In January 2005 a trading scheme with emission allowances, including carbon dioxide (CO2), was introduced in Europe. This has influenced the electricity price as well as the price of CO2 emitting production. The paper and pulp industry uses a high share of electricity and emits CO2 and is therefore chosen. This industry is investigated to see if the competitiveness for the industry has been influenced by the emission trading scheme. Since the trial period is too short to give any clear results, USA has been investigated to make comparisons with Sweden. Different theories about the subject together with electricity price and production price data from Statistiska Centralbyrån. A competitiveness model is calculated with help from production prices and show that Sweden has become relatively more competitive compared to the USA since 1995. A reason for this can be the introduction of an emission trading scheme in the USA in 1995. If this is the case, the Swedish paper and pulp industry can face a decrease in competitiveness in the near future.

<p>In January 2005 a trading scheme with emission allowances, including carbon dioxide (CO2), was introduced in Europe. This has influenced the electricity price as well as the price of CO2 emitting production. The paper and pulp industry uses a high share of electricity and emits CO2 and is therefore chosen. This industry is investigated to see if the competitiveness for the industry has been influenced by the emission trading scheme. Since the trial period is too short to give any clear results, USA has been investigated to make comparisons with Sweden. Different theories about the subject together with electricity price and production price data from Statistiska Centralbyrån. A competitiveness model is calculated with help from production prices and show that Sweden has become relatively more competitive compared to the USA since 1995. A reason for this can be the introduction of an emission trading scheme in the USA in 1995. If this is the case, the Swedish paper and pulp industry can face a decrease in competitiveness in the near future.</p>

This Master thesis analyses the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS). The aim is to analyse this instrument and its achievements. Emission allowances represent a new market instrument of the European Union's policy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in order to combat the climate change. The first part of the thesis focuses on international climate negotiations, in particular on the Kyoto Protocol, which triggered the establishment of the EU ETS. The second part focuses on the system functioning and its achievements. The third part deals with the functioning of the EU ETS in the Czech Republic.

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<p>Denna uppsats undersöker vilka faktorer som påverkar förändringar i elspotpriset på Nord Pool. Avsikten är att resultatet skall ligga till grund för en prisuppskattningsmodell för Lunds Energikoncernen AB. Faktorerna bestämdes genom en förstudie där viktig litteratur om elmarknaden studerades samt samtal med Lunds Energikoncernen AB. De faktorer som undersöks i denna uppsats är priset på utsläppsrätter, nettoexport till Tysk-land, temperatur, nederbörd, priset på kol och villaolja samt konjunkturutveckling i Sve-rige.</p><p>Undersökningen av faktorerna bestod av en multipel regressionsanalys med undersökta faktorer som oberoende variabler och elspotpriset på Nord Pool som den beroende va-riabeln. Faktorerna blev indelade i två grupper dagsgruppen och månadsgruppen, grunden till uppdelningen är som namnen antyder att statistiken var observerad dygnsvis och må-nadsvis. I månadsgruppen ingick nettoexport till Tyskland, priset på kol, villaolja samt konjunktur och ur denna grupp visade sig endast nettoexport till Tyskland ha statistisk signifikans.</p><p>I dagsgruppen ingick de faktorer som oftast omnämns i litteraturen som prispåverkande, nämligen temperatur, nederbörd och priset på utsläppsrätter. Dock visade sig nederbörd inte ha någon statistisk signifikant påverkan på elpriset varvid ett nytt test på ett nytt sta-tistiskt underlag gjordes för nederbörden vilket gav samma resultat, vilket var förvånan-de. Både temperatur och priset på utsläppsrätter visade sig dock ha statistisk signifikans och detta intygades genom ytterligare test.</p><p>Härefter gjordes en regressionsanalys med de faktorer visat sig ha statistisk signifikans som oberoende variabler, det vill säga nettoexport till Tyskland, temperatur och priset på utsläppsrätter gentemot elpriset som beroende variabel. Denna enkla prognosmodell kunde förklara så mycket som 70 procent av förändringarna i elpriset.</p><p>Slutligen diskuteras prognosmodellen av författarna, en brist är bland annat att den inte kan förutse hastiga förändringar i priset och att den behöver kalibreras om när den nya handelsperioden för utsläppsrätter sätter i gång 2008. Dock gav analysen positiva signa-ler om att det kan vara möjligt att basera en prismodell på el med de faktorer som har störst inverkan på den dyraste produktionsteknologi som oftast används i elproduktio-nen, då elmarknaden i praktiken tillämpar marginalprissättning.</p> / <p>This thesis examines which factors that drive changes in the electricity spot price on the Nordic energy exchange Nord Pool. The intention with this thesis is to support Lunds Energikoncernen AB to create a pricing model. The factors were determined though a pre-study in which important literature on the electricity market were studied and inter-views with Lunds Energikoncernen AB. The examined factors in this thesis are; the price of emission allowances, net export to Germany, temperature, precipitation, the prices of coal and burning oil and Sweden’s business cycle.</p><p>The factor study was a multiple regression analysis with the above factors as independ-ent variables and the spot price of electricity on Nord Pool as the dependent. The fac-tors were divided in two groups, the day group and the month group, the two groups were decided due to statistical observations. The factors from the former group had daily ob-served data and the latter monthly data. The month group included net exchange with Germany, oil and coal prices and the business cycle which are measured in GDP. In the month group only the net exchange with Germany had statistical significance and was used in further studies.</p><p>In the day group the factors that are mostly discussed in the literature to impact on the electricity price namely, temperature, precipitation, and the price of emission allowances. As it, some what unexpected, turned out the precipitation did not have a statistical affect on the electricity price. The authors chose to carry out another analysis with precipita-tion from another area, neither this result had statistical significance. However, both the temperature and the price of emission allowances did have a statistical significant effect on the electricity price, the result were verified through one more round of analysis.</p><p>After the two initial analyses, a regression analysis with the three factors that had statis-tical significance and the electricity price were used in a final analysis. The factors in-cluded in this regression were net exchange with Germany, temperature and the price of emission allowances. This, somewhat, simple forecasting model explained as much as 70 percent of the changes in the electricity spot price.</p><p>At last the forecasting model were discussed by the authors who identified two major weaknesses, first the model may not explain sudden changes in the electricity price, and second the model has to be re-calibrated when the next trading period for emission al-lowances starts in early 2008. However the analysis did indicate that it might be possible to base an electricity price forecasting model on the factors that affects the most expen-sive production facility that are used to create energy, since the electricity market prac-tice marginal pricing.</p>

