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Empirical analysis of nonlinear macroeconomic relations with applications to business cycles and speculative currency attacks /Zhang, Zhiwei. January 2001 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of California, San Diego, 2001. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references.
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Business cycles and asset allocation : a Markov switching approach /Chen, Max, January 2001 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Washington, 2001. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 88-99).
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Three essays on volatility and persistence in dynamic economiesSong, Min-Kyu 28 August 2008 (has links)
Not available / text
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A COMPARISON OF SPECIFIC CYCLES IN UNITED STATES COPPER OUTPUT WITH REFERENCE CYCLESBecker, Charles McVey, 1937- January 1966 (has links)
No description available.
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Fiscal policy, business cycles and natural resource dependenceHalland, Håvard January 2012 (has links)
No description available.
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The Monetary Transmission Mechanism and Business Cycles: The Role of Multi-stage Production with InventoriesDai, Tiantian 17 September 2012 (has links)
This thesis studies the role of multi-stage production for the monetary transmission mechanism. I employ a monetary search model to show how multi-stage production influences both the long run and the short run effects of money growth. Multi-stage production provides an additional channel for money growth having effects through intermediate goods between different production stages. Extending Shi's (1998) model from a single-stage to a multi-stage production model, I show that money growth rate has an unconventional long run effect on quantities per match, and the long run response of input inventory investment is different from that of output inventory investment. Contrary to classic search models, the steady state effect of money growth on the quantity of finished goods per match is not monotonic and depends on the money growth rate. Furthermore, in steady state the quantities per match first increase with the growth rate of money, before falling for large growth rates. Input inventories arise due to search frictions. Money growth also has hump-shaped real effects on steady state input inventory investment. The intermediate goods build a bridge between the labor market and the finished goods market. Intuitively, households hire more labor with higher future revenue and produce more intermediate goods in order to match the employment level. With more labor and more intermediate goods, finished goods producers can produce more when matched. As a consequence, they are stuck with more input inventories. Moreover, my model suggests that changes in the money growth rate would be one of the reasons for the decline of the inventory-to-sales ratio since the mid-1980s. Finally, I calibrate my model to quarterly US data. Contrary to other work, my model is able to replicate the stylized facts on inventory movements over the business cycle by solely relying on monetary shocks. The theoretical impulse response functions can quantitatively reproduce the corresponding empirical ones estimated in a structure autoregressive model. Moreover, the quantitative analysis supports the argument that input inventories amplify aggregate fluctuations over business cycles. / Thesis (Ph.D, Economics) -- Queen's University, 2012-09-16 20:44:21.876
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Measuring Canadian business cycles, 1947-1977Keyfitz, Robert January 1978 (has links)
No description available.
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108 |
Preliminary estimation of transfer function weights : a two-step regression approachEdlund, Per-Olov January 1989 (has links)
In economic time series modelling, dynamic relationships frequently have to be modelled where the explanatory variables influence the dependent variable over more than one period. Such dynamic relationships are found in business cycle forecasting with leading indicators, in marketing models describing the relationship between advertising and sales, and in many traditional econometric models. In this dissertation the transfer function model proposed by Box and Jenkins is used to describe the dynamic structure. There are several approaches that could be used to specify the model. A two-step regression approach is proposed by the author and tested by three simulation studies. Finally, the regression approach and two other approaches are used to identify transfer function models for the Swedish Index of Industrial Production using financial variables as leading indicators. / Diss. Stockholm : Handelshögsk. S. 1-22: sammanfattning, s. 23-162: 4 uppsatser
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Adaptive learning and multiple equilibria /Shea, Paul, January 2007 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Oregon, 2007. / Typescript. Includes vita and abstract. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 100-125). Also available for download via the World Wide Web; free to University of Oregon users.
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Essays on Indian business cycles and inflationPaul, Biru Paksha. January 2007 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--State University of New York at Binghamton, Department of Economics, 2007. / Includes bibliographical references.
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