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A validation of ground penetrating radar for reconstructing the internal structure of a rock glacier: Mount Mestas, Colorado, USAJorgensen, William Revis 15 May 2009 (has links)
Rock glaciers are dynamic landforms and, as such, exhibit interesting and welldeveloped
structural features, which translate to surface morphology in the form of ridges
and furrows. These distinguishing features have led researchers to study the physics
behind the movement and internal deformation of rock glaciers. For years researchers
had no access to the internal makeup of rock glaciers. Thus, proposed models and
discussion have been based on theoretical concepts of electromagnetic (EM) wave
propogation. With the application of ground penetrating radar (GPR) to provide a view
of the interior structure of a rock glacier, researchers had “real” data to verify their
models. However, no comparison has been made between a GPR profile and an actual
cross-section of a rock glacier. The purpose of this thesis is to validate the fidelity of
GPR in showing the actual structure of a rock glacier.
A trench that was excavated through the toe of a rock glacier on Mount Mestas in
south central Colorado provided a view of the actual structure of the landform. The
structure in the trench was compared with GPR and EM data. The GPR study was
conducted using a PulsEKKOTM 100A subsurface imaging radar with 25, 50, and 100 MHz antennas, to detect dielectric contrasts within the rock glacier. A frequency domain
EM34 by Geonics LtdTM was also used to supplement the GPR data by measuring the
rock glacier’s conductivity at various depths.
This thesis proved, by utilizing statistics, that GPR is a useful tool in visualizing
the interior structure of rock glaciers. The 100 MHz antennas clearly show small scale
reflection horizons caused by changes in clast orientation and subsurface material
composition. These events coincide with structures seen in the trench. Individual clasts
greater than 0.375 m were also recognized as point sources in the GPR profiles. Large
continuous bedding layers were observed with the 25 and 50 MHz antennas, which
reflect the structure seen in the trench. A large scale thrust fault was also located with the
GPR. However, this was not visible in the panoramic photograph because the fault
occurs below the base of the trench.
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Rock glacier activity and distribution in the southeastern British Columbia Coast MountainsCharbonneau, Ansley Adeline 28 April 2015 (has links)
Rock glaciers are common features in high alpine settings of the southeastern British Columbia Coast Mountains. The spatial distribution and characteristics of these periglacial features have not previously been documented. The goal of this research was to determine the distribution and activity of these rock glaciers in order to characterize their periglacial response to climatic variability.
A high-resolution aerial inventory documented the presence of 187 rock glaciers between Lat. 50° 10’ - 52° 08’ N. These rock glaciers occur at sites located between 1900 m and 2400 m above sea level, where rain shadow effects and continental air masses result in persistent dry cold conditions. Intact rock glaciers were the most prevalent form and accounted for almost 90% of the rock glaciers included in the inventory. Glacier-derived features outnumbered talus-derived features by a ratio of 4:1 and only 22 relict rock glaciers were identified. Rock glaciers in this region occupy predominately northwest- to northeast-facing slopes, with talus-derived rock glaciers largely restricted to north-facing slopes. All rock glaciers were found at locations above presumed Younger Dryas terminal moraines, suggesting that they began to form after 9390 BP.
