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The Impact and Pricing Formula of the National Finance Stabilization Fund: Application of the Barrier OptionChan, Chieh-chung 07 August 2006 (has links)
In the first part of this article, we discuss the time and the probability for the barrier option to become effective, and then employ the risk neutral assumption to derive the pricing formula of the barrier option. Our pricing formula is a closed form solution, and we may calculate the price of the barrier option without considering the Binomial tree of the underlying asset. We also calculate the traditional option price by our pricing formula, and compare the result to the value that is calculated by Binomial pricing formula. Both of them give the same value about the tradition option, and thus we may regard the tradition option as the special case of the barrier option. In the second part of this article, we employ the pricing formula of the barrier to derive the value of the National Finance Stabilization Fund, and then analyze the impact of the NFSF to the market. Our results reveal that when the benchmark market is not shifted by the bad news, then the NFSF may advance and stabilize the stock price index. In fact, many new style derivatives have the characteristics like barrier option, for example, a convertible bond with forced convert clause, which is a up-and-out call. Other course like bankruptcy costs, agency problems, and contingent liabilities etc, which can all be solved by the pricing formula in our discussion. We hope that results and the process in this article are helpful in solving above questions.
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Legal Analysis of Labor Pension Fund Sup-CommitteeWang, Kuei-chen 15 August 2006 (has links)
Considering the problems of the fast aging of population and the heavy burden of the next generation to raise the elder people, the ¡§Implementation Rules of the Labor Pension Act¡¨ law was put into practice in July 1st, 2005 to release the heavy load of the next generation. The law changed the older system ¡§defined benefit pension plan¡¨ into a new system ¡§defined contribution pension plan¡¨ to slow down the problems of aging of population. Nevertheless, there were so many controversial issues about the enactment not passing the draft plan of setting up the supervisory committee of the Fund of the Labor Pension.
The amount of the Labor Pension one can obtain when retiring is related to the operation of the Fund of the Labor Pension. However, now the money is putting in the bank and not doing any effective investment. This makes us start wondering if we can get our pension on time or the insufficient part of labor pension will become a heavy burden of the next generation. It can be a big issue for government in the future.
In this research we will discuss the general situation of the pension scheme and the operation of the fund of pension to analyze the legal problems of draft plan in setting up the supervisory committee of the Fund of the Labor Pension. The results show that the main drawbacks of the draft plan right now are: the problems of adopting the system of Incorporated Administration, lacking the supervisory committee of labor organization and undefined responsibility of the supervisory committee. Also, the injustice of the modern pension plan is discovered in our research. We hope that this study can provide an excellent direction to improve the system.
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The Composite Index of Fund Performance --Factor Analysis MethodLee, Ching-yi 12 February 2007 (has links)
¡@¡@The motivation of this research is to construct a Composite Index of funds which can help investors to choose funds with better ¡§future¡¨ performance.
¡@¡@The Composite Index in this thesis includes 14 kinds of indexes, such as Sharpe, Treynor, Sortino, and etc. Each kind of index is calculated by 4 different time lengths, they are 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, and 1 year. Therefore, there are 56 indexes in the Composite Index (CI).
¡@¡@Factor analysis method was used to analyze fund performance from 1998/01 to 2000/12, and the perfect weight combination to make 56 indexes become one CI was found out. In order to prove the performance of the CI in selecting funds, funds were distributed into 5 groups by their Composite Index scores every month. Therefore, we had group A to E from high CI score to low CI score. We calculated these funds¡¦ returns in the next month, and cumulated them by group from 2001/01 to 2005/12. After calculating, the cumulative returns of group A are 74.47% higher than group E, annual returns are 11.99%, and Sharpe index is 1.41. It shows that Composite Index can really distinguish the future, at least in one month, performance of stock funds. Investors are recommended to change their fund portfolios by latest CI scores once a month. Therefore, the Composite Index is more suitable for fund-of-fund manager, because their transaction costs are lower.
¡@¡@This thesis was awarded by ¡§Industry-University Cooperative Research Project¡¨ of National Science Council, and is going to be developed in PRISS system, a financial analysis software of Folion Financial Technology Co., Ltd. Therefore, a more systemized, programmed, and efficient environment for this kind of research is expectable.
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New Basel II Accord SME credit guarantee with the potential for development for example M bankWu, Mei-yen 05 July 2007 (has links)
SME Credit Guarantee Fund established for the express purpose is to supply SME credit guarantee with the potential for development but lack the Collateral. It was financial institutions and credit financing. This study was based on a combination of market-based risk neutral evaluation model and insurance actuarial Principle assess the SME Credit Guarantee Fund to ensure that the current main business of insurance rates, According to the estimate and to the SME Credit Guarantee Fund and commercial banks to be charged with considerable risk of price compensation. In the management of business credit guarantees default risk.
