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Martingale methods in stochastic controlJanuary 1979 (has links)
M.H.A. Davis. / Bibliography: leaves 30-33. / "January, 1979." / U.S. Air Force Office of Sponsored Research Grant AFOSR 77-3281 Department of Energy Contract EX-76-A-01-2295
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Variations of stochastic processes : alternative approaches /Swanson, Jason, January 2004 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Washington, 2004. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (p. 118-120).
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Galois martingales and the hyperbolic subset of the p-adic Mandelbrot set /Jones, Rafe. January 2005 (has links)
Thesis (Ph.D.)--Brown University, 2005. / Vita. Thesis advisor: Joseph Silverman. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 87-90). Also available online.
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Portfolio optimization problems : a martingale and a convex duality approachTchamga, Nicole Flaure Kouemo 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MSc (Mathematics))--University of Stellenbosch, 2010. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: The first approach initiated by Merton [Mer69, Mer71] to solve utility maximization portfolio
problems in continuous time is based on stochastic control theory. The idea of Merton
was to interpret the maximization portfolio problem as a stochastic control problem where
the trading strategies are considered as a control process and the portfolio wealth as the
controlled process. Merton derived the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation and for
the special case of power, logarithm and exponential utility functions he produced a closedform
solution. A principal disadvantage of this approach is the requirement of the Markov
property for the stocks prices. The so-called martingale method represents the second
approach for solving utility maximization portfolio problems in continuous time. It was
introduced by Pliska [Pli86], Cox and Huang [CH89, CH91] and Karatzas et al. [KLS87]
in di erent variant. It is constructed upon convex duality arguments and allows one to
transform the initial dynamic portfolio optimization problem into a static one and to resolve
it without requiring any \Markov" assumption. A de nitive answer (necessary and
su cient conditions) to the utility maximization portfolio problem for terminal wealth has
been obtained by Kramkov and Schachermayer [KS99]. In this thesis, we study the convex
duality approach to the expected utility maximization problem (from terminal wealth) in
continuous time stochastic markets, which as already mentioned above can be traced back
to the seminal work by Merton [Mer69, Mer71]. Before we detail the structure of our
thesis, we would like to emphasize that the starting point of our work is based on Chapter
7 in Pham [P09] a recent textbook. However, as the careful reader will notice, we have
deepened and added important notions and results (such as the study of the upper (lower)
hedge, the characterization of the essential supremum of all the possible prices, compare
Theorem 7.2.2 in Pham [P09] with our stated Theorem 2.4.9, the dynamic programming
equation 2.31, the superhedging theorem 2.6.1...) and we have made a considerable e ort
in the proofs. Indeed, several proofs of theorems in Pham [P09] have serious gaps (not to
mention typos) and even
aws (for example see the proof of Proposition 7.3.2 in Pham [P09] and our proof of Proposition 3.4.8). In the rst chapter, we state the expected utility
maximization problem and motivate the convex dual approach following an illustrative
example by Rogers [KR07, R03]. We also brie
y review the von Neumann - Morgenstern
Expected Utility Theory. In the second chapter, we begin by formulating the superreplication
problem as introduced by El Karoui and Quenez [KQ95]. The fundamental result in
the literature on super-hedging is the dual characterization of the set of all initial endowments
leading to a super-hedge of a European contingent claim. El Karoui and Quenez
[KQ95] rst proved the superhedging theorem 2.6.1 in an It^o di usion setting and Delbaen
and Schachermayer [DS95, DS98] generalized it to, respectively, a locally bounded
and unbounded semimartingale model, using a Hahn-Banach separation argument. The
superreplication problem inspired a very nice result, called the optional decomposition