Rock glacier activity during the Late Holocene was characterized using lichenometric methods to establish the relative surface age of three talus-derived features at Perkins Peak. Sustained periods of cool-wet climates activated pulses of rock glacier surface instability and movement, while a shift to warmer, drier conditions resulted in the loss of internal ice and increased surface stability. Varying degrees of present-day activity highlight a local topoclimatic control on talus-derived rock glacier behaviour. A dendrogeomorphological investigation at nearby Hellraving rock glacier indicated that it has been steadily advancing into surrounding forest since the beginning of the late Little Ice Age. Its continued advance in the face of warming temperatures suggests the internal thermodynamics of this rock glacier may be out of equilibrium with the contemporary climate. This research is the first to document and characterize rock glaciers in the Coast Mountains and challenges previous understandings of permafrost distribution in the southwestern Canadian Cordillera. / Graduate
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Climatic and Ecological Implications of Shrub-Chronologies at Rock Glacier Sites of the Eastern Sierra Nevada Range, California, U.S.A.Franklin, Rebecca Sara January 2012 (has links)
Herb- or shrub-chronology, a technique adapted from dendrochronology, is the study of the annual growth rings in roots of certain perennial dicotyledonous plants. The presence of annual growth increments in high-elevation plants is significant as it highlights the applicability of herbchronology for climatic, ecological and geomorphologic applications in alpine and other extra-arboreal regions. For alpine sites along the eastern crest of the Sierra Nevada range I present the first shrub-ring chronologies of the species Linanthus pungens (Torr.) J.M. Porter & L.A. Johnson. L. pungens individuals were collected at, and are especially ubiquitous at rock glacier sites in north-east trending glacial-cirque valleys. Rock glaciers are an increasingly recognized and studied feature on the alpine landscape, supporting floristically diverse plant populations, distinct thermal regimes decoupled from the external air and perennial water sources fed by interstitial ice. These landforms are expected to be refugia for alpine flora and fauna in some regions for projected warmer and drier climates. To evaluate plant growth on rock glaciers as compared to adjacent talus slopes in the central Sierra Nevada range of California, USA, a series of five cirque basins were selected as sites for paired rock glacier- talus slope vegetation comparisons. Vegetation cover, species richness, diversity measures and plant functional traits were recorded at ten sites (five rock glaciers, five talus slopes) along a 100-kilometer latitudinal span of the eastern slope of the Sierra Nevada range. Canonical correspondence analysis was used to evaluate general patterns in cover, diversity and functional traits for the 10 sites and inform subsequent statistical analyses. Both vegetation cover and species richness were significantly greater on rock glacier sites than on adjacent talus slopes even though mean slope values for the rock glacier sites were higher. Significantly, for the present study, rock glaciers support a higher number of the species Linanthus pungens, a climatically sensitive, long-lived alpine sub-shrub, showing that these periglacial landforms are not only floristically distinct but are also habitats containing natural climate archives useful to the field of herbchronology. L. pungens shrub-ring chronologies are determined to be distinct from Pinus albicaulis chronologies growing at the same five sets of sites in the Sierra Nevada study location. P. albicaulis (PIAL) tree-ring chronologies and L. pungens (LIPU) shrub-ring chronologies were constructed for four cirque basin sites. Comparisons were made between chronologies based on growth form (shrub or tree) and site, and on chronology response to average monthly temperature, total monthly precipitation and April 1 snowpack values. Chronologies are significantly more similar to other chronologies of the same growth form (PIAL-PIAL or LIPU-LIPU) than are same-site chronologies of different growth form (i.e. PIAL-LIPU chronologies) (p < 0.05). This holds true for comparisons based on Pearson’s correlation coefficients or Gleichläufigkeit (GLK) values. Growth response to monthly temperature and precipitation values is highly variable for same-site chronologies and also for same growth form chronologies. Topographical position and proximity to treeline was held constant at all sites so differences in climate-growth response within sites and within species may be attributed to factors that are unrealized in the sampling design. Based on composite climate anomaly maps, wide ring widths in PIAL chronologies occur after average winter and spring precipitation and with warm growing seasons while narrow PIAL rings fall after wet springs and with average summer temperatures. Years in which all LIPU rings are wide are found to occur during warm dry springs and growing seasons while years in which all LIPU rings are narrow occur in conjunction with wet winters and springs. Investigation into the longest and most replicated chronology at the Barney Lake (BL) site allowed a climate-growth comparison over a longer period of time (the BL chronology is 112 years in length with sufficient sample replication (EPS > 0.85) to capture a robust common signal from 1952 through 2007). Marker years in the BL chronology correspond to drought (wide rings) and persistent snowpack (narrow rings). Response function analysis indicates significant correlations with July minimum temperatures and the previous year's November precipitation. Increase in the radial growth of the taproot of L. pungens at BL has not decreased over the past century and is more highly correlated to temperature (positively) and snowpack and precipitation (negatively) during the latter half of the chronology period. Predictions of decreasing snowpack and warming temperatures for the alpine Sierra Nevada could indicate increased shrub growth over the next century and possible shrub range expansion if unprecedented drought does not prove to limit growth in the future. Work at BL and the other four alpine L. pungens chronology locations demonstrate a potential for additional research on climate-shrub growth interactions and in particular for investigations into climate controls on upper shrubline growth and movement in the Sierra Nevada range in California.