Bank of samples by the empirical results show that under this model receivable procedures for estimating costs, and the total amount of compensation rather, past a single 0.75% guaranteed rates significantly undervalued, with a single rate is the inverse effect of choice, nearly half over the industry higher than the current guarantee fee from the top 1.5%. If a word, which is the standard fees, fear is still not allow the fund to two-profit and loss. The model is a simple response to both the characteristics of market information, for the SME Credit Guarantee Fund in the risk management and pricing rates to be on the reference.
Keywords:SME Credit Guarantee Fund. Credit risk. Risk management.
Insurance Actuarial Model
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A Study of Mutual Fund Performance under Business Cycle in TaiwanChih, Yin-Wha 17 September 2001 (has links)
none
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Multi-factor model construction: Taiwan Weighted Stock Index enhanced index fund applicationYu, Tzu-Ying 01 August 2008 (has links)
We construct the multi-factor model using fundamental cross-sectional approach in the thesis. We adopt the principal of BARRA¡¦E3 for constructing our multi-factor model. In our study period, we finally obtain 34 significant explanatory factors including 7 risk indices and 27 industry factors. In particular, the industry factors are an important risk source of the stock returns. The explanatory power of the multi-factor model is 43.18% on average and it ranges from 12.89% to 82.35%. The study results can be considered satisfactory.
Moreover, based on the multi-factor model, we construct the Taiwan Weighted Stock Index enhanced index fund by the tracking error minimization method in our study. Enhanced Index Fund was built to make use of both passive management and active management to construct a portfolio which has the similar characteristics but higher returns compared to benchmark index. Hence, we want to track the Taiwan Weighted Stock Index while producing at least 2% outperformance over the Taiwan Weighted Stock Index. Our empirical period is from January 2000 to December 2005 and the simulated period is from January 2006 to December 2007. The performance of our constructed Taiwan Weighted Stock Index enhanced index fund in the simulated period is better than the benchmark and the tracking error is 1.36%. We are satisfied with the study results.
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Research on Private Equity Fund to M&A Domestic Commercial Banks in TaiwanHung, Chun-jung 07 August 2008 (has links)
The International Monetary Fund points out that four kinds of financial crisis in the world financial markets currency crisis, external debt crisis, bank crisis and systematic crisis . Taiwan could be happened in bank crisis and could have potentially impaired the economies of Taiwan. That was reason why Government protected banking industry avoiding collapse and bankruptcy.
This paper details why Private Equity Fund M&A Taiwan domestic bank and the effects on financial markets. Since 2006 Carlyle Group one of a global private equity investment firm takeover bid for Advanced Semiconductor Engineering Inc (¤é¤ë¥ú¥b¾ÉÅé)--the world's top chip packager for US$5.45 billion- Private Equity Firm had known for Taiwan financial markets. The Government refused the plan due to that takeover bid may weakening the local capital market and leading to an outflow of investment into China.
Foreign investment in Taiwan's banking industry is not new, but the acquisition of domestic banks has only become available to Private Equity Fund recently. The domestic banking industry has become a lucrative target for foreign investors not only of the Government has a policy of limiting the quantity of banking branches but also lower P/B in Asia region. Since 1997s, a striking feature in the development of Taiwan banking industry structure is the significant decline in the performance of banks while the steadily increase in the number of bank branches and caused by overbanking in Taiwan.
As Taiwan slowly opens its banking industry after second round banking reformation in 2001, global M&A trends also had impacts on Taiwan, foreign financial institutions are increasingly looking to make strategic and financial investments. This paper gives a brief description of the development in the past 10 years, analyzes the driving forces on the merger of financial institutions
From this research, we could come to the conclusions as follows:
1. A financial investment in domestic banks is a win-win for the various parties Private equity fund M&A of domestic commercial banks not only a very good source of capital in Taiwan, but also, through the competition of foreign banks, stimulates domestic financial institutions to upgrade operational skills and management, and improve operational efficiency and competitiveness, thus contributing to the upgrading of the financial system.
2. This paper using threshold regression model to find an adequate branch numbers of Commercial Banks industry in Taiwan. We found significant evidence good for the shareholders equity only when the branch numbers are larger than 88.
