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Alternative methods of raw product valuation for agricultural cooperatives : a forecasting approachWiese, Arthur Michael 10 June 1985 (has links)
Raw product value of vegetables for processing in the
Northwest used to be established by a competitive market
involving proprietary processors and growers. Due to the
relocation of proprietary processors to the Midwest, this
competitive market has eroded forcing cooperative processors
to seek other means to set raw product values. In the
absence of a competitive market for raw product,
cooperatives must rely on an average of last year's prices
paid by processors in a given region to value raw product.
This method of lagged averages may be resulting in
misallocated contracted acreage to grower-members of
cooperatives, and inappropriate production levels of the
processed good given market conditions. Therefore, the
principal objective of this research is to develop and
evaluate alternative methods of forecasting raw product
value.
Since the market for processed vegetables at the
retail level is competitive, one alternative method employed
was to use a forecast of supply and determinants of demand
affecting retail price to forecast raw product value. These
explanatory variables were regressed against raw product
values of various crops obtained from a northwest processing
and marketing cooperative. The raw product values were
expressed as net returns/acre to the crops under
investigation. The estimated equations, which had adjusted
R²'s ranging from .267 to .851, were used to forecast raw
product value. A second forecasting method investigated in
this study was an exponential smoothing model.
Raw product value forecasts were generated over two
different time horizons, identified by the cooperatives'
accounting procedures. The two alternative forecasting
methods were compared to each other, and to the method
currently in use by the cooperative, with the aim of
determining the most accurate forecasting technique.
Results showed that both the econometric and smoothing
approaches fit the data better over the estimation period
than did a naive lagged price estimate resembling the
present method in use by the cooperative. The econometric
method also fit the data better than did the smoothing
approach.
The econometric model provided poor forecasts for the
longer forecast horizon, but proved to be effective in the
shorter. The smoothing technique forecasted more effectively
in the longer forecast horizon as compared with the shorter.
These results suggest the importance of the forecast horizon
in determining the more appropriate forecasting technique.
Both forecasting techniques proposed in this study
produced forecasts which were more accurate than the
cooperative's present method at least half of the time. This
suggests that viable alternatives to the present method of
establishing raw product value exist for agricultural
cooperatives. / Graduation date: 1986
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Systematic narratives : a study of an information system for the Colombian coffee industryDe Meij Garcia-Montoya, Luisa Fernanda January 1997 (has links)
No description available.
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Local Place and its Co-Construction in the Global Network SocietyAshton, Hazel January 2008 (has links)
This thesis explores how locally-constructed agency, based on what we really care about, can be developed within and thence beyond localities. At issue is the need for new forms of connectedness and belonging in the globally-based network society. Globally-based communications and media technologies create new networks and mobilities that stretch and fragment existing socio-economic, administrative and ecological systems and with this, older, local and national forms of sociality. Such social upheavals are apt to drive people into defensive and divisive "us" against "them" forms of belonging. Local communities are then called on almost daily to fix these problems, but scarcely exist as connected effective agents on their own account. The thesis examines how official institutions (policy and academic) can help undo one-way global-local flows, by supporting new forms of local-local and local-through-to-global agency. A transdisciplinary methodology, developed in this thesis, performatively demonstrates productive, new local-academic-policy connections. Research included a fully participatory process that blends theoretical concepts (social, aesthetic, literary and film), with film and interactive technologies. A microcosm or simulation of locality was created through DVD film and an interactive research website. Through the shared use of screen interfaces, over one hundred co-detectives or co-researchers from hugely diverse backgrounds collaborated to search for, help reveal, and test out ways that local inhabitants could more effectively connect and co-create a filmed narrative of the kind of place that all would like to inhabit. A "network locality" development narrative is here piloted as a counterpoint to the global network society. Based on inclusive co-construction of locally grounded technology - and aesthetic-based communities - new possibilities of belonging around engagement in locally grounded civic-cosmopolitan projects are demonstrated.