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Thermal and Hydrological Response of Rock Glaciers to Climate Change: A Scenario Based Simulation StudyApaloo, Jotham January 2013 (has links)
Snow and glaciers are considered the most important sources of the estimated 32-60% of global water resources which are provided by mountains. Consequently, snow and glaciers have regularly been the focus of climate change studies in mountain regions. Rock glaciers are a type of ice-debris landform characterized by creeping ice-rich permafrost. Recognition of the hydrological significance of rock glaciers is increasing and is of particular relevance to the Arid Andes, where rock glaciers cover greater area than glaciers by an order of magnitude. Little research exists on the hydrological significance of rock glaciers beyond potential water storage capacities and their runoff pathways. Additional knowledge and research approaches pertaining to the seasonal hydrological contributions and climatic sensitivities of rock glaciers are necessary for improved water resource planning in many regions around the world.
This work explored the feasibility of utilizing the energy and water balance model GEOtop to quantify the thermal and hydrological dynamics of rock glaciers under several
climate scenarios. Weather data was generated with the intermediate-stochastic weather generator AWE-GEN for a site in the Southeast Swiss Alps, which marked a novel approach in studies of rock glaciers. Weather data for a reference (REF) scenario was generated which approximates conditions during the observation period (1985 to 2012). AWE-GEN produced time series of weather data for the REF scenario with statistical properties of precipitation in close agreement with observations. Air temperature had substantial inaccuracies with mean annual air temperature (MAAT) cooler by 1.82 C due to negative temperature biases in summer months which are attributed to difficulties in estimating parameters of the weather generator model caused by local climatic factors. The influence of climate change was also examined. Data for 8 climate change scenarios were generated by specifying change factors for mean monthly air temperature. MAAT in the climate change scenarios was within +/-0.12 C of the speci ed change factor from MAAT in the REF scenario. The thermal and hydrological evolution of rock glacier soils were simulated for 50 years under the climatic forcing of the REF scenario followed by 50 years under each climate change scenario. Mean annual ground surface temperature (MAGST), active layer depth (Dal), permafrost total ice content (IWEtot), and the potential summer runoff contribution (MELTsum) were quanti ed and compared before and after the onset of the climate change conditions. Air temperature increases in the climate change scenarios were amplified in MAGST. Stable rock glacier points were resistant to changes in Dal and IWEtot under any annual, summer, and winter mean air temperature increase of 1 C, and summer and winter mean air temperature increases of 3 C despite notable changes in MAGST and MELTsum. Under warming scenarios, the greatest increase in MELTsum occurred for high elevation rock glacier points with the mean possible runoff contribution increasing 88% under 3 C of warming, which corroborates with increased runoff from high elevation permafrost in the Colorado Rockies in recent decades.
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Déstabilisation des glaciers rocheux dans les Alpes Françaises : une évaluation à l'échelle régionale et locale / Rock glacier destabilization in the French Alps : insights from regional and local scale assessmentsMarcer, Marco 19 December 2018 (has links)
Le permafrost de montagne est menacé par le réchauffement atmosphérique, une évolution qui s’accompagne de l’augmentation des phénomènes tels que les chutes de pierres, la formation de thermokarsts et l’accélération des glaciers rocheux. La déstabilisation des glaciers rocheux, qui compromet l’intégrité structurelle de ces formes, semble liée au réchauffement atmosphérique, et a suscité un intérêt grandissant au cours des dernières années. Ce phénomène, qui peut être provoqué par le réchauffement du pergélisol ou des contraintes mécaniques externes, est caractérisé par une accélération anormale des glaciers rocheux affectés, et par l’apparition des signes géomorphologiques telles que des fissures et des crevasses à sa surface. Bien que ce processus peut être transitoire, il peut déterminer une phase de crise amenant le glacier rocheux à un effondrement.Cet étude se préfixe de fournir une première évaluation des phénomènes de déstabilisation de glacier rocheux à l’échelle des Alpes françaises. Dans un premier temps, l’empreinte spatiale du pergélisol a été évaluée afin de produire une carte de répartition du pergélisol régionale, un outil nécessaire pour estimer l’état du permafrost dans les glaciers rocheux. La deuxième étape a consisté à identifier les formes déstabilisées grâce à une observation ponctuelle des images aériennes afin d’identifier les caractéristiques typiquement observables