The thesis consists of general characteristics, list of notations, introduction, four main chapters, general conclusions, 56 pictures, 2 tables and list of references. The total scope of the dissertation is 106 pages.

Numerical models are powerful and widely used tools for environmental prediction; however, any model prediction contains errors due to imperfect model parameterizations, insufficient model resolution, numerical errors, imperfect initial and boundary conditions etc. A variety of approaches is applied to quantify, correct and minimize these errors including skill assessments, bias correction and formal data assimilation. All of these require observations and benefit from comprehensive data sets. In this thesis, two aspects related to the quantification and correction of errors in biological ocean models are addressed: (i) A new bias correction method for a biological ocean model is evaluated, and (ii) a novel approach for expanding the set of typically available phytoplankton observations is assessed. The bias correction method, referred to as frequency-dependent nudging, was proposed by Thompson et al. (Ocean Modelling, 2006, 13:109-125) and is used to nudge a model only in prescribed frequencies. A desirable feature of this method is that it can preserve high frequency variability that would be dampened with conventional nudging. The method is first applied to an idealized signal consisting of a seasonal cycle and high frequency variability. In this example, frequency-dependent nudging corrected for the imposed seasonal bias without affecting the high-frequency variability. The method is then applied to a non-linear, 1 dimensional (1D) biogeochemical ocean model. Results showed that application of frequency-dependent nudging leads to better biogeochemical estimates than conventional nudging. In order to expand the set of available phytoplankton observations, light measurements from sensors attached on grey seals where assessed to determine if they provide a useful proxy of phytoplankton biomass. A controlled experiment at Bedford Basin showed that attenuation coefficient estimates from light attenuation measurements from seal tags were found to correlate significantly with chlorophyll. On the Scotian Shelf, results of the assessment indicate that seal tags can uncover spatio-temporal patterns related to phytoplankton biomass; however, more research is needed to derive absolute biomass estimates in the region.

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There is need to improve prediction results in rain attenuation in order to achieve reliable wireless communication systems. Existing models require improvements or we need fresh approaches. This dissertation presents a model of rain attenuation prediction for terrestrial and satellite radio links based on a novel approach. This approach postulates that the difference in rain attenuation for various locations is attributed to the dissimilar rain drop sizes and rain cell diameter sizes and that cell sizes derived from local measurements would depict the true nature of rain cells better than the cells derived from long term rain data gathered from different climates. Therefore all other link parameters used in the attenuation equation are presented by the use of mathematical analysis; but the rain cell size is derived from local rain rate measurements. The physical link aspects considered in the mathematical attenuation model are: the Fresnel ellipsoid of the link path, the effect of elevation angle, the rain cell diameter size and the shape of growth of rain rates in the cell. The effect of the elevation angle of the link on the scale of attenuation is accounted for through the proposed coefficient of elevation equation. The coefficient of elevation is considered to modify the size of the rain cell diameter in proportion to the elevation angle of the link and the rain rate growth is taken to be of the truncated-Gaussian form. On the other hand, the rain cell diameter is derived from rain rate measurements as a power law model and substituted in the attenuation expression. The rain cell size model evaluated in this dissertation is based on point rain rate measurement data from the disdrometer located at the University of KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. The “Synthetic Storm” technique is applied to develop the rain cell diameter distributions and the rain cell diameter model. In addition, the impact of the rain cell diameter size model in site diversity and cellular network-area planning for the region is discussed. To validate the model for terrestrial links, attenuation data collected from Durban, South Africa is used while that for satellite links, attenuation data from 15 links which are located in tropical climatic zones are used. In each case, the new model is tested against some well-known global rain attenuation prediction models including the standard ITU-R models. The performance of the proposed models for the sampled radio links based on error estimations shows that improvements have been achieved and may be regarded as a universal tropical model especially for satellite links. / Thesis (M.Sc.Eng.)-University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, 2011.

