有鑑於我國與大陸方面是否應簽訂ECFA仍有許多疑慮，本研究欲就香港與大陸所簽訂之CEPA協定對香港銀行業經營效率有何影響加以探討，以便對台灣未來可能簽訂ECFA時提供台灣銀行業相關參考及對策。
本研究針對2000年至2007年的18家香港地區銀行以及30家台灣地區銀行，採用資料包絡分析(DEA)計算業者之經營效率，最後控制銀行業者本身之財務特性及總體經濟環境因素，應用Tobit迴歸比較分析實施CEPA對香港銀行業之影響及台灣與香港業者之差異。
研究結果顯示港銀行業之經營效率八年間均較台灣銀行業為佳，此外CEPA協定之採用整體而言對台灣以及香港銀行業均無顯著影響，雖然協定採用後之第三、四兩年，香港銀行業之效率顯著高於實施後之前兩年與台灣銀行業者，亦即CEPA之效益要到協議三及四之後才顯現出來。因此可知CEPA簽訂後，效益不會立即顯現，須有更多的開放例如CEPA三及四對營業額及資本額的放寬才有可能顯現直接之效益。此點應可作為台灣未來與大陸談判時應考慮之因素。 / Since Taiwan still disputes whether to sign Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement, (ECFA) with mainland China or not, this research tries to analyze the efficient change of Hong Kong banking industry before and after singing Closer Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) with mainland China. And hope to gain some understandings about the effect of singing CEPA, so that to provide some strategic references for singing EFCA in the future.
The research data draw from 2000 to 2007 of the 18 regional banks from Hong Kong and 30 regional banks from Taiwan. The research applies data envelopment analysis (DEA) to evaluate the operating efficiency of the banks. After controlling banks’ financial characteristics and macro economics variables, the Tobit regression denotes the following suggestions. The efficient of Hong Kong banking industry showed a better efficiency than Taiwan banking industry. After signing CEPA for two years, Hong Kong banking industry finally revealed a significant improvement than first two years as well as Taiwan’s banking industry. The results suggest that signing CEPA does not immediately increase the efficiency of the industry; the agreement might need fewer restrictions, such as fewer amounts of sales restriction and less capital restriction in CPEA III and IV, in order to boost the performance of the industry. The results should provide a good strategic consideration about the future EFCA talk for Taiwan.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:CHENGCHI/G0963530261 |
| Creators | 劉書廷 |
| Publisher | 國立政治大學 |
| Source Sets | National Chengchi University Libraries |
| Language | 中文 |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | text |
| Rights | Copyright © nccu library on behalf of the copyright holders |
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