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Purchasing power parity between Botswana and South Africa: a cointegration analysis.Tshipinare, Katso January 2006 (has links)
<p>This paper tested the purchasing power parity hypothesis for Botswana and South Africa using cointegration analysis. The data used are the spot exchange rate between the two countries (rand and pula) and their consumer price indices.</p>
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A study of the renminbi (RMB) exchange rate: arrangement, devaluation and prospect.January 1994 (has links)
by Cheung Sin-ching, Suzanne, Wu Bin, Willliam. / Thesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1994. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 96-99). / ACKNOWLEDGMENT --- p.ii / ABSTRACT --- p.iii / TABLE OP CONTENTS --- p.v / LIST OF TABLES --- p.viii / LIST OP EXHIBITS --- p.ix / CHAPTER / Chapter I. --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1 / Background Information --- p.1 / Fixed Rate System --- p.1 / Pegged Rate System --- p.1 / Re-arrangement of RMB Exchange Rate --- p.2 / Repeated Realignments of the Official Rate / Multi-Rate System --- p.3 / Managed Floating Rate System --- p.4 / Purposes of Study --- p.4 / Statements of Problems --- p.4 / Scope of the Problem --- p.5 / Plan of the Report --- p.6 / Chapter II. --- LITERATURE REVIEM --- p.7 / Chapter III. --- RESEARCH METHODOLOGY --- p.11 / Secondary Source Data Collection --- p.11 / Primary Source Data Collection --- p.12 / Strengths and Weaknesses of the Methodology --- p.12 / Chapter IV. --- THE ARRANGEMENT OF THE RMB EXCHANGE RATE --- p.13 / The categorization of Exchange Rate System --- p.13 / The Selection of RMB Exchange Rate system --- p.15 / Pre-Reform Era . . ´ب --- p.15 / Post-Reform Era --- p.17 / The Alteration of Official Rate --- p.17 / The Multi-Rate System --- p.19 / Internal Settlement Rate --- p.19 / Swap Rate --- p.22 / Pros and Cons of Multi-Rate System --- p.24 / Termination of Multi-Rate System --- p.26 / The Determination of RMB Exchange Rate --- p.27 / Chapter V. --- RMB DEVALUATION --- p.30 / Reasons for Devaluation --- p.30 / General Background t The Overvaluation of RMB --- p.30 / Export Promotion --- p.31 / Inflation and Loss of RMB Purchasing Power --- p.32 / Import Surge and Foreign Trade Deficit --- p.33 / Speculative and Psychological Factors --- p.34 / Unification of Dual Rate System --- p.35 / Impacts of RMB Devaluation --- p.35 / External Economy --- p.35 / Merchandise Trade Account --- p.36 / Effects on Export --- p.36 / Effects on Import --- p.39 / Effects on Foreign Trade Balance --- p.39 / Other Considerations --- p.40 / Time Lags --- p.40 / The Fragmentation in China's Foreign Trade Industry --- p.41 / Non-Trade current Account --- p.42 / Tourism --- p.42 / Othet Items in Non-Trade Account --- p.43 / Capital Account --- p.43 / Other Countries' Response --- p.45 / Internal Economy --- p.46 / Imported Inflation --- p.46 / Import Substitution Industry --- p.47 / People's Faith in RMB --- p.47 / Practical Implications of RMB Devaluation: Strategies for Hedging against RMB Risk --- p.48 / Agreement with Chinese Side --- p.49 / Forex-Guaranteed Loan --- p.49 / Diversification of Business --- p.50 / Forex Future Market --- p.50 / Chapter VI. --- PROSPECT OF THE RMB EXCHANGE RATE --- p.52 / Expectation of RMB Exchange Rate: A Move in the Near Future --- p.52 / Forex Demand vs. Forex Supply --- p.53 / Inflation --- p.53 / Free Convertibility of RMB --- p.54 / Definition --- p.54 / Internal Convertibility --- p.55 / External Convertibility --- p.55 / Pros and Cons of RMB Convertibility --- p.56 / Prerequisites to RMB Free Convertibility --- p.57 / Rational Exchange Rate --- p.57 / Sufficient International Settlement Means --- p.57 / Sound Macroeconomic Policies --- p.58 / Efficient Microeconomic Environment --- p.58 / procedures for RMB Free Convertibility --- p.60 / Eliminating the Dual Rate System --- p.60 / Realizing the Limited Convertibility of RMB --- p.60 / Establishing Foreign Exchange Market --- p.62 / Eliminating the FECs --- p.63 / Allowing Free Transfer of Foreign Exchange in Capital Account --- p.63 / Chapter VII. --- CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS --- p.65 / Conclusions --- p.65 / A Rational Managed-Floating Rate System is in Need --- p.65 / Devaluation is not a Panacea --- p.67 / The RMB Rate is Bearish in Near Future --- p.68 / Free Convertibility is a Long Way to Go --- p.68 / Other Things to Do --- p.69 / Recommendations --- p.69 / Controlling Inflation --- p.69 / Rebalancing Trade Deficit --- p.70 / Restructuring Foreign Trade Industry --- p.70 / Improving the Chinese Enterprises' Efficiency --- p.70 / TABLES --- p.72 / EXHIBITS --- p.83 / BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.96
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Forecasting exchange rates using extended Markov switching models.January 1995 (has links)
by Hok-hoi Fung. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1995. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 58-59). / LIST OF TABLES --- p.ii / LIST OF FIGURES --- p.iii / CHAPTER / Chapter 1. --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1 / Chapter 2. --- LITERATURE REVIEW --- p.3 / Chapter 3. --- METHODOLOGY --- p.6 / Formulation of the TVTP Model --- p.6 / Filtered and Smoothed Probabilities --- p.9 / Maximization of the Expected Log-likelihood --- p.13 / Chapter 4. --- EMPIRICAL RESULTS --- p.15 / The Simple 2-state Markov Switching Model --- p.15 / The TVTP Model --- p.17 / The 3-state Markov Switching Model --- p.26 / Chapter 5. --- OUT - OF- SAMPLE FORECASTING --- p.34 / Chapter 6. --- CONCLUSION --- p.40 / APPENDICES --- p.42 / BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.58
