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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

[en] A STATE SPACE MODEL FOR IBNR RESERVE ESTIMATION: REVISITING DE JONG & ZEHNWIRTH / [pt] UM MODELO EM ESPAÇO DE ESTADO PARA ESTIMATIVA DE IBNR: REVISITANDO DE JONG & ZEHNWIRTH

RODRIGO SIMOES ATHERINO 25 October 2005 (has links)
[pt] Esta dissertação tem como objetivo principal a apresentação, discussão e implementação de um modelo de espaço de estado, derivado do modelo desenvolvido por De Jong & Zenhwirth, no cenário de estimação de reservas IBNR. O modelo visa obter uma distribuição para as reservas e seu desvio padrão, que permite obter um intervalo de confiança para a estimativa. Também são propostas extensões para o modelo. / [en] The main purpose of this master thesis is the presentation, discussion and implementation of a state space model, derived from the De Jong & Zehnwirth model, on the IBNR Reserve estimation scenario. The model tries to obtain a distribution for the reserves and its standard deviation as well, allowing the cofidence interval estimation. Extensions for the model are also discussed.

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