS and 30oS and for the period between 2000 and 2005, through a methodology based on a multi--satellite approach. We aim to verify if the heat exchange processes in the ocean are dominated by large scale and interannual variability. The sea surface temperature, integrated water vapor and precipitation data are obtained by the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) microwave satellite. Wind vectors are measured by the QuikSCAT scatterometer satellite and the estimates of the shortwave and longwave radiation are distributed by the Surface Radiation Budget projetct. We used the algorithm developed by Liu79 et. al. (1979) to estimate the latent and sensible heat fluxes. To obtain a more precise estimation of the turbulent fluxes, we used an algorithm developed by Fairall et. al. (1996), where the Webb correction for the latent heat flux and the sensible heat flux due to the rainfall were included in the calculations. The results were analized in terms of the mean, anomaly, and space--time (Hovmöller) diagrams. The estimates of the surface heat balance showed that the South Atlantic loses heat to the atmosphere, mostly in the form of latent heat fluxes, south of 7oS. On average, there is a maximum in heat loss of -100W/m2 between 12oS e 17oS. The net surface heat flux has a strong seasonal cycle, with an amplitude of about 250W/m2. The surface energy balance shows significant correlations with remote phenomena at interannual scales indicating the establishment of rapid teleconnections through the atmosphere.

By collocating 10 years (1999-2009) of remotely sensed surface turbulent heat fluxes with satellite altimetry data, we investigate the impact of ocean mesoscale eddies on the latent and sensible heat fluxes in the South Atlantic ocean. Eddies were identified using the method proposed by Chaigneau et al. (2009), which is based on closed contours of sea level anomaly. Most of the identified eddies had a radius of ~70 km and amplitude of ~5 cm. On average, in the South Atlantic, eddies play a minor role on the ocean-atmosphere heat exchange. However, in strongly energetic regions such as the Brazil-Malvinas confluence or Agulhas Current retroflection regions, eddies can account up to 20-30% of the total variance of the surface turbulent heat fluxes with averaged anomalies of ±10-20 W/m2 for both heat flux components. Cyclonic (anticyclonic) eddies, associated with negative (positive) heat fluxes anomalies tend to cool (warm) the overlying atmosphere. A composite analysis of the turbulent heat fluxes anomalies within the eddies reveals a direct relationship between the eddy amplitude and the intensity of the latent and sensible fluxes anomalies, such that large-amplitude eddies have a stronger signature in the turbulent surface heat fluxes. Heat fluxes anomalies are also much stronger near the eddy centers and decay radially to reach minimum values outside the eddies. / Uma combinação de 10 anos (1999-2009) de fluxos turbulentos de calor pela superfície, medidos a partir de satélites, e dados altimétricos de anomalia da altura da superfície do mar, foram o utilizados com objetivo de investigar o impacto de vórtices de meso-escala nos fluxos de calor sensível e latente na bacia do Atlântico Sul. Para a detecção dos vórtices foi aplicado o método proposto por Chaigneau et al. (2009), que baseia-se em contornos fechados de anomalia da altura da superfície do mar. A maior parte dos vórtices identificados possui raio de ~70 km e amplitude de ~5 cm. Em média, no Atlântico Sul, o impacto dos vórtices para as trocas de calor entre oceano e atmosfera é relativamente fraco. Entretanto, em regiões de alta variabilidade energética como na Confluência Brasil- Malvinas e na retroflecção da Corrente das Agulhas, vórtices de meso-escala podem contribuir com anomalias médias de até ±10-20 W/m2 nos fluxos turbulentos. Vórtices ciclônicos (anti-ciclônicos), associados com anomalias negativas (positivas) de fluxos de calor, tendem a esfriar (esquentar) a atmosfera adjacente. Mapas composite foram analisados para milhares de vórtices, mostrando um relação direta entre a magnitude das anomalias dos fluxos e a amplitude dos vórtices, de tal modo que vórtices de maior amplitude contribuem com maiores anomalias de calor latente e sensível. Além disso, os padrões espaciais dos composites médios revelam que as anomalias são significativamente maiores próximo ao centro dos vórtices e decaem radialmente até atingirem valores absolutos mínimos fora dos contornos dos vórtices.

