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Decision-Making Amplification Under Uncertainty: An Exploratory Study of Behavioral Similarity and Intelligent Decision Support SystemsCampbell, Merle 24 April 2013 (has links)
Intelligent decision systems have the potential to support and greatly amplify human decision-making across a number of industries and domains. However, despite the rapid improvement in the underlying capabilities of these “intelligent” systems, increasing their acceptance as decision aids in industry has remained a formidable challenge. If intelligent systems are to be successful, and their full impact on decision-making performance realized, a greater understanding of the factors that influence recommendation acceptance from intelligent machines is needed.
Through an empirical experiment in the financial services industry, this study investigated the effects of perceived behavioral similarity (similarity state) on the dependent variables of recommendation acceptance, decision performance and decision efficiency under varying conditions of uncertainty (volatility state). It is hypothesized in this study that behavioral similarity as a design element will positively influence the acceptance rate of machine recommendations by human users. The level of uncertainty in the decision context is expected to moderate this relationship. In addition, an increase in recommendation acceptance should positively influence both decision performance and decision efficiency.
The quantitative exploration of behavioral similarity as a design element revealed a number of key findings. Most importantly, behavioral similarity was found to positively influence the acceptance rate of machine recommendations. However, uncertainty did not moderate the level of recommendation acceptance as expected. The experiment also revealed that behavioral similarity positively influenced decision performance during periods of elevated uncertainty. This relationship was moderated based on the level of uncertainty in the decision context. The investigation of decision efficiency also revealed a statistically significant result. However, the results for decision efficiency were in the opposite direction of the hypothesized relationship. Interestingly, decisions made with the behaviorally similar decision aid were less efficient, based on length of time to make a decision, compared to decisions made with the low-similarity decision aid. The results of decision efficiency were stable across both levels of uncertainty in the decision context.
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Artificial Neural Networks for Microwave DetectionAshoor, Ahmed January 2012 (has links)
Microwave detection techniques based on the theory of perturbation of cavity resonators are commonly used to measure the permittivity and permeability of objects of dielectric and ferrite materials at microwave frequencies. When a small object is introduced into a microwave cavity resonator, the resonant frequency is perturbed. Since it is possible to measure the change in frequency with high accuracy, this provides a valuable method for measuring the electric and magnetic properties of the object. Likewise, these microwave resonators can be used as sensors for sorting dielectric objects.
Techniques based upon this principle are in common use for measuring the dielectric and magnetic properties of materials at microwave frequencies for variety of applications. This thesis presents an approach of using Artificial Neural Networks to detect material change in a rectangular cavity. The method is based on the theory of the perturbation of cavity resonators where a change in the resonant frequencies of the cavity is directly proportional to the dielectric constant of the inserted objects. A rectangular cavity test fixture was built and excited with a monopole antenna. The cavity was filled with different materials, and the reflection coefficient of each material was measured over a wide range of frequencies.
An intelligent systems approach using an artificial neural network (ANN) methodology was implemented for the automatic material change detection. To develop an automatic detection model, a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) was designed with one hidden layer and gradient descent back-propagation (BP) learning algorithm was used for the ANN training. The network training process was performed in an off-line mode, and after the training process was accomplished, the model was able to learn the rules without knowing any algorithm for automatic detection.
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The Effects of Using Results from Inversion by Evolutionary Algorithms to Retrain Artificial Neural NetworksHardarson, Gisli January 2000 (has links)
<p>The aim of inverting artificial neural networks (ANNs) is to find input patterns that are strongly classified as a predefined class. In this project an ANN is inverted by an evolutionary algorithm. The network is retrained by using the patterns extracted by the inversion as counter-examples, i.e. to classify the patterns as belonging to no class, which is the opposite of what the network previously did. The hypothesis is that the counter-examples extracted by the inversion will cause larger updates of the weights of the ANN and create a better mapping than what is caused by retraining using randomly generated counter-examples. This hypothesis is tested on recognition of pictures of handwritten digits. The tests indicate that this hypothesis is correct. However, the test- and training errors are higher when retraining using counter-examples, than for training only on examples of clean digits. It can be concluded that the counter-examples generated by the inversion have a great impact on the network. It is still unclear whether the quality of the network can be improved using this method.</p>
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Neural Networks and Smart Antennae : A Case StudyVarada, Shanmukha Shri Sri January 2005 (has links)
<p>This dissertation evaluates the artificial neural technique for evolving a smart antenna system. The AI techniques pose a challenging research in the field of communication. As such the antennas help to communicate with the digital processor to choose the desired signals and reject the others. It makes its own decision even to find the level of interferences and noises to be discarded by amplitude elimination process through the use of perceptron optimization algorithms like LMS (Least Mean Squares). This method helps to enhance the performance of signal processing efficiently. The design of hardware and software are quite complex. This is due to the fact, that the behaviour of the system is not fully understood being a real-time dependent system. This research work is carried only on software with certain simulated activity on beam-formation algorithm and as well, the system responses before and after using the adaptive algorithm. In this report, we try to concentrate to work on the method of adaptivity to make antenna adaptable to a virtual form of real-time environment. For, this reason a two-element antenna is used for simulation testing, as it is the most commonly used antenna for all purposes in communication. It is also tested on various scanning levels of rotation to determine the learning rate (a parameter that has no effect on the radiation output after using LMS) mean-square error rates and convergence analysis. For the purpose of above mentioned tests, three hypotheses are framed in relation to side-lobe reduction level above 5 decibels, the narrowing of the beam after adaptivity and finally the response of the main beam output for varying values of learning rate, respectivelty. The given research work, may comprehend good practical use of this LMS algorithm and also to indicate antenna patterns and the responses to adaptivity conditions through clarity in graphical format.