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Issues in Bayesian Gaussian Markov random field models with application to intersensor calibrationLiang, Dong 01 December 2009 (has links)
A long term record of the earth's vegetation is important in studies of global climate change. Over the last three decades, multiple data sets on vegetation have been collected using different satellite-based sensors. There is a need for methods that combine these data into a long term earth system data record.
The Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) has provided reflectance measures of the entire earth since 1978. Physical and statistical models have been used to improve the consistency and reliability of this record. The Moderated Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) has provided measurements with superior radiometric properties and geolocation accuracy. However, this record is available only since 2000. In this thesis, we perform statistical calibration of AVHRR to MODIS. We aim to: (1) fill in gaps in the ongoing MODIS record; (2) extend MODIS values back to 1982.
We propose Bayesian mixed models to predict MODIS values using snow cover and AVHRR values as covariates. Random effects are used to account for spatiotemporal correlation in the data. We estimate the parameters based on the data after 2000, using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. We then back-predict MODIS data between 1978 and 1999, using the posterior samples of the parameter estimates. We develop new Conditional Autoregressive (CAR) models for seasonal data. We also develop new sampling methods for CAR models.
Our approach enables filling in gaps in the MODIS record and back-predicting these values to construct a consistent historical record. The Bayesian framework incorporates multiple sources of variation in estimating the accuracy of the obtained data. The approach is illustrated using vegetation data over a region in Minnesota.
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Topics in Random Matrices: Theory and Applications to Probability and StatisticsKousha, Termeh 13 December 2011 (has links)
In this thesis, we discuss some topics in random matrix theory which have applications to probability, statistics and quantum information theory. In Chapter 2, by relying on the spectral properties of an associated adjacency matrix, we find the distribution of the maximum of a Dyck path and show that it has the same distribution function as the unsigned Brownian excursion which was first derived in 1976 by Kennedy. We obtain a large and moderate deviation principle for the law of the maximum of a random Dyck path. Our result extends the results of Chung, Kennedy and Khorunzhiy and Marckert. In Chapter 3, we discuss a method of sampling called the Gibbs-slice sampler. This method is based on Neal's slice sampling combined with Gibbs sampling. In Chapter 4, we discuss several examples which have applications in physics and quantum information theory.
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Slice Sampling with Multivariate StepsThompson, Madeleine 11 January 2012 (has links)
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) allows statisticians to sample from a wide variety of multidimensional probability distributions. Unfortunately, MCMC is often difficult to use when components of the target distribution are highly correlated or have disparate variances. This thesis presents three results that attempt to address this problem. First, it demonstrates a means for graphical comparison of MCMC methods, which allows researchers to compare the behavior of a variety of samplers on a variety of distributions. Second, it presents a collection of new slice-sampling MCMC methods. These methods either adapt globally or use the adaptive crumb framework for sampling with multivariate steps. They perform well with minimal tuning on distributions when popular methods do not. Methods in the first group learn an approximation to the covariance of the target distribution and use its eigendecomposition to take non-axis-aligned steps. Methods in the second group use the gradients at rejected proposed moves to approximate the local shape of the target distribution so that subsequent proposals move more efficiently through the state space. Finally, this thesis explores the scaling of slice sampling with multivariate steps with respect to dimension, resulting in a formula for optimally choosing scale tuning parameters. It shows that the scaling of untransformed methods can sometimes be improved by alternating steps from those methods with radial steps based on those of the polar slice sampler.
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Slice Sampling with Multivariate StepsThompson, Madeleine 11 January 2012 (has links)
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) allows statisticians to sample from a wide variety of multidimensional probability distributions. Unfortunately, MCMC is often difficult to use when components of the target distribution are highly correlated or have disparate variances. This thesis presents three results that attempt to address this problem. First, it demonstrates a means for graphical comparison of MCMC methods, which allows researchers to compare the behavior of a variety of samplers on a variety of distributions. Second, it presents a collection of new slice-sampling MCMC methods. These methods either adapt globally or use the adaptive crumb framework for sampling with multivariate steps. They perform well with minimal tuning on distributions when popular methods do not. Methods in the first group learn an approximation to the covariance of the target distribution and use its eigendecomposition to take non-axis-aligned steps. Methods in the second group use the gradients at rejected proposed moves to approximate the local shape of the target distribution so that subsequent proposals move more efficiently through the state space. Finally, this thesis explores the scaling of slice sampling with multivariate steps with respect to dimension, resulting in a formula for optimally choosing scale tuning parameters. It shows that the scaling of untransformed methods can sometimes be improved by alternating steps from those methods with radial steps based on those of the polar slice sampler.
