We review previous literature on productivity effects of FDI in China and find that the evidence of FDI spillovers on her economic growth rate is mixed. Take A. Marino (2000) and E-G Lim (2001) for example, they pointed out that it just happened conditionally. Thus due to the proof of its plausibility, China¡¦s experience may help underdeveloped countries fulfill their goals and become one of the most contentious issues. Based on CH(1995), this paper presents a 3-sector R&D-based endogenous growth model in an open economy with human capital accumulation and the existing stocks of technology from MNCs as well as domestic industries. And the thread of thought is that the technology growth rate will arise if technological spillovers of FDI do act in domestic R&D sectors, and that will lead to the better development of economy. The solution satisfied to the competitive equilibrium conditions shows that long-run growth rate arises from the improvement of absorptive capability and higher human capital stock, while the relationships between technology gap and steady-state growth rate are uncertain. Then, bottomed on the results of theoretical model and the existing information including Chinese 30 provincial level data for 1996-2004, this paper tests with econometric methods¡Ð panel data OLS model with fixed effect¡Ðand makes empirical analyses. In addition, absorptive capacity is weighted by human capital. As the setting of empirical model, the major focuses are on how human capital, domestic R&D, and international technological spillovers affect long-run growth rate. And the main conclusion is that the steady-state growth rates depend positively on the stock of human capital, the investment of domestic R&D, and the effects of technological spillovers via FDI whether the absorptive capacity is considered or not. While the results also show that the stock of human capital is a definitive and appropriate index to the absorptive capacity and that Chinese provincial level productivity effects of FDI are strongly confirmed by this paper. However, there are still some hinder in China for the digestion of foreign technologies, thus in the future the authority should put more emphases on increasing human capital stock and stepping up self-innovated ability.

Orientadores: Sergio Robles Reis de Queiroz, Ionara da Costa / Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Instituto de Geociencias / Made available in DSpace on 2018-08-05T05:23:11Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Carvalho_FlaviaPereirade_M.pdf: 610006 bytes, checksum: 894bd6020abdf7c46e94513971a72d7e (MD5) Previous issue date: 2005 / Resumo: O objetivo do trabalho é discutir os fatores determinantes dos transbordamentos tecnológicos - os chamados spillovers - oriundos do investimento direto estrangeiro (IDE). Num primeiro momento, faz-se uma síntese do conceito, com base nas visões, nem sempre convergentes, apresentadas pela literatura consultada. A partir dessa conceitualização inicial, são analisados de forma detalhada os mecanismos por meio dos quais o fenômeno se manifesta na economia receptora do IDE. Num segundo momento, o trabalho procura levantar os fatores que determinam a ocorrência e a magnitude do spillover, considerando a particularidade de cada caso. Tais fatores estão relacionados ora com características específicas do IDE, ora com aspectos inerentes ao ambiente onde o investimento se instala. A importância dessa diferenciação reside na necessidade de compreender porque os transbordamentos tecnológicos não se manifestam de maneira uniforme em todas as localidades. Esse debate permanece em aberto na literatura, pois os métodos de análise, em sua maioria quantitativos, não esclarecem a questão. Por fim, estabelece-se uma discussão sobre a efetividade de políticas e ações governamentais de atração IDEs com maiores probabilidades de ocorrência de spillovers, partindo das evidências obtidas na análise dos fatores determinantes do fenômeno em estudo. A conclusão do trabalho é que a ocorrência de spillovers tecnológicos não é automática, predeterminada pela presença das EMNs. As capacidades acumuladas pela economia local são determinantes para que o conhecimento disponibilizado seja efetivamente absorvido pelos agentes; além disso, o IDE intensivo em atividades tecnológicas tende a criar maiores possibilidades de geração de spillovers. Em decorrência disso, políticas que queiram gerar maiores benefícios sob a forma de transbordamentos devem considerar esses aspectos, agindo em busca da ampliação de capacidades e focando na atração de investimentos com atividade inovadora interna / Abstract: The aim of this dissertation is to discuss the determinants of technological spillovers generated by foreign direct investment (FDI). There are many, and often opposing, definitions and views concerning the concept of technological spillovers in the literature. For this reason, the first objective is to review the literature and to strive to synthesize the plurality of views available. Having done that, the work proceeds to discuss in depth the mechanisms through which spillovers take place in the host economy of the FDI. In particular, the determining factors of the occurrence and the extent of technological spillovers in specific situations. These factors are closely related to the characteristics of the FDI and also to peculiar aspects of the host economy. The discussion of the determinants is of utmost importance to help the comprehension of why spillovers happen in certain situations and not in others. The traditional approaches to the matter (most of the time econometric models) fail to shed light on such issues. In conclusion, we summarize the previous questions and analyze if government policies are capable of influencing and facilitating the incidence of technological spillovers / Mestrado / Politica Cientifica e Tecnologica / Mestre em Política Científica e Tecnológica