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FINDING IMPORTANT FACTORS IN AN EFFECTS-BASED PLAN USING SEQUENTIAL BIFURCATION

After the pilot phase of a simulation study, if the model contains many factors, then direct experimentation may need too much computer processing time, therefore the purpose of screening simulation experiments is to eliminate negligible or unimportant factors of a simulation model in order to concentrate the efforts upon a short list of important factors. For this matter the Sequential bifurcation procedure developed by Bettonvil and Kleijnen [3] is an efficient and effective screening method which can be used. In this study, the Sequential bifurcation screening method is used to determine the important factors of a simulation based decision support model designed by The Swedish Defense Research Agency (FOI) meant for testing operational plans. By using this simulation model, a decision maker is able to test a number of feasible plans against possible courses of events. The sequential bifurcation procedure was applied and sorted the most important factors involved in this simulation model based on their relative importance.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:UPSALLA1/oai:DiVA.org:kth-101212
Date January 2012
CreatorsSeyedamin, Arvand
PublisherKTH, Skolan för informations- och kommunikationsteknik (ICT)
Source SetsDiVA Archive at Upsalla University
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeStudent thesis, info:eu-repo/semantics/bachelorThesis, text
Formatapplication/pdf
Rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
RelationTRITA-ICT-EX ; 2012:128

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