sur les glaciers rocheux déstabilisés. Il est alors possible de comprendre les conditions topoclimatiques typiques dans lesquelles se produit ce phénomène et de repérer les formes susceptibles de subir ce processus. Enfin, les efforts ont été concentrés sur le glacier rocheux du Lou, déstabilisé, qui, du fait d’un détachement de couche active, a conduit à une lave torrentielle en Août 2015. L’analyse a visé à mieux définir les circonstances de cet événement, en mettant l’accent sur les facteurs de préconditionnement, de préparation et de déclenchement et sur leur interaction avec le processus de déstabilisation.Les résultats ont fourni des informations riches sur la zone périglaciaire de la région. La modélisation de la répartition du pergélisol a mis en évidence les étendues de la zone périglaciaire dans la région qu’on peut trouver sur les pentes de débris au-dessus de 2300 - 2500 m.a.s.l. en fonction de l’exposition solaire et des caractéristiques régionales des précipitations. L’observation des photographies aériennes a permis d’observer 46 formes en cours de déstabilisation, soit 12% des glaciers rocheux actifs des Alpes françaises. Il apparaît que la déstabilisation est plus susceptible de se produire dans certaines conditions topoclimatiques locales spécifiques, en particulier dans des pentes exposées au nord, raides et convexes situées aux marges inférieures de la zone de pergélisol. Un grand nombre de glaciers rocheux ne présentant actuellement aucune déstabilisation sont donc susceptibles d’être affectés par une déstabilisation future. L’analyse du glacier rocheux du Lou a révélé que la déstabilisation est liée à une avancée rapide du front vers un ravin torrentiel. Ce processus semble avoir accru la prédisposition des matériaux détritiques du front à être mobilisés par du ruissellement, des précipitations relativement modérées ayant suffi à déclencher l’événement.Malgré les incertitudes liées aux méthodes impliquées, les résultats suggèrent que les conditions favorables à la déstabilisation sont fréquentes, et que cette dernière peut augmenter le niveau de risque si le site est connecté à des infrastructures humaines. Des efforts supplémentaires doivent donc être entrepris, afin d’améliorer la compréhension de ces processus, notamment par la surveillance des sites ainsi que par une évaluation locale complète des cascades de processus liés à ce phénomène. / As occurring to several geosystems on our planet, mountain permafrost is threatened by climate change as prolonged warming may compromise the geotechnical properties of the frozen ground. As result, increasing occurrence of rockfall activity, thermokarst formation and rock glacier acceleration was observed in the past decades. Rock glacier destabilization, a process that compromises the structural integrity of these landforms, seems to be linked to atmospheric warming, gaining interest in the past years. The destabilization, which may be triggered by warming permafrost or mechanical stress, is characterized by an anomalous acceleration of the landform and the occurrence of specific features such as cracks and crevasses on its surface. Although the occurrence of these processes is mostly transitory, determining a textit{crisis} phase of the landform, in exceptional cases it may lead the rock glacier to structural collapse.This PhD thesis provided an assessment on the occurrence and related processes of rock glacier destabilization in the French Alps. At first, the spatial occurrence of debris permafrost was assessed in order to provide the permafrost distribution map of the French Alps, a tool that was necessary to evaluate permafrost conditions at rock glaciers sites. The second step consisted in an identification of destabilized rock glaciers in the region, which was done by multiple orthoimages interpretation aimed to identify features typically observable on destabilized rock glacier. Once identified the destabilized rock glaciers it was possible to analyse the typical topographical settings in which destabilization occurs and to to spot those landforms that are susceptible to experience this phenomenon. After these efforts at the regional scale, the focus was shifted towards local scale investigations at the Lou rock glacier, a partially destabilized landform that, due to frontal failure, in August 2015 triggered a debris flow that caused significant damages to buildings. The analysis aimed to better define the circumstances of this event, focusing on preconditioning, preparatory and triggering factors and their interaction with the destabilization process.The results provided interesting insights on the issue of destabilizing rock glaciers in the region. Permafrost distribution modeling demonstrated the large extents of the periglacial zone in the region as it can be found in debris slopes above 2300 - 2900 m.a.s.l. depending upon solar exposure and regional precipitation characteristics. Rock glacier destabilization was observed on 46 landforms, i.e. the 12% of the active rock glaciers. Destabilization was found to be more likely to occur in specific local topo-climatic conditions, consisting