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Topics in Random Matrices: Theory and Applications to Probability and StatisticsKousha, Termeh 13 December 2011 (has links)
In this thesis, we discuss some topics in random matrix theory which have applications to probability, statistics and quantum information theory. In Chapter 2, by relying on the spectral properties of an associated adjacency matrix, we find the distribution of the maximum of a Dyck path and show that it has the same distribution function as the unsigned Brownian excursion which was first derived in 1976 by Kennedy. We obtain a large and moderate deviation principle for the law of the maximum of a random Dyck path. Our result extends the results of Chung, Kennedy and Khorunzhiy and Marckert. In Chapter 3, we discuss a method of sampling called the Gibbs-slice sampler. This method is based on Neal's slice sampling combined with Gibbs sampling. In Chapter 4, we discuss several examples which have applications in physics and quantum information theory.
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Topics in Random Matrices: Theory and Applications to Probability and StatisticsKousha, Termeh 13 December 2011 (has links)
In this thesis, we discuss some topics in random matrix theory which have applications to probability, statistics and quantum information theory. In Chapter 2, by relying on the spectral properties of an associated adjacency matrix, we find the distribution of the maximum of a Dyck path and show that it has the same distribution function as the unsigned Brownian excursion which was first derived in 1976 by Kennedy. We obtain a large and moderate deviation principle for the law of the maximum of a random Dyck path. Our result extends the results of Chung, Kennedy and Khorunzhiy and Marckert. In Chapter 3, we discuss a method of sampling called the Gibbs-slice sampler. This method is based on Neal's slice sampling combined with Gibbs sampling. In Chapter 4, we discuss several examples which have applications in physics and quantum information theory.
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A Note on Perfect Slice SamplingHörmann, Wolfgang, Leydold, Josef January 2006 (has links) (PDF)
Perfect slice sampling is a method to turn Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers into exact generators for independent random variates. We show that the simplest version of the perfect slice sampler suggested in the literature does not always sample from the target distribution. (author's abstract) / Series: Research Report Series / Department of Statistics and Mathematics
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Topics in Random Matrices: Theory and Applications to Probability and StatisticsKousha, Termeh January 2012 (has links)
In this thesis, we discuss some topics in random matrix theory which have applications to probability, statistics and quantum information theory. In Chapter 2, by relying on the spectral properties of an associated adjacency matrix, we find the distribution of the maximum of a Dyck path and show that it has the same distribution function as the unsigned Brownian excursion which was first derived in 1976 by Kennedy. We obtain a large and moderate deviation principle for the law of the maximum of a random Dyck path. Our result extends the results of Chung, Kennedy and Khorunzhiy and Marckert. In Chapter 3, we discuss a method of sampling called the Gibbs-slice sampler. This method is based on Neal's slice sampling combined with Gibbs sampling. In Chapter 4, we discuss several examples which have applications in physics and quantum information theory.
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Efficient Sampling of Gaussian Processes under Linear Inequality ConstraintsBrahmantio, Bayu Beta January 2021 (has links)
In this thesis, newer Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are implemented and compared in terms of their efficiency in the context of sampling from Gaussian processes under linear inequality constraints. Extending the framework of Gaussian process that uses Gibbs sampler, two MCMC algorithms, Exact Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) and Analytic Elliptical Slice Sampling (ESS), are used to sample values of truncated multivariate Gaussian distributions that are used for Gaussian process regression models with linear inequality constraints. In terms of generating samples from Gaussian processes under linear inequality constraints, the proposed methods generally produce samples that are less correlated than samples from the Gibbs sampler. Time-wise, Analytic ESS is proven to be a faster choice while Exact HMC produces the least correlated samples.
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Entropic Motors / Directed Motion without Energy FlowBlaschke, Johannes Paul 24 February 2014 (has links)
No description available.
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