theorem for supermartingales 2.4.1, in stochastic analysis theory. This important theorem
introduced by El Karoui and Quenez [KQ95], and extended in full generality by Kramkov
[Kra96] is stated in Section 2.4 and proved at the end of Section 2.7. The third chapter
forms the theoretical core of this thesis and it contains the statement and detailed
proof of the famous Kramkov-Schachermayer Theorem that addresses the duality of utility
maximization portfolio problems. Firstly, we show in Lemma 3.2.1 how to transform the
dynamic utility maximization problem into a static maximization problem. This is done
thanks to the dual representation of the set of European contingent claims, which can be
dominated (or super-hedged) almost surely from an initial endowment x and an admissible
self- nancing portfolio strategy given in Corollary 2.5 and obtained as a consequence of
the optional decomposition of supermartingale. Secondly, under some assumptions on the
utility function, the existence and uniqueness of the solution to the static problem is given
in Theorem 3.2.3. Because the solution of the static problem is not easy to nd, we will
look at it in its dual form. We therefore synthesize the dual problem from the primal
problem using convex conjugate functions. Before we state the Kramkov-Schachermayer
Theorem 3.4.1, we present the Inada Condition and the Asymptotic Elasticity Condition
for Utility functions. For the sake of clarity, we divide the long and technical proof of
Kramkov-Schachermayer Theorem 3.4.1 into several lemmas and propositions of independent
interest, where the required assumptions are clearly indicate for each step of the
proof. The key argument in the proof of Kramkov-Schachermayer Theorem is an in nitedimensional
version of the minimax theorem (the classical method of nding a saddlepoint
for the Lagrangian is not enough in our situation), which is central in the theory of Lagrange multipliers. For this, we have stated and proved the technical Lemmata 3.4.5 and
3.4.6. The main steps in the proof of the the Kramkov-Schachermayer Theorem 3.4.1 are:
We show in Proposition 3.4.9 that the solution to the dual problem exists and we
characterize it in Proposition 3.4.12.
From the construction of the dual problem, we nd a set of necessary and su cient
conditions (3.1.1), (3.1.2), (3.3.1) and (3.3.7) for the primal and dual problems to
each have a solution.
Using these conditions, we can show the existence of the solution to the given problem
and characterize it in terms of the market parameters and the solution to the dual
problem.
In the last chapter we will present and study concrete examples of the utility maximization
portfolio problem in speci c markets. First, we consider the complete markets case, where
closed-form solutions are easily obtained. The detailed solution to the classical Merton
problem with power utility function is provided. Lastly, we deal with incomplete markets
under It^o processes and the Brownian ltration framework. The solution to the logarithmic
utility function as well as to the power utility function is presented. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die eerste benadering, begin deur Merton [Mer69, Mer71], om nutsmaksimering portefeulje
probleme op te los in kontinue tyd is gebaseer op stogastiese beheerteorie. Merton
se idee is om die maksimering portefeulje probleem te interpreteer as 'n stogastiese
beheer probleem waar die handelstrategi e as 'n beheer-proses beskou word en die portefeulje
waarde as die gereguleerde proses. Merton het die Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB)
vergelyking afgelei en vir die spesiale geval van die mags, logaritmies en eksponensi ele
nutsfunksies het hy 'n oplossing in geslote-vorm gevind. 'n Groot nadeel van hierdie benadering
is die vereiste van die Markov eienskap vir die aandele pryse. Die sogenaamde
martingale metode verteenwoordig die tweede benadering vir die oplossing van nutsmaksimering
portefeulje probleme in kontinue tyd. Dit was voorgestel deur Pliska [Pli86], Cox
en Huang [CH89, CH91] en Karatzas et al. [KLS87] in verskillende wisselvorme. Dit word
aangevoer deur argumente van konvekse dualiteit, waar dit in staat stel om die aanvanklike
dinamiese portefeulje optimalisering probleem te omvorm na 'n statiese een en dit op te
los sonder dat' n \Markov" aanname gemaak hoef te word. 'n Bepalende antwoord (met
die nodige en voldoende voorwaardes) tot die nutsmaksimering portefeulje probleem vir