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Explicating and testing a general theory of crime.Zager, Mary Ann. January 1993 (has links)
Gottfredson and Hirschi's A General Theory of Crime (1990) motivated much research on the concept of self-control and its relationship to crime, delinquency, and deviant behavior. Although researchers are aware of this theory's contribution to criminological research, some confusion about the exact nature of the relationship between self-control and criminal behavior (as specified by Gottfredson and Hirschi) remains. To clarify this relationship, the assumptions most vital to the theory are explained. One theorem derived from these assumptions regards the role of opportunity in deviant behavior. Gottfredson and Hirschi clearly posit opportunity as a necessary but not sufficient condition for criminal (and analogous non-criminal) behavior to occur. The precise role of opportunity in self-control theory, however, is somewhat unclear in Gottfredson and Hirschi's work. The present work clarifies this element of opportunity, searches for a measure of self-control that is opportunity free, and addresses the relationship between this type of measure and delinquent behavior using data from the National Youth Survey. The role of opportunity in this theory is clarified using gender differences in delinquent behavior as a tool for separating the components of opportunity. Using gender differences in several delinquent behaviors, the existence of the two components of opportunity (one inherent in the act and one inherent in the actor) is confirmed. After establishing these elements of opportunity, gender differences are used to facilitate the search for a measure of self-control that is distinct from both. This attitudinal measure raises the issue of the role of attitudes in Gottfredson and Hirschi's theory. The final analysis focuses on the relationships between attitudes (both children's and parent's) and children's delinquent behavior. Log-linear models are used to specify the structures of these relationships, which are complimentary to Gottfredson and Hirschi's assumptions regarding social norms, parental influence on children's value systems, and an individual's ability to engage in behaviors that they realize are inappropriate.
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Action-Research application in Evidence-Based practice for librariesCivallero, Edgardo 08 1900 (has links)
Evidence Based Librarianship (EBL) seeks for and promotes the improvement of the librarian practice through the use of the best available evidence. Strongly used in medical contexts, Evidence Based Practice can be an important tool for the development of LIS, if practice is carefully thought and wisely combined with research and theoretical reflection. In order to achieve a state of equilibrium between theories and empirical studies, a qualitative method –action research- may be applied, as a dialogue between abstract ideas and the facts and signs provided by concrete experiences.
Through action research, librarians can collect the evidence –using a series of qualitative tools- and use it for building theoretical knowledge in order to improve their work and their profession. From this viewpoint, after putting something into practice they will be able to know whether it worked as expected or not, make any change if it is necessary, and test the whole process again, searching more and new evidence. The method becomes a progressive helix that leads librarians to continuously evaluate their activities and services and improve them according of their final users’ needs.
Fitting these ideas in the general context of “Library 2.0” new LIS model and in the particular situation of Social Sciences libraries, the conference briefly introduces some basic ideas on how action research should be employed for collecting and using evidence in LIS.
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Analysis of Tree Rings and Fire Scars to Establish Fire HistoryMcBride, Joe R. January 1983 (has links)
Traditional counting of tree rings between fire scars to establish a fire history is examined for a better understanding of factors influencing fire scar formation and wound healing. The problem of dating fires which burn prior to or after the period of cambial activity is emphasized. A methodology for fire history studies based on fire scar and tree-ring analysis developed by Arno and Sneck (1977) is reviewed and elaborated upon. The importance of crossdating, height of sample cross sections, and problems associated with the extrapolation of data are discussed. Ongoing research involving the examination of the mineral concentration of tree rings and the presence of traumatic resin canals as markers of past fires is reviewed.
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Scholarly monographs on rock music: a bibliographic essayBerger, Monica January 2008 (has links)
Purpose: This article is an overview of scholarly monographs on rock music from 1980 to the present. It provides an overview to the literature for practical purposes of collections development as well as giving the reader insight into key issues and trends related to a interdisciplinary topic that attracts scholars from many disciplines in the humanities and social sciences.
Design/methodology/approach: This bibliographic essay, focusing on works related to American culture and of a general nature, includes an overview and historical background; a discussion of how music and ethnomusiciological scholars approach the topic; geographic approaches; literature on four key icons (Elvis, Dylan, Springsteen, and Madonna); American studies; subcultures and genres; other methodologies; and concludes by discussing notable recent works.
Findings: The scholarly literature on rock incorporates a wide variety of approaches and methodologies. Many music-related scholars appropriate methodology from other disciplines and some non-music-related scholars use the formalistic analysis of music scholars. Authenticity is a major theme in the literature on rock.
