Thesis (M. Sc.)--University of Alberta, 2009. / Title from PDF file main screen (viewed on Nov. 27, 2009). "A thesis submitted to the Faculty of Graduate Studies and Research in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Engineering Management, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Alberta." Includes bibliographical references.

Industry and society are now aware of risk more than ever before. Organisations whose activities pose risk to individuals and society are accountable to manage and reduce risk to an acceptable level. In this regard, utilisation of Safety Instrumented Systems (SISs) as an independent protection layer is a practical method of achieving the required risk reduction. The role of a SIS is to maintain the safety of equipment under control by providing a safety-related function. The International Standards, IEC 61508/61511, provide a set of guidelines to promote consistency for implementation of SISs used for risk reduction. In accordance with IEC 61508, the performance of a SIS shall be established by computing the associated Probability of Failure on Demand (PFD) as a reliability measure using a suitable technique. The principal purpose of this research is to provide the basis for reliability assessment of redundant SISs affected by process demand as well as component failures. This dissertation introduces four new reliability models for redundant SISs subject to process demand for the first time using Markov analysis technique. The proposed reliability models 1 and 3 incorporates process demands in conjunction with Common Cause Failure (CCF) and evaluates their impacts on the reliability quantification of 1oo2 redundant configuration using different repair philosophies. In model 3, the proposed Markov model was also compared with the IEC 61508 approach for redundant SISs and a reliability improvement between 9% - 15% were observed. The model 2 on the other hand integrates the Dangerous Detected (DD) failure rates in the unavailability assessment of redundant SISs subject to process demand assuming that CCF does not occur. An additional reliability model was developed in this research for a 1oo3 redundant configuration subject to process demand excluding CCF and its construction was verified using partial verification method. Furthermore, a generic framework for reliability assessment of 1oon redundant SISs is provided in this thesis in conjunction with some guidelines for future researchers as how to conduct reliability assessment of SISs subject to process demands. The accuracy of the proposed Markov models is verified for industrial application case studies. It is demonstrated that the proposed approach provides a sufficiently robust result for all demand rates, demand durations, common cause failures, dangerous detected and undetected failure and associated repair rates for SISs. The effectiveness of the proposed models offers a robust opportunity to conduct reliability assessment of redundant SISs subject to process demands.

Pour évaluer la résistance mécanique du béton dans un ouvrage existant, la méthodologie courante combine des mesures non destructives (CND) comme le rebond ou/et la vitesse des ondes ultrasoniques avec la technique destructive (carottes) afin de produire une relation‘‘modèle de conversion” entre la résistance mécanique et les mesures CND. Le modèle de conversion est utilisé pour estimer la valeur locale de résistance mécanique à chaque emplacement de test en utilisant la valeur CND correspondante. Ensuite, on calcule les estimations de la résistance moyenne et/ou de l’écart-type de la résistance (variabilité de la résistance du béton). Cependant, la fiabilité d’estimation est toujours discutable en raison des incertitudes associées à l’évaluation de la résistance basée sur les mesures CND. Pour améliorer la fiabilité, les incertitudes doivent être réduites en spécifiant et en contrôlant leurs facteurs d’influence. Par conséquent, l’objectif de cette thèse est d’analyser la méthodologie d’évaluation courante afin de fournir des recommandations pratiques qui peuvent améliorer la fiabilité de l’évaluation de la résistance in-situ du béton dans les ouvrages existantes par des tests non destructifs et des carottes.Pour ce but, un simulateur a été construit afin d’analyser les effets des facteurs les plus influents en utilisant une vaste campagne de données provenant de sources différentes (études in situ ou en laboratoire et données synthétiques générées). La première contribution de ce travail est le développement d’une nouvelle approche d’identification du modèle ‘‘bi-objectif” qui peut efficacement capturer la variabilité de la résistance mécanique en plus de la moyenne. Après avoir étudié l’effet du mode de sélection des emplacements pour les carottes, une méthode a été proposée pour sélectionner ces emplacements en fonction des mesures CND ‘‘sélection conditionnelle” qui améliore la qualité de l’évaluation sans coût supplémentaire. Une dernière innovation est l’établissement de courbes de risque qui quantifient la relation entre le nombre de carottes et la précision de l’estimation. Enfin, des recommandations ont été formulées afin de fournir des estimations plus fiables. / To assess concrete strength in an existing structure, the current methodology combines nondestructive measurements (NDT) like rebound hammer or/and pulse velocity with destructive technique (cores) in order to implement a relationship ‘‘conversion model” between the compressive strength and NDT measurements. The conversion model is used to estimate the local strength value at each test location using the corresponding NDT value.Then the estimated mean strength and/or estimated strength standard deviation (concrete strength variability) values are calculated. However, the reliability of these estimated values isalways a questionable issue because of the uncertainties associated with the strength assessment based upon NDT measurements. To improve the reliability, the uncertainties must be reduced by specifying and controlling their influencing factors. Therefore, the objective of this thesis is to analyze the current assessment methodology in order to provide practical recommendations that can improve the reliability of assessing the in-situ strength in existing concrete structures by nondestructive tests and cores.To this end, a simulator was built in order to analyze the effects of the most influencing factors using a large campaign of datasets from different sources (in-situ or laboratory studies,and generated synthetic data).The first contribution of this work is the development of a new model identification approach“bi-objective” that can efficiently capture the strength variability in addition to the mean strength. After studying the effect of the way of selection the core locations, a method was proposed to select these locations depending on the NDT measurements “conditional selection” that improves the quality of assessment without additional cost. A third innovation was the development of a procedure to identify the relation between the number of cores and the accuracy of the estimation. Finally recommendations were derived in order to providemore reliable estimated values.

(in English): This thesis introduces the issue of reliability and validity of the dynamic assessment methods. In the theoretical part, the author briefly presents specifics of the dynamic assessment and various ways of verifying reliability and validity in the context of dynamic assessment. The text then summarizes ways of verifying reliability and validity for specific methods of the dynamic assessment based on experience from mostly foreign studies. The empirical part of the thesis aims to examine the relationship between the outputs of the ACFS method and characteristics of the assessors and subsequently to propose an optimal approach to the examination of the dynamic assessment methods. The results showed that the assessor was a statistically significant factor to the magnitude of the change in all ACFS scales. However, a more detailed analysis showed that the difference between the assessors varied across subtests. The qualitative analysis did not signify any relevance of specific characteristics to the differences between the assessors.

The theoretical part of this master thesis lists all the necessary prerequisites which are needed in order to carry out a full and comprehensive reliability assessment of any given process. To do so it provides an overview of reliability in general, mathematical and statistical guidance together with a more detailed picture of the application and description of the process by quantifiable indicators. Furthermore it gives an overview of two important analysis tools, such as FTA and FMEA, accompanied by the basic principle and summary of the Six Sigma methodology and tools. The practical part of the thesis deals with the detailed description, quantification and goals of the process of safety helmet manufacturing and testing in order to be able to carry out a suitable assessment of the reliability by using the necessary set of tools and methods in order to identify the failures and their causes in the process by addressing them with suitable means of changes and corrective actions.