</p><p>The method is influenced to reduce computational complexity and bring simplicity to the functionality of the antenna with more efficient and effective adaptivness. An effort to test theoretical concepts in practice is also been made in this thesis work. The results show that the antenna system can be made to evolve itself through the process of adaptation with simple behaviour by relying on artificial intelligence technique which ensures little supervision and human intereference. Eventually, it is understood that the reader should have possessed prior concepts, related to antennas, digital signal processing and its practical usage in artificially intelligent systems and as well the exceptions in it, since the work is explained in the direct level assuming so.</p>
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An application of artificial neural networks in freeway incident detectionWeerasuriya, Sujeeva A. 01 January 1998 (has links)
Non-recurring congestion caused by incidents is a major source of traffic delay in freeway systems. With the objective of reducing these traffic delays, traffic operation managers are focusing on detecting incident conditions and dispatching emergency management teams to the scene quickly. During the past few decades, a few number of conventional algorithms and artificial neural network models were proposed to automate the process of detecting incident conditions on freeways. These algorithms and models, known as automatic incident detection methods (AIDM), have experienced a varying degree of detection capability. Of these AIDMs, artificial neural network-based approaches have illustrated better detection performance than the conventional approaches such as filtering techniques, decision tree method, and catastrophe theory. So far, a few neural network model structures have been tested to detect freeway incidents.
Since the freeway incidents directly affect the freeway traffic flow, majority of these models have used only traffic flow variables as model inputs. However, changes in traffic flow may also be stimulated by the other features (e.g., freeway geometry) to a greater extent. Many AIDMs have also used a conventional detection rate as a performance measure to assess the detection capability. Yet the principle function of incident detection model, which is to identify whether an incident condition exists for a given traffic pattern, is not measured in its entirety by this conventional measure. In this study, new input feature sets, including freeway geometry information, were proposed for freeway incident detection. Sixteen different artificial neural network (ANN) models based on feed forward and recurrent architectures with a variety of input feature sets were developed. ANN models with single and double hidden layers were investigated for incident detection performance.
A modified form of a conventional detection rate was introduced to capture full capability of AIDMs in detecting incident patterns in the freeway traffic flow. Results of this study suggest that double hidden layer networks are better than single hidden layer networks. The study has demonstrated the potential of ANNs to improve the reliability using double layer networks when freeway geometric information is included in the model.
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Computational Prediction of Transposon Insertion SitesAyat, Maryam 04 April 2013 (has links)
Transposons are DNA segments that can move or transpose themselves to new positions within the genome of an organism. Biologists need to predict preferred insertion sites of transposons to devise strategies in functional genomics and gene therapy studies. It has been found that the deformability property of the local DNA structure of the integration sites, called Vstep, is of significant importance in the target-site selection process. We considered the Vstep profiles of insertion sites and developed predictors based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Support Vector Machines (SVM). We trained our ANN and SVM predictors with the Sleeping Beauty transposonal data, and used them for identifying preferred individual insertion sites (each 12bp in length) and regions (each 100bp in length). Running a five-fold cross-validation showed that (1) Both ANN and SVM predictors are more successful in recognizing preferred regions than preferred individual sites; (2) Both ANN and SVM predictors have excellent performance in finding the most preferred regions (more than 90% sensitivity and specificity); and (3) The SVM predictor outperforms the ANN predictor in recognizing preferred individual sites and regions. The SVM has 83% sensitivity and 72% specificity in identifying preferred individual insertion sites, and 85% sensitivity and 90% specificity in recognizing preferred insertion regions.
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Computational Prediction of Transposon Insertion SitesAyat, Maryam 04 April 2013 (has links)
Transposons are DNA segments that can move or transpose themselves to new positions within the genome of an organism. Biologists need to predict preferred insertion sites of transposons to devise strategies in functional genomics and gene therapy studies. It has been found that the deformability property of the local DNA structure of the integration sites, called Vstep, is of significant importance in the target-site selection process. We considered the Vstep profiles of insertion sites and developed predictors based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Support Vector Machines (SVM). We trained our ANN and SVM predictors with the Sleeping Beauty transposonal data, and used them for identifying preferred individual insertion sites (each 12bp in length) and regions (each 100bp in length). Running a five-fold cross-validation showed that (1) Both ANN and SVM predictors are more successful in recognizing preferred regions than preferred individual sites; (2) Both ANN and SVM predictors have excellent performance in finding the most preferred regions (more than 90% sensitivity and specificity); and (3) The SVM predictor outperforms the ANN predictor in recognizing preferred individual sites and regions. The SVM has 83% sensitivity and 72% specificity in identifying preferred individual insertion sites, and 85% sensitivity and 90% specificity in recognizing preferred insertion regions.