terminale vermo e is verkry deur Kramkov en Schachermayer [KS99]. In hierdie proefskrif
bestudeer ons die konveks dualiteit benadering tot die verwagte nuts maksimering probleem
(van terminale vermo e) in kontinue tyd stogastiese markte, wat soos reeds vermeld is
teruggevoer kan word na die seminale werk van Merton [Mer69, Mer71]. Voordat ons die
struktuur van ons tesis uitl^e, wil ons graag beklemtoon dat die beginpunt van ons werk
gebaseer is op Hoofstuk 7 van Pham [P09] se onlangse handboek. Die noukeurige leser
sal egter opmerk, dat ons belangrike begrippe en resultate verdiep en bygelas het (soos
die studie van die boonste (onderste) verskansing, die karakterisering van die noodsaaklike
supremum van alle moontlike pryse, vergelyk Stelling 7.2.2 in Pham [P09] met ons verklaarde
Stelling 2.4.9, die dinamiese programerings vergelyking 2.31, die superverskansing stelling 2.6.1...) en ons het 'n aansienlike inspanning in die bewyse gemaak. Trouens,
verskeie bewyse van stellings in Pham cite (P09) het ernstige gapings (nie te praat van
setfoute nie) en selfs foute (kyk byvoorbeeld die bewys van Stelling 7.3.2 in Pham [P09]
en ons bewys van Stelling 3.4.8). In die eerste hoofstuk, sit ons die verwagte nutsmaksimering
probleem uit een en motiveer ons die konveks duaale benadering gebaseer op 'n
voorbeeld van Rogers [KR07, R03]. Ons gee ook 'n kort oorsig van die von Neumann -
Morgenstern Verwagte Nutsteorie. In die tweede hoofstuk, begin ons met die formulering
van die superreplikasie probleem soos voorgestel deur El Karoui en Quenez [KQ95]. Die
fundamentele resultaat in die literatuur oor super-verskansing is die duaale karakterisering
van die versameling van alle eerste skenkings wat lei tot 'n super-verskans van' n Europese
voorwaardelike eis. El Karoui en Quenez [KQ95] het eers die super-verskansing stelling
2.6.1 bewys in 'n It^o di usie raamwerk en Delbaen en Schachermayer [DS95, DS98] het
dit veralgemeen na, onderskeidelik, 'n plaaslik begrensde en onbegrensde semimartingale
model, met 'n Hahn-Banach skeidings argument. Die superreplikasie probleem het 'n prag
resultaat ge nspireer, genaamd die opsionele ontbinding stelling vir supermartingales 2.4.1
in stogastiese ontledings teorie. Hierdie belangrike stelling wat deur El Karoui en Quenez
[KQ95] voorgestel is en tot volle veralgemening uitgebrei is deur Kramkov [Kra96] is uiteengesit
in Afdeling 2.4 en bewys aan die einde van Afdeling 2.7. Die derde hoofstuk vorm
die teoretiese basis van hierdie proefskrif en bevat die verklaring en gedetailleerde bewys
van die beroemde Kramkov-Schachermayer stelling wat die dualiteit van nutsmaksimering
portefeulje probleme adresseer. Eerstens, wys ons in Lemma 3.2.1 hoe om die dinamiese
nutsmaksimering probleem te omskep in 'n statiese maksimerings probleem. Dit kan gedoen
word te danke aan die duaale voorstelling van die versameling Europese voorwaardelike
eise, wat oorheers (of super-verskans) kan word byna seker van 'n aanvanklike skenking x en
'n toelaatbare self- nansierings portefeulje strategie wat in Gevolgtrekking 2.5 gegee word
en verkry is as gevolg van die opsionele ontbinding van supermartingale. In die tweede plek,
met sekere aannames oor die nutsfunksie, is die bestaan en uniekheid van die oplossing van
die statiese probleem gegee in Stelling 3.2.3. Omdat die oplossing van die statiese probleem
nie maklik verkrygbaar is nie, sal ons kyk na die duaale vorm. Ons sintetiseer dan die
duale probleem van die prim^ere probleem met konvekse toegevoegde funksies. Voordat ons
die Kramkov-Schachermayer Stelling 3.4.1 beskryf, gee ons die Inada voorwaardes en die
Asimptotiese Elastisiteits Voorwaarde vir Nutsfunksies. Ter wille van duidelikheid, verdeel
ons die lang en tegniese bewys van die Kramkov-Schachermayer Stelling ref in verskeie lemmas en proposisies op, elk van onafhanklike belang waar die nodige aannames duidelik
uiteengesit is vir elke stap van die bewys. Die belangrikste argument in die bewys van die
Kramkov-Schachermayer Stelling is 'n oneindig-dimensionele weergawe van die minimax
stelling (die klassieke metode om 'n saalpunt vir die Lagrange-funksie te bekom is nie genoeg
in die geval nie), wat noodsaaklik is in die teorie van Lagrange-multiplikators. Vir
die, meld en bewys ons die tegniese Lemmata 3.4.5 en 3.4.6. Die belangrikste stappe in
die bewys van die die Kramkov-Schachermayer Stelling 3.4.1 is:
Ons wys in Proposisie 3.4.9 dat die oplossing vir die duale probleem bestaan en ons
karaktiriseer dit in Proposisie 3.4.12.