By collocating 10 years (1999-2009) of remotely sensed surface turbulent heat fluxes with satellite altimetry data, we investigate the impact of ocean mesoscale eddies on the latent and sensible heat fluxes in the South Atlantic ocean. Eddies were identified using the method proposed by Chaigneau et al. (2009), which is based on closed contours of sea level anomaly. Most of the identified eddies had a radius of ~70 km and amplitude of ~5 cm. On average, in the South Atlantic, eddies play a minor role on the ocean-atmosphere heat exchange. However, in strongly energetic regions such as the Brazil-Malvinas confluence or Agulhas Current retroflection regions, eddies can account up to 20-30% of the total variance of the surface turbulent heat fluxes with averaged anomalies of ±10-20 W/m2 for both heat flux components. Cyclonic (anticyclonic) eddies, associated with negative (positive) heat fluxes anomalies tend to cool (warm) the overlying atmosphere. A composite analysis of the turbulent heat fluxes anomalies within the eddies reveals a direct relationship between the eddy amplitude and the intensity of the latent and sensible fluxes anomalies, such that large-amplitude eddies have a stronger signature in the turbulent surface heat fluxes. Heat fluxes anomalies are also much stronger near the eddy centers and decay radially to reach minimum values outside the eddies. / Uma combinação de 10 anos (1999-2009) de fluxos turbulentos de calor pela superfície, medidos a partir de satélites, e dados altimétricos de anomalia da altura da superfície do mar, foram o utilizados com objetivo de investigar o impacto de vórtices de meso-escala nos fluxos de calor sensível e latente na bacia do Atlântico Sul. Para a detecção dos vórtices foi aplicado o método proposto por Chaigneau et al. (2009), que baseia-se em contornos fechados de anomalia da altura da superfície do mar. A maior parte dos vórtices identificados possui raio de ~70 km e amplitude de ~5 cm. Em média, no Atlântico Sul, o impacto dos vórtices para as trocas de calor entre oceano e atmosfera é relativamente fraco. Entretanto, em regiões de alta variabilidade energética como na Confluência Brasil- Malvinas e na retroflecção da Corrente das Agulhas, vórtices de meso-escala podem contribuir com anomalias médias de até ±10-20 W/m2 nos fluxos turbulentos. Vórtices ciclônicos (anti-ciclônicos), associados com anomalias negativas (positivas) de fluxos de calor, tendem a esfriar (esquentar) a atmosfera adjacente. Mapas composite foram analisados para milhares de vórtices, mostrando um relação direta entre a magnitude das anomalias dos fluxos e a amplitude dos vórtices, de tal modo que vórtices de maior amplitude contribuem com maiores anomalias de calor latente e sensível. Além disso, os padrões espaciais dos composites médios revelam que as anomalias são significativamente maiores próximo ao centro dos vórtices e decaem radialmente até atingirem valores absolutos mínimos fora dos contornos dos vórtices.

