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Jsou finanční výnosy a volatilita skutečně multifraktální? / Are financial returns and volatility multifractal at all?Sedlaříková, Jana January 2016 (has links)
Over the last decades, multifractality has become a downright stylized fact in financial markets. However, its presence has not been adequately statistically proved. The main aim of this thesis is to contribute to the discussion by an ex- tensive statistical analysis of the problem. We investigate returns and volatility of the collection of the four stock indices employing the three popular methods: the GHE, the MF-DFA, and the MF-DMA method. By comparing the results of the original series to those for simulated monofractal series, we conclude that stock market returns as well as volatility exhibit a multifractal nature. Additionally, in order to understand the origin of underlying multifractality, we study vari- ous surrogate series. We found that a fat-tailed distribution significantly affects multifractality. On the other, we were not able to confirm the impact of time correlations as the results strongly depend on the applied model. JEL Classification F12, G02, G10, C12, C22, C49, C58 Keywords econophysics, multifractality, financial markets, Hurst exponent Author's e-mail jana.sedlarikova@gmail.com Supervisor's e-mail kristoufek@ies-prague.org
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Stochastic stability of viscoelastic systemsHuang, Qinghua 12 May 2008 (has links)
Many new materials used in mechanical and structural engineering exhibit viscoelastic properties, that is, stress depends on the past time history of strain, and vice versa. Investigating the behaviour of viscoelastic materials under dynamical loads is of great theoretical and practical importance for structural design, vibration reduction, and other engineering applications. The objective of this thesis is to find how viscoelasticity affects the stability of structures under random loads.
The time history dependence of viscoelasticity renders the equations of motion of viscoelastic bodies in the form of integro-partial differential equations, which are more difficult to study compared to those of elastic bodies.
The method of stochastic averaging, which has been proved to be an effective tool in the study of dynamical systems, is applied to simplify some single degree-of-freedom linear viscoelastic systems parametrically excited by wide-band noise and narrow-band noise. The solutions of the averaged systems are diffusion processes characterized by Itô differential equations. Therefore, the stability of the solutions is determined in the sense of the moment Lyapunov exponents and Lyapunov exponents, which characterize the moment stability and the almost-sure stability, respectively. The moment Lyapunov exponents may be obtained by solving the averaged Itô equations directly, or by solving the eigenvalue problems governing the moment Lyapunov exponents.
Monte Carlo simulation is applied to study the behaviour of stochastic dynamical systems numerically. Estimating the moments of solutions through sample average may lead to erroneous results under the circumstances that systems exhibit large deviations. An improved algorithm for simulating the moment Lyapunov exponents of linear homogeneous stochastic systems is presented. Under certain conditions, the logarithm of norm of a solution converges weakly to normal distribution after suitably normalized. This property, along with the results of Komlós-Major-Tusnády for sums of independent random variables, are applied to construct the algorithm. The numerical results obtained from the improved algorithm are used to determine the accuracy of the approximate analytical moment Lyapunov exponents obtained from the averaged systems. In this way the effectiveness of the stochastic averaging method is confirmed.
The world is essentially nonlinear. A single degree-of-freedom viscoelastic system with cubic nonlinearity under wide-band noise excitation is studied in this thesis. The approximated nonlinear stochastic system is obtained through the stochastic averaging method. Stability and bifurcation properties of the averaged system are verified by numerical simulation. The existence of nonlinearity makes the system stable in one of the two stationary states.
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Stochastic stability of viscoelastic systemsHuang, Qinghua 12 May 2008 (has links)
Many new materials used in mechanical and structural engineering exhibit viscoelastic properties, that is, stress depends on the past time history of strain, and vice versa. Investigating the behaviour of viscoelastic materials under dynamical loads is of great theoretical and practical importance for structural design, vibration reduction, and other engineering applications. The objective of this thesis is to find how viscoelasticity affects the stability of structures under random loads.
The time history dependence of viscoelasticity renders the equations of motion of viscoelastic bodies in the form of integro-partial differential equations, which are more difficult to study compared to those of elastic bodies.
The method of stochastic averaging, which has been proved to be an effective tool in the study of dynamical systems, is applied to simplify some single degree-of-freedom linear viscoelastic systems parametrically excited by wide-band noise and narrow-band noise. The solutions of the averaged systems are diffusion processes characterized by Itô differential equations. Therefore, the stability of the solutions is determined in the sense of the moment Lyapunov exponents and Lyapunov exponents, which characterize the moment stability and the almost-sure stability, respectively. The moment Lyapunov exponents may be obtained by solving the averaged Itô equations directly, or by solving the eigenvalue problems governing the moment Lyapunov exponents.
Monte Carlo simulation is applied to study the behaviour of stochastic dynamical systems numerically. Estimating the moments of solutions through sample average may lead to erroneous results under the circumstances that systems exhibit large deviations. An improved algorithm for simulating the moment Lyapunov exponents of linear homogeneous stochastic systems is presented. Under certain conditions, the logarithm of norm of a solution converges weakly to normal distribution after suitably normalized. This property, along with the results of Komlós-Major-Tusnády for sums of independent random variables, are applied to construct the algorithm. The numerical results obtained from the improved algorithm are used to determine the accuracy of the approximate analytical moment Lyapunov exponents obtained from the averaged systems. In this way the effectiveness of the stochastic averaging method is confirmed.
