Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited / LosCon, the software program developed for the author's thesis and tested at sea, is designed to help the ASW commander regain tactical control in a loss of submarine contact situation. Persistent detection and cueing in the battlespace depend on utilizing contact reports from a network of combatant platform and offboard sensors. LosCon, an extended Kalman filter-based program modeled after MTST (Maneuvering Target Statistical Tracker), can integrate the sensor network very efficiently. Kalman filtering is a method of recursively updating the position of an evading target and accuracy of that position using imperfect measurements. Lines of bearing to the contact with associated standard deviation bearing errors and positions with their standard deviation range errors are the measurements LosCon uses to generate an ellipse of the submarine's likely position or AOU (Area Of Uncertainty). LosCon will also generate an expanded AOU for any future time, allowing commanders to correctly estimate the size of the search area. The effectiveness of the sea shield concept depends on the ability of organic forces to deny the enemy tactical control of the battlespace area. Incorporating the information generated by LosCon would assist ASW commanders in maintaining undersea superiority. / Ensign, United States Navy

In this thesis, a multiple hypotheses tracking (MHT) algorithm is developed to successfully track multiple ballistic missiles within the boost phase. The success of previous work on the MHT algorithm and its application in other scientific fields enables this study to realize an efficient form of the algorithm and examine its feasibility in tracking multiple crossing ballistic missiles even though various accelerations due to staging are present. A framework is developed for the MHT, which includes a linear assignment problem approach used to search the measurement-to-contact association matrix for the set of exact N-best feasible hypotheses. To test the new MHT, an event in which multiple ballistic missiles have been launched and threaten the North American continent is considered. To aid in the interception and destruction of the threat far from their intended targets, the research focuses on the boost-phase portion of the missile flight. The near-simultaneous attacks are detected by a network of radar sensors positioned near the missile launch sites. Each sensor provides position reports or track files for the MHT routine to process. To quantify the performance of the algorithm, data from the National Air and Space Intelligence Center's IMPULSE ICBM model is used and demonstrates the feasibility of this approach. This is especially significant to the U.S. Missile Defense Agency since the IMPULSE model represents the cognizant analyst's accurate representation of the ballistic threats in a realistic environment. The results show that this new algorithm works exceptionally well in a realistic environment where complex interactions of missile staging, non-linear thrust profiles and sensor noise can significantly degrade the track algorithm performance especially in multiple target scenarios.

Esta dissertação apresenta novos resultados para a solução de problemas de implementação computacional na estimativa de sistemas singulares e sistemas Markovianos. São apresentados algoritmos alternativos para problemas de filtragem de maneira a minimizar problemas causados principalmente por erros de arredondamento e mal condicionamento de matrizes. O trabalho envolve basicamente algoritmos array e filtragem de informação para a estimativa de sistemas singulares nominais e robustos. Também é deduzido um algoritmo array para a filtragem de sistemas lineares sujeitos a saltos Markovianos. / This dissertation presents new results to solve computational implementation problems to estimate singular and Markovian systems. Alternative algorithms to handle computational filtering errors due rounding errors and ill-conditioned matrices are developed. This dissertation comprehends basically array algorithms and information filters for the estimate of nominal and robust singular systems. Also, it is developed an array algorithm for Markovian jump linear systems filtering.

Made available in DSpace on 2015-03-04T18:57:45Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Texto_completo_PArt1.pdf: 9176320 bytes, checksum: ad1d8c914089946e709acb58d1bae9d9 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2013-03-14 / Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cientifico e Tecnologico / This dissertation did a study on the impact of soil moisture data assimilation on the hydroclimatological variables for the Brazilian semiarid and the La Plata River Basin. The choice of this theme was a result of the understanding that the accuracy of estimating soil moisture is directly associated with the accuracy of the weather forecast and climate simulations. The regions, in turn, were chosen because, despite presenting extremely different geographic and socio-economic features with episodes of lack and/or excess water. In this context, it is understood that accurate, representative forecasts are of great importance in developing strategies for managing water use, so relevant to these areas. The study was conducted using NCEP's NOAH land surface model, responsible for describing the dynamics of soil water and generating the estimate of the variable studied as necessary for the assimilation scheme. In addition, we used, as observations for the amount of water in the soil, soil moisture records from the AMSR-E sensor, coupled to the AQUA satellite, and also from ground-based, automatic agrometeorological stations maintained by INPE (Brazilian National Institute for Space Research). These observations were used directly into the assimilation scheme. The Ensemble Kalman Filter was the method used to perform the data assimilation experiments. The last step was to investigate the temporal evolution of the terms, in the assimilation scheme, containing estimates of model and analysis errors. These terms are fundamental parts of the Kalman Filter formulation and have a great in uence in the calculation of the result and its quality. / Este trabalho fez um estudo sobre o impacto da assimilação de dados de umidade do solo nas variáveis hidroclimatológicas sobre o Semiárido brasileiro e a Bacia do Prata. A escolha deste tema foi consequência do entendimento de que a precisão da estimativa da umidade do solo está diretamente associada á precisão da previsão meteorológica nas escalas de tempo e clima. As regiões, por sua vez, foram escolhidas porque, apesar de apresentarem características geográficas e socio-economicas extremamente diferentes, apresentando episódios de falta e/ou excesso de água. Neste contexto, entende-se que previsões representativas auxiliam no desenvolvimento de estratégias de gerenciamento do uso da água, tão relevantes para estas áreas. O trabalho foi desenvolvido utilizando o modelo de superfície NOAH, responsável por descrever a dinâmica da água no solo e gerar a estimativa da variável estudada, necessária no esquema de assimilação. Além disso, foram usados os registros de umidade do solo, oriundos do sensor AMSR-E, acoplado ao satélite AQUA; e também das estações agrometeorológicas, mantidos pelo INPE, como observações para a quantidade de água no solo. Estas observações foram utilizadas, diretamente, no esquema de assimilação. O Filtro de Kalman por Conjuntos foi o método utilizado para implementar a assimilação de dados. O último passo consistiu em investigar a evolução temporal dos termos que, no esquema de assimilação, contém as estimativas dos erros do modelo e da análise. Estes termos são parte fundamental na formulação do filtro de Kalman e tem grande influência no cálculo do resultado e sua qualidade.

Thesis (M.S.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, 1980. / MICROFICHE COPY AVAILABLE IN ARCHIVES AND ENGINEERING. / Includes bibliographical references. / by James Brian Lewis. / M.S.

Thesis. 1975. M.S.--Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Aeronautics and Astronautics. / Bibliography: leaf 112. / by George W. Pfeiffer. / M.S.

Thesis (M.S.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, 1981. / MICROFICHE COPY AVAILABLE IN ARCHIVES AND ENGINEERING. / Includes bibliographical references. / by John A. Cartelli. / M.S.

Thesis. 1977. M.S.--Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science. / MICROFICHE COPY AVAILABLE IN ARCHIVES AND ENGINEERING. / Includes bibliographical references. / John C. Doyle. / M.S.

Thesis (M.S.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 1981. / Microfiche copy available in Archives and Barker / Bibliography: leaves 108-109. / by William Neil McCasland. / M.S.

Thesis. 1978. Ph.D.--Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science. / MICROFICHE COPY AVAILABLE IN ARCHIVES AND ENGINEERING. / Vita. / Bibliography: leaves 305-312. / by William Henry Ledsham, Jr. / Ph.D.