This dissertation describes investigations of fully turbulent decelerating hydraulically roughbed flow over gravel and the development of technology to measure turbulence and associated sediment transport in streams. Theory is developed for predicting velocity distributions in simple uniform flow using the asymptotic invariance principle and tested using laboratory and field collected data. A mixed scale is developed that accounts for bed derived turbulent structures throughout the flows depth and is used to parameterize the external boundary’s effect on the flow for the logarithmic and outer layers. The asymptotic invariance principle and similarity analysis is conducted for the equations of motion in the outer region of decelerating flow over gravel to define equilibrium conditions for this class of flows with the velocity scale is the freestream velocity. The combination of time series and time averaged statistical analysis of turbulent flow is used to elucidate the structure of flow under decelerating conditions. Time averaged statistical measures of turbulence confirm results of others for higher Froude number approaching transcritical and time series analysis shows the effects of decelerating flow on turbulence to be frequency dependent. Wireless velocity sensors were developed and found capable of measuring time averaged velocity and able to resolve macroturbulence from time series data. A semi-theoretical model of elastic deformation of cantilever beams under hydraulic forcing was coupled with circuit theory to develop a calibration procedure for the VBS that requires only three measurement points, one of which is at zero velocity. Light based sensors are developed to estimate light attenuation in water for ecological research or estimating sediment concentration in water. A semi-theoretical scaling of light attenuation and sediment properties was developed which predicts light attenuation from sediment properties. The combination of new theory on open channel velocity, turbulent structure and field sensors for measuring turbulence and sediment offers the possibility to extend our laboratory knowledge to realistic flow situations.

The advantages offered by Super High Frequency (SHF) and Extremely High Frequency (EHF) bands such as large bandwidth, small antenna size, and easy installation or deployment have motivated the interest of researchers to study those factors that prevent optimum utilization of these bands. Under precipitation conditions, factors such as clouds, hail, fog, snow, ice crystals and rain degrade link performance. Rain fade, however, remains the dominant factor in the signal loss or signal fading over satellite and terrestrial links especially in the tropical and sub-tropical regions within which South Africa falls. At millimetre-wave frequencies the signal wavelength approaches the size of the raindrops, adversely impacting on radio links through signal scattering and absorption. In this work factors that may hinder the effective use of the super high frequency and extremely high frequency bands in the Southern African region are investigated. Rainfall constitutes the most serious impairment to short wavelength signal propagation in the region under study. In order to quantify the degree of impairment that may arise as a result of signal propagation through rain, the raindrops scattering amplitude functions were calculated by assuming the falling raindrops to be oblate spheroidal in shape. A comparison is made between the performance of the models that assume raindrops to be oblate spheroidal and those that assume them to be spherical. Raindrops sizes are measured using the Joss-Waldvogel RD-80 Distrometer. The study then proposes various expressions for models of raindrops size distributions for four types of rainfall in the Southern Africa region. Rainfall rates in the provinces in South Africa are measured and the result of the cumulative distribution of the rainfall rates is presented. Using the information obtained from the above, an extensive calculation of specific attenuation and phase shift in the region of Southern Africa is carried out. The results obtained are compared with the ITU-R and those obtained from earlier campaigns in the West African sub region. Finally, this work also attempts to determine and characterize the scattering process and micro-physical properties of raindrops for sub-tropical regions like South Africa. Data collected through a raindrop size measurement campaign in Durban is used to compare and validate the developed models. / Thesis (Ph.D.)-University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, 2014.

