由於我國政策與制度關係，直轄市比其他縣市可獲得較豐富的資源，是不爭的事實，以致各縣市紛紛爭取升格為直轄市，希望獲得更大的財政實力，但2010年升格之後的五都，財政收支差短依舊嚴重，皆須仰賴中央補助或舉債，以支應各項政務推動及地方建設。對新北市而言，在資源有限情況下，惟有提升財政自主能力，並落實財政紀律，才能解決其財政缺口。
新北市既已升格直轄市，就要有適時法律得以遵從，希望能儘早修正財政收支劃分法，給予相當的財政自主權，並落實財政自我負責機制。然而在自有財源比例偏低情形之下，支出結構僵化，人事費比重過高，能自行決定的支出相當有限，加上指定用途補助款等問題，都限縮其財政自主性。
本研究以新北市為主要研究對象，選取1982-2011年資料，以一般化最小平方法GLS（generalized least squares)進行迴歸分析，探究對於新北市財政收入或自主財源之影響因素。實證結果發現，家庭平均每戶全年經常性收入、土地增值稅減半徵收及調降稅率政策，對於歲入及自有財源具有正向影響效果；失業率則具有負向影響效果。以上三項影響因素中，失業率對於歲入及自有財源之影響程度不同，對於自有財源則更具顯著性負向響影。 / It is undoubted that the municipality can get more resources than counties and cities. Due to the fact, most of counties and cities try for upgrading to a municipality in Taiwan. After city-county consolidation in 2010, the Fiscal Deficit of five special municipalities is still seriously short, they rely on central government subsidies or loans to cope with the operation and construction funds. Because of the limitation of resources, it is the sole solution of solving the fiscal gap for New Taipei City is to enhance the ability of financial autonomy and implement fiscal discipline.
It is necessary for New Taipei City to have the corresponding law to upgrade municipality. We hope that the Act Governing the Allocation of Government Revenues and Expenditures can be revised as soon as possible and the revised law can provide the appropriate financial autonomy and implement fiscal self-responsibility mechanism for New Taipei municipality. However, because of the low proportion of cases under its own financial resources, the fixed expenditure structure and the high proportion of staff costs, the self-decided expenditure is quite limited. In addition, earmarked grants and other issues also narrow its financial autonomy.
New Taipei City is the main object of this study. The specific data (1982-2011) and the GLS(generalized Least Squares) are used in this study to find out the impact factors of New Taipei's revenue and its independent revenue sources. The empirical results indicate that Average Current Receipts Per Household, LAT Halved and Tax Reduction policyhave a positive effect on its revenue and independent revenue sources; Also, the unemployment rate has a negative impact on results. Among these three impact factors, the Unemployment Rate has the different influence degree between the revenue and independent revenue sources, especially; it has significant negative impact on the independent revenue sources.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:CHENGCHI/G0100921217 |
| Creators | 洪鳳娟 |
| Publisher | 國立政治大學 |
| Source Sets | National Chengchi University Libraries |
| Language | 中文 |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | text |
| Rights | Copyright © nccu library on behalf of the copyright holders |
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