The world is essentially nonlinear. A single degree-of-freedom viscoelastic system with cubic nonlinearity under wide-band noise excitation is studied in this thesis. The approximated nonlinear stochastic system is obtained through the stochastic averaging method. Stability and bifurcation properties of the averaged system are verified by numerical simulation. The existence of nonlinearity makes the system stable in one of the two stationary states.
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Aplikace R/S analýzy na finančních trzích / Application of R/S Analysis at Financial MarketsVilhanová, Vanda January 2007 (has links)
The aim of this graduation thesis is the descriptiton of R/S analysis and it's aplication on chosen time series of share prices and exchange rates. Some main models of financial time series will be mentioned in the second chapter. There will described basic linear models of stationary and non stationary time series and models of volatility. Then we will focus on the main theme of this thesis, R/S analysis. The algorithm of R/S analysis and the interpretation of the Hurst exponent will be described in the forth chapter. In the fifth chapter, the R/S analysis will by applied on real data sets. There will be two data sest of share prices of Telefónica O2 and Philip Morris and two data sets of exchange rates CZK/EUR and CZK/USD. The results will be interpreted and compared.
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Essays on Zipf´s Law for Cities / Zipf's law for cities: Is Zipf exponent correlated with level of freedom?Šindelář, Jakub January 2012 (has links)
This master thesis contains three independent papers on the Zip's law for cities. In the first essay I summarize accumulated knowledge and use examples from the Czech Republic to show problems of the empirical research. The main findings of this essay are: City size distribution in the Czech Republic can be better described by a log-normal distribution than by a Pareto distribution; Pareto exponents are sensitive to sample selection. The second essay is the largest empirical cross-country study on Zipf's law for cites. The mean value for 157 countries is 0.919. The comparison with the study by Soo (2005) showed a decreasing tendency of the Pareto exponent, since for the same countries, the average exponent decreased from 1.11 to 1.02. One possible explanation of this trend is the process of urbanization. The last essay looks at the topic from a different angle. I have developed an agent based model to describe the process of suburbanization and cities merging and its impact on the size of the Pareto exponent. I have shown that when cities merge, the exponent starts to fall down from a steady state.
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The Influence of High Solids Loading and Scale on Coal Slurry Just-Suspended AgitationLiu, Hong 26 August 2014 (has links)
No description available.
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Understanding extremes and clustering in chaotic maps and financial returns dataAlokley, Sara Ali January 2015 (has links)
In this thesis we present a numerical and analytical study of modelling extremes in chaotic dynamical systems. We study a range of examples with different dependency structures, and different clustering characteristics. We compare our analysis to the extreme statistics observed for financial returns data, and hence consider the modelling potential of using chaotic systems for understanding financial returns. As part of the study we use the block maxima approach and the peak over threshold method to compute the distribution parameters that arise in the corresponding extreme value distributions. We compare these computations to the theoretical answers, and moreover we obtain error bounds on the rate of convergence of these schemes. In particular we investigate the optimal block size when applying the block maxima method. Since the time series of observations on a dynamical system have dependency we must therefore go beyond the classic approach of studying extremes for independent identically distributed random variables. This is the main purpose of our study. As part of this thesis, we also study clustering in financial returns, and again investigate the potential of using dynamical systems models. Moreover we can also compare numerical quantification of clustering with theoretical approaches. As further work, we measure the dependency structures in our models using a rescaled range analysis. We also make preliminary investigations into record statistics for dynamical systems models, and relate our findings to record statistics in financial data, and to other models (such as random walk models).
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Woman's Exponent: Cradle of Literary Culture Among Early Mormon WomenPage, Alfene 01 May 1988 (has links)
The purpose of this paper was to define and discuss the early Mormon women's newspaper, Woman's Exponent, and its editors in developing a literary culture among Mormon women. Woman's Exponent served as the primary source of research to show through its literature that the women of Utah were encouraged to express themselves freely, and present their way of life to a world that held a grossly distorted view of them. The Exponent provided the forum for skilled writers to polish their craft, and new writers to develop their talents. The literary influence of the Exponent encouraged the women writers to publish individual volumes of poetry, biography, and histories. The writers acknowledged the Woman's Exponent as their platform for expression, their window-on-the-world. It faithfully recorded their history and served as the cradle for literary culture among the mormon women.
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Spreading of wave packets in lattices with correlated disorder / Spridning av v ̊agpaket i gitter med korrelerad oordningRönnbäck, Jakob January 2011 (has links)
It is known that a highly ordered medium allows certain wave functions to move unhindered throughout and in this manner achieve delocalization. It is also known that if one introduces disorder into a medium, wave packets will not be able to move as freely and will instead be trapped or localized. In this thesis, I have simulated a medium in which the amount of disorder can be modified and using this I have shown that the shape of the localization can be altered.
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Invariant Measures on Projective SpaceChao, Chihyi 13 June 2002 (has links)
In 2 ¡Ñ2 case,we discuss the uniqueness of the
u-invariant measure on projective space.Under the condition that |detM|=1 for any M in Gu and Gu is not compact,we have the followings:
(1) For any x in P(R^2),if #{M¡Dx|M belongs Gu}>2, then the u-invariant measure is unique.
(2) For some x in P(R^2),there exists
x1,x2 such that {M¡Dx|M belongs Gu} is contained in {x1,x2},if x1 and x2 are both fixed,then the
u-invariant measure v is not unique;otherwise,if u has mass only on x1 and x2,then the u-invariant
measure is unique.
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