of north facing, steep and convex slopes at the lower margins of the permafrost zone. A large number of rock glaciers currently not showing destabilization was found to be located in these conditions and suggested to be susceptible to future destabilization. As demonstrated by the Lou rock glacier analysis, destabilization was found to be a relevant phenomena in the context of permafrost hazards. At this site, rock glacier destabilization was linked to a rapid frontal advance towards a torrential gully. This process seemed to have increased the site predisposition to frontal failure as a mild rainstorm was sufficient to trigger the event.Despite methodological uncertainties, results indicated that destabilization occurrence is widespread and it may rise the hazard level of a site connected to human infrastructures. Therefore, it is suggested that, where it has been modelled and where stakes may be at risk downslope, rock glacier destabilization deserves to be more carefully investigated. In this sense further efforts should focus towards a better understanding of the destabilization process by site monitoring as well as towards a comprehensive hazard assessment linked to this phenomenon.
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Climatic and geomorphological controls of rock glaciers in the Andes of Central ChileBrenning, Alexander 23 September 2005 (has links)
Die Blockgletscher der trockenen Anden sind weitverbreitete Oberflächenformen sowie bedeutende Bodeneisvorkommen. In der vorliegenden Arbeit werden statistische Modellierungen und geomorphologische Kartierungen durchgeführt, um die Verbreitung dieser Formen in den Anden von Zentralchile (27-36° s.Br.) in ihrem Bezug zu Klima und Topographie zu quantifizieren und analysieren. Eine stichprobenbasierte statistische Erhebung und eine logistische Regressionsmodellierung wurden durchgeführt, um in den Anden von Santiago (33-34,5° s.Br.) Verbreitungsmuster quantitativ zu schätzen und die geomorphologische Nische von Blockgletschern unter Verwendung von digitalen Geländemodellen zu charakterisieren. Das in Blockgletschern der Anden von Santiago gespeicherte Wasseräquivalent von 0,7-1,1 km³ je 1000 km² Gebirgsfläche ist um eine Größenordnung größer als in den Schweizer Alpen. Mindestens ein Fünftel der Hochgebirgsfläche der Anden von Santiago wird durch Blockgletscher hindurch entwässert. Dies unterstreicht die Bedeutung von Blockgletschern im andinen hydrologischen System und Schutttransportsystem. Die optimale Blockgletschernische der Anden von Santiago besitzt ein konvergierendes Einzugsgebiet von etwa 0,5-1 km² Fläche sowie rezente mittlere Jahrestemperaturen von +1 bis -1°C in 3500-3800 m Höhe. Unter günstigen morphographischen und topoklimatischen Bedingungen reichen intakte Blockgletscher bis 3000 m Höhe hinab. Das überregionale Verbreitungsmuster wird gesteuert durch Niederschlag, Vergletscherung, Topographie und Vulkanismus. Diese Faktoren wirken in Kombination auch an der nördlichen und südlichen Verbreitungsgrenze der Blockgletscher des Winterregengebiets bei 27° bzw. 35° s.Br. Die Verwendung der Blockgletscher-Sedimentbilanzen zur Abschätzung von holozänen Denudationsraten sowie von Blockgletschern als Permafrostindikatoren vermittelt weitere Einblicke in die Umweltverhältnisse der zentralchilenischen Anden. / Rock glaciers are ubiquitous landforms in the dry Andes, and significant, but unheralded stores of frozen water. In this study, statistical modelling techniques and geomorphological mapping are applied to quantify and analyze the distribution of rock glaciers in the Andes of Central Chile (27-35°S) as related to climate and topography. A statistical sample survey and a logistic regression model were designed to quantitatively estimate distribution patterns and characterize the geomorphological niche of rock glaciers in the Andes of Santiago (33-34.5°S) based upon digital elevation models. The amount of water stored within rock glaciers of the Andes of Santiago per unit area is by one order of magnitude higher than in the Swiss Alps, reaching an average 0.7-1.1 km³ of water equivalent per 1000 km² in the Andes. At least one fifth of the high-mountain area of the Andes of Santiago drains through intact rock glaciers. This underlines the importance of rock glaciers within the Andean hydrological and debris-transport system. The optimal rock glacier niche in the Andes of Santiago has a convergent contributing area of 0.5-1 km² and modern mean annual air temperatures of +1 to -1°C, corresponding to 3500-3800 m a.s.l. Intact rock glaciers reach down to 3000 m a.s.l. under favorable topographic and topoclimatic conditions. The supra-regional distribution pattern is influenced by precipitation, glaciation, topography and volcanism. These act as combined controls at the northern (27°S) and southern (35°S) limit of rock glacier occurrence in the Chilean area of winter precipitation. Rock glacier sediment budgets revealing Holocene denudation rates, and the use of rock glaciers as permafrost indicators give further insight into the periglacial environment of the Andes of Central Chile.
