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Improving Estimates of Seismic Source Parameters Using Surface-Wave Observations: Applications to Earthquakes and Underground Nuclear ExplosionsHowe, Michael Joseph January 2019 (has links)
We address questions related to the parameterization of two distinct types of seismic sources: earthquakes and underground nuclear explosions. For earthquakes, we focus on the improvement of location parameters, latitude and longitude, using relative measurements of spatial cluster of events. For underground nuclear explosions, we focus on the seismic source model, especially with regard to the generation of surface waves.
We develop a procedure to improve relative earthquake location estimates by fitting predicted differential travel times to those measured by cross-correlating Rayleigh- and Love-wave arrivals for multiple earthquakes recorded at common stations. Our procedure can be applied to populations of earthquakes with arbitrary source mechanisms because we mitigate the phase delay that results from surface-wave radiation patterns by making source corrections calculated from the source mechanism solutions published in the Global CMT Catalog. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this relocation procedure by first applying it to two suites of synthetic earthquakes. We then relocate real earthquakes in three separate regions: two ridge-transform systems and one subduction zone. In each scenario, relocated epicenters show a reduction in location uncertainty compared to initial single-event location estimates.
We apply the relocation procedure on a larger scale to the seismicity of the Eltanin Fault System which is comprised of three large transform faults: the Heezen transform, the Tharp transform, and the Hollister transform. We examine the localization of seismicity in each transform, the locations of earthquakes with atypical source mechanisms, and the spatial extent of seismic rupture and repeating earthquakes in each transform. We show that improved relative location estimates, aligned with bathymetry, greatly reduces the localization of seismicity on each of the three transforms. We also show how improved location estimates enhance the ability to use earthquake locations to address geophysical questions such as the presence of atypical earthquakes and the nature of seismic rupture along an oceanic transform fault.
We investigate the physical basis for the mb-MS discriminant, which relies on differences between amplitudes of body waves and surface waves. We analyze observations for 71 well-recorded underground nuclear tests that were conducted between 1977-1989 at the Balapan test site near Semipalatinsk, Kazakhstan in the former Soviet Union. We combine revised mb values and earlier long-period surface-wave results with a new source model, which allows the vertical and horizontal forces of the explosive source to be different. We introduce a scaling factor between vertical and horizontal forces in the explosion model, to reconcile differences between body wave and surface wave observations. We find that this parameter is well correlated with the scaled depth of burial for UNEs at this test site. We use the modified source model to estimate the scaled depth of burial for the 71 UNEs considered in this study.
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Weighted quantile regression and oracle model selection. / CUHK electronic theses & dissertations collectionJanuary 2009 (has links)
In this dissertation I suggest a new (regularized) weighted quantile regression estimation approach for nonlinear regression models and double threshold ARCH (DTARCH) models. I allow the number of parameters in the nonlinear regression models to be fixed or diverge. The proposed estimation method is robust and efficient and is applicable to other models. I use the adaptive-LASSO and SCAD regularization to select parameters in the nonlinear regression models. I simultaneously estimate the AR and ARCH parameters in the DTARCH model using the proposed weighted quantile regression. The values of the proposed methodology are revealed. / Keywords: Weighted quantile regression, Adaptive-LASSO, High dimensionality, Model selection, Oracle property, SCAD, DTARCH models. / Under regularity conditions, I establish asymptotic distributions of the proposed estimators, which show that the model selection methods perform as well as if the correct submodels are known in advance. I also suggest an algorithm for fast implementation of the proposed methodology. Simulations are conducted to compare different estimators, and a real example is used to illustrate their performance. / Jiang, Xuejun. / Adviser: Xinyuan Song. / Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 73-01, Section: B, page: . / Thesis (Ph.D.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2009. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 86-92). / Electronic reproduction. Hong Kong : Chinese University of Hong Kong, [2012] System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader. Available via World Wide Web. / Electronic reproduction. [Ann Arbor, MI] : ProQuest Information and Learning, [201-] System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader. Available via World Wide Web.