Denna uppsats undersöker vilka faktorer som påverkar förändringar i elspotpriset på Nord Pool. Avsikten är att resultatet skall ligga till grund för en prisuppskattningsmodell för Lunds Energikoncernen AB. Faktorerna bestämdes genom en förstudie där viktig litteratur om elmarknaden studerades samt samtal med Lunds Energikoncernen AB. De faktorer som undersöks i denna uppsats är priset på utsläppsrätter, nettoexport till Tysk-land, temperatur, nederbörd, priset på kol och villaolja samt konjunkturutveckling i Sve-rige. Undersökningen av faktorerna bestod av en multipel regressionsanalys med undersökta faktorer som oberoende variabler och elspotpriset på Nord Pool som den beroende va-riabeln. Faktorerna blev indelade i två grupper dagsgruppen och månadsgruppen, grunden till uppdelningen är som namnen antyder att statistiken var observerad dygnsvis och må-nadsvis. I månadsgruppen ingick nettoexport till Tyskland, priset på kol, villaolja samt konjunktur och ur denna grupp visade sig endast nettoexport till Tyskland ha statistisk signifikans. I dagsgruppen ingick de faktorer som oftast omnämns i litteraturen som prispåverkande, nämligen temperatur, nederbörd och priset på utsläppsrätter. Dock visade sig nederbörd inte ha någon statistisk signifikant påverkan på elpriset varvid ett nytt test på ett nytt sta-tistiskt underlag gjordes för nederbörden vilket gav samma resultat, vilket var förvånan-de. Både temperatur och priset på utsläppsrätter visade sig dock ha statistisk signifikans och detta intygades genom ytterligare test. Härefter gjordes en regressionsanalys med de faktorer visat sig ha statistisk signifikans som oberoende variabler, det vill säga nettoexport till Tyskland, temperatur och priset på utsläppsrätter gentemot elpriset som beroende variabel. Denna enkla prognosmodell kunde förklara så mycket som 70 procent av förändringarna i elpriset. Slutligen diskuteras prognosmodellen av författarna, en brist är bland annat att den inte kan förutse hastiga förändringar i priset och att den behöver kalibreras om när den nya handelsperioden för utsläppsrätter sätter i gång 2008. Dock gav analysen positiva signa-ler om att det kan vara möjligt att basera en prismodell på el med de faktorer som har störst inverkan på den dyraste produktionsteknologi som oftast används i elproduktio-nen, då elmarknaden i praktiken tillämpar marginalprissättning. / This thesis examines which factors that drive changes in the electricity spot price on the Nordic energy exchange Nord Pool. The intention with this thesis is to support Lunds Energikoncernen AB to create a pricing model. The factors were determined though a pre-study in which important literature on the electricity market were studied and inter-views with Lunds Energikoncernen AB. The examined factors in this thesis are; the price of emission allowances, net export to Germany, temperature, precipitation, the prices of coal and burning oil and Sweden’s business cycle. The factor study was a multiple regression analysis with the above factors as independ-ent variables and the spot price of electricity on Nord Pool as the dependent. The fac-tors were divided in two groups, the day group and the month group, the two groups were decided due to statistical observations. The factors from the former group had daily ob-served data and the latter monthly data. The month group included net exchange with Germany, oil and coal prices and the business cycle which are measured in GDP. In the month group only the net exchange with Germany had statistical significance and was used in further studies. In the day group the factors that are mostly discussed in the literature to impact on the electricity price namely, temperature, precipitation, and the price of emission allowances. As it, some what unexpected, turned out the precipitation did not have a statistical affect on the electricity price. The authors chose to carry out another analysis with precipita-tion from another area, neither this result had statistical significance. However, both the temperature and the price of emission allowances did have a statistical significant effect on the electricity price, the result were verified through one more round of analysis. After the two initial analyses, a regression analysis with the three factors that had statis-tical significance and the electricity price were used in a final analysis. The factors in-cluded in this regression were net exchange with Germany, temperature and the price of emission allowances. This, somewhat, simple forecasting model explained as much as 70 percent of the changes in the electricity spot price. At last the forecasting model were discussed by the authors who identified two major weaknesses, first the model may not explain sudden changes in the electricity price, and second the model has to be re-calibrated when the next trading period for emission al-lowances starts in early 2008. However the analysis did indicate that it might be possible to base an electricity price forecasting model on the factors that affects the most expen-sive production facility that are used to create energy, since the electricity market prac-tice marginal pricing.

