This study aims to empirically explore if there is an association between climate-related disasters and climate mitigation policy change in middle-income countries. This is important for understanding future climate mitigation policy, as disasters are predicted to increase in both frequency and severity. I explore this by studying climate mitigation policy activity change among countries in Latin America and the Caribbean. The region is chosen due to a lack of previous studies in both the region specifically, as well as in middle-income countries generally. Due to uncertainties in the exact time lag between the disaster and policy response, different methods are used: one 5-year normalized scatterplot and two fixed effects (FE) regressions with 1- and 2-year time lags respectively. The results show no statistically significant effects between the variables when looking at a 1-year FE regression or a 5-year normalized scatterplot, however, it does find a negative correlation between extreme-impact events and affected people when using a 2-year FE regression. A possible interpretation of the results is that severe climate-related disasters pause climate mitigation policy development, but not the process of the policies already developed pre-disaster and that these are short-term effects. However, further studies are needed to confirm this.
Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:UPSALLA1/oai:DiVA.org:uu-493882 |
Date | January 2023 |
Creators | Petersen, Lotte |
Publisher | Uppsala universitet, Statsvetenskapliga institutionen |
Source Sets | DiVA Archive at Upsalla University |
Language | English |
Detected Language | English |
Type | Student thesis, info:eu-repo/semantics/bachelorThesis, text |
Format | application/pdf |
Rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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