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Parameter identifications in elliptic systems.January 1997 (has links)
Sunnyson Y.F. Seid. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1997. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 65-66). / Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1 / Chapter 1.1 --- Applications in parameter identifications --- p.1 / Chapter 1.2 --- Inverse problems --- p.6 / Chapter 1.3 --- Difficulties arising in inverse problems --- p.7 / Chapter 2 --- Methods in Parameter Identifications --- p.9 / Chapter 2.1 --- Output Least Squares Method --- p.9 / Chapter 2.2 --- Equation Error Method --- p.11 / Chapter 2.3 --- Augmented Lagrangian Techniques --- p.12 / Chapter 2.4 --- Variational Techniques --- p.14 / Chapter 2.5 --- Adaptive Control Methods --- p.15 / Chapter 2.6 --- Method of Characteristics --- p.16 / Chapter 2.7 --- Our Proposed Method --- p.17 / Chapter 3 --- Parameter Identifications in Elliptic Systems --- p.19 / Chapter 3.1 --- Introduction --- p.19 / Chapter 3.2 --- Finite element approach and its convergence --- p.21 / Chapter 3.3 --- Unconstrained minimization problems --- p.28 / Chapter 3.4 --- Armijo algorithm --- p.31 / Chapter 3.5 --- Numerical experiments --- p.34 / Chapter 3.6 --- Multi-level coarse grid techniques --- p.55 / Bibliography --- p.65
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PARAMETER ESTIMATION FOR GEOMETRIC L EVY PROCESSES WITH STOCHASTIC VOLATILITYUnknown Date (has links)
In finance, various stochastic models have been used to describe the price movements of financial instruments. After Merton's [38] seminal work, several jump diffusion models for option pricing and risk management have been proposed. In this dissertation, we add alpha-stable Levy motion to the process related to dynamics of log-returns in the Black-Scholes model where the volatility is assumed to be constant. We use the sample characteristic function approach in order to study parameter estimation for discretely observed stochastic differential equations driven by Levy noises. We also discuss the consistency and asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators. Simulation results of the model are also presented to show the validity of the estimators. We then propose a new model where the volatility is not a constant. We consider generalized alpha-stable geometric Levy processes where the stochastic volatility follows the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model in Cox et al. [9]. A number of methods have been proposed for estimating parameters for stable laws. However, a complication arises in estimation of the parameters in our model because of the presence of the unobservable stochastic volatility. To combat this complication we use the sample characteristic function method proposed by Press [48] and the conditional least squares method as mentioned in Overbeck and Ryden [47] to estimate all the parameters. We then discuss the consistency and asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators and establish a Central Limit Theorem. We perform simulations to assess the validity of the estimators. We also present several tables to show the comparison of estimators using different choices of arguments ui's. We conclude that all the estimators converge as expected regardless of the choice of ui's. / Includes bibliography. / Dissertation (Ph.D.)--Florida Atlantic University, 2019. / FAU Electronic Theses and Dissertations Collection
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Performance analysis of DOA estimation algorithms using physical parametersLiu, Hui 01 January 1992 (has links)
Analytical performance analysis on Direction-Of-Arrival (DOA) estimation algorithms has attracted much excellent research in recent years, various statistical properties have been revealed. However, in most of these analyses, insights of the performance were masked because of the involvement of singular values and singular vectors which depend on the character of the algorithms and data structures in a complex and nonlinear manner.
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A Robust High Precision Algorithm for Sinewave Parameter EstimationRydell, Kendall Ann 30 April 1993 (has links)
The estimation of sinewave parameters has many practical applications in test and data processing systems. Measuring the effective bits of an analog-to-digital converter and linear circuit identification are some typical examples. If a sinew ave's frequency is known, there is an established linear method to estimate the other parameters. But when none of the parameters are known (which is usually the case in practical situations), the estimation problem becomes more difficult. Traditional approaches to this task applied an iterative, sinewave curve-fit algorithm. Two problems with this technique are that convergence is often slow and not always guaranteed and the results of different trials may be inconsistent due to trapping at a local minimum. Recently, a non-iterative algorithm has been developed which computes all four sine wave parameters directly. The algorithm combines a nonlinear technique and windowing to compute the estimates. Although this method is faster and more consistent than the curve-fit approach, one disadvantage is that the accuracy of some estimates tends to deteriorate rapidly if the sinusoid is corrupted by a high level of noise distortion. This study presents an improved algorithm to extract the four parameters of an unknown sinusoid from a sampled data record even though the samples may be distorted by a high level of noise. Given this record, the proposed method first computes the FFT (Fast Fourier Transform) of the data. Analysis of the resulting frequency spectrum provides a rough estimate of the sinewave's fundamental frequency. Next, a bandpass filter designed around this frequency is used to eliminate much of the noise from the samples. Applying the existing four-parameter estimation algorithm to the filtered data, yields a more accurate frequency estimate. Finally, this new value, together with the original (noisy) data record is input to the three-parameter estimation algorithm to determine the remaining sinewave parameters. Simulation results indicate this proposed (new) algorithm not only shows substantial improvement in the accuracy of parameter estimates, but also produces consistent results for higher levels of noise distortion than previous methods have achieved.