La presente tesis estudia la tributación de la renta derivada del comercio de derechos de emisión de CO2. Este mercado fue implantado por el Protocolo de Kioto para facilitar el cumplimiento de sus objetivos ambientales y constituye un fenómeno jurídico-comercial hasta ahora desconocido que, como tal, tiene sus consecuencias tributarias. El trabajo propone una solución a la compleja cuestión de la tributación de los derechos de emisión de CO2, ya que la normativa vigente resulta insuficiente y desactualizada. Este panorama se complica aún más si se tiene en cuenta el alcance internacional de este mercado. Desde este punto de vista también se estudia en detalle el Convenio de Doble Imposición hispano-argentino e hispano-italiano. La decisión de elegir este tema se centra en su innegable actualidad. Su carácter novedoso está marcado no sólo por el inicio de su funcionamiento (2008) sino también por las características que lo rodean. / The thesis examines the income taxation of the CO2 emission rights trade. This market was adopted by the Kyoto Protocol in order to facilitate the compliance of its environmental objectives and constitutes a legal and commercial phenomenon unknown until recently. As a commercial fact it is subject to taxation The work proposes a solution to the complex issue of the emission rights taxation since the present legislation is insufficient and outdated. This scene is even more complicated because the international implications of this market. In order to that the thesis also studies in detail the Double Taxation Convention between Spain and Argentina and Spain and Italy. The decision to choose this theme focuses on its undeniable current situation. Its innovative character is marked not only by the start of its running (2008) but also by the characteristics that surround it.

The increasing volume of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere has led to the creation of European Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). This system should also fulfil an incentive function to reduce emissions. The EU ETS also participates in revenues of the state budgets. This master thesis deals with impacts of EU ETS on revenues of state budgets for each member states of this system. The thesis is compiled with calculations of revenues of state budgets. This methodology is then applied to the assessment of the impact of auctioning of emission allowances on the Czech state budget and is demonstrated on three possible scenarios.

The aim of this thesis is to analyze the importance of coal-fired power plants on the market of electric energy, with emphasis on aspects that fundamentally affect their production. Coal-fired power plants belongs nowadays among socially unpopular source of electricity. In recent decades intensively growing interest groups that support state intervention and regulation of the energy sector. This is essentially a massive promotion of renewable energy sources at the expense of fossil fuel plants. Analysis of individual power sources shows that despite the current restrictive measures imposed on power plants burning fossil fuels, and especially coal-fired power plants, electricity produced from coal resources is still competitive, despite some drawbacks has many positive qualities. Coal-fired power plants produce higher amounts of greenhouse gases and other pollutants than other types of power plants. On the other hand, they are able to provide a stable supply of electricity to transmission network, and thus partially offset the high volatility of electricity supply from renewable energy sources. The price of electricity from coal-fired power plants could be considered as relatively low in comparison with other energy sources. The analysis shows that in terms of practical economic policy is not economically justified to reduce the proportion of coal-fired power plants in the total production of electricity.

Introduction of emission trading scheme of tradable permits become a great phenomena among energy business agents. Each emitter of CO2 is granted or allocated definite amount of tradable permitts. These allow him to produce one tonne of CO2 or to sell them on the spot or forvard market. Since these tradable permits became valuable (behave as a commercial instrument) they carry two possible usage. To be consumed when producing MWh of energy of to be sold on the market. These alternative usage are according to economy theory opportunity costs, therefore should be considered as the implicit costs and implemented into the price setting. When operating on competitive market, this cost increase should be fully passed on to the price. In this paper we analyze this pass-through of the permits costs. By using regression analysis we try to estimate the pass-through rate of the permits costs in power energy market. We analyze the spot and futures market in the Czech Republic (PXE) and in Germany (EEX). Estimated pass through rate ranges between 0,65 and 1,2. The results emphasize that the energy market is quite competitive, because the costs are more or less fully passed on consumers. One interesting feature arose from results. The pass-through rate greater than one is sort of economically counter-intuitive and should be studied in more detail in some future work.