Šiame darbe nagrinėjamos Afganistano demokratizacijos perspektyvos tiriant ankstesnių JAV vykdytų demokratizacijos mėginimų karinės intervencijos priemonėmis rezultatą nulėmusius vidinius ir išotinius veiksnius. Pateikiamos teorinės demokratizacijos „iš išorės“ prielaidos ir vidiniai bei išoriniai veiksniai, leidžiantys tikėtis sėkmingos demokratizacijos. Šios prielaidos tikrinamos ir analizuojamos lyginant 15 JAV karinių intervencijų, kuriomis buvo siekiama demokratizuoti įvairias valstybes XX amžiuje, atvejus. Apžvelgiama padėtis Afganistane iki ir po 2001 m. karinės intervencijos, identifikuojama, kokie veiksniai šioje valstybėje laikytini palankiais ar nepalankiais sėkmingai jos demokratizacijai. Apibendrinant teorines įžvalgas, JAV demokratizacijos bandymų patirtį ir padėtį tiriamoje valstybėje, projektuojamos Afganistano demokratizacijos perspektyvos. / In this paper the prospects of Afghanistan's democratization are examined in context of previous U.S. attempts to democratize foreign countries by means of military interventions. Thus the object of this paper is not only the process of Afghanistan’s democratization, but also the examination of precedent cases, it’s outcomes and inner, as well as outer factors that possibly led to these outcomes. These factors are ethnic homogeneity of democratized state’s society, concentration and civil control of coercion, modern economy and developed middle-class, homogeneity of democratizing country’s politics towards the process, as well as the nature of process itself – is whole community is chosen as “target” of democratization process, or just it’s ruling elite. Comparative analysis of these factors in previous cases allowed to create a framework for a case study of Aghanistan's democratization's prospects. This case study leads to conclusion that prospects of Afghanistan’s democratization are at best vague. To add, these conclusions can only be considered as provisory: as comparative analysis of precedent cases revealed, no clear pattern, enabling to predict democratization attempt’s success or failure, can be drawn. We cannot state firmly, that country, where democratic institutions and procedures are installed, will become a consolidated democracy. Equally, there is no absolute evidence, that country with poor economic achievements, with weak middle-class, with other theoretically... [to full text]
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:LABT_ETD/oai:elaba.lt:LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2007~D_20140620_205456-92664 |
| Date | 20 June 2014 |
| Creators | Narbutas, Balys |
| Contributors | Račius, Egdūnas, Vilnius University |
| Publisher | Lithuanian Academic Libraries Network (LABT), Vilnius University |
| Source Sets | Lithuanian ETD submission system |
| Language | Lithuanian |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | Master thesis |
| Format | application/pdf |
| Source | http://vddb.library.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2007~D_20140620_205456-92664 |
| Rights | Unrestricted |
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