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Simulation of sudden stratospheric warmings with the middle and upper atmosphere modelHoffmann, Peter, Jacobi, Christoph 09 October 2017 (has links)
The Middle and Upper Atmosphere Model has been used to simulate the middle atmosphere variability by changing the lower boundary conditions. For this purpose quasi steady-state simulations were performed for individual days around the sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) in January 2009 and 2012. The modelled time series reveal a qualitatively good agreement with reanalysis zonal wind with the observed one by reanalysis at the same height and latitude. A medium-range prediction of SSW events appears possible if planetary waves (PW) in the lower stratosphere are additionally assimilated in form of externally forced travelling PW.
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