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台灣股市波動因素之研究-以高價電子股為例張安發, CHANG ,AN-FA Unknown Date (has links)
台灣擁有許多很好很賺錢的企業,這些企業形成高獲利投資的明星產業。為尋找台灣股市波動因素對股價的影響,與股票市場投資正確方法與目標,本研究試圖從高價電子產業股中以企業背景、產業特性、重大事件等依據研究出投資行為是否有跡可尋,進而擬定適當的投資策略,成為高價電子股是否可以追尋與研究之重要課題。爰此,本文旨在探討台灣股市波動因素研究與企業股價波動因素之關連研究,藉由電子相關類股研究以產業因素、大環境景氣循環統計變數及企業經營策略來進行討論研究,並透過次級資料分析及歷史資料事件分析,以高價電子股票來進行市場研究。研究結果顯示台灣股市波動因素可以經由企業經營策略、市場競爭資訊來源、景氣評估準則、重大事件特性與產業循環等方面予以適當解釋。此外,可將高價股企業股價波動因素研究分為三個區隔研究,並對此三個區隔研究目標研擬有效的投資策略。本研究之結果可藉由產業角度來分析股價波動因素有用之資訊,對台灣高價股價高股股價波動因素找尋一些投資策略的蛛絲馬跡亦有一定之對高價電子股之企業股價之參考價值。 / Taiwan and discuss factors affecting stock price fluctuations in quality companies by the corresponding industry structures,The existence of quality companies that are well positioned to benefit from the economic trends in Taiwan has developed into a unique industry for investment choice. In order to search for a proper method and objective for investing in the Taiwanese stock market, this paper attempts to infer a favorable investment behavior from the company background, industry characteristics, and event studies of specific growth stocks, and further proposes appropriate investing strategies. Specifically, the purpose of this paper is to conduct stock market research with quality companies in Taiwan and discuss factors affecting stock price fluctuations in quality companies by the corresponding industry structures, statistical indicators for economic cycle and event studies. The result of this research indicates that stock price fluctuations in quality companies can be justified by company management strategies, information source from the market, evaluation guidance for economic cycle, characteristic of event studies and industry cycle. Moreover, the research in sock price fluctuations in quality companies can be divided into three individual research areas and three effective investment strategies can be proposed accordingly. In conclusion, this paper demonstrates that factors affecting stock price fluctuations can be explained from the perspective of industry analysis and would contribute in providing beneficial reference for proposing the appropriate investment strategies.
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