Uit die konstruksie van die duale probleem vind ons 'n versameling nodige en voldoende
voorwaardes (3.1.1), (3.1.2), (3.3.1) en (3.3.7) wat die prim^ere en duale probleem
oplossings elk moet aan voldoen.
Deur hierdie voorwaardes te gebruik, kan ons die bestaan van die oplossing vir die
gegewe probleem wys en dit karakteriseer in terme van die mark parameters en die
oplossing vir die duale probleem.
In die laaste hoofstuk sal ons konkrete voorbeelde van die nutsmaksimering portefeulje
probleem bestudeer vir spesi eke markte. Ons kyk eers na die volledige markte geval waar
geslote-vorm oplossings maklik verkrygbaar is. Die gedetailleerde oplossing vir die klassieke
Merton probleem met mags nutsfunksie word voorsien. Ten slotte, hanteer ons onvolledige
markte onderhewig aan It^o prosesse en die Brown ltrering raamwerk. Die oplossing vir
die logaritmiese nutsfunksie, sowel as die mags nutsfunksie word aangebied.
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Martingale estimation of Lévy processes and its extension to structural credit risk models.January 2010 (has links)
Lam, Ho Man. / "August 2010." / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2010. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 42-43). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1 / Chapter 2 --- Levy Process --- p.5 / Chapter 2.1 --- Merton's Jump-Diffusion model (1976) --- p.8 / Chapter 2.2 --- Estimation of Levy processes --- p.9 / Chapter 3 --- Transform Martingale Estimation --- p.11 / Chapter 3.1 --- Maximum Likelihood Estimation --- p.11 / Chapter 3.2 --- Transform Martingale Estimating Functions --- p.13 / Chapter 3.2.1 --- Transform Quasi-Score Function --- p.15 / Chapter 3.2.2 --- Composite Quasi-Score Function --- p.17 / Chapter 3.2.3 --- Implementation Issue --- p.18 / Chapter 3.2.4 --- Transform Martingale Estimation on Levy process --- p.21 / Chapter 4 --- Structural Models of Credit Risk --- p.22 / Chapter 4.1 --- Overview --- p.22 / Chapter 4.2 --- Merton's structural credit risk model (1974) --- p.23 / Chapter 4.3 --- Estimation Methodologies --- p.24 / Chapter 4.4 --- Martingale Estimation with KMV's Method --- p.26 / Chapter 5 --- Simulation Study --- p.28 / Chapter 5.1 --- Equity Estimation --- p.28 / Chapter 5.2 --- Estimation of Structural Models --- p.37 / Chapter 6 --- Conclusion --- p.41 / Bibliography --- p.42
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Estimation for state space models quasi-likelihood and asymptotic quasi-likelihood approaches /Al zghool, Raed Ahmad Hasan. January 2008 (has links)
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Wollongong, 2008. / Typescript. Includes bibliographical references: leaf 239-254.
