1051 |
BAYESIAN DECISION ANALYSIS OF A STATISTICAL RAINFALL/RUNOFF RELATIONGray, Howard Axtell 10 1900 (has links)
The first purpose of this thesis is to provide a framework for
the inclusion of data from a secondary source in Bayesian decision
analysis as an aid in decision making under uncertainty. A second purpose
is to show that the Bayesian procedures can be implemented on a
computer to obtain accurate results at little expense in computing time.
The state variables of a bridge design example problem are the
unknown parameters of the probability distribution of the primary data.
The primary source is the annual peak flow data for the stream being
spanned. Information pertinent to the choice of bridge design is contained
in rainfall data from gauges on the watershed but the distribution
of this secondary data cannot be directly expressed in terms of
the state variables. This study shows that a linear regression equation
relating the primary and secondary data provides a means of using
secondary data for finding the Bayes risk and expected opportunity loss
associated with any particular bridge design and single new rainfall
observation.
The numerical results for the example problem indicate that the
information gained from the rainfall data reduces the Bayes risk and
expected opportunity loss and allows for a more economical structural
design. Furthermore, the careful choice of the numerical methods employed
reduces the computation time for these quantities to a level
acceptable to any budget.
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1052 |
Hierarchical operational control of automated manufacturing systems李小龍, Lee, Siu-lung, James. January 1997 (has links)
published_or_final_version / Industrial and Manufacturing Systems Engineering / Doctoral / Doctor of Philosophy
|
1053 |
Decision support systems for real estate evaluationSuen, Fun-sing, 孫奮生 January 1994 (has links)
published_or_final_version / Real Estate and Construction / Master / Master of Science in Real Estate and Construction Development
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1054 |
Multi-criteria decision support using analytic hierarchy process: the case study of project site selection關信堅, Kwan, Shun-kin, Dennis. January 1995 (has links)
published_or_final_version / Real Estate and Construction / Master / Master of Science in Construction Project Management
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1055 |
To build a decision support system on a micro-computer: an application for industrial investment decision倫熾亮, Lun, Chi Leung, Kenneth. January 1984 (has links)
published_or_final_version / Business Administration / Master / Master of Business Administration
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1056 |
Decision making style in the construction industryFung, Kit-wing, Eric., 馮傑榮. January 1991 (has links)
published_or_final_version / Business Administration / Master / Master of Business Administration
|
1057 |
A study of decision support system application in productivity measurement by micro-computer蘇植良, So, Chek-leung, Bassanio. January 1985 (has links)
published_or_final_version / Management Studies / Master / Master of Business Administration
|
1058 |
A study of decision support system application in new product development by micro-computerLeung, Chi-tung, 梁志彤 January 1984 (has links)
published_or_final_version / Business Administration / Master / Master of Business Administration
|
1059 |
Replacement decisions of production assets: an optimization approach麥錫民, Mak, Sek-man, Leo. January 1986 (has links)
published_or_final_version / Business Administration / Master / Master of Business Administration
|
1060 |
Tax asymmetry, investment decisions and capital structureYick, Ho-yin., 易浩然. January 2008 (has links)
published_or_final_version / Economics and Finance / Doctoral / Doctor of Philosophy
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