The seismic structure (Vp, Vp/Vs, and Qp anomalies) contributes to the physical properties and the lithology of rocks and possible fluid distribution in the region. The Vp model images the geometry of the Tarutung and the Sarulla basins. Both basins have a depth of around 2.0 km. High Vp/Vs and high attenuation (low Qp) anomalies are observed along the Sarulla graben associated with a weak zone caused by volcanic activities along the graben. Low Vp/Vs and low conductivity anomalies are found in the west of the Tarutung basin. This anomaly is interpreted as dry, compact, and rigid granitic rock in the region as also found by geological observations. Low Vp, high Vp/Vs and low Qp anomalies are found at the east of the Tarutung basin which appear to be associated with the three big geothermal manifestations in Sipoholon, Hutabarat, and Panabungan area. These anomalies are connected with high Vp/Vs and low Qp anomalies below the Tarutung basin at depth of around 3 - 10 km. This suggests that these geothermal manifestations are fed by the same source of the hot fluid below the Tarutung basin. The hot fluids from below the Tarutung basin propagate to the more dilatational and more permeable zone in the northeast. Granite found in the west of the Tarutung basin could also be abundant underneath the basin at a certain depth so that it prevents the hot fluid to be transported directly to the Tarutung basin. High seismic attenuation and low Vp/Vs anomalies are found in the southwest of the Tarutung basin below the Martimbang volcano. These anomalies are associated with hot rock below the volcano without or with less amount of partial melting. There is no indication that the volcano controls the geothermal system around the Tarutung basin. The geothermal resources around the Tarutung basin is a fault-controlled system as a result of deep circulation of fluids. Outside of the basin, the seismicity delineation and the focal mechanism correlate with the shape and the characteristics of the strike-slip Sumatran fault. Within the Tarutung basin, the seismicity is distributed more broadly which coincides with the margin of the basin. An extensional duplex system in the Tarutung basin is derived from the seismicity and focal mechanism analysis which is also consistent with the geological observations. The vertical distribution of the seismicity suggests the presence of a negative flower structure within the Tarutung basin. / Indonesien zählt zu den weltweit führenden Ländern bei der Nutzung von geothermischer Energie. Die geothermischen Energiequellen sind im Wesentlichen an den aktiven Vulkanismus gebunden, der durch die Prozesse an der indonesischen Subduktionszone verursacht wird. Darüber hinaus sind geotektonische Strukturen wie beispielsweise die Sumatra-Störung als verstärkende Faktoren für das geothermische Potenzial von Bedeutung. Bei der geophysikalischen Erkundung der indonesischen Geothermie-Ressourcen konzentrierte man sich bisher vor allem auf die Magnetotellurik. Passive Seismologie wurde dahingegen ausschließlich für die Überwachung von im Betrieb befindlichen Geothermie-Anlagen verwendet. Jüngste Untersuchungungen z.B. in Island und in den USA haben jedoch gezeigt, dass seismologische Verfahren bereits in der Erkundungsphase wichtige Informationen zu den physikalischen Eigenschaften, zum Spannungsfeld und zu möglichen Fluid- und Wärmetransportwegen liefern können. In der vorgelegten Doktorarbeit werden verschiedene moderne Methoden der passiven Seismologie verwendet, um beispielhaft ein neues, von der indonesischen Regierung für zukünftige geothermische Energiegewinnung ausgewiesenes Gebiet im nördlichen Teil Sumatras (Indonesien) zu erkunden. Die konkreten Ziele der Untersuchungen umfassten (1) die Ableitung von 3D Strukturmodellen der P- und S-Wellen Geschwindigkeiten (Parameter Vp und Vs), (2) die Bestimmung der Absorptionseigenschaften (Parameter Qp), und (3) die Kartierung und Charakterisierung von Störungssystemen auf der Grundlage der Seismizitätsverteilung und der Herdflächenlösungen. Für diese Zwecke habe ich zusammen mit Kollegen ein seismologisches Netzwerk in Tarutung (Sumatra) aufgebaut und über einen Zeitraum von 10 Monaten (Mai 2011 – Februar 2012) betrieben. Insgesamt wurden hierbei 42 Stationen (jeweils ausgestattet mit EDL-Datenlogger, 3-Komponenten, 1 Hz Seismometer) über eine Fläche von etwa 35 x 35 km verteilt. Mit dem Netzwerk wurden im gesamten Zeitraum 2568 lokale Erdbeben registriert. Die integrierte Betrachtung der Ergebnisse aus den verschiedenen Teilstudien (Tomographie, Erdbebenverteilung) erlaubt neue Einblicke in die generelle geologische Stukturierung sowie eine Eingrenzung von Bereichen mit einem erhöhten geothermischen Potenzial. Das tomographische Vp-Modell ermöglicht eine Bestimmung der Geometrie von Sedimentbecken entlang der Sumatra-Störung. Für die Geothermie besonders interessant ist der Bereich nordwestlich des Tarutung-Beckens. Die dort abgebildeten Anomalien (erhöhtes Vp/Vs, geringes Qp) habe ich als mögliche Aufstiegswege von warmen Fluiden interpretiert. Die scheinbar asymetrische Verteilung der Anomalien wird hierbei im Zusammenhang mit der Seismizitätsverteilung, der Geometrie der Beben-Bruchflächen, sowie struktur-geologischen Modellvorstellungen diskutiert. Damit werden wesentliche Informationen für die Planung einer zukünftigen geothermischen Anlage bereitgestellt.