Originality/value: This essay covers the widest range of monographs on the topic, providing insight into not only the key scholars but also the diversity of approaches to the topic. The historical approach to the literature gives the reader a sense of how the academic discourse on rock has evolved. This essay is of interest to librarians, scholars of rock music, and others concerned with how American scholarship in the humanities and the social sciences has grown since the advent of cultural studies.
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The use of systems development methodologies in web-based application development in South Africa / Martin Allen TaylorTaylor, Martin Allen January 2006 (has links)
This study investigated the use of systems development methodologies in Web-based
application development in South Africa. Web-based systems differ from
traditional information systems by integrating different media for knowledge
representation and utilizing hypertext functionality. By doing this, Web-based
systems not only support creation, integration, analysis, and distribution but also
storage and transfer of knowledge of business transactions within a structured
information system.
There are numerous methodologies available to develop Web-based systems. In this
study five of these methodologies were discussed. The methodologies include Web
IS Development Methodology (WISOM), Internet Commerce Development
Methodology (ICOM), Web Engineering, Extreme Programming and the Relationship
Management Methodology (RMM).
In this study a qualitative research approach was followed. Case studies were done
on three different organizations in the South African marketplace. Semi-structured
interviews were used for data collection at each organization. The interviews were
transcribed, and the data were analysed using content analysis and cross-case
analysis. One of the main goals of this research was to determine "how" system
development methodologies are used in practice to develop Web-based systems,
and to what extent it is used.
The research pointed out that those organizations who participated in this study in
South Africa mainly use in-house developed methodologies to develop Web-based
systems, and that these organizations adhere strictly to their methodology. The main
reasons organizations choose to use methodologies are that methodologies aid in
the delivery of a better quality Web-based system, and also act as a good project
management mechanism within the organization. / Thesis (M.Com. (Computer Science))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2007
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Investigating emotion in the higher education workplace using Q methodologyWoods, Charlotte Emma January 2008 (has links)
No description available.
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Ethnic group affiliation and social exclusion in Cornwall : analysis, adjustment and extension of the 2001 England and Wales Census dataHusk, Kerryn Michael January 2012 (has links)
This thesis provides a critical understanding of the size and relative position of the Cornish in Cornwall, a county in the south-west of the UK. Cornwall is a region which has experienced increased levels of disadvantage for a prolonged period of time. The indigenous people, whilst seeing a rise in their inclusion in ethnicity variables in the region, have remained under-researched in terms of their socio-economic position relative to the non-Cornish in the same geographic area. This thesis addresses this gap in the literature and represents the first in-depth examination of the group. The 2001 Census included an option to ‘write-in’ a Cornish ethnic identity, however whilst accurate in the responses it recorded the result was almost certainly an under-enumeration due to the lack of a dedicated tick-box selection. This thesis is a rigorous examination of the Cornish, starting with these data, estimating their size and socio-economic position (in terms of social exclusion) relative to non-Cornish individuals. Three stages of primary analysis sought to; analyse, adjust and extend the 2001 Census result to broadly estimate the size, links with exclusion and the causal processes behind these links. Firstly, an accurate picture of the size of the Cornish population was estimated using an innovative weighting strategy, developed to collate all other data referring to the Cornish and to derive weights for application to the raw Census data. Secondly, a stage of primary survey research examined this group more directly for links with social exclusion factors; and thirdly, a stage of qualitative interviews with knowledgeable individuals in the region lent depth to the findings and provided a more coherent explanatory framework. The results indicate that the Cornish are certainly more numerous than the 2001 Census had indicated. The proportion of individuals self-identifying as Cornish is likely to be closer to a quarter of the population rather than the 6.7% indicated in the 2001 ii data. There was some discrepancy in the data between the belief amongst the group of social exclusion and the reality. In order to explain the discrepancy, a model was used which explores the difference between personal-level experience and group level discrimination (Taylor et al 1990). The results of this thesis highlight the complex and multi-dimensional processes inherent in, firstly, the methodological and practical process of ethnicity measurement and, secondly, its use as an explanatory variable for social exclusion experience. Overall, this thesis represents the first and most comprehensive examination of the indigenous people of Cornwall and their relative lived experience compared to non-Cornish in the same area.
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