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Decision-Making Amplification Under Uncertainty: An Exploratory Study of Behavioral Similarity and Intelligent Decision Support SystemsCampbell, Merle 24 April 2013 (has links)
Intelligent decision systems have the potential to support and greatly amplify human decision-making across a number of industries and domains. However, despite the rapid improvement in the underlying capabilities of these “intelligent” systems, increasing their acceptance as decision aids in industry has remained a formidable challenge. If intelligent systems are to be successful, and their full impact on decision-making performance realized, a greater understanding of the factors that influence recommendation acceptance from intelligent machines is needed.
Through an empirical experiment in the financial services industry, this study investigated the effects of perceived behavioral similarity (similarity state) on the dependent variables of recommendation acceptance, decision performance and decision efficiency under varying conditions of uncertainty (volatility state). It is hypothesized in this study that behavioral similarity as a design element will positively influence the acceptance rate of machine recommendations by human users. The level of uncertainty in the decision context is expected to moderate this relationship. In addition, an increase in recommendation acceptance should positively influence both decision performance and decision efficiency.
The quantitative exploration of behavioral similarity as a design element revealed a number of key findings. Most importantly, behavioral similarity was found to positively influence the acceptance rate of machine recommendations. However, uncertainty did not moderate the level of recommendation acceptance as expected. The experiment also revealed that behavioral similarity positively influenced decision performance during periods of elevated uncertainty. This relationship was moderated based on the level of uncertainty in the decision context. The investigation of decision efficiency also revealed a statistically significant result. However, the results for decision efficiency were in the opposite direction of the hypothesized relationship. Interestingly, decisions made with the behaviorally similar decision aid were less efficient, based on length of time to make a decision, compared to decisions made with the low-similarity decision aid. The results of decision efficiency were stable across both levels of uncertainty in the decision context.
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The synthesis of artificial neural networks using single string evolutionary techniquesMacLeod, Christopher January 1999 (has links)
The research presented in this thesis is concerned with optimising the structure of Artificial Neural Networks. These techniques are based on computer modelling of biological evolution or foetal development. They are known as Evolutionary, Genetic or Embryological methods. Specifically, Embryological techniques are used to grow Artificial Neural Network topologies. The Embryological Algorithm is an alternative to the popular Genetic Algorithm, which is widely used to achieve similar results. The algorithm grows in the sense that the network structure is added to incrementally and thus changes from a simple form to a more complex form. This is unlike the Genetic Algorithm, which causes the structure of the network to evolve in an unstructured or random way. The thesis outlines the following original work: The operation of the Embryological Algorithm is described and compared with the Genetic Algorithm. The results of an exhaustive literature search in the subject area are reported. The growth strategies which may be used to evolve Artificial Neural Network structure are listed. These growth strategies are integrated into an algorithm for network growth. Experimental results obtained from using such a system are described and there is a discussion of the applications of the approach. Consideration is given of the advantages and disadvantages of this technique and suggestions are made for future work in the area. A new learning algorithm based on Taguchi methods is also described. The report concludes that the method of incremental growth is a useful and powerful technique for defining neural network structures and is more efficient than its alternatives. Recommendations are also made with regard to the types of network to which this approach is best suited. Finally, the report contains a discussion of two important aspects of Genetic or Evolutionary techniques related to the above. These are Modular networks (and their synthesis) and the functionality of the network itself.
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The evolution of modular artificial neural networksMuthuraman, Sethuraman January 2005 (has links)
This thesis describes a novel approach to the evolution of Modular Artificial Neural Networks. Standard Evolutionary Algorithms, used in this application include: Genetic Algorithms, Evolutionary Strategies, Evolutionary Programming and Genetic Programming; however, these often fail in the evolution of complex systems, particularly when such systems involve multi-domain sensory information which interacts in complex ways with system outputs. The aim in this work is to produce an evolutionary method that allows the structure of the network to evolve from simple to complex as it interacts with a dynamic environment. This new algorithm is therefore based on Incremental Evolution. A simulated model of a legged robot was used as a test-bed for the approach. The algorithm starts with a simple robotic body plan. This then grows incrementally in complexity along with its controlling neural network and the environment it reacts with. The network grows by adding modules to its structure - so the technique may also be termed a Growth Algorithm. Experiments are presented showing the successful evolution of multi-legged gaits and a simple vision system. These are then integrated together to form a complete robotic system. The possibility of the evolution of complex systems is one advantage of the algorithm and it is argued that it represents a possible path towards more advanced artificial intelligence. Applications in Electronics, Computer Science, Mechanical Engineering and Aerospace are also discussed.
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