[pt] Com o objetivo de contribuir para a criação de um modelo de previsão do lucro das empresas de capital aberto listadas em bolsas de valores, para subseqüente utilização na avaliação de ações para investimentos, explorou-se a relação do nível de atividade econômica do Brasil com o desempenho das empresas. Verificou-se, se o nível de atividade econômica brasileira influencia o desempenho das empresas, tanto globalmente como por setor industrial. As diversas variáveis macroeconômicas com possibilidade de representar o nível de atividade econômica foram exploradas, obtendose PIB como a mais relevante. Modelos variados para previsão dos diversos níveis de desempenho das empresas foram testados. O desempenho das empresas foi averiguado em cinco níveis: Receita Líquida, Lucro Bruto, Lucro Operacional, Lucro Operacional Próprio e Lucro Líquido. Comprovou-se a potencialidade de utilizar esta relação na previsão dos lucros das empresas pela significância estatística dos resultados obtidos. Estudos futuros estão incumbidos de materializar este potencial. / [en] With the goal of contributing to the generation of a corporate earnings predictor model for subsequent utilization in stock investment analysis, this study explores the relationship between the Brazilian economic activity level and performance results for firms registered for trading on stock exchanges. The influence of the Brazilian economic activity level over the corporate performance results was verified globally and for industries. Macroeconomic variables were tested to define which of them was more suitable to represent the country activity economic level. GDP was the most relevant. Diverse models were tested to predict the corporate performance results. Corporate performance results were analyzed in five different levels: Net Sales, Gross Profits, Operating Profits, Own Operating Profits and Net Profits. The potential to utilize this relationship was verified due to the significant statistical results. Future studies have the responsibility to turn into reality this potential.

Made available in DSpace on 2010-04-20T21:00:03Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 4 Tharso Bossolani.pdf.jpg: 13639 bytes, checksum: 8ee5f1f8943534333d827d42b7b43087 (MD5) Tharso Bossolani.pdf.txt: 97419 bytes, checksum: a09e6ef5f7bc3920ee912a85c0e9fe51 (MD5) Tharso Bossolani.pdf: 343773 bytes, checksum: 2273b0e57adeef163462c9113f661b6e (MD5) license.txt: 4886 bytes, checksum: 5a30b7eb4485f26b12dbeb3883b77a18 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2009-02-10T00:00:00Z / The creation of the European “New” Markets represented a substantial change to support innovative, fast growing companies. In Brazil, there is no evidence of empirical studies that analyze how an IPO impacts the companies’ performance. This study compiles data of companies that went public during 2004 and 2006, when the capital markets went through an important progress. The purpose of this study is to analyze if companies improve their performance after an IPO. The results suggest that companies accelerate the growth of assets and sales after the IPO, becoming less leveraged. These changes as consistent with credit constraints faced before the IPO. As a consequence, profitability is maintained the same after the IPO. Further, companies utilize the larger owner`s equity as a result of the IPO to increase their debt. / A criação dos novos mercados europeus representou uma mudança substancial para suportar empresas inovadoras e de alto crescimento. No Brasil, não foi verificado nenhum estudo empírico que avaliasse o impacto do IPO para o desempenho das empresas. Para tal, utilizou-se dados de empresas que fizeram seu IPO durante os anos de 2004 até 2006, quando o mercado acionário passou por um importante progresso. O objetivo deste trabalho é analisar se as empresa melhoram seu desempenho após o IPO. Os resultados obtidos sugerem que as empresas brasileiras aceleram o crescimento dos ativos e receitas após o IPO, tornando-se menos alavancadas que no período pré-IPO. Estas mudanças indicam uma restrição de crédito antes do IPO. Assim, as empresas conseguem manter a mesma rentabilidade após o IPO. Além disso, as empresas utilizam-se do aumento do patrimônio líquido proveniente do IPO para fazerem captações de novas dívidas.

This study explores the financial performance measurement of South Africa's Top Companies. It aims to find a conclusion on the research problem, that is 'Do South Africa's Top Companies use the available arsenal to measure their financial performance?' Commerce and industry are the cornerstones of the economy of a country. This study purports to contribute to the ways and means of minimising the risk of business failures due to the resultant effects on the economy. The sample comprises of sixty companies. The sampling frame is the first hundred companies of the Financial Mail 200 Top Performers for 2004. The arsenal that is available to measure financial performance is researched in the financial literature. Mainly, this covers ratio analysis and interpretation, and the bankruptcy prediction models. To arrive at a conclusion on the research problem, a research instrument is developed from the host of financial ratios in the literature, including the bankruptcy prediction models. The research instrument comprises of popular ratios that are also found to be 'logical', as well as the ratios that make up the Z-Score bankruptcy prediction model. The instrument is called the Ratio Map and Z-Score and is applied to test the financial strengths/weaknesses of the Top Companies. In addition to the Ratio Map and Z-Score, the measures applied by the Top Companies as 'highlights' are analysed. This is done to determine the extent at which the measures unearth the strengths/weaknesses of the Top Companies. The conclusion drawn is that the Top Companies do not utilise the available arsenal to measure their financial performance. The supporting evidence is that the most frequently applied 'highlights' measures by the Top Companies cover only one area of the many financial fields of a company, that is, share performance. On the other hand, the analyses per Ratio Map and Z-Score have not revealed major material weaknesses in the financial position of the Top Companies. It is proposed that: ïf  More information be given in the notes to the financial statements to facilitate meaningful analysis; and ïf  A follow-up research study be done to assess the trends of the Top Companies. / Business Management / D.Comm. (Business Management)

This study explores the financial performance measurement of South Africa's Top Companies. It aims to find a conclusion on the research problem, that is 'Do South Africa's Top Companies use the available arsenal to measure their financial performance?' Commerce and industry are the cornerstones of the economy of a country. This study purports to contribute to the ways and means of minimising the risk of business failures due to the resultant effects on the economy. The sample comprises of sixty companies. The sampling frame is the first hundred companies of the Financial Mail 200 Top Performers for 2004. The arsenal that is available to measure financial performance is researched in the financial literature. Mainly, this covers ratio analysis and interpretation, and the bankruptcy prediction models. To arrive at a conclusion on the research problem, a research instrument is developed from the host of financial ratios in the literature, including the bankruptcy prediction models. The research instrument comprises of popular ratios that are also found to be 'logical', as well as the ratios that make up the Z-Score bankruptcy prediction model. The instrument is called the Ratio Map and Z-Score and is applied to test the financial strengths/weaknesses of the Top Companies. In addition to the Ratio Map and Z-Score, the measures applied by the Top Companies as 'highlights' are analysed. This is done to determine the extent at which the measures unearth the strengths/weaknesses of the Top Companies. The conclusion drawn is that the Top Companies do not utilise the available arsenal to measure their financial performance. The supporting evidence is that the most frequently applied 'highlights' measures by the Top Companies cover only one area of the many financial fields of a company, that is, share performance. On the other hand, the analyses per Ratio Map and Z-Score have not revealed major material weaknesses in the financial position of the Top Companies. It is proposed that: ïf  More information be given in the notes to the financial statements to facilitate meaningful analysis; and ïf  A follow-up research study be done to assess the trends of the Top Companies. / Business Management / D.Comm. (Business Management)