The beta distribution is useful in modeling continuous random variables that lie between 0 and 1, such as proportions and percentages. The beta distribution takes on many different shapes and may be described by two shape parameters, alpha and beta, that can be difficult to estimate. Maximum likelihood and method of moments estimation are possible, though method of moments is much more straightforward. We examine both of these methods here, and compare them to three more proposed methods of parameter estimation: 1) a method used in the Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT), 2) a modification of the two-sided power distribution (TSP), and 3) a quantile estimator based on the first and third quartiles of the beta distribution. We find the quantile estimator performs as well as maximum likelihood and method of moments estimators for most beta distributions. The PERT and TSP estimators do well for a smaller subset of beta distributions, though they never outperform the maximum likelihood, method of moments, or quantile estimators. We apply these estimation techniques to two data sets to see how well they approximate real data from Major League Baseball (batting averages) and the U.S. Department of Energy (radiation exposure). We find the maximum likelihood, method of moments, and quantile estimators perform well with batting averages (sample size 160), and the method of moments and quantile estimators perform well with radiation exposure proportions (sample size 20). Maximum likelihood estimators would likely do fine with such a small sample size were it not for the iterative method needed to solve for alpha and beta, which is quite sensitive to starting values. The PERT and TSP estimators do more poorly in both situations. We conclude that in addition to maximum likelihood and method of moments estimation, our method of quantile estimation is efficient and accurate in estimating parameters of the beta distribution.

The lognormal distribution is useful in modeling continuous random variables which are greater than or equal to zero. Example scenarios in which the lognormal distribution is used include, among many others: in medicine, latent periods of infectious diseases; in environmental science, the distribution of particles, chemicals, and organisms in the environment; in linguistics, the number of letters per word and the number of words per sentence; and in economics, age of marriage, farm size, and income. The lognormal distribution is also useful in modeling data which would be considered normally distributed except for the fact that it may be more or less skewed (Limpert, Stahel, and Abbt 2001). Appropriately estimating the parameters of the lognormal distribution is vital for the study of these and other subjects. Depending on the values of its parameters, the lognormal distribution takes on various shapes, including a bell-curve similar to the normal distribution. This paper contains a simulation study concerning the effectiveness of various estimators for the parameters of the lognormal distribution. A comparison is made between such parameter estimators as Maximum Likelihood estimators, Method of Moments estimators, estimators by Serfling (2002), as well as estimators by Finney (1941). A simulation is conducted to determine which parameter estimators work better in various parameter combinations and sample sizes of the lognormal distribution. We find that the Maximum Likelihood and Finney estimators perform the best overall, with a preference given to Maximum Likelihood over the Finney estimators because of its vast simplicity. The Method of Moments estimators seem to perform best when σ is less than or equal to one, and the Serfling estimators are quite accurate in estimating μ but not σ in all regions studied. Finally, these parameter estimators are applied to a data set counting the number of words in each sentence for various documents, following which a review of each estimator's performance is conducted. Again, we find that the Maximum Likelihood estimators perform best for the given application, but that Serfling's estimators are preferred when outliers are present.

Control charts are fundamental SPC tools for process monitoring. When a control chart or combination of charts signals, knowing the change point, which distributional parameter changed, and/or the change size helps to identify the cause of the change, remove it from the process or adjust the process back in control correctly and immediately. In this study, we proposed using maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of the current process parameters and their ML confidence intervals after a signal to identify and estimate the changed parameters. The performance of this ML diagnostic procedure is evaluated for several different charts or chart combinations for the cases of sample sizes and , and compared to the traditional approaches to diagnostics. None of the ML and the traditional estimators performs well for all patterns of shifts, but the ML estimator has the best overall performance. The ML confidence interval diagnostics are overall better at determining which parameter has shifted than the traditional diagnostics based on which chart signals. The performance of the generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) chart in shift detection and in ML diagnostics is comparable to the best EWMA chart combination. With the application of the ML diagnostics naturally following a GLR chart compared to the traditional control charts, the studies of a GLR chart during process monitoring can be further deepened in the future. / Ph. D.

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The Maximum Likelihood Degree (ML degree) of a statistical model is the number of complex critical points of the likelihood function. In this thesis we study this on Colored Gaussian Graphical Models, classifying the ML degree of colored graphs of order up to three. We do this by calculating the rational function degree of the gradient of the log- likelihood. Moreover we find that coloring a graph can lower the ML degree. Finally we calculate solutions to the homaloidal partial differential equation developed by Améndola et al. The code developed for these calculations can be used on graphs of higher orders. / Maximum likelihood-graden (ML-graden) för en statistisk modell är antalet komplexa kritiska punkter för likelihoodfunktionen. I denna avhandling studerar vi detta på färgade Gaussiska grafiska modeller och klassificerar ML-graden för färgade grafer av ordning upp till tre. Detta görs genom att beräkna den rationella funktionsgraden för gradienten av logaritmen av likelihoodfunktionen. Dessutom finner vi att ML-graden av en graf kan minskas genom att färgläggas. Slutligen beräknar vi lösningar till den homaloidala partiella differentialekvationen utvecklad av Améndola et al. Den kod som utvecklats för dessa beräkningar kan användas på grafer av högre ordning.

Neste trabalho é introduzido um novo modelo estatístico para modelar dados limitados no intervalo continuo (0;1). O modelo proposto é construído sob uma transformação de variáveis, onde a variável transformada é resultado da combinação de uma variável com distribuição normal padrão e a função de distribuição acumulada da distribuição valor extremo generalizado. Para o novo modelo são estudadas suas propriedades estruturais. A nova família é estendida para modelos de regressão, onde o modelo é reparametrizado na mediana da variável resposta e este conjuntamente com o parâmetro de dispersão são relacionados com covariáveis através de uma função de ligação. Procedimentos inferênciais são desenvolvidos desde uma perspectiva clássica e bayesiana. A inferência clássica baseia-se na teoria de máxima verossimilhança e a inferência bayesiana no método de Monte Carlo via cadeias de Markov. Além disso estudos de simulação foram realizados para avaliar o desempenho das estimativas clássicas e bayesianas dos parâmetros do modelo. Finalmente um conjunto de dados de câncer colorretal é considerado para mostrar a aplicabilidade do modelo. / In this research a new statistical model is introduced to model data restricted in the continuous interval (0;1). The proposed model is constructed under a transformation of variables, in which the transformed variable is the result of the combination of a variable with standard normal distribution and the cumulative distribution function of the generalized extreme value distribution. For the new model its structural properties are studied. The new family is extended to regression models, in which the model is reparametrized in the median of the response variable and together with the dispersion parameter are related to covariables through a link function. Inferential procedures are developed from a classical and Bayesian perspective. The classical inference is based on the theory of maximum likelihood, and the Bayesian inference is based on the Markov chain Monte Carlo method. In addition, simulation studies were performed to evaluate the performance of the classical and Bayesian estimates of the model parameters. Finally a set of colorectal cancer data is considered to show the applicability of the model