Although higher correlation between gauge and radar at hourly or daily accumulations are reported, it is rarely observed at higher time resolution (e.g. 10 -minute). This study investigates six major rainfall events in year 2000 in the greater Winnipeg area with durations varying from four to nine hours. The correlation between gauge and radar measurements of precipitation is found to be only 0.3 at 10-minute resolution and 0.55 at hourly resolution using Marshall-Palmer’s Z-R relationship (Z=200R1.6). The rainfalls are classified into convective and stratiform regions using Steiner et al. (1995)’s algorithm and two different Z-R relationships are tested to minimize the error associated with the variability of drop-size-distribution, however no improvement is observed. The performance of the artificial neural network is explored as a reflectivity-rainfall mapping function. Three different types of neural networks are explored: the back propagation network, the radial basis function network, and the generalized regression neural network. It is observed that the neural network’s performance is better than the Z-R relationship to estimate the rainfall events which was used for training and validation (correlation 0.67). When this network is tested on a new rainfall its performance is found quite similar to that obtained from the Z-R relationship (correlation 0.33). Based on this observation neural network may be recommended as a post-processing tool but may not be very useful for operational purposes - at least as used in this study. Variability in weather and precipitation scenarios affects the radar measurements which apparently makes it impossible for the neural network or the Z-R relationship to show consistent performance at every rainfall event. To account for variability in weather and rainfall scenarios conventional correction schemes for attenuation and hail contamination are applied and a trajectory model is developed to account for rainfall advection due to wind drift. The trajectory model uses velocity obtained from the single-doppler observation. A space-time interpolation technique is applied to generate reflectivity maps at one-minute resolution based on the direction obtained from the correlation based tracking algorithm. The trajectory model uses the generated reflectivity maps having one-minute resolution which help to account for the travel time by the rainfall mass to reach to the ground. It was found that the attenuation correction algorithm adversely increases the reflectivity. This study assumes that the higher reflectivity caused by hail contaminated regions is one reason for the overestimation in the attenuation correction process. It was observed that the hail capping method applied prior to the attenuation correction algorithm helps to improve the situation. A statistical expression to account for radome attenuation is also developed. It is observed that the correlation between the gauge and the radar measurement is 0.81 after applying the various algorithms. Although Marshall-Palmer’s relationship is recommended for stratiform precipitation only, this study found it suitable for both convective and stratiform precipitation when attenuation is properly taken into account. The precipitation processing model developed in this study generates more accurate rainfall estimates at the surface from radar observations and may be a better choice for rainfall-runoff modellers.

Although much progress has been made in determining the three dimensional distribution of seismic wave velocities in the Earth, substantially less is known about the three dimensional distribution of intrinsic attenuation. In this study variations in attenuation and shear velocity of the Earth's mantle are constrained using measurements of differential travel time and attenuation. The data are broadband displacement SH seismograms filtered to have energy in the period range 8 to 20 s. Broadband data are used as they should allow a more accurate estimation of body wave attenuation to be made. The seismograms are obtained from over 600 globally distributed earthquakes of magnitude, Mw, 5.5 or greater. Two new methods for determining differential travel times and differential t* values from multiple S phases are presented. The first of these, referred to as the "waveform fitting method" is used to analyse approximately 4300 SS and S waveforms and around 1000 SSS and SS waveforms resulting in differential SS-S and SSS-SS travel times, and corresponding values of differential attenuation represented by t*. The second method, referred to as the "spectral ratio method" is used to analyse approximately 3200 SS and S and around 900 SSS and SS waveforms. The differential travel times and t* values are inverted to obtain models of the lateral variation of shear velocity and lateral variation of q(mu) where q(mu) =1/Q(mu). The models explain the data well but have limited depth resolution. The velocity models show good correlation with previous studies, in particular, low velocities are observed underlying spreading ridges and convergent margins and high velocities are observed under continental regions. The q(mu) model shows shield regions to be less attenuating than PREM, with ridges appearing as highly attenuating features. Models of shear velocity and attenuation are also obtained by combining the body wave dataset of this study with the surface wave datasets of Van Heijst (1997) and Selby (1998).