Submitted by Thiago de Lucena Coelho (t.delucena@gmail.com) on 2015-06-19T17:42:03Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Thiago_de_Lucena_Tese.pdf: 367276 bytes, checksum: c57cf9703134e20972975ba58cdc1abf (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Suzinei Teles Garcia Garcia (suzinei.garcia@fgv.br) on 2015-06-19T17:54:32Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 Thiago_de_Lucena_Tese.pdf: 367276 bytes, checksum: c57cf9703134e20972975ba58cdc1abf (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2015-06-19T18:01:34Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Thiago_de_Lucena_Tese.pdf: 367276 bytes, checksum: c57cf9703134e20972975ba58cdc1abf (MD5) Previous issue date: 2015-05-18 / This paper purpose is to study the possible impact that emotional biases might have on voters’ judgements when we use a retrospective voting framework. In order to do so we use soccer as the instrument that may influence mood and emotions. Our fixed effect models show that wins on the election weekend are associated with a increase in incumbent voting, indicating that emotional biases (and soccer) may, in fact, influence voters. / O propósito deste estudo é analisar o possível impacto que um viés emocional possa ter nos julgamentos dos eleitores. Nesse sentido utilizamos o futebol como fonte exógena de um choque. O nosso modelo de efeitos fixos nos leva a concluir que vitórias de equipes no final de semana da eleição estão associadas a maior votação no incumbente indicando que um viés emocional pode influenciar o eleitor.