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Minulé a současné charakteristiky a formy vázané na permafrost a činnou vrstvu jako indikátory pozdně kvartérních změn přírodního prostředí / Past and Present Permafrost and Active-Layer Phenomena as Indicators of Late Quaternary Environmental ChangesUxa, Tomáš January 2020 (has links)
Late Quaternary has seen numerous major permafrost expansions and retreats associated with alternating glacial and interglacial periods as well as stadials and interstadials, the research of which is necessary to understand the past environmental evolution, but also provides useful analogues for its present-day and future behaviour. How- ever, observations of permafrost and active-layer phenomena are still limited, and sometimes misleading, even in many present-day permafrost regions, and naturally less comprehensive evidence is available from areas where permafrost existed in the past. The thesis provides comprehensive information on the distribution and morphology of mostly relict patterned ground and rock glaciers in the High Sudetes Mts. and in the Western and High Tatra Mts., respectively, which are the most widespread permafrost features that occur in these Central European mountain ranges situated north of the Alps. It shows that the landforms are closely related to increased severity of climates and/or sparser vegetation at higher elevations and as such they attest to the environmental conditions, which prevailed there towards the end of the Last Glacial Period to the early Holocene, but also to their current states. Similar elevation trends in the pattern morphology are also documented for...
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A model for the development of a lobate alpine rock glacier in southwest Colorado, USA: implications for water on MarsDegenhardt, John Jerome 30 September 2004 (has links)
Rock glaciers play a significant role in the alpine debris transport system. For practical and engineering considerations, identifying the internal structure and its relationship to surface characteristics is significant in terms of how a rock glacier settles during periods of melting, and the mode of deformation. A better understanding of these factors is important for engineers, engineering geologists and geomorphologists who must make prudent evaluations of rock glaciers as potential sites for human development and uses. It is equally important for evaluating potential stores for water on other planets such as Mars.
Ground penetrating radar (GPR) shows that the internal structure of a lobate rock glacier located in the San Juan Mountains of southwest Colorado consists of continuous to semi-continuous horizontal layers of ice-supersaturated sediments and coarse blocky rockslide debris which likely formed through catastrophic episodes of rockfall from the cirque headwall. Folds in the uppermost layers correspond to the surface expression of ridges and furrows, indicating that compressive stresses originating in the steep accumulation zone are transmitted downslope through the rock glacier. The rock glacier is a composite feature that formed by a process involving the development and overlap of discrete flow lobes that have overridden older glacial moraine and protalus rampart materials. The latter materials have been incorporated into the present flow structure of the rock glacier.
The discovery of rock glacier-like features on Mars suggests the presence of flowing, or once-flowing ice-rock mixtures. These landforms, which include lobate debris aprons, concentric crater fill and lineated valley fill, hold significant promise as reservoirs of stored water ice that could be used as fuel sources for human exploration of Mars and provide a frozen record of the climatic history of the planet. To this end, the rock glacier in this study was used as a surrogate for similar Martian landforms. Liquid water, found to be abundant in this rock glacier, occurs within a network of interconnected channels that permeate throughout the landform. In terms of water storage within Martian analogs, consideration must include the possibility that some water ice may be stored in relatively pure form within lenses and vein networks that are supplied by seasonal frost accumulation and/or water influx from below.