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Analytic pricing of American put optionsGlover, Elistan Nicholas January 2009 (has links)
American options are the most commonly traded financial derivatives in the market. Pricing these options fairly, so as to avoid arbitrage, is of paramount importance. Closed form solutions for American put options cannot be utilised in practice and so numerical techniques are employed. This thesis looks at the work done by other researchers to find an analytic solution to the American put option pricing problem and suggests a practical method, that uses Monte Carlo simulation, to approximate the American put option price. The theory behind option pricing is first discussed using a discrete model. Once the concepts of arbitrage-free pricing and hedging have been dealt with, this model is extended to a continuous-time setting. Martingale theory is introduced to put the option pricing theory in a more formal framework. The construction of a hedging portfolio is discussed in detail and it is shown how financial derivatives are priced according to a unique riskneutral probability measure. Black-Scholes model is discussed and utilised to find closed form solutions to European style options. American options are discussed in detail and it is shown that under certain conditions, American style options can be solved according to closed form solutions. Various numerical techniques are presented to approximate the true American put option price. Chief among these methods is the Richardson extrapolation on a sequence of Bermudan options method that was developed by Geske and Johnson. This model is extended to a Repeated-Richardson extrapolation technique. Finally, a Monte Carlo simulation is used to approximate Bermudan put options. These values are then extrapolated to approximate the price of an American put option. The use of extrapolation techniques was hampered by the presence of non-uniform convergence of the Bermudan put option sequence. When convergence was uniform, the approximations were accurate up to a few cents difference.
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A medida harmônica do cubo / The harmonic measure of the cubeCosta, Marcelo Rocha, 1989- 25 August 2018 (has links)
Orientador: Serguei Popov / Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Instituto de Matemática Estatística e Computação Científica / Made available in DSpace on 2018-08-25T09:42:00Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
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Previous issue date: 2014 / Resumo: O problema considerado no presente trabalho cumpre o papel de reforçar a eficácia dos métodos apresentados nos capítulos introdutórios, bem como investiga a resposta de um problema até então não publicado na literatura especializada. Introduzimos uma partícula realizando um passeio aleatório simples no espaço, ou seja, uma partícula que a cada passo escolhe uniformemente um de seus vizinhos para onde irá saltar. Fixando sua posição inicial ao longo da fronteira do cubo, pergunta-se: qual é a probabilidade de que a trajetória de tal partícula nunca mais retorne ao cubo? Em outras palavras, se T é o tempo de primeiro retorno ao cubo, estamos interessados em descrever o comportamento assintótico da probabilidade de que T seja infinito / Abstract: It has been considered in this work a problem which play a role of showing the effectiveness of the content covered in the introductory chapters, as well as it is a unsolved problem across the specialized literature. We introduce a particle performing a simple random walk in space, i.e., a particle which at each step choose uniformly one of its neighbourhood sites to which it then jumps into. Fixed its initial position along the boundary of a cube, we are interested in answering the following question: what is the probability that such particle's trajectory will never reach the cube again. In other words, if T is the first return time to the cube, we aim to analyse the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that T is infinite / Mestrado / Estatistica / Mestre em Estatística
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Aplicações harmonicas e martingales em variedades / Harmonic mappings and martingales in manifoldsSilva, Fabiano Borges da 18 February 2005 (has links)
Orientador: Paulo Regis Caron Ruffino / Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Instituto de Matematica, Estatistica e Computação Cientifica / Made available in DSpace on 2018-08-04T03:35:11Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1
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Previous issue date: 2005 / Resumo: Este trabalho tem por finalidade explorar resultados de aplicacoes harmonicas, atraves do calculo estocastico em variedades. Esta organizado da seguinte forma: Nos dois primeiros capitulos sao introduzidos conceitos e resultados sobre calculo estocastico no Rn, geometria
diferencial e grupos de Lie. No terceiro capitulo temos as definicoes de aplicacoes harmonicas e a equacao de Euler-Lagrange. E finalmente, no ultimo, damos uma caracterizacao para aplicacoes harmonicas atraves de martingales, que sera importante para explorar alguns resultados sobre aplicacoes harmonicas do ponto de vista do calculo estocastico em variedades / Abstract: In this work we explore results of harmonic mappings, via stochastic calculus in manifolds. The text is organized as follows: In the first two chapters, we introduce concepts and results about stochastic calculus in Rn, differential geometry and Lie groups. In the third chapter we have the definitions of harmonic mappings and the Euler-Lagrange equation. Finally, in the last chapter, we give a characterization of harmonic mappings via martingales, this will be important to explore some results about harmonic mappings from the point of view of stochastic calculus in manifolds / Mestrado / Matematica / Mestre em Matemática
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Teoria de precificação e hedging e o caso de uma opção com barreira / Theory of princing and hedging and the case of a Barrier optionRosalino Junior, Estevão 17 June 2013 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2013-06-17 / Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cientifico e Tecnologico / We address the theory of no-arbitrage pricing of derivatives and hedging strategies. The continuous-time model
of the underlying stock price that we consider is the Geometric Brownian Motion, which parameters
(mean rate of return and volatility) are initially set as stochastic processes and, in the sequel,
specified as deterministic functions of time or constant values.