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Application of Residual Mapping Calibration to a Transient Groundwater Flow ModelWhite, Jeremy 07 October 2005 (has links)
Residual mapping is an automated groundwater-model calibration technique which rapidly identifies parameter-zone configurations, while limiting tendencies to over-parameterize. Residual mapping analyzes the model residual, or the difference between model-calculated head and spatially-interpolated observation data, for non-random trends. These trends are entered in the model as parameter zones. The values of hydrologic variables in each parameter zone are then optimized, using parameter-estimation software. Statistics calculated by the parameter-estimation software are used to determine the statistical significance of the parameter zones. If the parameter-value ranges for adjacent zones do not have significant overlap, the zones are considered to be valid. This technique was applied to a finite-difference, transient groundwater flow model of a major municipal well field, located in west-central Florida. A computer conde automates the residual mapping process, making it practical for application to large, transient flow models. The calibration data set includes head values from 37 monitor wells over a period of 181 days, including a 96-day well-field scale aquifer-performance test. The transient residual-mapping technique identified five significant transmissivity zones and one leakance zone.
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Parameter estimation of smooth threshold autoregressive models.Nur, Darfiana January 1998 (has links)
This thesis is mainly concerned with the estimation of parameters of a first-order Smooth Threshold Autoregressive (STAR) model with delay parameter one. The estimation procedures include classical and Bayesian methods from a parametric and a semiparametric point of view.As the theoretical importance of stationarity is a primary concern in estimation of time series models, we begin the thesis with a thorough investigation of necessary or sufficient conditions for ergodicity of a first-order STAR process followed by the necessary and sufficient conditions for recurrence and classification for null-recurrence and transience.The estimation procedure is started by using Bayesian analysis which derives posterior distributions of parameters with a noninformative prior for the STAR models of order p. The predictive performance of the STAR models using the exact one-step-ahead predictions along with an approximation to multi-step-ahead predictive density are considered. The theoretical results are then illustrated by simulated data sets and the well- known Canadian lynx data set.The parameter estimation obtained by conditional least squares, maximum likelihood, M-estimator and estimating functions are reviewed together with their asymptotic properties and presented under the classical and parametric approaches. These estimators are then used as preliminary estimators for obtaining adaptive estimates in a semiparametric setting. The adaptive estimates for a first-order STAR model with delay parameter one exist only for the class of symmetric error densities. At the end, the numerical results are presented to compare the parametric and semiparametric estimates of this model.
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Parameter estimation of biological pathwaysSvensson, Emil January 2007 (has links)
<p>To determine parameter values for models of reactions in the human body, like the glycolysis, good methods of parameter estimation are needed. Those models are often non-linear and estimation of the parameters can be very time consuming if it is possible at all. The goal of this work is to test different methods to improve the calculation speed of the parameter estimation of an example system. If the parameter estimation speed for the example system can be improved it is likely that the method could also be useful for systems similar to the example system.</p><p>One approach to improve the calculation speed is to construct a new cost function whose evaluation does not require any simulation of the system. Simulation free parameter estimation can be much quicker than using simulations to evaluate the cost function since the cost function is evaluated many times. Also a modication of the simulated annealing optimization method has been implemented and tested.</p><p>It turns out that some of the methods significantly reduced the time needed for the parameter estimations. However the quick methods have disadvantages in the form of reduced robustness. The most successful method was using a spline approximation together with a separation of the model into several submodels, and repeated use of the simulated annealing optimization algorithm to estimate the parameters.</p>
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Fast Pose Estimation with Parameter Sensitive HashingShakhnarovich, Gregory, Viola, Paul, Darrell, Trevor 18 April 2003 (has links)
Example-based methods are effective for parameter estimation problems when the underlying system is simple or the dimensionality of the input is low. For complex and high-dimensional problems such as pose estimation, the number of required examples and the computational complexity rapidly becme prohibitively high. We introduce a new algorithm that learns a set of hashing functions that efficiently index examples relevant to a particular estimation task. Our algorithm extends a recently developed method for locality-sensitive hashing, which finds approximate neighbors in time sublinear in the number of examples. This method depends critically on the choice of hash functions; we show how to find the set of hash functions that are optimally relevant to a particular estimation problem. Experiments demonstrate that the resulting algorithm, which we call Parameter-Sensitive Hashing, can rapidly and accurately estimate the articulated pose of human figures from a large database of example images.
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