O objetivo deste trabalho é investigar a variabilidade das componentes do balanço de calor pela superfície no Atlântico Sul, entre 5oS e 30oS e para o período entre 2000 a 2004, através da combinação de dados provenientes de múltiplos satélites. Com isso, visamos verificar se os processos de troca de calor no oceano são dominados por variabilidade de larga escala e interanual. Os dados de temperatura da superfície do mar, vapor d\'água integrado e precipitação são provenientes do satélite de microondas do Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM). Os dados de vento são obtidos pelo escaterômetro QuikSCAT e estimativas de radiação de ondas curtas e ondas longas são distribuídas pelo projeto Surface Radiation Budget. Utilizamos o algoritmo desenvolvido por Liu et. al. (1979) para o cálculo do fluxo de calor latente e sensível. Para obtermos uma determinação mais precisa dos fluxos turbulentos, utilizamos o algoritmo de Fairall et. al. (1996), onde estimamos a correção de Webb para o calor latente e o calor sensível devido à chuva. Analisamos as variáveis medidas e estimadas em termos da média, anomalia e diagramas de espaço-tempo (Hovmöller). As estimativas de balanço de calor pela superfície mostram que o Atlântico Sul perde calor para a atmosfera, principalmente na forma de calor latente, ao sul de 7oS. Em média, o máximo de perda de calor de -100W/m2 ocorre entre 12oS e 17oS. O balanço de calor é notadamente marcado por um forte ciclo sazonal, onde a amplitude anual chega a 250W/m2. A anomalia do balanço de calor apresenta correlações significativas com fenômenos remotos em escalas interanuais, indicando a estabelecimento de teleconexões rápidas através da atmosfera. / The objective of this study is to investigate the variability of the surface heat budget components in the tropical South Atlantic, between 5oS and 30oS and for the period between 2000 and 2005, through a methodology based on a multi--satellite approach. We aim to verify if the heat exchange processes in the ocean are dominated by large scale and interannual variability. The sea surface temperature, integrated water vapor and precipitation data are obtained by the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) microwave satellite. Wind vectors are measured by the QuikSCAT scatterometer satellite and the estimates of the shortwave and longwave radiation are distributed by the Surface Radiation Budget projetct. We used the algorithm developed by Liu79 et. al. (1979) to estimate the latent and sensible heat fluxes. To obtain a more precise estimation of the turbulent fluxes, we used an algorithm developed by Fairall et. al. (1996), where the Webb correction for the latent heat flux and the sensible heat flux due to the rainfall were included in the calculations. The results were analized in terms of the mean, anomaly, and space--time (Hovmöller) diagrams. The estimates of the surface heat balance showed that the South Atlantic loses heat to the atmosphere, mostly in the form of latent heat fluxes, south of 7oS. On average, there is a maximum in heat loss of -100W/m2 between 12oS e 17oS. The net surface heat flux has a strong seasonal cycle, with an amplitude of about 250W/m2. The surface energy balance shows significant correlations with remote phenomena at interannual scales indicating the establishment of rapid teleconnections through the atmosphere.

Chaque automne, des événements de précipitations intenses (HPEs) ont lieu en Méditerranée nord-occidentale. Cette thèse adopte une approche par la modélisation climatique régionale couplée atmosphère-océan pour traiter de la sensibilité de ces événements à des changements de température de surface de la mer (SST) résultant soit de biais dans le modèle couplé, soit de la réponse de la couche de mélange océanique à des forçages atmosphériques. Deux cas d’études mettent en évidence la sensibilité particulière des zones de convergence d’humidité aux changements de SST. L’élaboration d’indices synthétiques de changements dans les précipitations et de changements de SST en amont des zones précipitantes met en lumière dans plusieurs régions (Cévennes, région de Valence, Calabre) une relation linéaire entre ces deux quantités dans deux plateformes de modélisation différentes : MORCE et CNRM-RCSM4. Dans la région de Valence, en Espagne, nous montrons en outre que les événements de précipitations intenses sont souvent précédés d’un épisode de Mistral qui refroidit la zone amont des précipitations dans les jours précédant celles-ci, refroidissement qui tend ensuite à réduire l’intensité de l’événement précipitant. / Every year in autumn, heavy precipitation events (HPEs) occur in the northwestern Mediterrranean. This thesis uses coupled atmosphere-ocean regional climate modeling to tackle the sensitivity of these events to sea surface temperature (SST) changes coming either from model biases or from the oceanic mixed layer response to atmospheric forcing. Two case studies show the particular sensitivity of moisture convergence zones to SST changes. The use of synthetic indexes of precipitation changes and SST changes in the upstream zones shows a linear relationship between the two indexes in several regions (Cévennes, the region of Valencia, Calabria) in the modeling platforms MORCE and CNRM-RCSM4. Furthermore, we show that the HPEs in the region of Valencia are often preceded by a Mistral event which cools the upstream zone whithin 5 days before the HPEs. In turn, this cooling tends to reduce the intensity of the HPE.