2002年第一屆東協─印度高峰會上，印度、東協雙方同意啟動AIFTA談判，至今雙方已於2003、2009、2013年分別簽署AIFTA的架構協定、貨品貿易協定以及服務業貿易暨投資協定。本研究的主旨便在於探討AIFTA之源起、發展過程與現況，並展望其未來，進而印證以下論點：AIFTA的成立與發展受到多重因素的驅動，但透過對於AIFTA成立源起、談判過程與成果的討論可以發現，成立至今，儘管關注AIFTA所蘊含的經濟利得與損失，政治、策略性考量的影響力多次超越經濟考量，在關鍵時刻成為驅動AIFTA發展進程的首要考量、決定性因素。
在緒論之後，本研究首先分別檢視驅動印度、東協同意成立AIFTA的多重考量，並試圖對其相對影響力進行分析，最後發現印度、東協對於彼此戰略重要性的認知是驅動AIFTA成立的首要因素，而非經濟吸引力。其次，對於東協─印度經貿關係稍作說明，進一步了解影響AIFTA談判的經濟因素。再次，檢視AIFTA的制度性發展，並從談判過程、成果內涵、經濟效果、戰略效應等面向加以分析，然後發現，其談判之所以達成並非因為雙方之經濟利益出現合致，而是基於對外部情勢的策略性回應。而經濟、戰略效應的分析結果也與之形成呼應。最後則總結研究發現並對未來研究提出建議。 / At the First ASEAN-India Summit held in 2002, ASEAN and India agreed to launch the negotiation of AIFTA. Then the AIFTA Framework Agreement, Agreement on Trade in Goods and the Agreement on Trade in Service and Investment were inked in 2003, 2009 and 2013 respectively. The thesis aims at discussing the origin, development and outcome of AIFTA and argues that among the multiple factors, the political and strategic considerations overrode the economic ones, consequently becoming the primary consideration and decisive factor at the critical moments of AIFTA’s development.
The thesis composes six chapters. Chapter 1 is the Introduction. Chapter 2 and 3 analyze the considerations that drove India and ASEAN to form AIFTA, and try to evaluate the relative importance of these considerations. The argument here is that the primary consideration that drove India and ASEAN to form AIFTA is their perceived strategic importance to each other rather than economic attractiveness. Chapter 4 is an overview on ASEAN-India bilateral economic relations, which helps to understand the economic factors influencing the AIFTA’s development further. Chapter 5 examines the overall institutional development of AIFTA, the analyses on its negotiation process, outcomes, economic effects and strategic implications included. The finding here is that during the negotiation process, the political and strategic reaction to external situations rather than the convergence of economic interest led to the completion of AIFTA negotiation. The analysis on economic and strategic effects exemplifies the above arguments. Chapter 6 sums up the research findings of the thesis and makes several suggestions for the further research.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:CHENGCHI/G0099253014 |
| Creators | 黃仲歡, Huang, Jhong Huan |
| Publisher | 國立政治大學 |
| Source Sets | National Chengchi University Libraries |
| Language | 中文 |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | text |
| Rights | Copyright © nccu library on behalf of the copyright holders |
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