保險為具有持續性及高度社會性之經濟制度，且與國家經濟有密切關係，台灣壽險業近年來快速成長，社會大眾的資金也大舉流入保險公司，因而保險公司的經營穩定度不但影響消費大眾的權益，也影響台灣經濟的穩定性。
本研究以HHM實證模型，將這一些不容易讓人看得懂的財務數據，轉換為一種容易瞭解的經營穩定度評等，利用台灣壽險業89年至98年的財務業務資料，主要以89年至98年期間進行logistic迴歸分析，並再細分為89年至93年及94年至98年等2個子期間進行實證，發現影響台灣壽險業經營穩定度的一致性主要因素為公司規模、投資績效、營業淨利、保險槓桿等四個變數，而且都是正向影響。另89年至98年之10年期間logistic迴歸分析結果較2個子期間更為顯著，代表10年較長觀察期間所得到的結果，優於5年觀察期間的結果，且過去會顯著影響壽險公司經營穩定度的變數，在未來未必仍持續有顯著影響。
根據本文實證發現，建議主管機關未來於修正「人身保險業辦理資訊公開管理辦法」時，能於財務業務指標中納入投資績效、營業淨利、保險槓桿等3項財務性指標，並考慮要求壽險業將辦理財務再保險的相關資訊及對財務報表的影響予以公開揭露，以利消費大眾瞭解壽險公司真實的財務狀況。 / Taiwan’s life insurance industry has experienced a rapid growth and numerous premiums flowed into life insurance companies during recent years. Therefore, the operating stability of life insurance companies affects not only the interests of policyholders but also the economic stability of Taiwan. For a better understanding of financial reports to general public, this study adopts HHM model to transfer financial data of life insurance companies to a rating regarding operating stability. The empirical financial data of Taiwan’s life insurance industry are mainly from 2000 to 2009 and we arrange a whole period as well as two sub-periods for logistic regression analysis. We find that, the factors that significantly and positively affect Taiwan life insurers’ operating stability are firm size, investment performance, operating margin and insurance leverage. With respect to logistic regression analysis, we also find that, the results of a whole period are more significant than those of two sub-periods.
According to our empirical findings and toward a fully disclose to general public, we suggest that the competent authority bring investment performance, operating margin and insurance leverage into financial ratios, and ask life insurance companies disclose their transaction information and financial impact of any financial reinsurance by amending the “Regulations Governing Public Disclosure of Information by Life Insurance Enterprises”.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:CHENGCHI/G0094358025 |
| Creators | 蔡火炎, Tsai, Huo Yen |
| Publisher | 國立政治大學 |
| Source Sets | National Chengchi University Libraries |
| Language | 中文 |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | text |
| Rights | Copyright © nccu library on behalf of the copyright holders |
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