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Explaining the duration of exchange-rate pegs in Asia.January 2000 (has links)
Leung Sze Wan. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2000. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 62-64). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / Abstract --- p.ii / Acknowledgments --- p.iv / Table of Contents --- p.v / Chapter Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1 / Chapter Chapter 2 --- A review of the related literature --- p.7 / Chapter Chapter 3 --- The data --- p.12 / Chapter Chapter 4 --- Research methodology --- p.31 / Chapter Chapter 5 --- Determinants of peg duration --- p.34 / Chapter Chapter 6 --- Main results --- p.41 / Chapter Chapter 7 --- Predicted probabilities of devaluation --- p.51 / Chapter Chapter 8 --- Results from an alternative exchange rate peg definition --- p.54 / Chapter Chapter 9 --- Conclusion --- p.59 / Bibliography --- p.62 / Appendix --- p.65
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Estimating misalignment of Chinese currency by modified Balassa-Samuelson model.January 2008 (has links)
Wu, Tujin. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2008. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves [47]-49). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / Abstract --- p.i / 摘要 --- p.ii / Acknowledgments --- p.iii / Chapter I. --- Introduction --- p.1 / Chapter II. --- China´ةs Economic Transition and Literature Review --- p.6 / Chapter II.1. --- Export-led Strategy and Exchange Rate Evolution --- p.6 / Chapter II.2. --- Literature review of exchange rate misalignment --- p.10 / Chapter III. --- Theories Background --- p.14 / Chapter 1. --- Purchasing Power Parity and Balassa Samuelson Hypothesis --- p.14 / Chapter 2. --- Modified Balassa Samuelson Hypothesis --- p.17 / Chapter IV. --- Empirical Estimation --- p.21 / Chapter 1. --- Cross-Section Estimate --- p.21 / Chapter 2. --- Time Series Estimation --- p.25 / Chapter 3. --- Policy proposal in the duration of price revaluation --- p.36 / Chapter V. --- Summary --- p.44
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New political economy of exchange rate policies and the enlargement of the EurozoneFahrholz, Christian H. January 1900 (has links)
Thesis (doctoral) - Freie Universität, Berlin, 2004. / "with 12 figures and tables". Includes bibliographical references ( p. [143]-155).
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New political economy of exchange rate policies and the enlargement of the EurozoneFahrholz, Christian H. January 1900 (has links)
Thesis (doctoral)--Freie Universität, Berlin, 2004. / EAN: 9786610701315 (electronic bk.). Title from e-book title screen (viewed Oct. 15, 2007). Description based on print version record. Includes bibliographical references (p. [143]-155).
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The determinants of exchange rate flexibility and the theory of optimum currency areas : an application to SADC.Duma, Nombulelo. January 2000 (has links)
This study has its foundation on a model developed by Holden, Holden and Suss
(1979). The model is on the determinants of the flexibility of an exchange rate.
These determinants are: the openness of an economy; the level of economic
development; the diversification of the external sector; geographical
concentration of trade; the mobility of capital and the inflation differential.
In the present study, the model by Holden, et al is adapted in order to determine
whether SADC forms an optimum currency area or not. SADC has a number of
objectives which it aims to achieve. One of these objectives is the formation of a
monetary union in the future. This is the widest objective for SADC and the path
towards achieving this is the establishment of a Trade Protocol that aims to form
a Free Trade Area in the region.
A number of criteria have to be assessed in order to determine whether SADC
does form an optimum criteria or not. The Holden et. al model forms the basis for
this assessment. The model reveals that SADC does not form an optimum
currency area. SADC has not yet converged on the criteria for a monetary union. / Thesis (M.Com.)-University of Natal, Durban, 2000.
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Purchasing power parity between Botswana and South Africa: a cointegration analysis.Tshipinare, Katso January 2006 (has links)
<p>This paper tested the purchasing power parity hypothesis for Botswana and South Africa using cointegration analysis. The data used are the spot exchange rate between the two countries (rand and pula) and their consumer price indices.</p>
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Determinants of exchange rates the case of the Chilean peso /Zwanger, Sebastian January 2008 (has links) (PDF)
Thesis (M.B.A.)--University of North Carolina Wilmington, 2008. / Includes appendix. Title from PDF title page (viewed May 28, 2009) Includes bibliographical references (p. 24-25)
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