With a view to providing self-sufficiency for the text, we have included the necessary fundamental theory
and derived the Partial Differential Equation (PDE) for the price of derivatives with payoffs that are
functions of the time and of the stock price at maturity, while the stock is now governed by the local
volatility model (in which the parameters are functions of time and of the stock price at each moment).
Focusing the particular niche where parameters are, except for very mild constraints, arbitrary
deterministic functions of time, we develop explicit formulae for both the price and the hedging
strategy for an European call option, as well as the particular shape of the associated PDEs.
The generalization of the above scenario corresponds to the main result of this thesis which, to the best
of our knowledge, is new: we assume (as above) the model where parameters are arbitrary deterministic
functions of time and an European call option with a moving barrier of a special sort - which we name discounted
barrier. Still, we obtain explicit formulas for both the exact price and hedging strategy.
The shape of the barrier option under consideration is attractive from the point of view of the dealer,
since it is in fact constant if tested against the discounted risky asset price. Moreover, the riskless
asset - which accounts for discounting - is the dealers reference for profit evaluation.
Some tools employed in this work are the risk-neutral (or martingale) measure and
an extension of the Reflection Principle for Brownian Motion. / Nós abordamos a teoria de preços livres de arbitragem de derivativos e estratégias de hedging.
O modelo a tempo contínuo que consideramos para o preço das ações é o Movimento Browniano Geométrico, cujos parâmetros (taxa média de retorno e volatilidade) são inicialmente definidos como processos estocásticos,
para daí serem especificados por funções determinísticas do tempo ou valores constantes.
Com vistas a dar um cunho autossuficiente à dissertação, desenvolvemos a teoria de base e a Equação Diferencial Parcial (EDP) para o preço de derivativos cujos payoffs são funções do tempo e do preço da ação, ambos na expiração, enquanto que a ação é governada pelo modelo de volatilidade local (no qual os parâmetros são funções do tempo e do preço da ação a cada instante).
No caso particular onde os parâmetros são, salvo restrições brandas, funções determinísticas arbitrárias do tempo, desenvolvemos fórmulas explícitas para o preço e para a estratégia de hedging para uma opção de compra Europeia, bem como a forma particular das EDPs associadas.
A generalização do cenário acima constitui o resultado principal desta dissertação, novo na literatura: assumimos (como acima) o modelo onde os parâmetros são funções determinísticas arbitrárias do tempo e uma opção de compra Europeia com uma barreira móvel de um tipo específico - a qual chamamos barreira descontada. Ainda assim, obtemos fórmulas explícitas tanto para o preço quanto para a estratégia de hedging. O formato da barreira móvel considerada é atrativo do ponto de vista prático de mercado, uma vez que é, de fato, constante se testada contra o preço descontado do ativo de risco. Ademais, é em relação ao ativo sem risco - que dita o desconto - que os dealers aferem seus lucros.
Algumas ferramentas empregadas neste trabalho são a medida risco-neutro (medida martingale) e uma extensão do Princípio da Reflexão para o Movimento Browniano.
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