3. On the view of bank branch, the next target acquired company is Far Eastern International Bank(35 branches) ,Jih Sun Bank(36 branches) , King¡¥s Town Bank(62 branches) ,Taichung Commercial Bank(78 branches).ABN AMRO Bank(Taiwan)M&A Taitung Business Bank, the branches from 5 to 37, not to meet the bank's need for scale economics in Taiwan markets and should be M&A again
4. Private Equity Fund aims to pursue long term total return primarily through investment in equities and equity-related securities but had unique niche in resolving banking risk and corporate governance. also capitalized on the recovery of financial markets after the financial crisis in Taiwan banking indusdry According to experience of Private-Equity Firm to merge to banking industry in Korea Private Equity Fund exit their investments at last within 5-7 years after turned the bank successfully around
5. It's difference type of entering the Taiwan market through the acquisitions of banks, one is strategic investment (e.g.,Citigroup and Standard Chartered) and financial players (e.g., Newbridge Capital, The Carlyle Group).Strategic investment made a goal to construct a plateform to link Taiwan and China
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Use Genetic Algorithms to Construct Mutual Fund Portfolio Based on Perceived Risk LevelsLin, Yu-Ping 25 August 2008 (has links)
Because the government changed laws and opened the market progressively in recent years, the financial market in Taiwan becomes more and more liberal and international; every investor has to face a more complicated investitive environment. They can choice many investitive objects and tools, but how to choice the best one is a big problem for them and the risk in the financial market becomes much higher. Mutual fund is a popular investment tools in recent year. One of the mutual fund¡¦s benefits is the diversity of investment and effectively disperses risk..
In August 2006, the government in Taiwan opens up the market of mutual fund; the investors can buy offshore mutual funds in many channels, so they can choice many kinds of mutual funds, about 1,400 in April 2008. Also, every investor that can beat the level of risk is so different, it maybe make them confused and really want to know which one is much better and do asset allocation very well. Therefore, how to design a good portfolio for different perceived risk levels of investors is a worthful topic in the academia and the really world.
This research uses the genetic algorithm to construct mutual fund portfolios based on perceived risk levels, use fund return, standard deviation, Alpha, Beta, Sharpe, IR and Sortino indicators to select funds of a portfolio and calculate portfolio return and standard deviation, then do asset allocation. This research change funds in every portfolio every month using Sliding Windows method from Jan 1, 2001 to Dec 12, 2007, totally 84 times.
The result of this research is every portfolio average return wins benchmark index average return. The standard deviation of every portfolio also wins benchmark index standard deviation. It shows this research can beat benchmark index effectively and also can decrease the risk of portfolio return, then we can get a good fund portfolio for different perceived risk levels of investors
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Analyzing Taiwan Labor Pension System in Financial Aspect ¡ÐComparison between New System and Old SystemLo, Yung-Sheng 15 January 2009 (has links)
The system of Labor Pension in Taiwan deeply influences every class of labor and its intention and regulation of retirement system also affects to operation of government financial budget. The study aims to discuss the trend toward fewer children and the population aging which are somehow affecting forward finance perspective of holistic Labor Pension Fund. Especially, we confront an unbalance situation of population structure, how it reflected the contribution income of labor pension fund and its disbursement of pension payment and how it associated to operation of Labor Pension Fund. In addition, the government should be realized how to deal with the development of population in the future, gear up for designing a better supplementary measure. Therefore, the study will be analyzed with aspect of finance on the population aging phenomenon and how birth rate decline affect toward the New Labor Pension System and Old Labor Pension System. Hopefully, the study results can benefit our labor retirement policy. The study results as follows:
A. For the trend toward fewer children, in the short term, the evidence shows that it is unclear either on contribution of the New Labor Pension System or Old Labor Pension System. However, in the mid- and long term, the contribution of fund will be gradually affected, beginning to decrease slowly with the contribution.
B. For the population aging phenomenon, Old Labor Pension System on payment from fund indicted that incomes are much more than disbursements so it won¡¦t be a burden on Old Labor Pension Fund. On the contrary, due to different payment regulation between New Labor Pension System and Old Labor Pension System, the population aging is irrelevant to disbursement of New Labor Pension.
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The Swedish Hedge Fund Industry : An Evaluation of Strategies, Risks and ReturnsPersson, Martin, Carlsson, Henrik, Eliasson, Sofie January 2008 (has links)
<p>The purpose of this study is to analyze Swedish hedge funds in terms of pursued investment strategies, risks and returns.</p><p>The study deals with a large number of quantitative data and delimitations were used to obtain a sample that better fulfills the purpose of this paper. The time frame chosen for increas-ing validity and reliability was almost four years. Furthermore, the study uses secondary data due to difficulties and costs as-sociated with obtaining primary data though this is not consi-dered as lowering the quality of the study.</p><p>The theory section starts by presenting the differences between hedge funds and mutual funds and then focusing on different hedge fund strategies, risks associated with hedge funds and fi-nally risk and return measurements. This section provides an overview for the empirical findings and analysis.</p><p>In the empirical findings and analysis, statistical calculations of and Analysis the risk measurements standard deviation, Sharpe ratio, track-ing error and correlation are conducted for the sample. The re-sults are related to the hedge funds strategies. Later on the strategies are weighted against each other. Finally, all strategies are compared to OMXS to find the investors‟ most appropriate investment structure.</p><p>After categorizing the different hedge funds with respect to pursued strategies, the result shows how there are clear dispari-ties in risk and returns for the different strategies. We found indications of a significant relationship between high return and high risk as well as between low return and low risk.</p><p> </p>
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