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Gis-based Spatial Model For Wildfire Simulation: Marmaris & / #65533 / Cetibeli FireTasel, Erdinc 01 November 2003 (has links) (PDF)
Each year many forest fires have occurred and huge amount of forest areas in each country have been lost. Turkey like many world countries have forest fire problem. 27 % of Turkey& / #65533 / s lands are covered by forest and 48 % of these forest
areas are productive, however 52 % of them must be protected. There occurred 21000 forest fires due to several reasons between 1993 and 2002. It is estimated that 23477 ha area has been destroyed annually due to wildfires. The fire management strategies can be built on the scenarios derived from the simulation processes. In this study a GIS & / #65533 / based fire simulating model is used to simulate a past fire occurred in Marmaris & / #65533 / Ç / etibeli, Turkey, in August 2002. This model uses Rothermel& / #65533 / s surface fire model, Rothermel& / #65533 / s and Van Wagner& / #65533 / s
crown fire model and Albini& / #65533 / s torching tree model. The input variables required by the model can be divided into four groups: fuel type, fuel moisture, topography and wind. The suitable fuel type classification of the vegetation of the study area has been performed according to the Northern Forest Fire Laboratory (NFFL) Fuel Model. The fuel moisture data were obtained from the experts working in the General Directorate of Forestry. The fire spread pattern was derived using two IKONOS images representing the pre- and post-fire situations by visual interpretation. Time of arrival, the rate of spread and the spread direction of the fire were obtained as the output and 70 % of the burned area was estimated correctly from the fire simulating model.
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