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Modeling of Permafrost Distribution in the Semi-arid Chilean AndesAzocar, Guillermo January 2013 (has links)
The distribution of mountain permafrost is generally modeled using a combination of statistical techniques and empirical variables. Such models, based on topographic, climatic and geomorphological predictors of permafrost, have been widely used to estimate the spatial distribution of mountain permafrost in North America and Europe. However at present, little knowledge about the distribution and characteristics of mountain permafrost is available for the Andes. In addition, the effects of climate change on slope stability and the hydrological system, and the pressure of mining activities have increased concerns about the knowledge of mountain permafrost in the Andes.
In order to model permafrost distribution in the semi-arid Chilean Andes between ~29°S and 32°S, an inventory of rock glaciers is carried out to obtain a variable indicative of the presence and absence of permafrost conditions. Then a Linear Mixed-Effects Model (LMEM) is used to determine the spatial distribution of Mean Annual Air Temperature (MAATs), which is then used as one of the predictors of permafrost occurrence. Later, a Generalized Additive Model (GAM) with a logistic link function is used to predict permafrost occurrence in debris surfaces within the study area.
Within the study area, 3575 rock glaciers were inventoried. Of these, 1075 were classified as active, 493 as inactive, 343 as intact and 1664 as relict forms, based on visual interpretation of satellite imagery. Many of the rock glaciers (~60-80%) are situated at positive MAAT, and the number of rock glaciers at negative MAAT greatly decreases from north to south.
The results of spatial temperature distribution modeling indicated that the temperature changes by -0.71°C per each 100 m increase in altitude, and that there is a 4°C temperature difference between the northern and southern part of the study area. The altitudinal position of the 0°C MAAT isotherm is situated at ~4250 m a.s.l. in the northern (29°S) section and drops latitudinally to ~4000 m a.s.l. in the southern section (32°S) of the study area.
For permafrost modeling purposes, 1911 rock glaciers (active, inactive and intact forms) were categorized into the class indicative of permafrost presence and 1664 (relict forms) as non-permafrost. The predictors MAAT and Potential Incoming Solar Radiation (PISR) and their nonlinear interaction were modeled by the GAM using LOESS smoothing function. A temperature offset term was applied to reduce the overestimation of permafrost occurrence in debris surface areas due to the use of rock glaciers as permafrost proxies.
The dependency between the predictor variables shows that a high amount of PISR has a greater effect at positive MAAT levels than in negative ones. The GAM for permafrost distribution achieved an acceptable discrimination capability between permafrost classes (area under the ROC curve ~0.76). Considering a permafrost probability score (PPS) ≥ 0.5 and excluding steep bedrock and glacier surfaces, mountain permafrost can be potentially present in up to about 6.8% (2636 km2) of the study area, whereas with a PPS ≥ 0.75, the potential permafrost area decreases to 2.7% (1051 km2). Areas with the highest PPS are spatially concentrated in the north section of the study area where altitude rises considerably (the Huasco and Elqui watersheds), while permafrost is almost absent in the southern section where the topography is considerably lower (Limarí and Choapa watersheds).
This research shows that the potential mountain permafrost distribution can be spatially modeled using topoclimatic information and rock glacier inventories. Furthermore, the results have provided the first local estimation of permafrost distribution in the semi-arid Chilean Andes. The results obtained can be used for local environmental planning and to aid future research in periglacial topics.
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Genesis, conservation and deformation of ice-rich mountain permafrost:Kenner, Robert 30 May 2018 (has links) (PDF)
This thesis analyses ice-rich mountain permafrost with regard to its genesis, distribution, deformation and interaction with other environmental factors. The processes influencing ground ice formation in ice-rich and ice-poor mountain permafrost are highlighted. Factors influencing the presence of ice-rich permafrost are identified and their individual or combined effect on frozen ground is determined. Based on these findings, a new permafrost distribution map of Switzerland was created, which specifies permafrost temperature and ice contents and considers rock glacier creep paths. The deformation of rock glaciers is investigated with newly developed monitoring systems and concepts. This enables a better understanding of the processes leading to rock glacier acceleration at different time scales.
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