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以風格分析法分析社會責任型共同基金之報酬率黃民志 Unknown Date (has links)
近年來各大企業與民眾對於企業社會責任(CSR)之態度愈見積極,社會責任投資(SRI)亦於歐美市場上蓬勃發展,尤其以社會責任共同基金成長最為迅速。本文除了對社會責任投資之發展、策略做一敘述外,亦以Sharpe所提出之報酬率風格分析方法(Return-based Style Analysis),分析社會責任共同基金與一般型共同基金報酬率受各資產風格影響之差異。我們除了檢驗傳統的大型、小型股與成長、價值型股風格外,還引入了兩種社會責任投資指數代表社會責任投資風格。結果發現,社會責任投資共同基金和一般型基金相比下,社會責任基金之報酬似乎更偏重於受大型股報酬影響;但社會責任共同基金之報酬率受傳統資產分類風格之影響情形,在統計上並不顯著異於一般型共同基金;而就超額報酬 而言,社會責任基金之 較一般型基金來得高,然而兩者間之差距並不顯著且均為負值。然而我們發現,除了傳統的資產分類外,社會責任基金之報酬確實受社會投資風格顯著地影響,此外,BMS(KLD Broad Market Social Index)較DJSI(Dow Jones Sustainability United States Index)為一更全面性、亦更能鑑別社會責任基金報酬率風格之社會投資指數。 / For seeing that corporations and consumers are getting serious about Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) and Socially Responsible Investing (SRI) is gaining its popularity in Europe and United States, this dissertation focuses on this subject, especially SRI mutual funds. In the paper we describe the development and strategies of SRI, and we also apply William F. Sharpe's method of return-based style analysis to assess SRI and regular fund performances. Apart from traditional capitalization and growth/value-oriented style indices used in style analysis, we also use two SRI indices to represent the style of SRI. We found that SRI fund returns seem to be more affected by large-cap stock returns than conventional fund returns, and SRI funds also have bigger alpha than conventional ones, but there is no significant different between style configurations of two type of funds either. However, we are confident that SRI mutual funds do have a special investing style that explained best by SRI indices. And we found that KLD Broad Market Social Index is a better index of indicating the SRI style than Dow Jones Sustainability United States Index.
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利用棋局紀錄之個人化西洋棋開局推薦 / Personalized Chess Opening Recommendation Using Game Records楊元翰 Unknown Date (has links)
在西洋棋中,開局決定了棋局未來發展的基礎,棋手在開局階段局勢的好壞,會直接影響到接下來中局的發展,乃至全局的勝負。隨著西洋棋的演進,棋手們在比賽中進行各式各樣的棋步嘗試,發展出眾多經歷實戰考驗的開局,目前西洋棋的開局多達上千種變化,使得棋手在學習西洋棋的過程中,要花上大量的時間從眾多的西洋棋開局變化中,尋找適合自己的開局鑽研與使用。為幫助棋手在此階段的學習,本論文提出西洋棋開局推薦系統,從大數據協助學習的觀點,利用大量棋手們的開局經驗,對棋手做個人化的開局推薦。此系統以風格、棋力相似的棋手們所選用的開局為推薦基礎,並考量棋手習慣使用的下棋模式,推薦棋手善於發揮自身優勢、易於理解,並且投其所好的開局。為此,此西洋棋開局推薦系統包含風格分析、棋力評估、棋形截取,以及混合式推薦等部分。依據棋手過去的對局記錄,風格分析評估棋手下棋偏好冒險或保守的程度;棋力評估將傳統西洋棋棋力轉成可直觀比較棋手棋力程度差異之量表;棋形截取找出棋手習慣使用的下棋模式。最後,混合式推薦綜合考量上述三項因素,推薦出符合棋手棋風、棋力與下棋習慣模式的開局。
本論文以兩個實驗來評估風格分析與開局推薦系統的效果,在風格分析的實驗中,將風格分析方法評估棋手風格的結果與專家判斷的結果做比較;在開局推薦系統的實驗中,以棋手是否將會在比賽使用系統所推薦的開局來評估推薦效果。實驗結果顯示,風格分析對於世界冠軍棋手的風格評估幾乎與專家的判斷相同;開局推薦系統針對開局所設計的混合式推薦方法,推薦效果優於常見的推薦方法。 / The Opening is the fundamental phase of a chess game, and significantly affects the result of a competition. With the evolution of chess, there has been developed thousands of chess openings at present. This makes it difficult and time-consuming for chess players to find and learn the openings suitable for them. For helping players to learn chess in the opening, we provide Opening Recommendation System (OPRS), which considers chess players’ experiences and recommends chess openings that could be understandable and favorite for the players. For personalized recommendation, OPRS analyzes the playing style, translates chess rating, extracts the playing patterns, and then performs hybrid recommendation based on the features obtained.
In the evaluation, the performance of the playing style analysis are demonstrated by comparing with the styles judged by chess experts for world chess championships.
For OPRS, the evaluations are according to the openings the players use in the chess tournaments in the next years. The experiments show that OPRS achieves good accuracies of the playing style analysis and outperforms the competitive methods for chess opening recommendation.
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